BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG
Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure.
Trade Idea (Short):
– Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region.
– Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account).
– Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows.
Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
Bitcoinprediction
BTCUSDT Short Swing trade.Hello everyone, i want to share my price prediction at Bitcoin.
The week started with strong sell which activated buyers but i think buyers is not more strong, price tested well 2h FVG and Fibonacci Strong sell zone after New York session open.
Price is into consolidation, and if we look higher timeframe Bitcoin losing buyers with my strategy here is my short position setup.
Open Short position at - 102500
Stop Loss at - 104500
Take profit - i will follow trend if i will be right.
Always manage your risk!!! don't risk more than 2.6% of your balance in this trade.
BTC | Make sure to buy THIS Bitcoin dip!In the past I did a few predictions when people were uncertain and the results of these predictions were quite accurate if I may say. This is not financial advice. My only goal is to sketch a likely outcome for the people that find this information useful.
What we see right now is that we're building a lot of liquidity below. Yes.. I know, there is a mega liquidity area above us and the fundamentals are great. But keep in mind, the marketmakers are not going to let these long traders in these trades before we finally reach $110.000+.
Today is an important day and expect a lot of volatility come back to the market.
Therefore I think that the most likely short term target from this point is $95.000. This is a place were I'm adding to my long term bag. The worst case scenario would be that we spike below $90.000 (maybe up to around $87.000) somewhere this week.
Do your own research and trade safe.
Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash?
The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3
Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena
Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5
Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7
The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty
The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10
The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11
Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation
While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other.
In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as:
• Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop.
• Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline.
• Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
The Role of Media and Speculation
It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it.
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence.
Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer
The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline.
It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements.
As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
Bitcoin Crash to CashI am a student to any market maker and willing to share this formula with the public as long as it's understood as just a theory and not financial advice. This pull back is being orchestrated by fundamentals and not the media or Elon. The entire world is about to be awaken by the absolute fear of missing out on the next pump. But if you follow along my cookie crumbs you can easily see the next major buy zone. It's important that you understand the way to store your money in wallets and how to make sure if something happens to you... How can someone you love access these funds and export them if needed?
Do not trade or invest in Crypto to get rich quick. Also it's imperative you have an IUL established. This functions as an income producing asset along with a protection function. If someone is relying on you then make sure you show them love with this coverage.
Go fund me is not life insurance. Neither is buying crypto- Don't do stupid moves with your money. IUL's that are non participative are yielding 9%-15% yearly. You can multiple your income and warehouse of funds this way and take the extra or earnings and invest in the crypto market space.
The Dow, NAS, SPX, Gold, Bitcoin and XRP are pulling back. This is because billionaires are going to buy high and lose. This makes the perfect opportunity for the small fish like us to wait until the absolute best buy zones are. This formula that I have provided will take time to pay out.
Stay focused and watch my charts.
Aaron Polk
Money Train
678-739-7902
"Life Insurance Guy"
Bitcoin Triangle Breakout! What Next?Looking at the 4h, I anticipated at least ±10% on the breakout, which still might happen although it looks less likely as time passes.
It made perfect sense to begin the week with liquidating the long positions. It would either have been the longs or the shorts - someone had to take the hit.
I cautiously played both sides and benefitted from a short sell of around 2% marked on chart.
Where next? It's either going up, down, or sideways.
I'm playing both sides . Redrew a Fib between new high and low then chose my EP, TP and SL. It's still possible to lose with this method.
The larger Fib remains in play as I'm not yet convinced price cannot reach my original ±10% despite it seeming unlikely. Once the last candle has passed the triangle I'll retire that idea.
This won't stop me looking for setups in the meantime.
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout or reversal.
Buy entry should break and retest the neutral level (102,000)
Sell Entry Pullback at the neutral level (100,000)
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 11500 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 84500 (or) Escape Before the Target
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The BTC/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with the price potentially resuming its uptrend after a period of turmoil in late December and early January. The strong bullish trend and slight short-term decrease suggest that traders may consider trading only long positions.
To take a trade, consider the following:
Analyze the market trend: Look at the overall trend of the BTC/USD pair and identify any potential support or resistance levels.
Monitor market news and events: Keep an eye on any news or events that could impact the price of Bitcoin, such as changes in regulations or adoption rates.
Use technical indicators: Utilize technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and Bollinger Bands to help identify potential trading opportunities.
Set a trading plan: Develop a clear trading plan, including entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and position sizing.
The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin is aimed at determining where the price of the asset is headed, with models like the stock-to-flow model predicting prices based on the rate of new bitcoins being added to the network relative to the existing supply. Additionally, macroeconomic events like increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies can lead to inflation, which may drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge.
Here's a fundamental analysis for BTC/USD, along with market sentiment percentages:
Overall Trend: The BTC/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish direction
Bullish Sentiment: 65%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Market News and Events: The upcoming events, such as the Bitcoin halving and the increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies, are expected to drive the price of Bitcoin up.
Bullish Sentiment: 70%
Bearish Sentiment: 25%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Technical Indicators: The technical indicators, such as the moving averages and RSI, are indicating a bullish trend.
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 35%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Fundamental Analysis: The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin, including the stock-to-flow model, is predicting a bullish trend.
Bullish Sentiment: 75%
Bearish Sentiment: 20%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Macro-economic Events: The increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies and the potential for inflation are expected to drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge.
Bullish Sentiment: 80%
Bearish Sentiment: 15%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Overall, it's essential to stay informed about market trends, news, and events, and to use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and use trailing SL
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King!
If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out!
Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom!
Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade:
Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far.
Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed?
ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where:
A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak.
B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see:
The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement.
The B wave goes to the 0.382
The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began.
CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down.
Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming.
Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat.
Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun!
Conclusion:
The King Needs to Reset!
No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits.
Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
BTC, long or short? It could go either wayTriangle pattern on the Daily. Clearer on the 4hr. A bit choppy on the 1hr, 45 and 15min as would be expected. Pretty much respects 0.236 and 0.785, and more recently 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. I’m expecting an early morning breakout to the upside at the start of the week with $109k in sight. Chances are, if enough retail think it’s breaking out to the upside, price will probably flush out shorts with a strong wick up then liquidate longs on the way to $97,2k region. On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news for the of N.Y open, but this is as much psychology as it is TA and FA. Keep your stops tight or sit this one out?
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
Bitcoin Distribution PhaseThe safety trade appears to be unraveling, with Bitcoin showing clear signs of topping out as it moves through a distribution phase. Chart analysis supports this, and the narrative among Bitcoiners has shifted following President Trump’s emphasis on supporting all digital assets and U.S. companies, rather than positioning BTC as a strategic reserve.
This marks a pivotal shift in market sentiment. Many had hoped for Bitcoin to play a central role, but the focus on a broader digital asset ecosystem has left some investors disappointed. While this may take time to fully digest, I believe this narrative, combined with technical indicators flashing bearish signals, sets the stage for a rotation out of BTC and into altcoins.
Altcoin momentum could gain further traction as investors seek opportunities in projects aligned with a more diversified digital future. As we continue monitoring price action, this could be the catalyst the market has been building toward.
JUST IN: Bitcoin at $107,000Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, recently broke past the significant $107,000 psychological resistance level before retracing to $106,000. Despite this pullback, several technical and fundamental indicators suggest a bullish trajectory for the digital asset in the near term.
Technical Analysis
A key technical indicator supporting the bullish outlook is the imminent formation of a golden cross pattern on Bitcoin’s chart. This occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic signal of bullish momentum and a potential sustained uptrend.
Historically, golden cross patterns have often preceded major price rallies in Bitcoin. For instance:
- In 2020, the formation of a golden cross preceded Bitcoin’s surge from $10,000 to its then all-time high of $64,000.
Currently, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, which is within neutral territory but trending upward. This indicates that there is room for further bullish momentum without the asset being overbought.
Market Performance
As of this writing, Bitcoin is up 2% on the day, trading at $106,000. The price action suggests strong buying interest at the current levels, even as the market absorbs profit-taking near the $107,000 mark. Key support levels to watch include $104,500, while resistance remains at $107,000 and beyond.
Beyond technical signals, several fundamental factors are bolstering Bitcoin’s bullish outlook:
1. Institutional Interest: Recent data highlights a surge in institutional inflows into Bitcoin-focused investment products. This renewed interest comes amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin’s reputation as digital gold.
2. Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving event, expected in mid-2025, is already influencing market sentiment. Historically, halvings have significantly reduced the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, often leading to price increases as demand outpaces supply.
3. Global Adoption: Countries and corporations continue to embrace Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. Recent announcements of Bitcoin integration into payment systems and growing adoption as a store of value further validate its utility and potential.
Conclusion
With the golden cross pattern on the verge of confirmation, Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests that a strong bullish run could be imminent. Coupled with favorable fundamentals, including increasing institutional participation and global adoption, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum.
Traders and investors should keep an eye on the $107,000 resistance level, as a decisive break above it could pave the way for Bitcoin to target $110,000 and beyond. However, as always, caution is advised, as market volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency space.
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family!
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K.
But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K.
If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Bitcoin $BTCBitcoin has been propped up for today 1.23.2025 in hopes of the POTUS Donald Trump to sign an Executive Order surrounding cryptocurrency.
If we do not get an EO signed today, we will push towards resting Liquidity around $100,000.
On the other hand, if we do get a crypto EO. We will blow the cap off, and create another all time high.
Be ready for a volatile market.
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart.
Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator.
Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
#Bitcoin $BTCUSD The Wedge dilemma.CRYPTO:BTCUSD Key Levels:
1. 109k
2. 150k
3. 85k
4. 75k
CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently trying to break a historical, old and respectful channel's upper wedge. Technically speaking, this wedge is a very significant level where it has been tested 5 times so far "illustrated on the chart". The last 2 attempts have shown that the wedge is still valid.
Scenario A:
Euphoria and institutions buying pressure will keep the price trading close enough to the wedge until it breaks out where it unlocks a new uncharted zone extended to the next psychological mark 150k.
Scenario B:
Price falls back to the nearest visible and massive demand zone around the 75k mark.
I lean on a correction to the closest demand zone around the 75k mark.
Corrections:
It is worth noting that every time the price tests this wedge it causes a significant correction. "Check the illustrated table on the chart".
Conclusion:
Closing above 116k unlocks an uncharted zone to 150k
Trading below the historical wedge will lead eventually to a retest of the 75k price level.
#BTC #BITCOIN #CRYPTO #ANALYSIS #AHMEDMESBAH #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #BLOCKCHAIN #ETHEREUM
Critical Metals Corp Unveils $500M Bitcoin Reserve InitiativeIn a ground-breaking move, Critical Metals Corp (Nasdaq: CRML), a leader in mining development, has announced its bold decision to adopt Bitcoin (BTC) as a primary asset in its treasury management strategy. This initiative, aimed at acquiring up to $500 million worth of Bitcoin, marks a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency adoption in the corporate world, particularly within the critical minerals sector.
Strategic Shift to Bitcoin
Critical Metals Corp, known for its work in critical minerals and next-generation technologies through its Tanbreez Greenland Rare Earth Mine and Wolfsberg Lithium Project, has approved a comprehensive Bitcoin treasury strategy. The initiative is supported by a $500 million convertible note financing plan led by JBA Asset Management. The first tranche of $100 million is secured, with subsequent tranches totaling $400 million subject to specific conditions.
The notes will be convertible into common stock at $6.00 per share, with warrants convertible at $7.00. This innovative financial strategy not only diversifies the company’s asset portfolio but also positions it as the first Nasdaq-listed critical minerals company to integrate Bitcoin into its treasury.
Tony Sage, Executive Chairman and CEO, emphasized the dual benefits of this strategy: “Incorporating a Bitcoin allocation to our treasury management strategy is an innovative approach that we believe will strengthen our balance sheet and create long-term shareholder value.” Sage also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement, aligning with broader governmental initiatives to adopt Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Role in Critical Metals’ Vision
The move comes at a time when Bitcoin’s role as a store of value and inflation hedge is gaining traction globally. Critical Metals’ strategy not only secures its financial position but also strengthens its alignment with western government initiatives, including recent advocacy for a national Bitcoin stockpile by President Trump. By adopting Bitcoin, the company enhances its appeal as a reliable partner in secure supply chains for critical minerals.
The company plans to execute its Bitcoin acquisition strategy based on market dynamics and cash flow requirements, maintaining flexibility to adapt to evolving circumstances.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin
As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,000, down 1.83% from its recent all-time high (ATH). Despite the slight retracement, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, indicating a neutral stance with potential for further movement.
Key technical levels to watch include:
- Support: $101,000, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
- Resistance: A breakout above the one-month high of $115,000 could propel Bitcoin to $150,000 if bullish factors persist.
This retracement offers a consolidation period, often viewed as healthy for sustained upward momentum. Should Bitcoin hold above the $101,000 support, it could attract new buyers, fueling another rally. Conversely, a failure to hold this level may lead to a dip, testing lower support zones.
The Broader Impact
Critical Metals’ decision to integrate Bitcoin into its treasury highlights the growing institutional acceptance of cryptocurrency. By aligning its financial strategy with Bitcoin, the company not only protects against inflation but also positions itself as a pioneer in blending traditional industries with cutting-edge financial assets.
This move, coupled with Bitcoin’s recent price performance, underscores the increasing role of digital assets in global finance. With institutions like MicroStrategy and Critical Metals leading the charge, Bitcoin’s journey to mainstream adoption continues to accelerate.
Conclusion
Critical Metals Corp’s $500 million Bitcoin reserve initiative is a testament to the evolving financial landscape, where digital assets are becoming integral to corporate strategies. As Bitcoin hovers near its ATH, the strategic timing of this announcement adds to the growing confidence in cryptocurrency’s future. With a disciplined approach and robust financial backing, Critical Metals is not only reshaping its treasury management but also setting a precedent for others in the industry.