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BTC | Make sure to buy THIS Bitcoin dip!In the past I did a few predictions when people were uncertain and the results of these predictions were quite accurate if I may say. This is not financial advice. My only goal is to sketch a likely outcome for the people that find this information useful. What we see right now is that we're building a lot of liquidity below. Yes.. I know, there is a mega liquidity area above us and the fundamentals are great. But keep in mind, the marketmakers are not going to let these long traders in these trades before we finally reach $110.000+. Today is an important day and expect a lot of volatility come back to the market. Therefore I think that the most likely short term target from this point is $95.000. This is a place were I'm adding to my long term bag. The worst case scenario would be that we spike below $90.000 (maybe up to around $87.000) somewhere this week. Do your own research and trade safe.
by Davy_h
Crypto Alpha Report - January 28, 2025Happy Tuesday, friends! Fancy yourself a trader do you? In today’s episode, let’s face some hard facts and distinguish between a true trader (the 1%) and the gambler (the 99%). Grab a box of tissues, because this one might sting. Ah, the trader. What a glorious lifestyle. From the luxury of an Adirondack chair on a cozy beach, sipping Mai Tai’s, scalping the one-minute chart, and reeling in a few grand a day. Is this what you initially pictured when you started trading? Unfortunately, the sad reality is that this is mostly a pipe dream. It’s a lie that’s sold over and over again that appeals to our innate desire to live ‘the good life.’ But, as humans, we gobble this fantasy up and throw our hard-earned capital into the markets - often to disastrous effect. While it’s not impossible to live this dream, the reality is that most of us focus on the end goal, the Mai Tai and the pretty senoritas, and not the process that achieves the end goal. Backtesting? Boooooring! Strategy creation? Pssh, why do that when all I have to do is find the right memecoin, bet big, and retire? For every successful story you hear of a meme coin trade gone right, a few thousand traders could show you a -99% loss. Memecoin trading is the new lottery. You do know the odds of hitting the lottery, don’t you? All right, as if that wasn’t enough fluff, let’s cut to the chase. If you don’t know the statistical odds of your ability to win or lose a trade, you’re not a trader; you’re a gambler. “But I follow price action, bro…” No, stop that; you’re a gambler. I’ve met a handful of price action traders with statistics, and kudos to them. But 99/100 “price action traders” are just gamblers. Confirmation bias, seeing what they want to see, and survivor bias - that’s the cocktail of “smart money concepts.” Hey, if you can backtest it, more power to you. But most of you can’t and won’t. Building a strategy isn’t sexy, but it’s the difference between sitting down in front of the charts every day and knowing (roughly) how you will do, and sitting down in front of the charts just praying that today will be your lucky day. Don’t rely on luck; become good. That takes hard work, just like anything else. It also takes a lot of trial and error. Start small and increase capital as your success increases. Slow and steady is the Path to Profit. Fast and loose is the road back to Burger King. Make today the day you commit to building a long-term strategy. Make today the day you swear off gambling because your lucky day is likely not coming. Stay frosty, friends. Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance Currently sitting at 5.79%, yesterday saw a strong attempt to break out above 6%, a level I have continually warned is the danger zone for the market, particularly altcoins. However, we did see a strong buy back from the market moving into yesterday’s daily close. This metric is overbought, but any strong close above 6% is a major warning sign. Stablecoin + Bitcoin Dominance Currently at 64.75%. This metric is also overbought, and showcasing the same technical position we were in right before Christmas, which led to a two week mark up period for the altcoin markets. Unfortunately, we’re not showing any weakness yet, so speculating on a reversal in altcoins is a high risk move at this point. Watch for a clearer sign of rejection and weakness first. Altcoin Price Performance Relative to Bitcoin Altcoins, besides the majors, are still getting obliterated. Underperforming Bitcoin by -24.74% currently. While we are oversold, no signs of strength yet. Perhaps in the next few days we might see a reversal in trend, but all eyes on the upcoming FOMC. Bitcoin Trends 5M: Bearish 30M: Bullish 1H: Bearish 4H: Neutral Daily: Bullish Weekly: Bullish After a strong sell off in reaction to the DeepSeek news, Bitcoin did put in a strong buy back at Daily Support. So far, we have not closed below our Daily Trend, nor the Weekly 10 MA. Tentatively optimistic, but I’m quite concerned about a deeper retracement unless we get a rate cut tomorrow. Key Levels POC: $104,955 VWAP: $102,609 Value Area Low: $101,569 - $102,079 Value Area High: $103,139 - $103,649 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $104,474 - $105,800 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $98,773 - $99,723 Bitcoin is trading in a relatively tight range today, after yesterday’s big move down. Currently fighting resistance at ~$103,500 with support at $101,566. Strategy: Honestly, expecting further downside pressure. Re-evaluate bias on a close above $103,500 - likely a lot of chop and volatility leading into tomorrow’s FOMC. Stay safe.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by CrackingCryptocurrency
Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash? The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3 Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5 Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7 The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10 The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11 Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other. In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as: • Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop. • Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline. • Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. The Role of Media and Speculation It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it. In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence. Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline. It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements. As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Gold XAUUSD | SELL After Elliot's 5-WaveWave Analysis: Wave 1 (Initial Upswing): Price moved from 2661 to 2723, marking the start of the bullish trend. This wave is typically smaller as the market begins to establish direction. Wave 2 (Correction): A corrective pullback, retracing part of Wave 1. Price moved down but respected the Fibonacci retracement zone (likely between 50% and 61.8%). Wave 3 (Strong Upswing): The strongest and most extended wave, moving from 2695 to 2759. This wave aligns with higher momentum, reflecting a surge in bullish sentiment. Wave 4 (Consolidation): A sideways or shallow pullback, correcting Wave 3. This wave is less aggressive than Wave 2, often reflecting profit-taking and market indecision. Wave 5 (Final Push): The last leg of the upward impulse, with prices rising from 2743 to 2786. Momentum begins to weaken, and divergences on indicators like RSI or MACD might appear, suggesting exhaustion of the trend. Current Market Outlook: Trend Exhaustion: The completion of Wave 5 at 2786 suggests that the bullish trend is nearing its end. The possibility of a trend reversal or a corrective move downward is high. Potential Correction: After the completion of the impulsive wave, an A-B-C corrective structure is likely to unfold. Wave A could lead to an initial sell-off. Wave B might be a temporary rebound or retracement. Wave C would finalize the correction, potentially testing the 2661 level (Wave 1 origin). Key Support Levels: 2743 (Wave 5 origin): The first major support. 2695 (Wave 3 origin): The second support level to watch for. 2661: A full retracement target if the correction deepens. Resistance: 2786 (Wave 5 high) remains the key resistance level. A break above this might indicate an extension of the bullish trend. Trading Signal: Sell Entry: Upon confirmation of a break below 2743. Targets: First Target: 2710 (Wave 4 area). Second Target: 2695 (Wave 3 origin). Third Target: 2661 (Wave 1 origin). Stop-Loss: Above 2786 to avoid risk from a potential upward extension. Alternate Scenario: If prices break and sustain above 2786, it could indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. Look for further upside toward 2800–2820. Conclusion: Gold appears to have completed its five-wave impulsive structure. The next likely scenario is a corrective A-B-C wave formation or a trend reversal. Monitor key levels and confirmation signals before executing trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
4
Skyrexio | Scared Already? The Worst Is Coming!Hello, Skyrexians! First of all we want you to make calm: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is still in huge bull run and $140k target is still actual. The main question, how it plans to reach this level. Now we have two scenarios and one of them you will now like. Let's take a look at the daily time frame. The bad signal are two red dots at the top on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . It could be waves 3 and 5. In this case impulse of higher degree is finished and market is entering the major correction. If our assumption about bull run continuation is right, BTC usually tends to reach 0.38 Fibonacci level. Now this level is at $80k. This is the worst scenario. After that $140k is reachable target. We also have not so painful scenario. Price now is at the local Fibonacci level. If $96k is going to be hold we can see the extended wave 5, which will reach $140 in the nearest future. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
by Skyrexio
Short As long as the Double Top pattern remains intact, the market is likely to continue its downward trajectory, potentially targeting the 75,000 level. This pattern suggests a strong reversal signal, and if the price doesn't break above the neckline, the downside target of 75,000 seems increasingly probable. However, if the Double Top is invalidated and the market breaks above the highs, that would indicate a shift in momentum. Even in that case, I’m still not seeing much upside potential. The FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) seems to have already driven prices higher, and this is often where retail traders get caught—buying into the market at peak levels, just before a potential pullback. Historically, this is when retail traders tend to go wrong, as they buy into the hype and end up holding during the inevitable market drop. Therefore, I continue to advocate for being on the sidelines or even shorting the market against the high that was established when the market touched 108,000. If the market does break the Double Top and pushes higher, the next resistance zone would likely be around the 115,000 level. However, even in that scenario, I expect the price to eventually retrace and drop back towards the 75,000 area, forming a deeper correction.
Short
by Shivkumar600
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys! The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart. what I see: Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout. Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential. Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range. Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
Long
by melikatrader94
6
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout or reversal. Buy entry should break and retest the neutral level (102,000) Sell Entry Pullback at the neutral level (100,000) Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 11500 (or) Escape Before the Target Bearish Robbers TP 84500 (or) Escape Before the Target Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The BTC/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with the price potentially resuming its uptrend after a period of turmoil in late December and early January. The strong bullish trend and slight short-term decrease suggest that traders may consider trading only long positions. To take a trade, consider the following: Analyze the market trend: Look at the overall trend of the BTC/USD pair and identify any potential support or resistance levels. Monitor market news and events: Keep an eye on any news or events that could impact the price of Bitcoin, such as changes in regulations or adoption rates. Use technical indicators: Utilize technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and Bollinger Bands to help identify potential trading opportunities. Set a trading plan: Develop a clear trading plan, including entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and position sizing. The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin is aimed at determining where the price of the asset is headed, with models like the stock-to-flow model predicting prices based on the rate of new bitcoins being added to the network relative to the existing supply. Additionally, macroeconomic events like increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies can lead to inflation, which may drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge. Here's a fundamental analysis for BTC/USD, along with market sentiment percentages: Overall Trend: The BTC/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish direction Bullish Sentiment: 65% Bearish Sentiment: 30% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Market News and Events: The upcoming events, such as the Bitcoin halving and the increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies, are expected to drive the price of Bitcoin up. Bullish Sentiment: 70% Bearish Sentiment: 25% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Technical Indicators: The technical indicators, such as the moving averages and RSI, are indicating a bullish trend. Bullish Sentiment: 60% Bearish Sentiment: 35% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Fundamental Analysis: The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin, including the stock-to-flow model, is predicting a bullish trend. Bullish Sentiment: 75% Bearish Sentiment: 20% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Macro-economic Events: The increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies and the potential for inflation are expected to drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge. Bullish Sentiment: 80% Bearish Sentiment: 15% Neutral Sentiment: 5% Overall, it's essential to stay informed about market trends, news, and events, and to use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and use trailing SL Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Thief_Trader
Bitcoin Advisory Report Date: January 26, 2025Bitcoin Advisory Report Date: January 26, 2025 Prepared for: Investors and Traders ________________________________________ Current Market Overview Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading within a tight consolidation range between $106,250 and $103,600, signalling an indecisive market phase. A breakout beyond this range will determine the next directional move. • Median Level Support: $100,000 continues to act as a minor support zone, absorbing selling pressure. • Major Support Level: $75,000 provides a strong foundational level for Bitcoin, expected to prevent deep sell-offs. • Major Resistance Level: $125,000 remains a significant barrier for bullish momentum. ________________________________________ Technical Analysis Key Observations: 1. Consolidation Channel: o Bitcoin is currently oscillating within a defined range of $106,250 (resistance) and $103,600 (support). o A breakout above $106,250 could lead to a bullish rally toward $108,000 in the short term. 2. Momentum Support Levels: o Protecting the $104,500 level is critical to maintain bullish momentum for an upward move. o Failure to hold $104,500 may result in a retest of $103,600 or lower levels. 3. EMA and VWAP: o The exponential moving averages (EMAs) suggest mixed momentum. The EMA 8 crossing VWAP indicates possible short-term buying pressure if sustained. 4. Volume Analysis: o The current trading volume is relatively low, which suggests that market participants are awaiting confirmation of a breakout. A rise in volume will be a key indicator of a decisive move. 5. Short-Term Target: o Based on momentum indicators, if Bitcoin holds $104,500, an upward rally toward $108,000 could be realized by Monday, January 27, 2025. ________________________________________ Fundamental Points 1. Market Sentiment: o Positive institutional adoption and Bitcoin ETFs have bolstered long-term investor confidence. o Macroeconomic factors, such as stable interest rates, are supporting risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. Regulatory Climate: o Globally, regulatory acceptance for digital assets is increasing, especially with developments in Bitcoin's use in remittance systems. 3. Supply Dynamics: o Bitcoin's limited supply (halving effects) continues to serve as a bullish catalyst over the medium to long term. 4. Global Economic Factors: o Inflation concerns have driven investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge, reinforcing its status as digital gold. ________________________________________ Recommendation Buy Scenario: • Enter a buy position if Bitcoin decisively breaks $106,250, targeting $108,000 initially, with a stop-loss set at $104,500. • Consider scaling into positions if price momentum continues upward toward $110,000. Sell Scenario: • Consider a short position if Bitcoin breaks $103,600, targeting $101,000, with a stop-loss set at $104,500. • Prepare for further downside risk toward $100,000 (minor support) and possibly $75,000 (major support) if selling intensifies. ________________________________________ Conclusion Bitcoin is at a pivotal technical juncture, with the $106,250 to $103,600 range holding the key to short-term price direction. Protecting $104,500 is crucial for bullish momentum, with upside potential toward $108,000. Conversely, failure to maintain support at $103,600 could lead to a bearish retest of lower levels. Investors should watch for volume spikes and breakout confirmations to make informed decisions. ________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by mmkhan2076
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
Long
by farhadnmd
5
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in. Trade Idea (Long): – Entry: Buy now at market. – Risk: 1% of account. – Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low). – Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
Long
by Fondera
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has successfully achieved and completed a significant Inner Coin Rally at the 108000 level. This development indicates a probable pullback to the Mean Support level of 101300, with the potential for further extension to the Mean Support level of 98000 before a resurgence in the bull market may occur. Conversely, should this pullback not transpire, the currency may experience upward movement, retesting the completed Inner Coin Rally at 108000 and challenging the next Outer Coin Rally at 110000 and beyond.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
1