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Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts. The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing: Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days: ___________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
13
Bitcoin rally at risk?The Bitcoin rally has been facing trouble of late as it’s been struggling to move above $66k. However, the last 24 hours showed better signs. As per CoinMarketCap, the coin’s price increased by more than 1.5%. At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $63,896.05. The latest price hike has pushed 48.9 million BTC addresses in profit, which accounted for 91% of the total number of BTC addresses. But BTC’s troubles are not over yet, as there were chances of the Bitcoin rally ending. Ali, a popular crypto analyst, posted a tweet revealing an interesting development. As per the tweet, BTC’s price was moving inside a channel. The bad news was that the coin had already faced rejection three times when it approached the resistance of the pattern. Therefore, it indicated that this recently gained bullish momentum might not last. So, AMBCrypto planned to dig deeper. As per Glassnode’s data, a metric suggested a halt to the Bitcoin rally. We found that the king coin’s NVT ratio increased. Whenever the metric rises, it indicates that an asset is overvalued, hinting at a price correction. The coin's long/short ratio also dropped. This meant that there were more short positions in the market than long positions. A rise in the number of short positions can be interpreted as a bearish signal. However, not everything was in the bears’ favor. For example, BTC’s exchange reserve was dropping, according to CryptoQuant. A decline in this metric means that buying pressure was rising, which often results in price hikes. On the chart, the technical indicators looked pretty bearish. BTC’s MACD displayed a bearish advantage in the market. Additionally, the coin’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) also registered a downtick, hinting at a price drop. If that happens, then the Bitcoin rally might end and the coin could drop to $60k again. Nonetheless, in case of a continued price rise, BTC might test its resistance at $65.4k again.
Short
by paul_endeo
Bitcoin Bear Trap: A Historical Pattern Suggests a Rally Ahead!BTCUSDT technical analysis update. The Puell Multiple is a metric that compares the daily issuance of Bitcoin (in USD) to the 365-day moving average of that same issuance. When the Puell Multiple is low, it often indicates that Bitcoin is undervalued, signaling a potential accumulation phase or a bear trap. Conversely, a high Puell Multiple suggests overvaluation, often preceding market corrections. Currently, the Puell Multiple shows that Bitcoin is trading at levels consistent with previous bear traps in its market history. This pattern has appeared in the last three cycles of Bitcoin, where price action initially suggested bearish momentum before reversing sharply into a bullish trend. In the previous cycles, the Puell Multiple signaled bear traps, allowing traders to identify key accumulation points. Following these signals, Bitcoin experienced significant bullish rallies, highlighting the indicator's reliability. With the current Puell Multiple levels indicating a bear trap, we could be on the brink of a bullish rally in the coming days. Regards Hexa
Long
by HexaTrades
I'm light years away from everyone this was said September 30th On September 30th I posted that the last panic sale for bitcoin was a healthy pull-back and that it's just a panic sale People trolled me for that because they aren't traders they are gamblers And I've posted multiple time after that(check my profile) borderline begging people to buy Bitcoin for easy profit at least 5% now we are at more than 7% in 3 days Now is your chance buy as much as you can and follow to get the perfect exit point
Long
by thebitcoin_trader
2
Bitcoin is entering dangerous territoryBitcoin just hit 80 on the 1W (Weekly) cycle and is gearing up for one final push before a 1-1.5 month bearish phase. If reading that sentence made your face go pale, and you're pretending to follow along but don’t fully understand the market right now – this edition is for you. Making money in crypto isn’t rocket science if you follow cycles. Buy near cycle lows, sell near cycle highs (the hard part). The challenge is identifying those lows and highs. If this plays out in the current cycle, Bitcoin’s price movement would look something like this: The truth is, predicting the height of the next cycle is never simple. We’re currently on Day 36 of the 60-day cycle, and we’re still below the mid-cycle high. Typically, this signals a bearish cycle, so we shouldn’t expect new highs until the next cycle low in early November (which means don’t rush to buy now!). Alternatively, there’s a higher probability we’re in a left-translated daily cycle and on the verge of a downside reversal. A left-translated cycle would look like this: I know, I know, you don’t like hearing that there are two potential scenarios without a clear short-term trend. But that’s exactly when you need to stay out of the market. That’s exactly when you protect your capital and avoid jumping into trades just because you "feel" like it. Now, take a look at what my 1D, 3D, and 1W Cycle indicators are showing: My cycle indicators are telling the same story – patience! The 1D Indicator just reversed and looks like it’s targeting the 80s, suggesting a short-term uptrend. Meanwhile, the 3D Indicator just dipped below 20, which is intriguing. The 1W Cycle Indicator is pushing above 80, signaling danger ahead – Bitcoin is nearing its 1W cycle top, but we could still see one final push upwards. I’ve even added a Wavetrend Oscillator, which complements my Cycle theory well. It’s currently at 0 – a neutral zone. When will I be ready to re-enter the market? I’ll wait until the 1D Indicator drops back to the 20s. By then, the 3D Indicator should be heading up, offering a great opportunity to catch the next pump. For now, stay safe, protect your capital in cold storage (or a Web3 wallet), and avoid overtrading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
BTCUSD Shortas Israel and Iran War is on heads so due to undone Retaliatory decision of I-S-R-A-E-L BTC is stuck in a range but technically i am seeing a drop in the price of BTCUSD as BTC can fall to its daily Support level On Weekly to Daily its in Bullish but in H4 to H1 it seems to be Bearish so i am bearish on current moment if Geopolitical tension overcomes to increases we can any unexpected move on the pair but still we are Bearish over the pair to its Daily support level
Short
by Wakeel_Saab
Gold and BTC correlationWe can compare many charts trying to find what we want to see! That's why I don't like patterns and correlations between assets! As we can see in the example of SPX and Bitcoin, sometimes they correlate and sometimes they go in completely different directions! We can't compare the world in 2008 and the world in 2024, there were so many geopolitical, political, natural, medical events and many other things that change the world every year! That's why I'm for analyzing the current situation in the world! I'm more than sure that in 2034 people will try to find some patterns comparing 2034 with 2024 and they will find what they are looking for! Whoever wants to see bearish patterns will find a hundred confirmations for the coming fall, whoever is waiting for growth will find a hundred confirmations for growth! And they will all look logical! For comparison Gold and Bitcoin monthly charts! 2 times in the entire history of Bitcoin, when gold set its historical maximum and began to correct in 2011, Bitcoin needed 19 months to form a new historical maximum, rising from 4.30 to 1177 The second time this happened in August 2020, gold set a new maximum and went into correction, Bitcoin needed 8 months from August 2020 to set a new historical maximum from 10600 to 64800! Therefore, if you need to find positive in the market, you will find it, if you sit outside the market and wait for a correction and the price is cheaper, you will find negative! But it is better to just be in the moment Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BNC:BLX
by Crypto4light
1
Bitcoin(BTC) Near Key Resistance- Breakout or Pullback Ahead ??Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance level at $65,420. 🚀 If BTC breaks through, we could see a push toward the next major target at $70,037. However, if it gets rejected, we might head back down to the support zones near $60,258 or even lower toward $57,315. 📉 Both bulls and bears should stay on high alert—this is a pivotal moment for BTC! Whether you’re looking for a breakout or preparing for a pullback, this chart is loaded with opportunities. Get ready to make your move! 💥 Trade what you see MB Trader
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
BtcUsdt H4 technical analysisEntry Criteria: Price Action: Buy if price breaks above $63,100 and confirms the break of the trendline (confirm with strong bullish momentum or high volume). Sell if price rejects $63,100 level and fails to break the trendline (sign of bearish reversal or resistance). Target Levels: Buy Target: First Target: $65,430 Sell Target: First Target: $60,105 This setup involves using key levels and trendline confirmation for entry, ensuring you have well-defined risk management with stop-loss levels to protect your position. Adjust your targets and stop-loss levels based on your risk tolerance and market volatility.
by Yforex123
New HBO Documentary Hints at Identity of Bitcoin InventorMarket Update - October 11th 2024 Takeaways HBO documentary seeks to unveil Satoshi Nakamoto’s identity : HBO released a documentary, “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” on Tuesday that suggests an early Bitcoin developer named Peter Todd invented the cryptocurrency. Crypto.com has filed a lawsuit against the SEC after receiving a Wells notice, claiming the agency has overextended its authority : The lawsuit challenges the SEC's stance that most cryptocurrencies are securities and the agency's regulatory practices. Bitcoin's price pulled back this week : The US Department of Labor announced that inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year in September, slightly above analyst expectations. Crypto reacted negatively to the news, with bitcoin dropping back below $60,000. US spot bitcoin ETFs saw $18.66 million in net outflows on Tuesday, led by Fidelity’s FBTC, which recorded $48.82 million in withdrawals : BlackRock’s IBIT was the only ETF to see inflows, with $39.57 million entering the fund. The head of Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) says the body plans to approve more crypto exchanges before the end of 2024 : The news comes after the regulator received criticism for implementing a strict approach to licensing. New HBO Documentary Suggests Peter Todd is Bitcoin’s Founder An HBO documentary, “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” released Tuesday hints that early Bitcoin developer Peter Todd is the cryptocurrency’s founder and man behind the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. In a clip late in the documentary, Todd denied he is the founder of Bitcoin and continued to deny it in a subsequent interview with Coindesk and other media outlets. The film provided minimal concrete evidence that Todd created Bitcoin, but focused instead on his technical skills, his love of cryptography, and his relationship with Adam Back, the Blockstream CEO and investor of Hashcash. "Money Electric" director Cullen Hoback also pointed to a 2010 forum post from Satoshi Nakamoto in which Todd responded, arguing that Todd had forgotten to switch his accounts and his post was a continuation of Satoshi’s original post. "This is going to be very funny when you put this into the documentary and a bunch of bitcoiners watch it," Todd said in the documentary clip while standing alongside Back. "I suspect a lot of them will be very happy if you go this route because it's yet another example of journalists really missing the point in a way that's very funny." This is not the first time Hoback has made a documentary film about trying to uncover the identity of a secretive figure. For his 2021 HBO documentary “Q: Into the Storm,” Hoback spent three years attempting to find the creator of Qanon. Crypto.com Sues SEC After Receiving Wells Notice Crypto.com has officially sued the SEC after the company received a Wells notice from the regulatory agency, which typically precedes enforcement actions. The platform said the SEC's continued regulatory enforcement against crypto companies forced them into taking legal action. According to Crypto.com, the SEC is unjustly expanding its jurisdiction over digital assets by labeling most cryptocurrencies as securities. The lawsuit is part of a broader industry pushback against the SEC's regulatory approach, which many crypto companies claim is outdated and unsuitable for digital assets. The platform is far from the first to take such legal action; Coinbase and Consensys have also previously sued the SEC, similarly challenging the agency’s stance on categorizing cryptocurrencies as securities. The SEC has reiterated the need for crypto exchanges to register with the agency, while firms argue that current regulations are impractical for the digital asset sector. 🌉 Topic of the Week: What is Bridging? ➡️ Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
BTC/USDT 4H Trade Setup: Potential for Bullish ContinuationBitcoin’s 4H chart shows a potential bullish continuation after a healthy retracement. The market has pulled back into a key support zone, providing an opportunity to enter this trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The setup aligns well with the optimism surrounding the month of October, often referred to as “UPtober,” where historical data has shown strong price action for BTC during this period. Technical Analysis: • Price has retraced to a key Fibonacci zone, signaling a potential buy opportunity. • The FibCloud indicator shows price maintaining above key support levels, with a bullish breakout being tested. • Volume is picking up, indicating growing interest at this level, which could push the market higher. Risk Management: Given the volatility of BTC, managing risk is crucial. We are placing stop losses just below the last significant low to protect capital in case the market fails to break higher. Stay alert, and let’s see how this setup unfolds. UPtober could live up to its name! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
🔥How much can the Crypto market capitalization grow by 2025🔥Today we want to share with you our observations and thoughts on how the total capitalization of the crypto market can grow in the future. You have probably already noticed that in all markets the history of market participants' behavior and, accordingly, asset prices is cyclical. The cryptocurrency market is no exception. Here is a global chart of the total capitalization of cryptocurrencies in different periods of the market. Despite the fact that in different periods there were different factors of growth or decline of the cryptocurrency market, such as the ICO alt-season 2017 and the bear market 2018 or the DeFi boom of 2020-2021 and the current exhausting market's decline. There is a clear cyclicality (of course, a statistical error of 1-2 weeks over such a long period of time is acceptable) So, 1 candle or bar on the chart is 1 trading week and that's what we have: from the high of 2017 to the low of 2018 - +/- 49 weeks have passed from the high of 2021 to the low of 2022 - +/- 52 weeks have passed (of course, if an absolute annual minimum was recorded last week) from 2017 high to "BTC halving 2020" 123 weeks have passed from the high of 2021 to "BTC halving 2024" may take +/- 125 weeks (the approximate date is April 2024, but the date may move, depending on the capacity that will be connected to mine BTC blocks. Halving will take place on block 840000) after "BTC halving 2016", the crypto market maintained a rapid growth trend for 77 weeks after "BTC halving 2020", the crypto market maintained a rapid growth trend for 78 weeks after "BTC halving 2024", we project a rapid growth trend of 79 weeks. Accordingly, the future growth trend in the cryptocurrency market may reach its maximum around the middle of autumn 2025. We also designed 2 fractals of a possible path of growth of the total capitalization of the crypto market. The white fractal indicates growth with a maximum value of +/- $13 trillion. The blue fractal indicates growth with a maximum value of +/- $26 trillion. In order to understand whether it is a lot or not, we will give you some examples of the current capitalization of certain markets: SP500 +/- $33 trillion Gold +/- $11 trillion Silver +/- $1 trillion Cryptocurrencies +/- $800 billion Earlier, we made an idea where we made similar calculations on the BTCUSDT chart So, if you are interested in what mark the Bitcoin price can reach at the end of 2025, we invite you to view it: If you are interested in the current situation on the BTCUSDT chart and the prospects of price movement for the next week, we invite you to read this idea: _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by P_S_trade
43
BITCOIN IS GOING UP! TA + TRADE PLAN BY BFTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on the Chart by Blaž Fabjan Falling Wedge Continuation Pattern The falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern, often indicating a potential upward breakout after a period of consolidation. Resistance and Support Lines: The chart shows a clear resistance line sloping downward and a support line also trending downward. The price is approaching the apex of the wedge, where a breakout is likely imminent. Indicators Analysis: VMC Cipher B (Market Cipher Indicator): The divergences on the VMC Cipher B show a series of green dots, which are often used to indicate potential long entry points. The momentum appears to be turning positive, with the indicator suggesting possible bullish divergence. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The current RSI is at 39.81, which indicates a moderately oversold condition. An RSI below 40 often suggests that the market is near the bottom, and a potential reversal to the upside is likely. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator shows 43.44 and 47.50 (K and D lines), hovering near the oversold region but not yet fully bottomed out. A crossover or upward movement from these levels would provide additional confirmation of a bullish reversal. HMA+ Histogram: The HMA (Hull Moving Average) histogram shows recent red bars, indicating negative momentum, but it appears to be narrowing, suggesting that the selling pressure is weakening. A transition from red to green bars would confirm a shift toward bullish momentum. Potential Breakout Scenario: Given the falling wedge pattern and the technical indicators approaching oversold conditions, there is a strong likelihood of a bullish breakout. The volume is not provided in the chart, but price action suggests decreasing volatility before a potential breakout. The breakout direction is likely to be upwards, targeting the $65,000 to $67,500 resistance zone initially. Trading Plan by Blaž Fabjan: Entry Strategy: Wait for Confirmation of Breakout: Enter a long position once the price breaks above the resistance of the falling wedge pattern (around $61,500-$62,000). RSI needs to cross above 45 to confirm momentum is shifting to the upside. Ensure that the VMC Cipher B shows green dots and the Stochastic Oscillator shows a bullish crossover before entering the trade. Stop-Loss Strategy: Place a stop-loss just below the support line of the wedge, which would be approximately around $59,000, to protect against a false breakout or further downside. Profit Targets: First Profit Target: $65,000 (previous swing high and a significant psychological level). Second Profit Target: $67,500 (the next key resistance level after the breakout). Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a minimum 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio. For an entry near $62,000 with a stop loss at $59,000, the first target at $65,000 gives a decent risk-to-reward ratio, with the potential for higher gains if the price continues to climb. Trade Management: Trailing Stop: Once the price reaches the first target, move the stop-loss to breakeven (entry point) to lock in profits and manage risk. Monitor the RSI and VMC Cipher for signs of exhaustion in momentum once the price nears the second target. Alternative Scenario: If the price fails to break above the wedge and breaks below the support line, consider reversing the position or waiting for further confirmation of a bearish trend before shorting. By following my plan, traders can capitalize on the potential upward breakout from this falling wedge continuation pattern while managing their risk effectively.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
BITCOIN - Detailed important scenario of the last crashOctober 2024 will be the lowest price achieved by Bitcoin in the next 6 months, The this correction is the latest correction, The inflation data that was released recently came in at 2.4, higher than expectations, which were 2.3, but lower than the previous reading. Summary Inflation is falling, but at a slower pace than expected I mean, neither strongly negative nor strongly positive, remember Every correction is a new opportunity I expect this correnction will continue to the area between 57k - 53k (0.236 fib - 0.382 fib) as shown in chart. This will not happen directly because before this decline, Bitcoin will rise again to test the 0.618 level 61k shown in the chart, and I will be attacked because positivity will prevail in the atmosphere , but this will be a trap. When this happens, most currencies will fall at least 20% from this point Because throughout the history of Bitcoin, the month of October has always been a month of strong rise for Bitcoin and currencies.. Many have high hopes and wait for profits. The US elections are approaching too, and Trump's victory will make all markets rebound then btc will be negative in october positive in November! To break the myth of uptober Best regards Ceciliones🎯
by ceciliones
13