BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys!
I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025):
What happened?
Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again.
Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal.
What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels.
Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image?
Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K).
Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg.
Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone.
The descending trendline adds confluence
___________________
History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively.
If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
Bitcoinprice
False Breakdown? BTC Eyes Rebound From Demand Zone!Bitcoin has broken below its strong rising trendline, but this move could well turn out to be a classic seller’s trap. Despite the breakdown, BTC is currently holding above the key breakout zone, which has historically triggered strong rebounds.
The price is also sitting right inside a previous "accumulated & explode" demand zone — an area where buyers have consistently stepped in. If BTC manages to hold this zone, a sharp rebound could follow, trapping late sellers and driving price higher.
However, if the support zone fails, we could see deeper downside. For now, this is a critical pivot — watch price action closely to see if bulls defend this level or if sellers gain control.
If you liked it, do comment and follow us for regular market updates.
THANK YOU
RSI suggesting a bear market comingThis is BTC and it's RSI. Bellow you can see LMACD applied on the RSI indicator to see the trend more clearly. We might be on the stage that we can see higher prices like in 2021, but the bear trend is already printed. Sell some now and buy back at 40k next year. Cheers
BITCOIN REVERSAL INCOMING !!!! BUT WHEN????Currently we have seen a great move from 75k to new ATH 112k BUT now whole bullish momentum seems to be fading.
If we see charts, we clearly see ranges and recently Bitcoin has swept range high & reclaimed back into range, which indicates lose momentum. We may see BTC tapping 90K even 80'sK for next bullish move.
For all to maintain it's bullish momentum, Bitcoin have to stay above 74.5k and needs to break and hold above 109.5K.
Breaking below 74.5k would push BTC as low as 60-55k
STAY CAUTIOUS !!!!
Is Bitcoin Repeating Its 2021 Price Action? | TRADEDOTSWe’ve observed that Bitcoin CME:BTC1! appears to be repeating a previous wave pattern. If it follows its historical price action yet again, here’s what we might expect:
2021 Comparison
Back in 2021, Bitcoin formed two large rounded wave structures where the second wave exceeded the first, forming two consecutive all-time highs followed by a huge drawdown. This year’s price action looks very similar to the beginning of the second 2021 waves. If it continues to unfold in the same way, we anticipate a new all-time high before the end of this year, followed by a notable pullback into early next year.
Key Support at $96,000
As long as BTC holds above $96,000, the bullish trend remains intact. This level has shown great demand and volume support, reinforcing its role as the floor for the short-term uptrend.
Upside Potential to $117,000
If buyers continue to support the market above $96,000, BTC could reach the $117,000 region, setting another all-time high. This expectation follows the earlier wave pattern seen earlier this year and completes a close parallel to the 2021 bull run.
Deeper Pullback Expected
After a potential new high, a larger correction is likely. Drawing on previous pullback price action, a 30% dip toward $82,000 could align with a higher-time-frame trendline and significant support area—mirroring the wave structure from 2021.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains structurally bullish above $96,000
A pullback to the $82,000 region could present a key buying opportunity if it occurs.
Quick BITCOIN update using old Fractal chart - a small red June
Bitcoin appears to be taking a rest when it is strictly not required.
We are heading towards the 2nd dashed arrow, which as I pointed out months ago is a very possible and more realistic path for Bitcoin to take this cycle.
We have left the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and yet are likely to follow the idea of moving higher to a new ATH from this level off the Fractal.
PA entered that circle I drew back in Feb and is still in it right now, as we can see in the chart below
We can also see how PA has bounced off the 50 SMA on this daily chart.
This does NOT guarantee a continued move higher but it may offer some levels of support.
Should this fail, we do have various levels of support down to around 94K
I will refer back to a previous post and mention that to some extents, I am expecting a RED June. This does not need to be a Big candle, just 1 usd less than the open price wil create that.
104648 was the open price, so, we can easily stay above 100K and create that red candle.
Why do we want a red candle..?
Because, to put it simply, statistically, we have a better chance of continued monthly Green candles after a red june this time
I will attach the chart below so you can read about this in more detail.
This may or may not be good for ALTS>.... but I do not have many now.....just my preference
Bitcoi 4 hour - Volatile Zone near bu = CAUTION
PA nearly at that Circle I posted
MACD near the Neutral line
Possible rejection from Both
Lets see how this plays out. I do ecpect PA to follow that arrow BUT Bulls could step in and take PA Above the upper trendline and then wait for the inflation data in the USA on the 11th
Watch BTC Dominance for Clues about how this all effects ALT coins
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has experienced a notable downturn throughout the week; however, on Friday, it made a substantial upward movement, effectively recovering all previous losses. It is currently positioned to establish a temporary pause at the Mean Resistance level of $106,000, which may facilitate the development of upward momentum from this point. This situation may pose challenges to achieving the Inner Coin Rally target of $ 114,500, which is contingent upon the Mean Resistance at $ 109,500 and Key Resistance at $ 111,700. It is essential to acknowledge the possibility of a downward pullback from the Mean Resistance level of $106,000, which could result in a decline toward the Mean Support level of $101500.
The Unraveling of an Empire: How Bitcoin Could Break the DollarFor decades, the U.S. dollar has reigned supreme, an undisputed king in the global financial arena. It is the world's primary reserve currency, the bedrock of international trade, and the safe-haven asset investors flock to in times of turmoil. This dominance has afforded the United States what has been called an "exorbitant privilege," allowing it to borrow cheaply and exert significant influence over the world economy. But the ground beneath this financial empire is beginning to shift. A confluence of mounting debt, shifting geopolitical sands, and the rise of a revolutionary technology is creating the conditions for a challenger to emerge. That challenger is Bitcoin.
Born from the ashes of the 2008 financial crisis, Bitcoin represents a radical departure from the centrally controlled monetary systems that have governed economies for centuries. It is a decentralized, digital currency, free from the whims of governments and central banks. While initially dismissed as a niche interest for tech enthusiasts and a tool for illicit activities, Bitcoin has steadily gained traction, evolving into a trillion-dollar asset class that is now capturing the attention of institutional investors, corporations, and even nation-states. The question is no longer whether Bitcoin is a fleeting fad, but whether it possesses the power to fundamentally disrupt, and perhaps even break, the long-standing hegemony of the U.S. dollar.
A Hedge Against a Failing System
One of the most compelling arguments for Bitcoin's ascendancy lies in its inherent properties as a store of value, particularly in an era of unprecedented monetary expansion and soaring national debt. Unlike the U.S. dollar, which can be printed at will by the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin has a finite supply capped at 21 million coins. This predictable scarcity is a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures that erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies. As governments around the world, and particularly the United States, continue to accumulate staggering levels of debt, the temptation to devalue their currencies through inflation grows. The U.S. national debt, now standing at tens of trillions of dollars, raises serious questions about the long-term sustainability of the dollar's value. In this environment, Bitcoin's unalterable monetary policy makes it an increasingly attractive safe haven for those seeking to preserve their wealth.
The trend of "de-dollarization" is already underway, with several countries actively seeking to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade and reserves. Geopolitical rivals like China and Russia have been at the forefront of this movement, but even traditional allies are beginning to explore alternatives. The weaponization of the dollar through sanctions has further accelerated this trend, prompting nations to seek financial systems that are not subject to the political whims of a single country. Bitcoin, being a politically neutral and borderless currency, offers a compelling solution. It allows for direct, peer-to-peer transactions across the globe without the need for intermediaries, thereby circumventing the traditional, dollar-dominated financial system.
The Rise of a New Reserve Asset
The ultimate test of a global currency is its acceptance as a reserve asset by central banks. While this may have seemed like a far-fetched idea just a few years ago, it is now a topic of serious discussion in financial circles. A handful of nations have already taken the pioneering step of adding Bitcoin to their reserves, signaling a potential paradigm shift in how countries manage their sovereign wealth. For central banks, the appeal of Bitcoin lies in its potential for diversification. By holding an asset that is not correlated with traditional stocks and bonds, they can better hedge against various economic and geopolitical risks. As more central banks begin to explore this option, even a small allocation to Bitcoin could have a significant impact on its price and legitimacy.
The development of a robust financial ecosystem around Bitcoin is also paving the way for its broader adoption. The emergence of regulated exchanges, custody solutions, and investment products has made it easier for institutions to gain exposure to the asset class. This growing infrastructure is crucial for building the trust and liquidity necessary for Bitcoin to function on a global scale.
The Hurdles on the Path to Dominance
Despite its disruptive potential, Bitcoin faces a number of significant challenges that could hinder its ability to supplant the dollar. The most frequently cited concern is its price volatility. Wild swings in value make it a difficult medium of exchange for everyday transactions and a risky asset for conservative central banks to hold in large quantities. While volatility may decrease as the market matures, it remains a major obstacle to widespread adoption.
Scalability is another critical issue. The Bitcoin network can currently only process a limited number of transactions per second, making it unsuitable for the high volume of payments required of a global currency. While second-layer solutions are being developed to address this, they have yet to be proven at a massive scale.
Furthermore, the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is still in its infancy. Governments around the world are grappling with how to approach this new technology, and the lack of clear and consistent regulations creates uncertainty for investors and businesses. The U.S. government, in particular, is unlikely to cede its monetary authority without a fight, and could impose stringent regulations that stifle Bitcoin's growth.
Finally, no currency in history has achieved global dominance without the backing of a major economic and military power. The U.S. dollar's reign is underpinned by the strength of the American economy and its military might. Bitcoin, by its very nature, is decentralized and lacks the support of any single nation-state. This could be both a strength and a weakness. While it provides neutrality, it also means that there is no central authority to backstop the currency in times of crisis.
A New Financial Order
The notion that Bitcoin could completely break the U.S. dollar and become the sole global reserve currency in the near future remains a speculative one. The dollar's incumbency advantages are formidable, and the challenges facing Bitcoin are substantial. However, to dismiss the potential for a seismic shift in the global financial order would be to ignore the powerful forces at play.
What is more likely than a complete replacement is a gradual transition to a more multipolar currency world, where Bitcoin coexists alongside the dollar, the euro, and other major currencies. In this scenario, Bitcoin could serve as a neutral reserve asset, a check on the inflationary tendencies of fiat currencies, and a parallel financial system for those who are excluded from or wish to opt out of the traditional one.
The rise of Bitcoin is a clear signal that the world is yearning for a more resilient, equitable, and decentralized financial system. Whether it ultimately breaks the dollar or simply forces it to become more disciplined, one thing is certain: the future of money will look very different from its past. The quiet revolution that began with a single whitepaper is now a global movement, and the foundations of the old financial empire are beginning to tremble.
Bitcoin DAILY & 4 hour charts show possible push in 10 days ?
First of all SORRY for all the lines.
This is a working chart but they are all relevant to this post.
Main chart is DAILY and shows ua the Pennant that we appear to be printing with the descending channel inside. The diagonal line falling is the Fib Circle we recently broke through.
See how, once above the fib circle, we slid down the outside, using it as support, as we often do.
Then we hit another line of support and that created this recent push higher.
Should we continue, we will most likely go to the upper trendline, towards that circle. Circle center is around Sunday 6th.
While we are still on the daily, see that Pennant Apex...that is a Week on Sunday, the 15th.
99% of the time, PA reacts BEFORE the apex.
Should things continue, we can expect to see a rise till end of weekend, Rejection back to lower trend line and then a Rise and maybe a push Out of the pennant to new highs.....OR, and I think this is very probable, we go back to around the ATH line ( blue Dash) and Dip back down again.
It is worth remembering that we have inflation data being released in the USA next week.
People will likely wait to hear ths before making to many big moves.
The Daily MACD offers some guidence on this also
MACD nearly back on Neutral and could bounce. The Dashed line is this sunday.
MACD could continue to drop below neutral, we shall have to watch this closely.
As I mentioned, in the short term, BTC likely to reach for this circle in the 4 hour chart below.
I will admit, I expected PA to reach this point in a differnent way as posted earlier in the week, But, Hey, we still getting there..
Should we get rejected there, as I expect we will, then a revisit to 103K before a push back.
But given the inflation figures, things could get very volatile next week so CAUTION
We can see on the 4 hour MACD how we have already been rejected of Neutral once and we are heading there again
The potential to push through the neutral line exists but.......
I do expect some volatility and so we need to be aware things could change rapidly.
The inflation data is a key. Depending on if it is drooping, rising or flat, this WILL effect the situation with regard to the FED Rate decision later this month.
So, we wait, with caution and expectations
NASDAQ at Weekly Supply Zone – Bearish Breakdown Ahead? (READ)By examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading within the supply zone around 21,400. If it manages to close and stabilize below 21,100, we can expect further downside for this index. The potential bearish targets are 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply zone ranges from 21,400 to 22,200.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
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BTC Short Setup! OB + Fair Value Gap + Trend Channel ConfluenceBitcoin (BTCUSD) | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Sell Setup
Bitcoin continues to respect bearish structure inside a descending trend channel, creating prime opportunities for Smart Money traders to strike at optimal levels.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
Bearish Market Structure
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows
Channel structure is being respected with multiple taps on both the upper and lower bounds
Liquidity Sweeps & Internal Range
Multiple yellow-highlighted zones show liquidity engineering — both buy-side and sell-side have been swept
Recent sweep + demand failure confirms bearish intent
Premium Entry Zone Setup:
🔴 Order Block Zone (OB): 105,200 – 105,400
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Overlapping with OB – perfect imbalance correction
📐 Fib Levels:
61.8% = 104,987
70.5% = 105,298
79% = 105,388
🔺 This is the kill zone — premium retracement + inefficiency fill = high confluence
Bearish Continuation Expectation:
BTC likely to react at OB zone and continue bearish leg
Projection into discount fib levels:
-27% = 104,000
-62% = 103,800
-100% = 103,727
Channel Respect = Structure Confidence:
Every key swing is aligning with channel resistance/support
Blue arrow shows expected path: liquidity sweep ➝ OB/FVG tap ➝ drop to channel low
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone 105,280 – 105,388 (OB + FVG + 70.5–79% Fib)
🔻 SL Above 105,400 (above OB)
📉 Target 103,727 (channel + -100% Fib extension)
⚖️ RRR Over 1:4 — sniper-grade RR setup
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
You're not chasing moves — you're waiting where liquidity pools.
Fair Value Gaps + OB + Trend Channels = institutional signature.
Trade like Smart Money. Let retail chase candles. 🥷💸
📍 Save this setup before the market plays out
🔁 Share your thoughts below – entry, TP, SL?
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more sniper BTC setups daily
BTC: Maintaining Strength Bitcoin continues to hover around the $105,000 level. In line with the primary scenario, we expect the advance in green wave B to extend toward the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This zone can be used to lock in partial gains or establish hedges via short positions. From there, a corrective wave C is likely to follow, driving prices lower into the blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 — marking the end of the larger wave a. A corrective bounce should unfold next, ahead of the final selloff completing blue wave (ii). The alternative scenario, with a 30% probability, envisions a breakout above $130,891 and the establishment of a new high as part of blue wave alt.(i).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTC FRACTAL : Has BTC been following THIS EXACT PATTERN?The only difference in terms of the first peak, is the duration. But even the pullback size has been similar:
Interestingly, in terms of the second peak, the increase from the corrective bottom to the new ATH is almost exact at 122%:
Here's why we MAY still have a small push upward:
- The previous time, the peak was at least 6% higher. Currently, that would put us around 116K.
- The current pennant pattern is different from the previous bearish flag.
2%:
Pattern:
Do you think the bearish cycle is starting, or is another push up likely?
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin-is that it for now ? Lazy summer, take off in September?
Not posted this chart for a while but we may find it has become Very relevant to what to expect for the next few months
First thing to note is that PA is once again in TOP of range box and ALSO got rejected off the Long Term Blue line that has rejected BTC PA ATH since 2017. This also coincidened with the 1.618 Fib Extension.
Rejection here was highly likely and given how PA had pushed up, it is not surprising to see PA at least taking a breath.
For me, even though we do have the ability to push higher, I am not to sure we will just yet.
The weekly MACD could offer some credence to this idea
The Arrow points to an area that could turn out to be similar to what we are doing now.
The MACD has begun curling over after a prolonged push higher. While There was strength left, PA took a breath and regrouped.
The Chart below shows this period and how BTC PA reacted...and is circled
This was in Dec 2023 to Jan 2024.
PA had just had a sustained push higher and needed a break.and following a 7 week range, PA moved up another 67%
7 weeks from now brings us to near August.
There are charts that point towards a move in August / September
Here is another chart that offers some confluence to this idea.
The Dotted line is a line of support that PA has used as support numerous times this cycle and currently, is almost bang on the 50 SMA. Assuming that PA goes back down to that and bounces again, a 67% rise takes us back up to the Top of Range
Should we drop that far, to the 50 SMA again, we are in the 92K - 95K zone, scaring a LOT of people, wrecking Leverged players and putting Fear everywhere.
PERFECT FOR BUYING
This area also happens to be the 1.382 Fib extension on the main chart, the next Major line of support below us currently.
Should we fall through that, we reach the Bottom of Range and the intersection with the 50 SMA in.......August
So, we have to wait and see. We can push higher now but to do so would require breaking through that long term Blue line of resistance. I am not sure we can do that just yet.
Also, Should we post a RED June candle, Even a small one, the ideas in the Monthly candle post I recently posted also back up the idea of a lazy summer...... and a move higher around Mid to late August
Stay safe
IBIT — Ishares Bitcoin Trust. Under Bearish PressureThe iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has been a mixed performer year to date, with its price up and down around 20 percent this year and currently tracking for low double-digit returns in 2025.
The ETF currently trades around $59.36–$60.40, with assets under management of around $68 billion and a 0.1 percent premium to net asset value (NAV).
1-Hour Technical Outlook
On the 1-hour time frame, technical indicators are mixed but generally bearish:
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages (e.g. 200-hour SMA/EMA) are currently signaling a Sell signal as the price moved below these averages in late May.
Support and resistance: The ETF faces resistance around $61, corresponding to the broken 200-hour SMA, and support around $54, with stronger volume-based support around $47, corresponding to the beginning of the April rally.
RSI indicator: Over the last 20 days, the RSI(55) indicator has already been briefly noted below the baseline of 50, highlighting the need for more active risk management, since, as we can see from the chart, the indicator has again moved into the risk zone in late May and early June (where it currently remains), accordingly, for a longer term.
Volatility: During the recovery period in April-May 2025, the ETF demonstrated moderate intraday volatility (with half the 200-hour sigma value (σ) of about 3.5 percent), while the 20-hour decline on May 22-23, which exceeded this value, has provided at that time clear arguments for more active risk management.
To summarize, we can say that NASDAQ:IBIT is experiencing a pullback, technical indicators point to local persistence of bearish sentiment, following the classic, empirically proven adage of the financial market "Sell in May - and Go away."
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
GBP/USD : Ready for Fall (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading within the 1.35 supply zone. If a strong rejection occurs from this level, we can expect further downside movement. The potential bearish targets are 1.34915 and 1.34500. Other key supply zones are located at 1.35520, 1.35730, and 1.35930.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Price is coiled. Expansion is near. The setup is clean — if you BINANCE:BTCUSDT has reclaimed its 4H range low and is now driving into the midpoint of a prior leg. This isn’t random — it’s the prelude to a move Smart Money has been framing for days.
Here’s the breakdown:
Price respected the 0.618 (105,780) and rotated upward — that level is now the line between structure and noise
First objective: OB 4H at 107,839, aligning with 0.5 → 0.382 retracement
If that gets cleared with displacement, we extend into 109,621 — final premium zone before HTF liquidity is satisfied
The upper wick at 111,897 is still untouched — a long-term draw that only unlocks if we break 109k with intent
But if price fails and flips below 105,780, that signals fading momentum — and opens the door for a sweep toward the 4H OB at 104,116 or even the FVG 4H down near 101,998
Execution mindset:
Longs are valid above 105,780
Targeting: 107.8 → 109.6 → possibly 111.9
Invalidation: Daily close below 104,116
Liquidity lies above — Smart Money is already positioned
You don’t need signals when structure tells the story. You just need precision.
More entries, levels, and logic? They’re in the profile description — not in the crowd.
Price isn’t reacting — it’s delivering.BTC just tapped into the 4H FVG with surgical precision.
If you’ve been watching price the way Smart Money does, this wasn’t a surprise. It was the setup.
Here's the structure:
After reclaiming the 4H OB below, price expanded upward into the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4H)
That delivery aligns with the 0.0 fib at 106,770.4 — a premium zone engineered for liquidity harvesting
The next level above is the RB — Reversal Block — where I expect displacement to either fade or accelerate
What matters now is how price reacts on the pullback into the 0.382 → 0.618 fib range (105,338.9 to 104,454.6).
If we see structure hold, I’ll target 107,082.6 next.
If that zone fails — all eyes go back to the OB 4H at 103,023.2.
Execution clarity:
Holding above 104,454 → Long bias continues
Breaking 103,825 with follow-through? Reversal confirmed
Clean invalidation, clean targets — no guessing
The chart’s not lying. It's just speaking in algorithm.
Want trades like this before they hit the box? Check the profile description. Clarity doesn’t need noise. Just rules.
DOGEUSDT 0.2550 TPWe are seeing a price rebound from strong support around the ~0.1900 level, which may signal the end of the correction. A potential double bottom formation is forming, which often indicates a trend reversal to the upside.
Additional arguments:
The WT_LB oscillator shows an oversold zone and initial upward curvature of signal lines – a typical buy signal.
After a strong downtrend, a consolidation phase has occurred, likely acting as an accumulation zone before a potential move upward.
The risk-to-reward ratio (R/R) is very favorable (around 1:5), supporting a long entry at the current market structure.
📌Technical signals and a strong R/R ratio support a bullish scenario, with a target around 0.252 and a stop-loss set near 0.185.
BTC/USDT: Strong Bullish Alignment, All Signals Green (01/06/25)__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: Bullish structure confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“BUY” across all timeframes).
Key Supports: 103k–104k, consolidated on every horizon (1D to 15min).
Resistances: 105.5k–108k (short-term), 110k as a main pivot.
Volume: Moderately high, with no climax or distribution signals.
Behaviour: Proprietary indicators (ISPD DIV) show strong bullish confluence across timeframes; no divergences or significant bearish signals.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Directional Bias: Dominant bullish bias across all timeframes.
Opportunities: Tactical entries on pullbacks to 103k–104k, main exits >108/110k.
Risk: Invalidation below 101k; watch for extreme volumes or major macro catalysts.
Catalysts: Strong global risk-on dynamics (tech rally, institutional flows, weak USD); monitoring SEC regulation and macro events (NFP, CPI, FED).
Plan of action: Buy defended support zones, reduce on exuberance >110k, dynamic stop below 101k, stay reactive ahead of major events.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D: Major resistance at 110k (Pivot High), strong support 101–104k, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “BUY,” healthy volume; maintained momentum.
12H: Confluent resistance 105.5–110k, support 102.5–104k, bullish indicators, no divergence or volume climax.
6H: Resistances 105.5/108k, solid support 103–104k, strict bullish confirmations.
4H: Clustered resistances 105.5/108k, dense support 103–104k, digestion phase in volume (healthy consolidation).
2H: Major pivots 105–108k, supports 103k/101.5k, strong demand on pullback.
1H: Barriers 105.5–106k, support 103.4–104.2k, no bearish signals.
30min: Spot resistance at 105.5k+, support 103.8–104.2k, microstructure favors buying, weak selling pressure.
15min: Support 104k, resistance 105.5–106k, intraday flow remains pro-buy on weakness.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Consistent “BUY” signal across all timeframes — sector and behavioural momentum alignment.
ISPD DIV: Positive histogram, no red zones or distribution alerts.
Volumes: Normal to moderately high, no climax suggesting trend end.
Summary: Strong multi-timeframe technical alignment. Bullish momentum, firmly defended supports. No imminent reversal signals, healthy consolidation within dominant risk-on trend.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic & Fundamental Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical bias: Strong bullish conviction as long as 103–104k is defended, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator/ISPD.
Fundamentals: Macro momentum (Nasdaq/US tech rally, weak USD), OI and spot dominance high, growing euphoria (ATH ~111k), watch for potential distribution if buyer exuberance peaks (P/L ratio 12:1).
Scenarios: Buy on defended flows 103–104k, TP >108–110k; caution on extreme volume at support.
Macro: Anticipate reactions to major events (NFP, CPI, FED). If a key event is due within 48h: prudence, adapt post-release.
Opportunities: Potential rotation to altcoins (SOL/ETH), short-term swing as BTC momentum pauses.
Momentum prevails, but caution warranted on any volume spikes or major macro headlines. Market remains a buy at support, optimal strategy is dynamic pullback/TP management, strict discipline in case of high-volume sell-off.
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Actionable Summary
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Entry: Buy securely on 103–104.2k zone
Stop: Hard invalidation if <101k (on volume)
Take Profit: 108–110k+
Risk: Excessive on-chain euphoria, violent support break
Stay agile near major releases and watch flow rotations (BTC/ALT)
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