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Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility. An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key. The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale. Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance. The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines. The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way. And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding. Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support. See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall. To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st ) The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet. And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600 I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K Lets see if this works out
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Halving to ATH data -2 year UPDATE-conflicting results I havw Noticed in recent days, people "Boosting" A chart I posted in Dec 2022, called "BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %" So I thought I would update it and see where we are now. In it, i said 2024 would be a Good year. Well, we got that in many ways and not surprisingly but we have seen some things that point towards this being a VERY different cycle and I will explain some of them here So, as the title suggests, Lets Look at the Halving to ATH - For a start, I need to explain the issue we have with 2021 - 2 major ATH and a divided community about which one was the REAL ATH and so on. There are plenty of reasons to accept the NOV 2021 ATH as the real one, mostly because it was the highest price ! It was also a similar day count from previous Halving to ATH and so I am working with that. The Current Bitcoin ATH was 280 days after Halving. A Lot Less than any previous day count from Halving to ATH.. We are however, still under the 365 count we had in 2012 Halving to ATH - So...for me, the possibility that we have NOT seen Cycle ATH still exists for many reasons.. And yet, at the same time, I am Very aware that this Cycle has seen accelerated adoption because of ETF's etc,,,,,,so, please Keep an open mind. Using the day Count system and the Nov 2021 day count, we could expect this Cycle ATH around Oct 2025 - probably safer to say Q4 But how High ? The % rise from ATH to ATH is an interesting topic here. 2012 to 2017 ATH saw a 1144.6% Rise in PA 2017 to 2021 ATH ( Nov ) saw a 326,3% rise in PA - This is 3.5 X SMALLER than the previous Rise. Using that 3.5 Smaller calculation, that gives us an % rise of 92.4% and an ATH of around 121K for this cycle. Kind of contradicts expectations and this alone could point towards that fact we may have already be near reacheing cycle Top ! (I have posted a Far more detailed chart about this and will be updating it soon) BUT, the Crunch comes when we look at the Halving to ATH, as mentioned in the title I wrote in Dec 2022 2012 Halving 10K% rise after 2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after 2020 Halving 700 % rise after Projected PA in 2024 /5 would also be 700% BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates We got earlier Pumps due to ETF expectations, as can be seen by how far of the Curve PA rose in 2024 - This has completely changed how strong PA was at Halving and how Much further it could rise. In facr, if you look back over previous Halvings, PA has been FLAT by comparison. And so, Since the Bitcoin Halving in March 2024, to the current ATH, we have only seen a 62.8% Rise If PA Had been on the Curve in the chart at the halving date, we would have seen a 397.8% eise to the current ATH This Highlights a Massive change in how PA is rising But, at the same time, We would still most likely be in the Range we are now in. And Lastly, I want to show you this I mentioned in Dec 2022 how Bitcoin PA could expect a 700% Rise in Price from Halving to cycle ATH I was WRONG From Where PA was at Halving to the Expected ATH mark on Rising trend line, it will be 651% rise and around 500K So, in conclusion, despite a massive change in how PA approached Halving and how Shallow the rise in PA has been compared to previous cycles after Halving, we are Still in a VERY Good place. However, if you Look at just the ATH to ATH dats calculation, we may already he near TOP.... Take you pick - For Me, I am holding out for Q4 but I have safe guards in place should it turn out we have peaked early. But do remember, this is a Projection..No guarantees......But we can hope Stay safe and Love your Neighbour
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Holds Strong Above 200MA – Is the Next Rally Incoming?Bitcoin has successfully defended the $84K-$86K support zone, with the CME gap now fully closed. On the daily timeframe, BTC remains above the 200MA, signaling strong bullish momentum. With macroeconomic factors aligning in favor of crypto, this could be the start of another leg higher. Technical Analysis: • Support Zone: $84K - $86K held firm, preventing further downside. • CME Gap Closure: The retracement completed the necessary gap-fill, eliminating inefficiencies. • Trend Reversal Signal: BTC has reclaimed the 200MA on the daily chart, reinforcing bullish sentiment. • Breakout Watch: Price is approaching a descending trendline, a breakout above could trigger a strong move toward the $110K target. Fundamental Analysis: • Bitcoin ETF Impact: Institutional demand continues to grow with ETF adoption. • Macroeconomic Tailwinds: The Fed’s expected slowdown in rate hikes is a net positive for risk assets like BTC. • Geopolitical Factors: Increased demand for BTC as a hedge against economic instability and inflation. • Regulatory Developments: A more constructive approach from regulators supports long-term adoption. With bullish momentum building, Bitcoin is at a key inflection point. Will it break out and push towards new highs? Stay tuned and trade wisely! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %Monthly #Bitcoin chart with Halving dates what is notable is how much the % increase in PA has been dropping each halving. 2012 Halving 10K% rise after 2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after 2020 Halving 700 % rise after Projected PA below would also be 700% BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates May well be a great idea to grab your NOW..because the price WILL go mental as the world sees the TradFi recession also. 2024 is going to be an interesting year to say the least
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
BTC at a Critical Crossroad: One More High to $130K?BTC: The price remains in a larger correction that began in December. While I still view one more high in this cycle as ideal—potentially targeting $130,000—the minimum requirements for completing a larger 5-wave pattern from the November 2022 lows have already been met. Any additional high would be more of a bonus than a necessity. A break below $69,140 would provide further confirmation that a substantial top has formed, aligning with the red scenario. For now, $69,140 serves as the key bull/bear pivot, helping us distinguish between the possibility of one more high and the onset of a larger correction or even a potential bear market. Regardless, I am closely monitoring the current price region for signs of an upside reversal. Even if this only results in red wave B, it could still push the price into the $92,000–$104,100 range.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MCOGlobal
1
BTC support level - break or bounce?BTCUSD on the 1D chart is sitting at 200DMA line. It first broke through on Feb 28, 2025 and closed above. Weekend news on crypto reserve from President Trump generated a quick pump and dump. As of late day March 3, it touched the 200DMA again and has held above. Next move: On a break, next major support is around 72870. On a bounce, target at congestion zone between 96000 to 100000, with significant ceiling from the 50 and 100DMA at 97000 and declining. Market-moving fundamental news can be expected around the U.S.crypto summit on March 7th. BTC may be (relatively) range-bound until then.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by StrobeT
Bitcoin Weekly chart shows PA under pressure - Key support Lost This is my most trusted chart that I have begun sharing on Trading View. And as you can see, the weekend was Not good for PA as we fell off that Long Term support. In many ways, that is not surprising really. Weekly MACD has a Long way to fall before Neutral, as you can see in the chart below I am hoping that PA is aiming for at least the Neutral line before going higher for a new Cycle ATH. As you can see, at current Rate of descent, it is Mid May to Early June before we get there. The shorter term problem we now face is simply that PA fell below that support and despite a great rally to recover from the Dip down to fill that CME GAP I have talked about ( which did not get fully filled). We got rejected off that line of support we once had ( See chart below ) This is the Daily version of the same chart above and you can see, rejection was bang on that line. And so you understand, that Rally, Jump higher over the weekend, opened up a Bigger CME Gap . ( I posted about this Earlier today) And, as you can see, we have 3 lines of Major support below. This starts with a rising long Term support at around 74K ( origins in 2017 ) Then we have the 2 fib Extension at 68242. Remember, the Roof we had since Dec was the 2.618 Then we hit 63K if those listed above fail. For me, A worst case scenario will be that 2 Fib extension and so, I have once again placed Spot Buy orders around 70K What a superb buying opportunity when you think about the possibility of a Cycle ATH in Q4 of around 250K MINIMUM ! So, in summery, I am holding with the idea of that RED March I mentioned in previous posts and small Green April / May but Green Rockets from June onwards, depending, of course, on Macro events and so many other things........This is just an idea..NOT FACT. So, do not loose heart, Bitcoin is FINE. We just seem to need "Thoughts and Prayers" for all those ALTS Mr Trump does seem to be trying to kick start ALT season...But the real world Liquidity for his Cryprto ideals are .....questionable...... Unless....................
by Orriginal
BTC | MASSIVE CORRECTION or BULLISH PATTERN?After the new of the recent ByBit hack, the entire market seems to have taken a dip. (more on the bybit hack here:) Luckily, seeing a 20% correction on Bitcoin isn't strange.. at all. It's actually quite common for the price to correct anywhere between 15% and 30%. The tell all sign will be whether or not we can reclaim the key support ABOVE 90k, otherwise we might be heading closer to that 30% dip. Meanwhile.. another altcoin is approaching a key buy zone. Don't miss it, here: _______________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by Crypto-Check-
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things: 1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different) 2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe) 3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe. I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH) Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week: 2012 Election Week Low - $10 2016 Election Week Low - $700 2020 Election Week Low - $13,200 2024 Election Week Low - $66,800 that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
1
Insane Growth Is Just Beginning For Bitcoin BTCHello, Skyrexians! Recently we made two analysis on BINANCE:BTCUSDT . In the first one we pointed out that $80k is going to be the reversal point, in the second that bullish reversal bar has been confirmed at $85k. Now we are seeing how it is playing out. This is just the beginning of a pump. Here is why. On the daily time frame we can see the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which has appeared when price bounced form. 0.5 Fibonacci. For us this is the clear sign that wave 2 has been finished and now Bitcoin is printing wave 3. This wave has the most realistic target next to $180k at 1.61 Fibonacci extension, but the strong resistance can be met at $140k. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
1
Secure Profits of LONGBTC/USDT 1H Technical Analysis – Updated Insights 🟢 BitcoinMF Signal: TP Hit – Key Resistance Zone The BitcoinMF PRO indicator's long signal successfully hit the Take Profit (TP) target, aligning with a resistance level around $94,410. This area is now a critical decision point for BTC's next move.​ 📊 Advanced Technical Breakdown: 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions: To assess potential support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci levels have been recalculated based on the recent price movement:​ 0.236 Fib Retracement (Support) → $87,416​ 0.382 Fib Retracement (Support) → $85,991​ 0.618 Fib Retracement (Stronger Support) → $80,423​ 1.618 Fib Extension (Bullish Target) → $98,217​ 2.618 Fib Extension (Aggressive Target) → $104,500​ These levels suggest that maintaining support above $87,000 could pave the way for a move toward 98K, while a breach below this support might lead to a deeper retracement.​ 2️⃣ CME Gap – Key Risk Factor A CME gap exists between $77,930 and $81,210, formed in November 2024. Historically, such gaps tend to be filled over time, indicating a potential retracement to this zone before resuming the macro uptrend. ​ 3️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance – Altcoin Impact BTC Dominance is currently at 52.8%, indicating that Bitcoin is leading the market rally. This dominance suggests that if BTC corrects, altcoins may experience more significant declines in the short term.​ 4️⃣ Exchange Flows – Whale Activity There has been a significant outflow of BTC from exchanges, signaling accumulation by investors and reduced selling pressure. This trend supports the potential for further upside unless a reversal pattern emerges.​ 5️⃣ Fear & Greed Index – Market Sentiment The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 81 (Extreme Greed), reflecting strong bullish sentiment. While this indicates market confidence, it also warrants caution, as extreme greed can precede corrective phases.​ 6️⃣ Fisher Transform & Stochastic RSI Fisher Transform: The indicator is in the overbought zone but has not yet signaled a reversal.​ Stochastic RSI: Recently crossed above 80, indicating overheated conditions and suggesting a potential cooldown or sideways movement.​ 🔮 Next Most Probable Move: 📊 Probability Score (Scale 1-10) Bullish Continuation Probability: 6.5/10​ Short-Term Correction Probability: 7.5/10​ 🔹 Scenarios: If BTC maintains support above 87K, a move toward 98K is plausible.​ If BTC falls below 87K, the 80K region becomes the next significant support level.​ 🚨 Most Likely Outcome: A short-term retracement toward 87K-85K is anticipated before the uptrend potentially resumes, targeting 98K-100K.
Short
by BitcoinMF