Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has successfully achieved and completed a significant Inner Coin Rally at the 108000 level. This development indicates a probable pullback to the Mean Support level of 101300, with the potential for further extension to the Mean Support level of 98000 before a resurgence in the bull market may occur. Conversely, should this pullback not transpire, the currency may experience upward movement, retesting the completed Inner Coin Rally at 108000 and challenging the next Outer Coin Rally at 110000 and beyond.
Bitcoinprice
BitCoin doesn’t understand the dark of the night during the dayBased on the performance of U.S. and Japanese stocks yesterday, the logic behind the Japanese interest rate hike is as follows: Previously, with low interest rates in Japan, people borrowed yen, exchanged it for dollars, and invested in U.S. stocks. So, when Japan raises interest rates, it reverses this process—liquidity flows back to Japan, the dollar weakens, U.S. stocks decline, and Japanese stocks rise. As shown in the chart, the candlestick represents the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, and the blue vertical line marks the period of yesterday's movements in U.S. stocks, Japanese stocks, the dollar, and the yen. Therefore, Bitcoin, during the day, follows the rise of Japanese stocks, but at night, follows the decline of U.S. stocks. It’s truly like what the northeastern woman sings: "You don’t understand the dark of the night during the day."
Gold XAUUSD | SELL After Elliot's 5-WaveWave Analysis:
Wave 1 (Initial Upswing):
Price moved from 2661 to 2723, marking the start of the bullish trend.
This wave is typically smaller as the market begins to establish direction.
Wave 2 (Correction):
A corrective pullback, retracing part of Wave 1.
Price moved down but respected the Fibonacci retracement zone (likely between 50% and 61.8%).
Wave 3 (Strong Upswing):
The strongest and most extended wave, moving from 2695 to 2759.
This wave aligns with higher momentum, reflecting a surge in bullish sentiment.
Wave 4 (Consolidation):
A sideways or shallow pullback, correcting Wave 3.
This wave is less aggressive than Wave 2, often reflecting profit-taking and market indecision.
Wave 5 (Final Push):
The last leg of the upward impulse, with prices rising from 2743 to 2786.
Momentum begins to weaken, and divergences on indicators like RSI or MACD might appear, suggesting exhaustion of the trend.
Current Market Outlook:
Trend Exhaustion:
The completion of Wave 5 at 2786 suggests that the bullish trend is nearing its end. The possibility of a trend reversal or a corrective move downward is high.
Potential Correction:
After the completion of the impulsive wave, an A-B-C corrective structure is likely to unfold.
Wave A could lead to an initial sell-off.
Wave B might be a temporary rebound or retracement.
Wave C would finalize the correction, potentially testing the 2661 level (Wave 1 origin).
Key Support Levels:
2743 (Wave 5 origin): The first major support.
2695 (Wave 3 origin): The second support level to watch for.
2661: A full retracement target if the correction deepens.
Resistance:
2786 (Wave 5 high) remains the key resistance level. A break above this might indicate an extension of the bullish trend.
Trading Signal:
Sell Entry: Upon confirmation of a break below 2743.
Targets:
First Target: 2710 (Wave 4 area).
Second Target: 2695 (Wave 3 origin).
Third Target: 2661 (Wave 1 origin).
Stop-Loss: Above 2786 to avoid risk from a potential upward extension.
Alternate Scenario:
If prices break and sustain above 2786, it could indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. Look for further upside toward 2800–2820.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to have completed its five-wave impulsive structure. The next likely scenario is a corrective A-B-C wave formation or a trend reversal. Monitor key levels and confirmation signals before executing trades.
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
Bitcoin Distribution PhaseThe safety trade appears to be unraveling, with Bitcoin showing clear signs of topping out as it moves through a distribution phase. Chart analysis supports this, and the narrative among Bitcoiners has shifted following President Trump’s emphasis on supporting all digital assets and U.S. companies, rather than positioning BTC as a strategic reserve.
This marks a pivotal shift in market sentiment. Many had hoped for Bitcoin to play a central role, but the focus on a broader digital asset ecosystem has left some investors disappointed. While this may take time to fully digest, I believe this narrative, combined with technical indicators flashing bearish signals, sets the stage for a rotation out of BTC and into altcoins.
Altcoin momentum could gain further traction as investors seek opportunities in projects aligned with a more diversified digital future. As we continue monitoring price action, this could be the catalyst the market has been building toward.
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences.
Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
AAVE Nearing Key Resistance. Will Bullish Momentum Persist? Key indicators used for analysis:
1. Zero lag moving average (ZLMA): Refined form of moving average that reduces lag while maintaining smoothness.
2. Price Volume Trend (PVT): Tracks price movement weighted by volume
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator indicating overbought and oversold conditions.
Support:$273.02
Resistance: $399.00
1.Price is trading above ZLMA9 and ZLMA51, signalling short and long term bullish momentum.
2.The PVT indicator is trending upward, reflecting strong volume-driven price increase.
3.RSI is forming higher lows, suggesting increasing strength in momentum.
Note: This is only for educational purposes and not a buy and sell recommendation. Teak Finance will not be liable for any loss or gain. Please consult your trading advisor.
Key Levels to Watch: Pullback or Breakthrough?In analyzing the chart, we see a critical setup forming. If the price breaks below Support (2), there’s a strong probability that it may perform a pullback before continuing to drop, potentially retesting the area around Support (1).
This pullback behavior is often observed as the market seeks to confirm previous levels before resuming its move.
However, if the price fails to hold below Support (2), we could witness bullish momentum taking over, driving the price upward toward the supply zone above. This movement could signal a shift in sentiment as buyers step in to capitalize on the opportunity.
Keep a close eye on these levels and watch for confirmation before entering the trade. Always manage your risk and trade what you see, not what you feel! Let the market guide you. 🚀📈
Ascending Broadening Wedge 2026 Bull Run Forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge. It looks like the bottom needs to get retested to confirm it and the current pattern to hold. After that if this pattern proves true then the next Bull run of 2026 - 2027 will be the massive breakout everyone is waiting for. Lets see how things play out.
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart.
Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator.
Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin to 34000BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️We trade in a range. After deviation at the bottom we made a deviation at the top
➡️Now would be good to see sweep liquidity at 29630
➡️Main target is full fill of next Weekly gap above.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin - Sell in May and go away BINANCE:BTCUSDT
This is pretty simple but logic movement. All market drive by algorithm and plan
Impulse from top 69 to 42 and next Fib Trend Extension
At 0.618 level we came almost to 25314
Locally we should came and find a rejection at covid dump up-trend line.
Its hard to say about timing but if we take a look on macro in a world most likely we can see this uptrend move till end of April and
"sell in may and go away" cliche. Recession have an always lag around 2-4 months. We probably already in recession, but affect we will see later. Also DXY this time will be around 108-110
After September/October macro situation will start stabilise and we will see test 20-19K again like strong support zone.
Than few month in flat around 19-24K range again so more and more people build consensus about 10-12K for SURE.
And start climbing up slowly but surely.
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Bitcoin confirmed lower lowBINANCE:BTCUSDT
If we are looking on a chart without noice we clearly dropped and formed lower low. But on Weekly timeframe RSI climbing up, so its a huge divergence. And the more higher timeframe the more power for reversal move.
All market waiting 21 September and data of RATE. So usually all upcoming news and event included in price a weeks before!
And sentiment on a market - everyone waiting 15 or 10K. Literally the same like everyone waited 100K in November
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
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Bitcoin breakout as USDT.D breaks down, is it happening now?Refer to previous analysis in links below.
As you can see USDT.D is now trying to break below the trendline that caused 3 flash crashes in a row. Will it be confirmed by the end of the day's candle or will this be a bull trap and the candle wicks back above the trendline and then a flash crash? We watch and see. Easy trade for both short and long here with stop loss that cuts off the loser and the winner runs.
Don't forget to smash that rocket like button or give me your take in the comments below.
Bitcoin Gains, Ethereum Struggles, Hashprice SurgesBitcoin Eyes Further Gains as Ethereum Struggles With Declining Demand and Bitcoin Hashprice Hits One-Month Highs, A Bullish Signal for Miners
The cryptocurrency market is a dynamic and ever-shifting landscape, with different assets experiencing varying fortunes. While Ethereum grapples with declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, buoyed by positive on-chain metrics and a resurgence in miner profitability.1 This article delves into the factors contributing to Bitcoin's current momentum, contrasting it with Ethereum's struggles and highlighting the significance of rising hashprice for Bitcoin miners.
Bitcoin's Resurgence: A Confluence of Positive Factors
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's current positive trajectory:
• Renewed Institutional Interest: Despite the bear market of 2022, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains significant. Many institutional investors view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value and a hedge against inflation.2 Recent reports suggest renewed inflows into Bitcoin investment products, indicating a resurgence of institutional confidence.
• Positive On-Chain Metrics: On-chain metrics, such as the number of active addresses, transaction volume, and long-term holder accumulation, provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. Several key on-chain indicators are currently flashing bullish signals, suggesting increasing network activity and strong holding behavior.
• Growing Adoption: While still early, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow globally. More businesses are accepting Bitcoin as payment, and more individuals are using it as a store of value. This growing adoption contributes to Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.
• Hashprice Surge: One of the most significant indicators of Bitcoin's current strength is the resurgence of hashprice. This metric, which represents the estimated revenue a miner earns per unit of hashing power, has hit one-month highs. This increase is a direct result of both rising Bitcoin prices and increased transaction fees, providing much-needed relief to miners.
Ethereum's Struggles: Declining Demand and Network Activity
In contrast to Bitcoin's positive momentum, Ethereum is facing challenges related to declining demand and network activity. Several factors contribute to this downturn:
• Competition from Layer-2 Solutions: The rise of layer-2 scaling solutions on other blockchains has diverted some activity away from the Ethereum mainnet. These solutions offer faster and cheaper transactions, making them attractive alternatives for certain use cases.
• Decreased DeFi Activity: The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, which was a major driver of Ethereum's growth in 2020 and 2021, has seen a significant decline in activity. This decline has reduced demand for Ethereum block space and contributed to lower transaction fees.
• NFT Market Cool-Down: The non-fungible token (NFT) market, another significant driver of Ethereum network activity, has also experienced a cooling-off period. This has further reduced demand for Ethereum transactions.
Bitcoin Hashprice: A Bullish Signal for Miners
The recent surge in Bitcoin hashprice is a crucial development for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Hashprice is calculated by dividing the total revenue earned by miners (from both block rewards and transaction fees) by the total network hash rate. A higher hashprice indicates increased profitability for miners.
The combination of rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees has driven the recent increase in hashprice. This is particularly important because miner profitability is crucial for the security and stability of the Bitcoin network. When miners are profitable, they are incentivized to continue securing the network, ensuring its resilience against attacks.
The Significance of Transaction Fees
Transaction fees play a vital role in the Bitcoin network. They incentivize miners to include transactions in blocks and contribute to the network's long-term sustainability. As the block reward (the amount of Bitcoin awarded to miners for each block they mine) continues to halve approximately every four years, transaction fees will become an increasingly important source of revenue for miners.
The recent increase in transaction fees is a positive sign for the Bitcoin network's long-term health. It demonstrates that users are willing to pay for block space, indicating continued demand for Bitcoin transactions.
Conclusion
While Ethereum faces challenges related to declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, driven by positive on-chain metrics, renewed institutional interest, and a resurgence in miner profitability. The recent surge in hashprice, fueled by rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees, is a particularly bullish signal for the Bitcoin ecosystem. This combination of factors suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for further gains in the near future.
It's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. However, the current3 trends suggest that Bitcoin is entering a period of renewed strength, while Ethereum faces headwinds that could impact its short-term performance. The dynamic nature of the crypto market necessitates continuous monitoring and adaptation to new information.
Critical Metals Corp Unveils $500M Bitcoin Reserve InitiativeIn a ground-breaking move, Critical Metals Corp (Nasdaq: CRML), a leader in mining development, has announced its bold decision to adopt Bitcoin (BTC) as a primary asset in its treasury management strategy. This initiative, aimed at acquiring up to $500 million worth of Bitcoin, marks a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency adoption in the corporate world, particularly within the critical minerals sector.
Strategic Shift to Bitcoin
Critical Metals Corp, known for its work in critical minerals and next-generation technologies through its Tanbreez Greenland Rare Earth Mine and Wolfsberg Lithium Project, has approved a comprehensive Bitcoin treasury strategy. The initiative is supported by a $500 million convertible note financing plan led by JBA Asset Management. The first tranche of $100 million is secured, with subsequent tranches totaling $400 million subject to specific conditions.
The notes will be convertible into common stock at $6.00 per share, with warrants convertible at $7.00. This innovative financial strategy not only diversifies the company’s asset portfolio but also positions it as the first Nasdaq-listed critical minerals company to integrate Bitcoin into its treasury.
Tony Sage, Executive Chairman and CEO, emphasized the dual benefits of this strategy: “Incorporating a Bitcoin allocation to our treasury management strategy is an innovative approach that we believe will strengthen our balance sheet and create long-term shareholder value.” Sage also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement, aligning with broader governmental initiatives to adopt Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Role in Critical Metals’ Vision
The move comes at a time when Bitcoin’s role as a store of value and inflation hedge is gaining traction globally. Critical Metals’ strategy not only secures its financial position but also strengthens its alignment with western government initiatives, including recent advocacy for a national Bitcoin stockpile by President Trump. By adopting Bitcoin, the company enhances its appeal as a reliable partner in secure supply chains for critical minerals.
The company plans to execute its Bitcoin acquisition strategy based on market dynamics and cash flow requirements, maintaining flexibility to adapt to evolving circumstances.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin
As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,000, down 1.83% from its recent all-time high (ATH). Despite the slight retracement, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51, indicating a neutral stance with potential for further movement.
Key technical levels to watch include:
- Support: $101,000, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
- Resistance: A breakout above the one-month high of $115,000 could propel Bitcoin to $150,000 if bullish factors persist.
This retracement offers a consolidation period, often viewed as healthy for sustained upward momentum. Should Bitcoin hold above the $101,000 support, it could attract new buyers, fueling another rally. Conversely, a failure to hold this level may lead to a dip, testing lower support zones.
The Broader Impact
Critical Metals’ decision to integrate Bitcoin into its treasury highlights the growing institutional acceptance of cryptocurrency. By aligning its financial strategy with Bitcoin, the company not only protects against inflation but also positions itself as a pioneer in blending traditional industries with cutting-edge financial assets.
This move, coupled with Bitcoin’s recent price performance, underscores the increasing role of digital assets in global finance. With institutions like MicroStrategy and Critical Metals leading the charge, Bitcoin’s journey to mainstream adoption continues to accelerate.
Conclusion
Critical Metals Corp’s $500 million Bitcoin reserve initiative is a testament to the evolving financial landscape, where digital assets are becoming integral to corporate strategies. As Bitcoin hovers near its ATH, the strategic timing of this announcement adds to the growing confidence in cryptocurrency’s future. With a disciplined approach and robust financial backing, Critical Metals is not only reshaping its treasury management but also setting a precedent for others in the industry.