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Bitcoin Daily update , MACD & RSI - whats possibility short Term Bitcoin has reached above the next Fib circle. You can see how PA reacts to these by looking back For me, I can see PA sliding down the 618 Circle we currently sit on until we reach that dashed line that shows the lower line of support of the rising channel. We reach that around 17 May if we range sideways, slide along fib circle. It could also be said that the 1.5 "local" Fib extension is what is offering Support here and the same date is used for when PA reached that dashed line of support. Which ever option you choose, PA has support here and we should remain around this area unless the inflation figures released TODAY are not good Why will PA range and not continue to Rise ? RSI is up in overbought This can range high and we need to watch and see if the RSI bounces of its own MA ( yellow line) The Daily MACD is showing a desire to turn Bearish. for the 2nd time, it is curling over and not just pushing higher as previously. This is NOT an over all Bearish signal to me but one that shows that PA is pushing hard against resistance. See how the histogram has reduced in size The 4 hour MACD is still falling Bearish, recovering from the previous pushes. In conclusion The combination of a High RSI and Weakening MACD leads me to think that PA will Range across at best for a while, Till the 4 hour MACD reverses and climbs, Maybe with small Dips and Troughs. If BTC Looses 100K, that is a big mental blow and I think the Bulls will try and avoid this. However There is a possibility that we could drop back to the Low around 82K by the end of this month. I think this is a low possibility and I will post a report on this today but it is Good to look at all possibilities. Long Term still Very BULLISH
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC Crossroads: Will Tariff News Trigger a Counter-Trend Move?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions, Bitcoin may consolidate or experience a slight pullback as capital rotates into equities. The resulting strength in the US dollar could further contribute to a Bitcoin retracement. I'm watching for a potential counter-trend setup, specifically a short entry on a break of market structure. However, this scenario is contingent on the price action unfolding as described in the video; otherwise, the idea will be invalidated. Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
4
Bitcoin gameplan - What to expect nextWith BTCs most recent move higher and the confirmation of a higher low within the current uptrend (the one that started Jan. 23) we have sufficient indication to assume a short term continuation of the current rally. As next target I'm looking for 120k. In the very short term we might see a little corrective move (Scenario 2) or just power through the range high of the micro range to chase the set target directly. (Scenario 1) That highly depends on price reaction to the range high price level. (106k) Either way, BTC looks great at the moment and I'm pretty confident that the bull market is far from over, especially with more inflation on the horizon. Let me hear your thoughts!
Long
by HeadlessAlts
Bitcoin BTC Is Entering Into CorrectionHello, Skyrexians! I got a lot of comments to analyze BINANCE:BTCUSDT because it has almost reached ATH and people don't understand what is happening. In my opinion last pain ahead and after that likely we see great gains. Let's take a look at 4h time frame. We can finally notice the full 5 waves cycle which is likely to be finished. If you remember my recent analysis this is just the wave 1 inside higher degree wave 3. Awesome Oscillator has printed divergence, so there is a great chance that correction has been already started. The target for this correction is 0.5 Fibonacci at $90k. I don't recommend you to short this move if you are not experienced because this is trade against the trend. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
54
BTC Levels to look out for. BTC continues it bullish momentum supported by the total crypto market cap in bullish territory around $3.31T, well above the 1D 200MA. Starting the week with a continued steady uptrend from last week's push to current levels, reclaiming $102k. Continued momentum could easily lead to a break and close above ATHs. If, for whatever reason, there is weakness, there are several levels/ areas of support which must be lost. Considering that price has reclaimed the psychological level of $100k, it's possible that we won't see lower prices for the rest of the year or bull market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RayneOnChain
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - READ the text !There was some positive news: "The US and China have agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days." The price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC has entered the zone of total sales - $105-110 thousand. 🕯 Metrics show that large wallets are now opening short positions worth hundreds of millions of dollars, and on the other hand, no less large wallets that organized this rebound in the OKX:BTCUSDT price are very tempted to launch the final stage of cascading liquidations of shorts. 🍿 So, stock up on popcorn - it's going to be "fun" today/tomorrow, and then we'll go to the stronger side!) Globally, before the growth wave begins, we want to see the final "shake-up" of the longs who have survived everything and still held their positions and didn't give up. 1️⃣ Weak correction in the range of $90-91k - to close the GAP that formed on this rebound and then continue to confidently update ATH with a clear conscience. 2️⃣ A strong correction to the range of $80-82k - during which it will be very interesting to watch the capital flow and dominance. Which scenario is closer to your heart? Write in the comments! _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
4
Bullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as $31M Shorts VanishBullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as FWB:31M Shorts Vanish and "Price Discovery 2" Looms? The cryptocurrency landscape is once again electric with anticipation, and at the heart of this renewed fervor stands Bitcoin. As of May 2025, the prevailing winds appear to be firmly in the sails of the bulls. A cascade of recent market events, headlined by a dramatic $31 million liquidation of Bitcoin short positions, is sending a stark warning to pessimistic speculators. This, coupled with compelling technical analysis suggesting that Bitcoin must close the week above a crucial level to initiate 'price discovery 2', paints a picture of a market on the brink of a potentially explosive upward trajectory. This isn't merely about fleeting price surges. Underlying these market dynamics is a growing conviction that Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. While critics often call for Bitcoin to become "faster, cheaper, greener," a powerful counter-narrative champions its existing, robust design as a solution to the inherent weaknesses of traditional systems. Adding fuel to this bullish fire is the subtle but significant trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup, as wealth funds methodically build up their holdings. Furthermore, market sentiment indicators like Bitcoin funding rates remaining positive on major exchanges like Binance seem to confirm a strong, underlying uptrend. Are Bitcoin bears truly losing out, and are we witnessing the dawn of a new era for the king of cryptocurrencies? The Cost of Doubt: $31 Million in BTC Shorts Wiped Out The unforgiving nature of leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency markets was recently laid bare with the news that a staggering $31 million in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated. This event serves as a potent illustration of the risks involved in betting against Bitcoin's momentum, especially in the current climate. Short selling in the crypto sphere, much like in traditional markets, involves traders borrowing Bitcoin, selling it with the expectation that its price will fall, and then planning to buy it back at a lower price to profit from the difference. However, the crypto markets are known for their high volatility and the widespread use of leverage, particularly in perpetual futures contracts. Leverage allows traders to control a much larger position than their initial capital would normally allow, amplifying potential profits but also, crucially, potential losses. When the market moves sharply against a leveraged short position – meaning Bitcoin's price surges upwards – traders can face a margin call. If they cannot add more funds to cover their mounting losses, the exchange automatically closes their position to prevent further debt. This forced closure is a liquidation. The $31 million wipeout signifies that a substantial volume of bets on Bitcoin's price decline was overwhelmed by a potent wave of buying pressure. This mass liquidation event has several implications. Firstly, it inflicts significant financial pain on those who were positioned for a downturn, effectively Bitcoin bears losing out on their wagers. Secondly, these forced closures inherently involve buying Bitcoin to cover the short positions, which paradoxically adds more fuel to the upward price movement. This can trigger a "short squeeze," where rising prices force more shorts to cover, leading to further liquidations and an accelerated price rally. Such events bolster bullish sentiment, demonstrating underlying market strength and deterring further aggressive short selling. It’s a clear signal that the market's undercurrent was far more robust than the bears had anticipated. On the Cusp of a New Frontier: The Critical Weekly Close and "Price Discovery 2" The excitement among Bitcoin proponents is palpable, with many analysts asserting that Bitcoin bulls are on the cusp of launching the market back to all-time highs and beyond. Central to this optimistic outlook is the focus on an upcoming, crucial weekly close. According to prevailing technical analysis, Bitcoin must close the week above a specific, strategically important price level to start 'price discovery 2'. "Price discovery" is the process by which market participants determine the fair value of an asset through their buying and selling activities. When an asset like Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase where historical resistance levels cease to exist. This is true price discovery – the market is venturing into uncharted territory, with no past price ceilings to act as psychological or technical barriers. "Price Discovery 1" can be considered Bitcoin's journey to its previous peak (around $69,000 in November 2021). The term "Price Discovery 2" thus implies a new, sustained bull run that would take Bitcoin significantly beyond that former zenith. The significance of a "weekly close" above a key resistance level cannot be overstated in technical analysis. Weekly charts smooth out short-term noise and are often seen as better indicators of major trend shifts. A decisive weekly close above, say, the previous ATH or a major interim peak, would be a powerful confirmation for many traders and investors that the bulls are firmly in control. It would invalidate bearish scenarios that predicted a rejection at these upper levels and would likely attract a fresh wave of capital into the market. Several potent catalysts could fuel this ascent into "Price Discovery 2." The quadrennial Bitcoin halving event, the most recent of which occurred in April 2024, historically constricts the new supply of Bitcoin, often leading to significant price appreciation in the months and years that follow as demand outstrips this reduced supply. Continued institutional adoption, evidenced by wealth funds accumulating Bitcoin, provides a steady stream of large-scale buying pressure. Furthermore, a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by persistent inflation in major fiat currencies or geopolitical uncertainties, can enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a non-sovereign store of value and a hedge against systemic risks. Should Bitcoin achieve this critical weekly close and embark on "Price Discovery 2," the upside could be substantial, as the market seeks to establish a new equilibrium in uncharted price territory. The Unwavering Standard: Bitcoin Doesn’t Need to Change, The World Does Amidst the price charts and market analyses, a more profound narrative is solidifying: Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. For years, critics have argued that Bitcoin should be faster, cheaper, greener, often comparing its transaction throughput or energy consumption to centralized payment networks or newer, less proven blockchain protocols. However, an increasing number of proponents argue that maybe the point isn’t to fix Bitcoin. Maybe it’s to fix everything else with Bitcoin. This perspective champions Bitcoin's core attributes – often perceived as limitations by detractors – as its most vital strengths: • Unparalleled Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a globally distributed network with no single point of control. This makes it resistant to censorship, shutdown, or manipulation by any government or corporation. In an age of increasing financial surveillance and control, this is a feature, not a bug. • Robust Security and Immutability: The Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, while energy-intensive, is what underpins Bitcoin's formidable security. The immense computational power dedicated to mining creates an economic fortress around the network, making its transaction history virtually tamper-proof. While the "greener" argument often pushes for alternatives like Proof-of-Stake (PoS), many believe PoW offers a unique level of objective security crucial for a global store of value. Moreover, the narrative around Bitcoin's energy use is evolving, with increasing adoption of renewable and stranded energy sources for mining, and a growing recognition that its energy consumption is a worthwhile trade-off for securing a truly independent financial system. • Absolute Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, a hard-coded limit that cannot be altered. This programmatic scarcity makes it a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures inherent in fiat currencies, which can be created limitlessly by central banks. This "digital gold" characteristic is fundamental to its value proposition. • Layered Scaling: While the Bitcoin base layer prioritizes security and decentralization over raw transaction speed, innovation is flourishing on Layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network. These protocols enable fast, low-cost transactions by batching them off-chain and settling them periodically on the main Bitcoin blockchain, thus allowing Bitcoin to scale for everyday payments without compromising its core principles. The argument is that instead of trying to mold Bitcoin to fit the constraints of the old financial world, we should recognize how its unique properties can address the systemic flaws within that world – issues like inflation, financial exclusion, censorship, and counterparty risk. Bitcoin, in its current form, offers a radical, resilient alternative. The Silent Infiltration: Wealth Funds Build Up Bitcoin Holdings Further bolstering the bullish case is the ongoing, often understated, trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup: Wealth Funds Build Up Holdings. This isn't about flashy headlines but rather a methodical, strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by sophisticated institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, and large family offices. These entities, traditionally conservative and managing trillions of dollars in assets, are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. Their motivations are manifold: • Diversification: Bitcoin has historically exhibited low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, making it an attractive addition for enhancing portfolio risk-adjusted returns. • Inflation Hedge: In an environment of persistent global inflation, Bitcoin's finite supply positions it as a potential store of value, a digital hedge against currency debasement. • Asymmetric Upside: Even a small allocation to Bitcoin can offer significant upside potential, an appealing proposition for large funds seeking growth. • Growing Regulatory Clarity and Infrastructure: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in major jurisdictions like the U.S. has provided regulated and accessible avenues for institutional investment, alongside the development of institutional-grade custody and trading solutions. This "Quiet Coup" signifies a maturing perception of Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative niche asset to a legitimate component of institutional investment strategy. The steady inflow of significant capital from these large players not only provides price support but also lends credibility and encourages further adoption, potentially reducing long-term volatility as more Bitcoin is held by entities with long-term horizons. Reading the Bullish Tea Leaves: Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive Adding another layer of confirmation to the prevailing bullish sentiment is the observation that Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive On Binance — Strong Uptrend Confirmed? Funding rates are a key mechanism in cryptocurrency perpetual futures markets, designed to keep the price of the perpetual contract aligned with the spot price of the underlying asset. When funding rates are positive, it generally means that traders holding long positions (betting on a price increase) are paying a premium to those holding short positions. This indicates a higher demand for long leverage, reflecting overall bullish sentiment in the derivatives market. Consistently positive funding rates on a major exchange like Binance, which boasts significant trading volume, suggest that this optimism is sustained. It implies that traders are confident enough in Bitcoin's upward trajectory to pay a recurring fee to maintain their leveraged long positions. While extremely high funding rates can sometimes signal an over-leveraged market ripe for a correction (a "long squeeze"), moderately and persistently positive rates, as currently observed, are often interpreted as a healthy sign of a strong and well-supported uptrend. It suggests that the rally is not just speculative froth but is backed by conviction among active traders. Conclusion: A Perfect Storm for Bitcoin's Next Chapter? As May 2025 progresses, the confluence of factors points towards a potentially transformative period for Bitcoin. The $31 million decimation of short positions serves as a stark reminder of the perils of underestimating Bitcoin's strength. The market's eager anticipation of a weekly close that could unlock "Price Discovery 2" highlights the potent bullish technical setup. This is further reinforced by the fundamental conviction that Bitcoin's core design is its ultimate strength, offering solutions the traditional financial world desperately needs. The quiet, strategic accumulation by wealth funds injects not only capital but also a profound sense of legitimacy, while positive funding rates reflect a confident and sustained bullish sentiment among active traders. While the path ahead will undoubtedly feature volatility – a characteristic inherent to Bitcoin's journey – the current alignment of technical indicators, institutional adoption, strong market sentiment, and a compelling fundamental narrative suggests that Bitcoin bears may indeed be losing out, and significantly so. The stage appears set for Bitcoin to not only challenge its previous highs but to potentially embark on a new, exhilarating phase of growth and adoption, further solidifying its role in the evolving global financial order.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
ETH Targeting the HighsEthereum (ETHUSD) Trading Setup Direction: CALL 🟢 Entry Price: $2,484.60 (most recent price from chart as of June 27, 2025) Profit Target: $3,445.32 💰 (targeting previous highs as shown in the chart) Stop Loss: $2,004.24 (below recent consolidation low for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio) Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 Position Size: Risk 1-2% of your portfolio Entry Timing: Enter immediately at market price Confidence Level: 75% 🚀 Why This Signal? Price Action: ETHUSD broke out of consolidation ($2,484.15-$2,679.34) with strong momentum, targeting previous highs at $3,445.32. Technical Indicators: Bullish breakout above 50-day and 200-day moving averages. RSI at 78.32 (slightly overbought but supports momentum). MACD showing bullish crossover (Bull signals on chart). VIX/Bond Yields: VIX at 21.90 (low volatility, good for risk assets); 10-year Treasury yield at 4.375% (moderate, not a headwind). News Sentiment: Mixed economic news with US-China trade tensions, but crypto markets remain resilient (per Forex Factory news). Follow for the best AI generated Signals
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by AlphaSignals_ai
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – V-Shaped Recovery Points to BreakoutBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum following a textbook V-shaped recovery from the recent support zone around $73,699. After consolidating and breaking the descending channel, BTC surged with conviction, reclaiming critical levels and now approaching the previous All-Time High (ATH). Key Technical Highlights Pattern: V-Shaped Recovery Support Zone: $73,699 – $75,000 Resistance/ATH: $109,255 Trendline: Long-term bullish trend remains intact Recent Breakout: Clean breakout above the falling wedge/descending channel BTC has reversed sharply from the bottom, printing higher highs and higher lows. This aggressive rebound has brought price action back toward ATH levels, with strong chances of a breakout continuation. The structure suggests bullish control, especially after retesting key areas with strength. Bitcoin Dominance at 62.2% Bitcoin's market dominance sits at 62.2%, showing clear investor confidence and capital preference for BTC over altcoins. This dominance level reinforces the bullish bias as smart money flows into Bitcoin in anticipation of a potential price discovery breakout. This trend, along with large institutional inflows, highlights a growing belief in BTC’s strength as a leading asset, especially in the current macro environment. BTCUSD Trade Setup (As Per Chart) 🎯 Entry $104,732.85 ⛔ Stop Loss $99,507.06 ✅ Take Profit $114,359.25 The trade idea is based on the continuation of the current uptrend and breakout above $109,255, which previously acted as resistance (ATH). A clean daily close above this level would likely open the path toward $114,359 and possibly $116,000+ as the next milestone. BTC is primed for a new leg higher. The market structure favors bulls with BTC dominance rising, large investments entering, and strong technical recovery in place. If Bitcoin holds above the entry zone and pushes through ATH, we may see a new high forming in the coming weeks.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
BTC/USDT Crypto Heist - Bullish Breakout Blueprint!🔥 Thief Trading Style: BTC/USDT Bullish Heist Plan 🔥 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑 Ready to execute a daring heist in the Bitcoin vs. Tether (BTC/USDT) crypto market? 📈 Our Thief Trading Style combines technical precision and fundamental insights to target a bullish breakout. Follow this charted strategy to ride the wave and exit before the risky Red Zone. Let’s grab those profits together! 💪🎯 --- 📊 Trade Setup: The Heist Plan - Market: BTC/USDT (Crypto) 🌐 - Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟 - Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰ Entry 📈: - Breakout Entry: Wait for a clean breakout above the Moving Average (MA) at 108000. Place Buy Stop orders just above 108000 to seize the momentum. 🚀 - Pullback Entry: For lower-risk entries, set Buy Limit orders at the recent 15M/30M swing low (e.g., 105000-106000) to catch pullbacks. 📍 - Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 108000 breakout to stay ahead of the move! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑: - Breakout Traders: After the breakout confirms, place your Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 96000 to guard against reversals. ⚠️ - Pullback Traders: Tailor your Stop Loss to your risk appetite (e.g., 1-2% of account). Adjust based on lot size and multiple orders. 📏 - Risk Alert: This heist is high-stakes! Stick to disciplined position sizing to protect your capital.🔥 Target 🎯: - Aim for 122000, near the risky Red Zone (an overbought area prone to consolidation or reversal). 🏴‍☠️ - Exit Strategy: Consider taking profits early if bearish signals (e.g., high volume, reversal candles) emerge near 122000. 💸 Scalpers 👀: - Stick to Long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Join swing traders for the full heist or scalp quick moves if your capital allows. 💰 --- 📡 Why This Heist Has Potential BTC/USDT is in a neutral trend with strong bullish prospects, driven by: - Technicals: A breakout above the 108000 MA, backed by higher lows on the 1D chart, signals robust momentum. 📊 - Fundamentals: Institutional buying and positive crypto sentiment (check COT reports) fuel upside potential. 📰 - Seasonal Trends: Bitcoin often rallies in Q2, aligning with our setup. 📅 - Intermarket Factors: USD weakness and altcoin strength could lift BTC higher. 🌎 --- ⚠️ Risk Management: Secure Your Gains - News Caution: Skip new trades during major news events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to avoid volatility spikes. 🗞️ - Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to lock in profits as price nears 122000. 🔒 - Position Sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of your account per trade for a safe heist. 🚨 --- 💥 Power Up the Heist! 💥 Join our Thief Trading Style crew by liking, commenting, and following for more high-energy trade plans! 🚀 Your support strengthens our market raids, helping us profit with precision. Let’s conquer BTC/USDT together! 🤝🏆🎉 Stay Sharp: Another heist plan is on the horizon. Keep your charts locked and loaded, traders! 🐱‍👤😎 #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Bullish #SwingTrading #Breakout
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
BITCOIN Has Unfinished Business Below $74K! Will It Return?Key Disclaimer: Inefficiencies Don’t Need to Be Filled Let’s set the stage clearly: inefficiencies like the one at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 for BTCUSD do not HAVE to be filled. They’re a TENDENCY, not a rule, an intriguing opportunity to explore high-probability zones. If Bitcoin doesn’t return to this level, no harm is done; but this is a very good opportunity to analyze the term, as such... let’s break it down. What Is an Inefficiency? An inefficiency, or sometimes a fair value gap (FVG), is a price range with "minimal" trading activity, often caused by a rapid move—here, a rally—creating a liquidity imbalance. On the weekly BTCUSD chart, this area between wicks spans $73,624.98 to $74,420.69, likely formed during a sharp rally around April 2025. This untested range makes it a potential target for future price action, as markets often seek to resolve such imbalances. Notably, the price has already approached this zone, and there’s a chance it may never return. However, around $74,400, there are still some “unfinished things to do”, untested liquidity, or orders, which could draw the price back if conditions align. Why Do Inefficiencies Attract Price? Inefficiencies often act as magnets for price due to: Liquidity Seeking: Markets revisit areas with unfilled liquidity (stop-loss or pending orders) to balance supply and demand. Market Memory: Traders and algorithms, target these levels, reinforcing their significance. Mean Reversion: After rapid rallies, the price may retrace to test imbalances before continuing. (atm we are probably too far from it but still keep this area in your minds) Institutional Activity: Large players might re-enter at these levels, making them key zones for reversals or consolidation. Historically, assets tends to revisit such areas, as the chart notes. BTCUSD Context: $103,000 with Bullish Momentum As of May 10, 2025, BTCUSD is at ~$103,200 on the weekly chart, on the way to confirm a weekly breakout above $100,000, supported by higher highs, an ascending channel, and macro factors ( for example ETF inflows), signaling quite a strong momentum. The inefficiency at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 is 28–29% below the current price, a deep pullback that might require a catalyst like a macro correction, negative crypto news, or profit-taking. Given the price has already approached this zone, it may not return, but the “unfinished business” around $74,400 keeps it on the radar. Still, strong trends can bypass inefficiencies, and factors like time decay or adoption may drive prices higher. Trading Approach, Short-, Mid-Term Investors Take Your Profits! This formation of inefficiency is not a prediction to short, it’s an opportunity to monitor. Still, if you’re a short- to mid-term investor, it might be a smart move to take some profits here and observe what unfolds next. Right now, we’re potentially seeing a double top forming around major psychological levels. And to be honest, the inefficiency below (shown on the chart) still lingers in the back of my mind. People often ask me: “When is a good time to take profits?” My answer? Now. It is a perfect example and it fits to all assets. And here's why. There are clear scenarios that help remove the guesswork: 1. You sell now, and the price continues to rally higher. That’s not a problem. By selling, you’ve reduced your risk, and securing your profits - always a smart move. If the price breaks above $100K, you can always buy it back after a confirmed breakout and retest. That’s a strong sign that investors are willing to pay higher prices for BTC, and historically, after such breakouts (like with the $50K level in August 2024), the market tends to come back to retest that breakout zone. Of course, if you’re a long-term investor with a 3-5+ year horizon, you may choose to ride it out. In that case, trying to time this might just be over-managing your position. There’s always a chance BTC won’t retest $100K again. 2. The best-case scenario if you take profits now: You get the chance to buy back lower. If the market pulls back, keep that inefficiency level in mind—there’s also a mid-term trendline, previous yearly highs, and other technical elements that haven’t been tested yet. Traders’ psychology hasn’t really been pushed to the limits at this stage, and in my view, the crypto market loves to test limits. So if you’re a short- or mid-term investor who bought in at lower levels, this is a good time to seriously consider locking in some profits. Step back, and let the price action guide the next move. Listen—just listen. Conclusion Inefficiencies like the one between $73,624 and $74,420 don’t demand to be filled—but they’re worth understanding, tracking, and learning from. Whether price revisits that zone or not, the real value lies in recognizing where the market has moved too fast and what that might mean if momentum shifts. Right now, BTCUSD is strong. But strength can fade, sentiment can shift, and “unfinished business” below still holds weight for traders who think in probabilities, not certainties. If you’re in profit—especially from lower levels—this might be one of those moments to pause, and make sure greed isn’t driving your next decision. Whether this zone becomes just a memory or a brilliant case study, it’s already a valuable example of how understanding market structure helps you stay a step ahead—not a step behind. Stay alert. Stay humble. And as said… listen. Cheers, Vaido
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VaidoVeek
43
Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing interesting price action on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of consolidation, the price appears to be testing a key resistance level around $103,700. We can observe a series of higher lows forming, suggesting increasing bullish pressure. A decisive break above this resistance, confirmed by strong volume, could signal the start of an upward move towards the $104,300-$104,500 area, as indicated by the blue arrow. Traders might look for entry opportunities on a confirmed breakout above the resistance, with potential stop-loss levels placed below the recent swing lows (e.g., around $103,150) to manage risk. This analysis focuses on short-term price action and potential breakout scenarios. Remember to conduct your own thorough research and consider broader market conditions before making any trading decisions. Key Observations: * Resistance Level: $103,700 area acting as a significant hurdle. * Higher Lows: Suggesting increasing buying interest. * Potential Target: $104,300 - $104,500 zone if the breakout is successful. * Risk Management: Important to define stop-loss levels. This description avoids overly aggressive or promotional language and focuses on technical analysis observations, which is generally well-received on platforms like TradingView.
Long
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Will Bitcoin Break This Resistance – Or Is It a Bull Trap?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level, and the crypto world is split. Some believe we’re gearing up for a new all-time high (ATH), while others argue the top is already in—and this could be a classic bull trap in disguise. The key lies in how price reacts to this zone. • A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up. • But a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles. My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move. What’s your take—breakout or bull trap? Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳 Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
by PetrockTheAnalyst
2
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) - Testing Key Resistance Levels - Weekly ChartBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently testing key resistance levels and potential all-time highs in 2025. BTC price bounced up from the April 7th 2025 support ($78000) and continues to rally. Price needs to hold above $95000 and $85000 support levels to maintain an uptrend in 2025. Resistance targets to the upside are: $105000, $110000, $117000, $128000, $142000. Support targets to the downside are: $100000, $90000, $83000, $75000, $70000. Tariffs and trade deal news, stock market corporate earnings, government law changes and announcements, and consumer sentiment can all affect the price of Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by NoFomoCharts
Bitcoin -Weekly Forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 86499.57 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 86499.57 is broken. MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 74545.70 on 04/09/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 105431.17, 109932.90, 115000.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 86499.57 ✅ 91037.20 ✅ 94505.46 ✅ 98675.19 ✅ 101430.12 ✅ 105431.17 109932.90 115000.00 120000.00 125000.00 132000.00 140000.00 150000.00 160000.00 167666.00 ________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForecastCity
11
Bitcoin Smashes $103K: Is $150K Just Around the Corner?Bitcoin's Resurgence: Navigating the $100K Breakthrough and What Comes Next In a remarkable display of market resilience, Bitcoin has reclaimed the coveted $100,000 level, just three months after dropping below this significant psychological threshold. The flagship cryptocurrency's powerful comeback has sent shockwaves through financial markets, triggering a massive short squeeze and reigniting debates about Bitcoin's long-term potential. As the asset pushes beyond $103,000 and approaches its previous all-time high, traders and investors are scrambling to position themselves for what many believe could be the next phase of an extraordinary bull cycle. The Historic Reclamation of $100K Bitcoin's journey back to $100,000 represents more than just a numerical milestone—it's a testament to the asset's remarkable resilience in the face of significant headwinds. After briefly touching six-figure territory in early 2025, Bitcoin experienced a substantial correction that saw prices retreat below $90,000, triggering concern among market participants and no shortage of bearish predictions from skeptics. What makes this recovery particularly impressive is the speed with which it occurred. Historically, Bitcoin has often experienced extended consolidation periods after major corrections, sometimes lasting months or even years. The rapid three-month turnaround suggests underlying strength in Bitcoin's market structure that distinguishes this cycle from previous ones. On-chain data reveals fascinating dynamics behind the recovery. Throughout the correction, long-term holders continued accumulating Bitcoin, with wallet addresses holding more than 1 BTC increasing by 5.2% even as prices declined. This pattern of "smart money" accumulation during periods of retail fear often precedes significant upward price movements. The reclamation of $100,000 also coincided with several favorable macro developments, including renewed expectations for central bank easing and diminishing concerns about regulatory crackdowns. These factors, combined with Bitcoin's post-halving supply dynamics, created ideal conditions for a powerful recovery. The Massive Short Squeeze A key accelerant in Bitcoin's surge beyond $100,000 was an extraordinary short squeeze that forced bearish traders to cover their positions at increasingly higher prices. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives platforms reveals that over $850 million in short positions were liquidated during a 72-hour period as Bitcoin broke above key resistance levels. The mechanics of a short squeeze are particularly powerful in cryptocurrency markets due to the prevalence of leverage. Many platforms offer leverage ratios of 10x, 20x, or even higher, meaning relatively small price movements can trigger automatic liquidations. As these liquidations occur, trading algorithms automatically purchase Bitcoin to close the short positions, creating additional upward pressure on prices and potentially triggering more liquidations in a self-reinforcing cycle. What made this particular short squeeze especially impactful was its timing relative to market sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index had been hovering in "Neutral" to "Fear" territory for weeks, indicating widespread caution among market participants. This cautious positioning resulted in a market structure where relatively few traders were positioned for upside, creating the perfect conditions for a powerful squeeze when momentum shifted. Is $150,000 Now Conservative? In light of Bitcoin's powerful resurgence, price predictions that once seemed ambitious are being reevaluated. Earlier this year, several major financial institutions and research firms issued year-end targets of $150,000 for Bitcoin—forecasts that were met with skepticism by many market observers. Now, with Bitcoin already above $103,000 and demonstrating strong momentum, these once-ambitious targets appear increasingly conservative. Technical analysts point to several factors supporting the case for higher prices. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite the recent surge, remains below extreme overbought levels that typically signal exhaustion. Additionally, volume profiles show relatively little resistance above the previous all-time high, suggesting potential for rapid advancement if that level is breached. The most bullish analysts have begun floating targets of $170,000 to $200,000 for this cycle, basing their projections on Fibonacci extensions, comparative analysis with previous bull markets, and on-chain metrics indicating strong holder conviction. These projections represent a dramatic shift in market sentiment compared to just a few months ago when many were questioning whether Bitcoin would reclaim $100,000 within the year. Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin? As Bitcoin pushes beyond $103,000, the perennial question resurfaces: is it too late to buy Bitcoin? This query, which has appeared at virtually every significant price level in Bitcoin's history, reflects the challenge of evaluating assets in price discovery mode without extensive historical reference points. Historical perspective offers valuable context for addressing this question. Investors who asked whether it was "too late" to buy Bitcoin at $10,000, $20,000, or $50,000 and chose to remain on the sidelines missed substantial returns. However, those who purchased at local tops often endured extended drawdowns before seeing their investments return to profitability. On-chain data provides additional perspective for evaluating current price levels. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, which compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, currently sits around 2.8—elevated compared to bear market conditions but significantly below the extreme readings above 4.0 that characterized previous market tops. Similarly, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit currently stands at approximately 93%, approaching but not yet reaching the 98-99% levels typically seen at cycle peaks. These metrics suggest that while Bitcoin isn't in "bargain" territory, present valuations haven't reached the extreme overvaluation levels that preceded major corrections in previous cycles. Bull Run Warning: Navigating the Path Forward While enthusiasm surrounds Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000, experienced market participants recognize the importance of maintaining perspective during periods of strong momentum. Several potential warning signs merit attention as traders navigate the current environment. The rapid nature of Bitcoin's ascent to $103,000 has created technically overbought conditions on shorter timeframes, suggesting the potential for near-term consolidation or pullbacks. The daily RSI has reached levels above 80, a zone that has historically preceded at least temporary pauses in uptrends, even during the strongest bull markets. Additionally, funding rates on perpetual futures contracts have reached extremely positive levels, indicating traders are paying significant premiums to maintain long positions. This condition often occurs near local tops as market participants become overly enthusiastic about near-term prospects. Risk management becomes particularly important during such periods of strong momentum. Many professional traders reduce position sizes when volatility increases, recognizing that while potential returns expand during such phases, so do potential drawdowns. Next Price Targets: From $106K to $1M As Bitcoin pushes into record territory, analysts have begun identifying potential targets for the next phase of the bull cycle. The immediate focus remains on the previous all-time high around $106,000, which represents both a psychological and technical resistance level. Beyond this point, limited historical price action creates a potential vacuum that could allow for rapid advancement if bullish momentum continues. Technical analysts have identified several key levels through Fibonacci projections and extension analysis. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous major correction projects a target around $122,000, while the 2.618 extension suggests potential toward $170,000. These levels represent natural points where the market might experience resistance or consolidation during continued uptrends. More ambitious predictions extend considerably higher. The stock-to-flow model, which relates Bitcoin's scarcity to its market value, suggests potential long-term valuations approaching $1 million per Bitcoin. While such forecasts remain highly speculative, they illustrate the wide range of potential outcomes for this emerging asset class. Support levels are equally important to monitor, particularly for traders managing risk in leveraged positions. The psychological $100,000 level now represents initial support, followed by the $94,000-$96,000 zone where significant buying emerged during the recent advance. The 50-day moving average, currently around $92,000 and rising, provides an additional technical reference point for potential support during pullbacks. Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Dynamics Market sentiment indicators provide valuable context for understanding Bitcoin's current positioning. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has shifted into the "Greed" zone after spending much of the previous month in "Neutral" territory, reflecting improved market sentiment following Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000. This transition marks an important psychological shift but also signals increasing risk of overexuberance. Historically, when the index reaches extreme readings in either direction, it has often served as a contrarian indicator. Extreme greed readings have typically occurred near local tops, while extreme fear has often presented buying opportunities. Social media activity metrics reveal a significant increase in Bitcoin-related discussions, with sentiment analysis showing predominantly positive expressions. Google Trends data indicates search interest for "Bitcoin" has reached its highest level since January, suggesting renewed attention from retail participants who typically enter during periods of strong price performance. Institutional sentiment provides a contrasting perspective to retail excitement. Surveys of professional investors indicate a more measured outlook, with many maintaining Bitcoin allocations but expressing concern about near-term volatility and the potential for consolidation after the recent surge. This divergence between institutional caution and retail enthusiasm creates an interesting dynamic that may influence price action in the weeks ahead. Trading Strategies for the Current Environment For traders navigating Bitcoin's volatile price action, adapting strategies to current market conditions is essential. Different approaches suit varying risk tolerances and time horizons, particularly during periods of expanded volatility and strong directional momentum. Trend-following strategies have performed exceptionally well during Bitcoin's recent advance, with systematic approaches based on moving average crossovers or momentum indicators capturing much of the upside movement. These strategies typically involve entering positions when short-term momentum aligns with longer-term trends and using trailing stops to protect profits. Countertrend strategies face greater challenges in the current environment but can still prove effective when applied with appropriate risk parameters. These approaches involve identifying potential exhaustion points where trends might temporarily reverse, typically using oscillators like RSI or Stochastic indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions. For longer-term investors, dollar-cost averaging continues to demonstrate effectiveness in navigating volatile markets without requiring precise timing decisions. This approach involves regularly purchasing Bitcoin in fixed dollar amounts regardless of price, mathematically ensuring better average entry prices during periods of volatility. Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's New Era Bitcoin's resurgence beyond $100,000 represents a significant milestone in cryptocurrency market development, potentially signaling the beginning of the next phase in this remarkable asset's evolution. The speed and magnitude of the recovery from below $90,000 to above $103,000 demonstrates both the volatility inherent in this emerging asset class and the powerful market forces that can drive prices when technical breakouts coincide with favorable fundamental catalysts. For traders and investors, the path forward requires balancing enthusiasm about Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience with pragmatic risk management appropriate for an asset capable of significant price swings in both directions. While the backdrop appears favorable for continued strength, history suggests the journey will include both exhilarating advances and challenging retracements. As market participants position themselves for what may come next, maintaining perspective on both historical precedents and the unique aspects of the current market cycle provides the most sustainable approach to navigating this dynamic landscape. Bitcoin's breakthrough beyond $100,000 creates both opportunity and risk—the traders who successfully balance these competing forces while maintaining disciplined execution will likely find the greatest success in capturing the potential of this extraordinary market. The question is no longer whether Bitcoin can reach $100,000, but rather how far beyond this once-unimaginable milestone the current cycle might extend. For an asset that began trading at fractions of a penny, the reclamation of six-figure territory serves as a powerful reminder of cryptocurrency's capacity to challenge conventional financial assumptions and create paradigm-shifting returns for those willing to embrace both its potential and its risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin, MACD and what we may get over the weekend - STILL BULLS Just a quick post to explain how Ia m looking at this weekend with Bitcoin and I will use the MACD as amajor player here. The BTC chart above is Daily, we can see the "Cuo " pattern, we can see the Long term rising Libne of support, we can see the red 236 Fib circle we shot through and the up coming 618 fib circle, that may or may not be trouble. And that 2.618 Fib extension I can easily see us returning to to test as support. WHY ? The MACD on numerous timeframes... What is MACD ? MACD, short for Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical indicator used in the analysis of securities prices. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and is widely used to identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price OK, So, Lets start witht he 4 hour MACD - I zoomed out on this a little so we can get a long term look at this and you can clearly see, we are already gettign near the High side, overbought levels where, historically, MACD turns Bearish, crosses over the Signal line ( red) and heads back down to cool off befoe heading higher again. We are not yet as high as we were in Late April but it is not far off. Safe to assume this will turn down. So now, lets see the Daily MACD This is the daily MACD from around Nov last year and, again, we are heading into an area where it is prudent to be Bullish and Cautious. Remember, the moves in the 4 hour are a lot quicker than the daily. Go back and Look at the 4 hour, see where MAY began and what the MACD did in that time See what that was on the Daily ? It was that little Blip on the rise up , that we are now continuing. So, we have more room to go on the Daily. and now the Master MACD, The WEEKLY ,the one that told us we were going to range in 2024, 2025 and will once again tell us when PA has reached Exhaustion later in this run In this chart, you can see the 2 ATH's in 2021, you can see the Bear market and the recovery and everything ever since. And you can also see that we have Still to cross the Signal line here to really enter a bullish state. We have SO FAR to go here.....BUT with the high price now now have with BTC, it take more to push it higher. See how high MACD had to go to push PA up this last time ? The same height as it had to go in the 2024 push and yet we went twice as high on PA. So, th be realistic here.....We are entering a bullish push but a $1 million BTC is NOT going to happen just yet. SO, back to this weekend, the shorter term. the 4 hour is high, already starting to turn as I write. I can see BTC PA ranging or, maybe, as I said, testing the 2.518 as support at around 98K. What people also need to watch os that BTC.D I talled about yesterday to guage if ALTS will Dip back lower or not. Some alerady seem to be Dipping SO, Bullish Caution for the weekend....Hang in there.....We only just begun
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal