Bitcoin Forming Head & Shoulders – Watch for a Fake-OutPattern Formation: A complex Head and Shoulders structure is forming:
Left Shoulder ✅
Double Head ✅
Right Shoulder forming 🔄
Resistance Zone: The price is currently near a strong resistance area (around $87,000–$88,000).
This zone is likely to act as a ceiling and reject the price.
Expected Move (Blue Arrows):
shows a possible fake breakout above the resistance.
Then, a strong drop is expected, targeting:
First support near $78,000
Bitcoinprice
BTC | Bitcoin CURRENT CANDLE | NEW ATH or 70kThe previous weekly candle seemed unable to make a higher high after retesting the support at 76K.
However, today's bullish impulse has suddenly shocked right through two resistance zones, with the price now trading just above 90k.
If we can successfully CLOSE the weekly candle above 91K, it's likely that BTC is in for a new ATH which would mean ETH will also reach a new ATH, and then altseason will commence 🥳
Watch the following and make sure you are prepared for ALTSEAON:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC/USDT Analysis: Following the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market breakdown.
Yesterday, Bitcoin came just short of testing the $95,000–$96,700 resistance zone (accumulated volumes) and began to pull back. Most likely, we will see more significant selling pressure once this zone is directly tested.
At the moment, we’ve tested the $92,000–$90,000 buy zone (strong buying imbalance) and are already seeing a reaction from it. The main expectation is the continuation of the long position and a test of the mentioned resistance zones. This is supported by the relatively weak nature of the pullback, absorption of market selling pressure on cumulative delta, and the presence of strong support.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin (BTC) $95K Target? ETF Inflows & Supply Shock Key Signal
Bitcoin Flashes Bullish Signals: Record ETF Flows and Supply Shock Fuel $95K Target Hopes
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is demonstrating renewed vigor, capturing investor attention with a confluence of bullish indicators. After a period of consolidation and sideways movement following its all-time high earlier this year, recent data suggests underlying strength is building. Significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a tightening supply on exchanges, strong relative performance against traditional markets, and key technical levels being tested are painting a picture that has analysts eyeing the next major psychological and technical hurdle: $95,000.
ETF Demand Roars Back: A Sign of Renewed Institutional Appetite
One of the most significant developments fueling recent optimism is the resurgence of demand for U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Launched in January 2024, these products marked a watershed moment, providing traditional investors with regulated and accessible exposure to Bitcoin. After an initial explosive launch, inflows moderated. However, recent weeks have seen a dramatic turnaround.
Reports indicate that these ETFs recently experienced their largest single-day net inflows since their early days in January, signaling a powerful return of institutional and potentially broader retail interest. This influx of capital into regulated vehicles is crucial. It represents sticky, long-term demand rather than just short-term speculative trading. Each dollar flowing into these ETFs effectively removes Bitcoin from the readily available market supply, contributing to a potential supply squeeze.
This sustained demand has also propelled Bitcoin's overall market capitalization significantly. While direct comparisons fluctuate daily and depend on methodology (e.g., including gold, different equity classes), Bitcoin's market cap has grown to rival that of major global corporations and even some traditional asset classes. Its ascent up the ranks of the world's largest assets underscores its growing acceptance and integration into the broader financial landscape. While claiming a specific rank like "5th largest" can be debated based on what's included, there's no denying Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion dollar asset class demanding attention.
The Supply Squeeze: Coins Vanish from Exchanges
Complementing the demand surge is a notable trend on the supply side: Bitcoin reserves held on cryptocurrency exchanges are dwindling rapidly. Data reveals that the amount of BTC available for immediate sale on major trading platforms has plummeted to levels not seen since November 2018. This marks a multi-year low, indicating a strong preference among holders to move their coins into self-custody or long-term storage solutions, rather than keeping them poised for sale.
What's driving this exodus from exchanges? Analysts point to several factors, including the aforementioned ETF accumulation, where authorized participants acquire Bitcoin on the open market to meet ETF share creation demand. Furthermore, there's growing anecdotal and on-chain evidence suggesting accumulation by long-term holders ("HODLers") and potentially public companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. While large-scale corporate buying sprees like MicroStrategy's haven't been widely replicated across the board, the cumulative effect of sustained institutional buying (via ETFs) and dedicated HODLers consistently pulling supply off exchanges creates a powerful dynamic.
Lower exchange reserves typically correlate with reduced selling pressure. When less Bitcoin is readily available to be sold, even moderate increases in demand can have an outsized impact on price. This scarcity factor is a core tenet of Bitcoin's value proposition, underpinned by its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, and the current trend highlights this dynamic in action.
Relative Strength: The "Cleanest Shirt in the Dirty Laundry"
Bitcoin's recent performance also stands out when compared to traditional financial markets. Over the past 30 days (as per the provided context), Bitcoin has posted significant gains (e.g., +7.68%), while major equity indices like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq have experienced notable pullbacks (e.g., -6.79% and -8.14%, respectively).
This divergence has led some commentators to describe Bitcoin as the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile." In times of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, or wavering confidence in traditional financial systems, Bitcoin can attract capital seeking alternatives or hedges. While its correlation with risk assets like tech stocks has often been high, periods of decoupling, like the one observed recently, suggest investors may increasingly view Bitcoin through a different lens – perhaps as a non-sovereign store of value or a bet on future technological disruption, rather than just another high-beta risk asset. This relative outperformance can attract momentum traders and further bolster positive sentiment.
Technical Hurdles: The Road to $95K
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action is generating significant discussion. One key metric analysts watch is the "realized price," particularly for short-term holders (investors who acquired BTC relatively recently). When the market price surpasses the average acquisition cost of these recent buyers, it can signal a shift in market psychology. Those who bought recently are now in profit, potentially reducing sell pressure and encouraging further buying. Bitcoin recently surpassed this level, leading to speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a sustained rally or potentially sets up a "double top" scenario – a bearish pattern where an asset fails twice to break above a certain resistance level.
Analysts are closely watching specific price levels. There appears to be a consensus around a key resistance zone that, if decisively reclaimed and held, could signal that "all bets are off" for the bears, potentially opening the door for a significant upward move. Conversely, failure to break through these levels, or a strong rejection from them, could lead to a pullback, validating the warnings from more cautious analysts.
The $95,000 mark looms large as the next major psychological and potential technical resistance area should the current momentum continue and key lower resistance levels be overcome. Reaching this target would likely require a confluence of the factors already discussed: continued strong ETF inflows, further depletion of exchange supply, supportive macroeconomic conditions (or continued relative strength despite macro headwinds), and a decisive break through established technical resistance zones.
What Triggers the Breakout?
Achieving a breakout towards $95,000 isn't guaranteed and likely requires several catalysts:
1. Sustained ETF Demand: Continued, consistent net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are paramount to absorb supply and signal ongoing institutional conviction.
2. Supply Shock Intensification: If exchange reserves continue to fall sharply, the scarcity narrative strengthens, potentially triggering FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying.
3. Macroeconomic Shifts: A dovish pivot from central banks, renewed inflation fears driving demand for hard assets, or further instability in traditional markets could push more capital towards Bitcoin.
4. Technical Confirmation: A convincing break and hold above currently watched resistance levels would give technical traders confidence and potentially trigger algorithmic buying.
5. Positive Regulatory Developments: While the ETFs were a major step, further regulatory clarity or positive developments globally could reduce perceived risk.
Conclusion: Optimism Tempered with Caution
The current Bitcoin landscape presents a compelling bullish case. Resurgent ETF demand, dwindling exchange supply creating a scarcity effect, and strong relative performance against traditional assets paint an optimistic picture. Technical indicators, such as surpassing the realized price of recent buyers, add fuel to the fire, bringing targets like $95,000 into the conversation.
However, caution remains warranted. Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and technical resistance levels often prove formidable. The risk of a "double top" or rejection at key levels is real, and regulatory headwinds or negative macroeconomic shifts could quickly alter sentiment. While the confluence of positive factors is undeniable and the path towards $95,000 seems plausible given the current dynamics, investors will be keenly watching whether ETF flows remain strong, supply continues to tighten, and crucial technical levels can be decisively overcome. The interplay between institutional adoption, HODLer conviction, and market technicals will ultimately determine if Bitcoin can conquer its next major milestone.
BITCOIN NEXT MOVES!Bitcoin’s Next Move
In the long run, it's clear—Bitcoin is the new digital gold. Any dip at this stage is a potential opportunity. With over 7 years of experience in Bitcoin analysis, I believe in the bigger picture and long-term value.
If you'd like me to analyze or give insights on any other coin, feel free to ask. And don’t forget to follow for more crypto updates and analysis!
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Macro Update – Wave (5) 🟢 Macro Structure Since November 2022
Since the bottom in November 2022 (~15.5K), Bitcoin has been unfolding a clean impulsive structure, counted as:
(1) – strong breakout from the bear market lows
(2) – corrective pullback as a base
(3) – major impulsive rally with clear volume expansion
(4) – textbook correction right into the white Fibonacci zone, perfectly respected
Now, we are in Wave (5) – the final leg of this larger impulse!
🔄 Internal Structure of (4) → (5)
From the low of wave (4), the price action is developing in a classic 1-2-3-4-5 formation, where:
Wave 1 initiated the breakout
Wave 2 formed a shallow pullback
Wave 3 surged with momentum and volume
Wave 4 seems to have completed (or is finalizing now)
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Wave 5 is upcoming, potentially unfolding as an ABC structure (rather than a straight-line spike), showing a more measured grind toward the top
🔁 Cycle-Level Perspective
This entire impulse from (1) to (5) forms a macro Wave ③ in the larger Elliott Wave cycle.
Given the structure of Wave (5) so far, we may not see a vertical blow-off top but rather a controlled ABC move into the top zone.
🎯 Target Zone for Wave ③
$127,000 – $136,000
Based on Fibonacci projections of waves (1)–(3)
Strong psychological levels
Likely confluence with macro channel resistance and long-term projections
✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently progressing through Wave (5) of the macro impulse that started in late 2022. The structure from Wave (4) suggests a well-organized path forward – possibly forming an ABC structure into the final high of macro Wave ③, with targets in the $127K–$136K zone. This level could mark a major turning point before a deeper corrective phase begins.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Cup and Handle Breakout🔍 Pattern Identified: Cup ☕ & Handle 🏆 Pattern
🕒 Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart (1H)
💥 Breakout Level: Around $95,000
🎯 Projected Target: $97,073.75
📈 Technical Overview:
Bitcoin formed a rounded cup showing accumulation at lower levels.
After completing the cup, a small pullback (handle) indicated a healthy consolidation.
A strong breakout above the neckline resistance confirms the bullish pattern.
⚡ Actionable Insights:
As long as the price stays above the neckline, momentum remains positive.
A breakout generally leads to a strong continuation rally towards the projected target.
📊 Watch for volume confirmation for added strength.
⚠️ Caution if price slips back below the neckline – breakout may invalidate.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC Cycle Top - Confluence w/ Previous CycleBased on confluence with the previous cycle, I’m projecting the BTC cycle top around $115K.
Looking at the 2021 cycle, we saw:
A news-driven dump after the initial ATH.
A strong recovery to retest the previous highs.
Followed by the true cycle top exactly 26 weeks (182 days) later.
We're now seeing a similar pattern play out in 2025:
Post-ATH retrace and consolidation.
Recovery underway.
If history rhymes, we could be looking at the final leg up, topping out within the same 26-week window.
Target range is aligned with prior structure and psychological resistance.
Let’s see how it plays out…
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CycleTop #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC115K
Btc bullish retest 100k levelBitcoin looking bullish as of this moment will try to hit 100k level again.
As of April 25, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bullish trend, trading at approximately $95,203. This marks a significant recovery from earlier in the month when prices dipped below $76,000, and it's approaching the 2025 peak of over $100,000.
Investopedia
Several factors contribute to this positive momentum:
Macroeconomic Environment: The U.S. dollar has weakened, and gold prices have reached record highs, prompting investors to seek alternative assets like Bitcoin.
New York Post
Institutional Interest: Organizations such as ARK Invest have reaffirmed their bullish long-term outlooks for Bitcoin, with projections ranging from $300,000 to $1.5 million by 2030.
Investopedia
Regulatory Developments: Recent federal guidance has reduced oversight for banks offering crypto services, enhancing confidence in the cryptocurrency sector.
Investopedia
However, caution is advised. Market indicators suggest that Bitcoin may be approaching overheated conditions. Metrics like the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) are nearing levels that historically precede corrections.
Crypto Tracker
In summary, while Bitcoin's current trajectory appears bullish, investors should remain vigilant of potential market corrections.
Bitcoin Monthly compared to Historical Cycle Tops-UPDATE $400K ?
Keeping this simple
PA is on the 3rd of 3 Candles below that Threshold line. The comparison is the same position back in 2017 ( left Arrow ), Same Months, same position and also in the 4th year of the Cycle.
Now, I will say, I am one of the many that are saying "this time is different" and yet, when we see this.....well....Is it ?
We will find out in time but for now, Lets follow the chart, as we Must......Charts Never Lie
SO, for that Green candle to touch the threshold line, we are looking around the current ATH and then, when MAY comes in, we need to stay above.
Now, The monthly Candle Colours charts I post, mentioned, that if April closes Green, May has a High Percent chance of also doing that.
We have to wait and see - 1 Week to go till April closes.
As you can see, historically, The year with the Green Box is the year we go to ATH and above the upper trend line, with the ATH on or above that dashed line.
This puts this cycle ATH around, or above, $400K !
That is near Twice my current projection.
Is this time different. ?
There is a chart I have that explains how Bitcoin has been under an Arc od resistance since it's crea\ion and This is something that could keep PA down to the 250K ATH that is expected by so many
The chart is Below, it exoplains itself
So, the next 6 weeks are Pivotal to how this cycle will play out, with one of two ATH zones available.
But more importantly, Bitcoin PA NEEDS to break above and away from that Arc of resistance....and THAT WOULD MAKE THIS TIME DIFFERENT
Enjoy the ride guys and Gals
BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD
The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs.
A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin
However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ):
Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000.
Bitwise ETF Targets:
$50.00
$55.00
$60.00
$65.00
BTC/USDT Analysis – $100,000 Soon?!
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its almost uninterrupted upward movement and is now approaching our key long-term resistance zones.
In the coming days, we can expect a pullback within the bullish trend toward the $92,000 area, where a strong imbalance in delta and buying activity has been observed.
Now is not the time to fall into FOMO and enter long positions at market price — it's better to wait for the mentioned local retracement.
We've adjusted one of the buyer zones based on the broader context.
The previous $90,300–$89,500 (potential pushing volume zone) has now transformed into $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance zone).
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume cluster)
$74,800 (key level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
Do you think we’ll hit $100,000 this week?
Drop your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Roadmap — April to June 2025Hey traders! 👋
Bitcoin’s currently hanging around $94,100, and it just broke out of a multi-month diagonal resistance with strong volume and a solid daily close above all the SMAs and EMAs—bullish reversal confirmed! 🔥
Here’s what I think might play out between now and June:
Phase 1: Rally Toward Higher High (Now → May 1st)
Target: ~$99,600 (key horizontal + trendline resistance)
BTC is making a strong parabolic move with increasing volume and RSI confirming strength.
Break above $96 K → quick push toward psychological resistance near $100 K.
Expect a local top (HH) to form around late April to May 1st.
Phase 2: Pullback & Higher Low (May → June 1st)
Target Zone: ~$83 K–$86 K (confluence of multiple support zones + volume shelf)
A healthy correction is expected after tagging the upper resistance.
Formation of a higher low (HL) will validate a long-term uptrend.
Time-based support appears aligned with early June, matching your HL arrow.
Phase 3: Trend Continuation (Post June 1st)
If BTC forms a higher low and maintains structure, the next move targets:
$105 K–$109 K (Fibonacci extension + ATH zone)
Break above $99.6 K would flip this into macro bull territory
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance $99,600 Horizontal + trendline rejection
HL Zone $83 K–$86 K Fib & breakout base, HL formation
Support $79.4 K 0.5 Fib — invalidation if lost
Summary:
BTC is in the midst of a potential higher high formation, targeting ~$99.6K by early May. A correction is then likely, forming a higher low in the ~$83 K–$86 K range into early June, setting the stage for a macro breakout run.
Bitcoin Is Following Our Trading Plan Hello, Skyrexians!
As we told you new impulsive wave to the new ATH has been started below 80k for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and now price found some resistance. Next 2-4 weeks will be very difficult for traders and holders and we will explain you why.
On the 4h time frame we can see the new impulse which shall consists of 5 waves. Awesome oscillator tells us that this is the wave 3 inside this impulse and it can be over because of target area according to Fibonacci. The wave 4 can retrace to FWB:88K and it can happen very soon, but this time altcoins promised to remain strong. The next growth will happen to $94-95k in the wave 5. Dominance can reach our final target at 66%. The further correction to 0.61 Fibonacci below $85k will cause the atlseason and after that altcoins will grow in the very short period of time with the growing Bitcoin.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Forget Tariffs: Why Bitcoin Cares More About ETFs Than EarningsBitcoin's Great Decoupling: Why It Ignores Tariffs and Earnings, Fueled by Fundamentals and ETF Billions
In the complex tapestry of global finance, assets typically dance to the tune of macroeconomic news, central bank policies, corporate earnings reports, and geopolitical tensions like trade tariffs. Stocks rise on strong profits, bonds react to interest rate shifts, and currencies fluctuate with trade balances. Bitcoin, however, increasingly appears to be charting its own course, seemingly indifferent to the traditional market drivers that dictate the movements of legacy assets. This phenomenon, often termed "decoupling," isn't just a statistical anomaly; it's rooted in Bitcoin's fundamental nature and is gaining significant validation through the burgeoning success of US-listed Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
The core argument, as highlighted in recent market commentary, is compelling: Bitcoin's value proposition isn't tied to quarterly earnings calls, CEO performance, or the potential impact of import tariffs. It has no central bank adjusting its supply or setting its interest rate. Instead, its perceived value stems from a unique set of characteristics: verifiable digital scarcity capped at 21 million coins, a decentralized network resistant to single points of failure or control, and an emerging role as a neutral, global reserve asset in an increasingly politicized and fragmented world.
Fundamentals Over Fleeting News Cycles
Traditional assets are intrinsically linked to the health of economies and corporations. A weak earnings report can send a stock tumbling, while fears of a trade war can ripple through entire sectors. Bitcoin exists outside this framework. Its "earnings" are the security and finality provided by its blockchain; its "management" is the distributed network of miners and nodes enforcing consensus rules; its "monetary policy" is embedded in its immutable code.
This inherent separation means that while traditional markets might gyrate based on the latest Federal Reserve announcement or geopolitical flare-up, Bitcoin's trajectory is often more influenced by factors specific to its own ecosystem: adoption rates, network upgrades, regulatory clarity (or lack thereof), halving events that reduce new supply issuance, and, crucially, capital flows into vehicles that provide access to it.
The narrative suggests Bitcoin is maturing into something akin to a digital version of gold – an asset valued for its scarcity and neutrality, acting as a potential hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and systemic risks within the traditional financial system. In a world grappling with high debt levels, persistent inflation, and geopolitical instability (like the mentioned US trade war volatility), the appeal of a non-sovereign, mathematically scarce asset grows.
ETF Inflows: A Roaring Stamp of Approval
The most potent evidence supporting this decoupling narrative and Bitcoin's growing acceptance comes from the recent performance of US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Launched earlier in the year, these products represented a watershed moment, providing regulated, accessible exposure for institutional and retail investors alike through traditional brokerage accounts.
Recent data underscores their impact. On April 21st, these ETFs collectively witnessed their largest single-day net inflows since the initial launch frenzy in January, pulling in a remarkable $381.3 million. This surge in demand, with notable contributions like the $116.1 million flowing into the RK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), coincided directly with significant positive price action. Bitcoin decisively broke through previous resistance levels, reclaiming the $91,000 mark after a seven-week consolidation period.
These inflows are more than just numbers; they represent a tangible shift in capital allocation. They signal growing institutional comfort and strategic positioning in Bitcoin. Unlike speculative futures-driven rallies, inflows into spot ETFs reflect direct demand for the underlying asset, potentially building a more stable foundation for price appreciation. This influx suggests investors aren't just chasing momentum but are making longer-term allocations, viewing Bitcoin as a legitimate component of a diversified portfolio, independent of its correlation (or lack thereof) to other asset classes.
Price Action, Leverage, and the Path Ahead
The technical picture for Bitcoin has brightened considerably alongside these fundamental drivers. The recent surge saw Bitcoin break key bearish structures, establishing a higher low that many traders see as a potential launchpad for challenging previous all-time highs. The reclaiming of the $91,000 level was a significant psychological victory for bulls, reinforcing the positive sentiment fueled by the ETF flows. Market participants are now eyeing levels like the yearly open around $93,000 as the next major hurdle.
However, caution remains warranted. Analysts note that recent price surges have often been accompanied by significant leverage in the derivatives market. While leverage can amplify gains and accelerate upward moves, it also increases volatility and the risk of sharp liquidations if the market turns. The critical question is whether the consistent spot buying, particularly through ETFs, can absorb selling pressure and provide the underlying support needed to sustain these higher price levels. A rally built predominantly on leverage without corresponding spot demand is often viewed as less stable.
The comparison to gold's comeback potential amidst trade tensions is intriguing, but Bitcoin still needs to prove its resilience. While it has demonstrated periods of acting as a safe-haven asset, its correlation to risk assets like tech stocks can reappear, especially during broad market liquidity crises. The "decoupling" is not absolute, but rather a dominant trend driven by its unique value proposition gaining traction.
Conclusion: A Maturing Asset Forging Its Own Path
Bitcoin's recent performance, marked by significant ETF inflows and a price surge seemingly disconnected from traditional market anxieties like tariffs and earnings reports, lends strong support to the decoupling narrative. Its fundamental characteristics – scarcity, decentralization, and neutrality – are increasingly resonating in a complex global environment. The success of spot Bitcoin ETFs provides a regulated gateway for broader adoption and serves as tangible proof of growing institutional and retail demand, validating Bitcoin's role as an emerging reserve asset.
While challenges remain, including inherent volatility, regulatory uncertainties, and the need for spot demand to underpin leverage-driven moves, the trend is undeniable. Bitcoin is increasingly trading based on its own unique supply/demand dynamics and its perceived role in the future financial landscape, rather than simply mirroring the movements of traditional markets. It doesn't care about Q3 earnings or new import duties because its value proposition exists on a different plane. As capital continues to flow in via accessible vehicles like ETFs, recognizing its distinct properties, Bitcoin's journey towards becoming a truly independent, globally significant asset class continues, one block at a time.
Bitcoin - The path to 170K
- Still enough NQ correlation to drag BTC
- No new highs unless QE (regime shift)
- Rangebound but stronger "decoupling rally" possible due to global liq etc. Fade unless real QE
- Front runs end of year (early Q4 stocks late Q4)
All of this could change, but one thing the charts keep telling me—
$170K Bitcoin this cycle is still very much a possibility.
Please check out my bear market Bitcoin-to-100K chart.
Thanks, feel free to leave a boost if you have found this helpful.
Just In: Bitcoin ($BTC) Reclaims $90,000 The world's renown digital asset Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged nearly 4% today to reclaim the $90k resistant zone, amidst breaking out of a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern enroute to $100k.
Bitcoin for almost 1 month now has been swinging within the $80k price range, since losing it's $100k resistant in the month of February, 2025 but with increasing momentum a move to the $100k resistant doesn't seem far fetch because CRYPTOCAP:BTC has already broken the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle.
With the 4-hours RSI at 79, we may experience a respite before the major leap to $100k price point. Notable firms like Micro strategy and Michael Saylor the CEO were integral in this price movement.
The company purchased 6,556 CRYPTOCAP:BTC for ~$555.8 million at ~$84,785 per bitcoin and has achieved CRYPTOCAP:BTC Yield of 12.1% YTD 2025. As of 4/20/2025, Micro strategy holds 538,200 CRYPTOCAP:BTC acquired for ~$36.47 billion at ~$67,766 per bitcoin.
Notably, financial bodies like Standard Chartered Bank says Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) could reach a new all-time high due to concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence.
As of the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is up 3.70% currently trading at $90,715 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC setting the coast for $100k resistant.
However, on bearish tone, should CRYPTOCAP:BTC fail to pull up that stunt, a price correction might send CRYPTOCAP:BTC back to FWB:83K support.
Bitcoin Tests March HighsBTC tests March highs after 2 weeks of bullish price action and a double bottom / reversal pattern on Apr 9.
Currently testing significant price levels around FWB:88K and 1D 200MA, a decisive break above could signal a push towards $92k.
Failing to reclaim FWB:88K - GETTEX:89K could lead to a retest of $85k - $86k before attempting to reclaim previous R as S.
BITCOIN EXHAUSTIONPrice broke structure (BOS) after forming a higher low at support, triggering a strong bullish rally into premium zones. Multiple targets were met before showing signs of exhaustion near resistance. Current zone could attract profit-taking or a pullback unless buyers reclaim momentum with volume confirmation. Sentiment remains bullish across timeframes—watch for continuation or reversal cues.
Noise, S&P Scenario, Gold BubbleThank you to the tradingview community for engaging and supporting my content.
After another rough start to the week, we have a bit of a crossroads ahead for the S&P
1) We revisit the April 7 lows and poke lower with bear trap opportunities
2) We hold Monday April 21 lows and grind back up to gap fill and revisit 5400-5500 resistance
3) We go nowhere with a lot of intraday volatility and noise (between the April 7 low and the April 9 high)
The markets are on high alert
DXY
Gold
Bitcoin
US Bonds vs Treasuries (yields rising)
Trump is more vocal about threatening the FED or firing Powell and the concern is truly unprecedented
Trade War pause is still ongoing, China is being vocal as well to make sure countries don't simply line up to support the US. For all of this to calm down, US and China have to play nice. China is likely able to hold the line longer than the US in the near-term
Thanks for watching!!!
BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉
COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone.
🔍 Key Setup:
There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it.
This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario.
Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support.
✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short.
Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly!
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Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈
🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud
From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal .
📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025
Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context:
2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50
Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥
2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50
Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch
2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25
Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️
2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50
Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path
🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game
#1 producer AND importer
Keeps all domestic production
Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons
Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm)
Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon?
China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution.
💱 CPI From Fire to Frost
2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥
2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target
Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty.
🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart
Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600
Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000
China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+
Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone
These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives.
🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself?
In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge.
Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin .
China stockpiles gold
U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin
Trade wars have become currency wars
This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift .
🔮 Final Thoughts
We stand at the crossroads of history .
Gold has already chosen its path.
Bitcoin is waiting in the wings.
And fiat? Under pressure.
Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙