BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉
COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone.
🔍 Key Setup:
There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it.
This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario.
Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support.
✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short.
Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly!
💡 Follow for real-time updates and don’t miss the next precision trade! 🚀
Bitcoinprice
Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈
🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud
From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal .
📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025
Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context:
2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50
Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥
2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50
Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch
2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25
Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️
2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50
Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path
🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game
#1 producer AND importer
Keeps all domestic production
Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons
Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm)
Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon?
China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution.
💱 CPI From Fire to Frost
2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥
2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target
Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty.
🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart
Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600
Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000
China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+
Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone
These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives.
🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself?
In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge.
Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin .
China stockpiles gold
U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin
Trade wars have become currency wars
This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift .
🔮 Final Thoughts
We stand at the crossroads of history .
Gold has already chosen its path.
Bitcoin is waiting in the wings.
And fiat? Under pressure.
Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin RSI Cooldown Before $88K? Key Support Levels to WatchBitcoin is showing strength towards the $88,000 mark, but the RSI on the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes is significantly overbought, signaling the need for a healthy retracement.
I’m expecting CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback to the RSI 50 midline, which could align with a price retrace to around $85,000–$83,000. If BTC loses the $85K level, FWB:83K comes next. A deeper retest could bring it back to $80K, which may serve as a high-conviction long zone.
Trading Plan:
Short scalp while RSI is overheated.
Long entries: $85,600 zone if structure holds.
Keep your eyes on volume and RSI reaction near key levels.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Analysis - W3 April | Master The MarketBitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency market, and its price action provides valuable insights for traders. Here's a detailed breakdown of Bitcoin's performance in Week 3 of April:
Monthly Chart: Long-Term Uptrend
The monthly chart shows that Bitcoin remains in a long-term uptrend. However, last month saw some consolidation, with prices pulling back slightly. This indicates a healthy correction after a prolonged upward movement. Traders should focus on key support and resistance levels to identify potential breakout or reversal zones.
Weekly & Daily Charts: Consolidation Below the Cloud
On the weekly chart, Bitcoin’s price is currently trading below the Kumo cloud but above critical support levels. The daily chart highlights a defined trading range between $74,000 and $93,000 . A breakout above the cloud could signal renewed bullish momentum, while a retest of the $74,000 support level may indicate further consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: $74,000
Resistance: 93,000Tradersshouldmonitortheselevelsclosely.Asustainedmoveabove93,000 could open the door for higher targets, while a break below $74,000 might lead to deeper corrections.
Trading Strategy
Buy Opportunity: Wait for a pullback to the cloud support or a retest of $74,000 before entering long positions.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders below key support levels to protect against downside risks.
Bitcoin remains highly volatile, so patience and discipline are crucial. Keep an eye on macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions and geopolitical events, as they can significantly impact BTC/USD price movements.
Bitcoin Is Entering Into The New ImpulseHello, Skyrexians!
We hope you remember our previous BINANCE:BTCUSDT analysis where we told you that Bitcoin will not go significantly lower than $77k. Now price is already at $85k and people now can't understand what is happening. We can see a lot of charts where traders are calling for bear market and further deep dive.
On the daily time frame we can see the clear picture. At $110k the previous impulse has been finished. Bearish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator and two red dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator were the sign of large correction ABC. Now it has been finished with the confirmation with opposite signals. Moreover, wave C has been finished inside the Fibonacci target area. We are 90% sure now that Bitcoin is going to ATH now and this time it can happen with the altcoins growth.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern for BTC??!!!??!Bitcoin appears to be trading in an inverted h&s pattern.
Which coincides with a bullish breach of a Bullish Expanding Triangle highlighted in red to the upside!!
A double bottom is where the head of the inverted triangle can be formed, the space between the two bottoms forms the apex of the head of triangle.
First upside target of $90k USD
Second upside target is $260k USD
Bitcoin are you Worried ?Everything is in chart.
- Like i said many times, more you look from far, more it's easy to predict the future.
- This Monthly Chart combinated with indicators show you how BTC moved in 2016-2017 BullRun so keep eyes open and you will find the way for 2020-2021.
- We cannot compare a Bullrun from 400$ to 20,000$ with a Bullrun From 4000$ to 3XX,XXX+$, the chart will be exponential. We are now playing with big numbers.
- imo right now we are in fake bear market stage, this stage happened also in 2016-2017 pre-bullrun ( but Numbers were smallers...), whales are just trying to create fear and remove retails investors.
- Actual stage could be a Consolidation Phase, if Whales see there's a lack of interest, they will push BTC up, or we could get a quick fast Trap to 20,000$ if Whales feel Retails not fear enough (Not sell their BTC).
- 100 000$ Target is still very preservative, past this stage it will be the FOMO Stage to go Higher!
TheKing is dead??? Long live TheKing!! :D
Happy Tr4Ding !
SOLUSDT - Trade LogSOLUSDT – Long Setup in Daily FVG
Entry: Buy at 124 USDT (floor of the daily Fair Value Gap)
Stop Loss: 105 USDT (just below the daily FVG low)
Take Profit: 200 USDT (new all‑time highs)
Rationale:
• Price is retracing into the daily FVG, offering a high‑probability support zone
• Daily RSI double divergence & trendline support reinforce the FVG floor
• Spot accumulation targeting euphoria phase—leveraging the FVG for entry
Risk Management: Risk ~5% of account. If SOL closes below 105 USDT (invalidating the FVG), exit and reassess. Keep an eye on BTC direction as the primary driver.
Where is Bitcoin Now ? Daily and 4 hour chart - BULLISH
On this chart, the Bold While rising lines are the upper and Lower Trendlines of the Ascending channel
The Blue Dashed line is tha current ATH line
PA finally reached the Lower trend line having spent Months in a controlled descent from the ATH in January. PA attempted to rise over the Local line of resistance ( dashed white line) on a number of occasions but was defeated.
This is probably duwe to the Bulls as that Fib circle we were heading towards was possibly Strong and they wanted to wait until we had the support of the Lower rising Trend line.
And, as you can see, we still got defeated when that Fib circle Met the rising line of support and PA Fell below..But thankfully, we had that 2.272 Fib extension to bounce off.
The battle we now have, is trying to reclaim that rising line as Support. ( Arrow)
And for Days now, we have attempted , Failed, reattempted.
The BEARS are determined.
However, Bitcoin Bulls have the advantage here.
The 4 hour shows more detail
This weekend offers the best chance of reclaiming this line as support.
PA has the strength of a Neutral MACD on the weekly, a Strong RSI and turning Sentment
LETS GO
BTCUSD Weekend Possible Move 18-20 April 2025🔍 Key Levels
Immediate Support: $84,350 (lower trendline support)
Immediate Resistance: $85,250
Major Resistance Target: $86,000 – $86,250
Major Support Target: $83,000 and $81,400 below
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Green Path)
If BTC respects the lower trendline zone between $84,350–$84,550 and successfully retests it:
✅ Enter LONG on confirmation of bounce
🎯 Target 1: $85,250
🎯 Target 2: $86,000 – $86,250
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $84,200
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Red Path)
If BTC breaks below the trendline at ~$84,350 and retests from below:
✅ Enter SHORT on successful rejection
🎯 Target 1: $83,000
🎯 Target 2: $81,400
🛡️ Stop-loss: Above $84,700
✅ Signal
🔔 Watch for a confirmed bounce or break at $84,350–$84,550.
Buy above $84,550 after retest confirmation → Target: $86,000
Sell below $84,350 after breakdown + retest → Target: $81,400
Follow, comment, boost and share to show your support.
BITCOIN WEEKLY ANALYSIS - April 18th, 2025BTC/USD is currently hovering just below a major descending trendline and key horizontal resistance near the 91,500 level. 🧱
🔍 What We’re Watching:
- Price has tested the downtrend line multiple times — the structure is weakening.
- A breakout above 87,500 could trigger a strong bullish move.
- Until then, "Wait for the Breakout" remains the strategy. No confirmed long entries yet.
📉 Current Price: $84,500
📈 Breakout Confirmation: Clean close above resistance zone + volume spike = 🔥🔥 potential rally.
🧠 Pro Tip: False breakouts are common. Watch for confirmation — not just a wick!
Stay sharp, stay patient. Breakouts give the best reward-risk trades! 💹
BTCUSDT - Trade Log BTCUSDT – Weekly Bullish Outlook
Weekly Context: Price has held the weekly Fair Value Gap and bounced off the 50 EMA, with clean wick rejections signaling strong buyer demand. The recent pullback (~32% from ATH) remains within historical correction bounds, and the tiny current retrace (<1%) suggests low downside risk. A triple bottom on the weekly RSI cycle around 40 further supports a bullish reversal.
Trade Plan (Long):
– Entry: Add longs near the weekly FVG / 50 EMA (around 75–87k).
– Stop: Place just below the FVG low (≈70k), risking ~5% of account.
– Target: First at 100k (psychological level), then previous ATH region for a 1:3+ RRR.
Bullish Catalysts:
• Weekly 50 EMA has only closed below twice—support intact.
• Weekly FVG wick signals have historically delivered high-probability bounces.
• Triple bottom on weekly RSI signals major capitulation is complete.
• Macro backdrop (equities & gold) remains positive for BTC.
Stay alert for any decisive weekly close below the EMA—until then, the bulls remain in control. 🚀
$BTC forming a range, getting tight w lower than average volumeCRYPTOCAP:BTC forming a range and getting tight with lower than average volume, under a rising 150/200 MA (could be resistance). Shorter term MAs looking to cross 10/20. Will keep my eyes on NASDAQ:IBIT and CBOE:BITX if this range breaks in either direction
Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows.
While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move...
Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode?
Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year.
If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming.
Confused? Just check out this chart.
It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out.
Which scenario is more likely?
In short: the green one . Here’s why:
The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment.
The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years.
The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action.
We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher.
For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket).
On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point.Market Alert: Bitcoin's Crucial Moment
The battle lines are drawn! BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point, slamming into the trendline resistance zone that's proven to be a formidable foe for bulls. Will the bears finally break through, or will the bulls rally for another attempt at higher grounds?
Our analysis reveals a high probability of rejection at this critical level, setting the stage for a potential downturn. If our expectations play out, we could see BTCUSDT plummeting towards the $81K and $80K support zones. These levels will be make-or-break for the short-term trend, and traders would do well to keep a close eye on them.
Stay alert, stay informed, and let's ride the waves of volatility together! The market is full of opportunities, and with the right insights, you can navigate even the most turbulent of times.
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.