Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits?
On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points.
Current Situation
🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements.
🔸 Historical correction analysis:
For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal:
- The first correction resulted in a 25% drop.
- The second correction saw a 65% drop.
- Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward?
Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop?
My Decision
Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside.
Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price.
But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us.
On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President.
I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas!
The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year.
There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now.
Bitcoin
On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support.
But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always)
Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks.
As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period.
The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high.
On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon.
But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out.
If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week.
But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Send us an email or message us on social media.
cheers!
Jasper
BTC's take off has started!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin has started to break a double bottom pattern!
which means the price is gonna fly!
expect to see BTC at 114k soon!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Public trade #11 - #BTC price analysis ( Bitcoin )At the moment, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is making an A-B-C correction within the channel quite harmoniously.
The idea is as follows:
🔽now the market is correcting for a few days and the lower the better.
🔼And then on January 20, Trump will be inaugurated and, as the “messiah,” he will “make life easier” for crypto investors by some decree and the market will break out in growth.
1️⃣ So the first stop of the OKX:BTCUSDT correction should be around $93-94k, and from there, growth can break up to $110k.
2️⃣ The second option is a correction of the #Bitcoin price around $86-87k.
❗️ It's also worth remembering that 29.01.25 is the announcement of the “fresh” Fed Funds rate. And given the fact that inflation has increased this month, the Fed's rate cut is in jeopardy, at best it will be left unchanged.
P.S:
Please excuse the fact that there are so many levels on the chart, but they work well and can be used in trading!)
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$BTC Sweeps Lower Liquidity, Preparing for a Bounce to $110KBitcoin has swept the lower-end liquidity and the market has since cooled. Now, BTC is likely to bounce off the $100,000 support level, which was previously a resistance. Alternatively, it may form a small double bottom here before bouncing towards the $110,000 range, with the next target around the $111,500 area.
BITCOINUSD TECHANICALL ANALYSIS FOR H1 (READ CAOTION)hello trader's. what do you think about bitcoinusd
current price: 105000
Today BitcoinUSD Just Touch The Last High Area 105700 We See Some Retestmint in BitcoinUSD it can be good Retest in BitcoinUSD Now we Have H1 Channel Pattern So bitcoinusd going to toching Resistance zone 106500 then bitcoinusd Fall Down side to Support 101500 then expected 97500
support 95500.94500
resistance zone. 10580o . 107000
please like comment and follow
ELONUSDT Trade LogBought some ELON, took the leap,
A moonshot dream, in charts so deep.
To the stars, it’s set to fly,
Hold tight, let the profits rise high.
Through the dips, I’ll stand my ground,
With each new wave, more gains are found.
In the space where rockets zoom,
ELON’s the ticket, to break the gloom.
Bitcoin’s Symmetrical Triangle Signals a Major Move AheadThe Bitcoin 1-day chart is showing a symmetrical triangle pattern, a strong signal of consolidation before a significant move. With Bitcoin’s prior bullish trend, the pattern suggests a likely breakout to the upside. If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance level near $108,000, it could head toward the $127,000 range, continuing its bullish momentum.
On the other hand, a failure to hold support could lead to a move lower, with critical levels around $92,000 and $89,000 potentially coming into play. This move is expected to set the tone for Bitcoin’s next big trend.
DXY - OVERBOUGHT = Risk On in Near Term = GainsThe DXY RSI levels are approaching overbought territory. Don't need to over think this one. I'm looking for a mean reversion.
On average, it appears a DXY pull back is +/-12%. $102-$98 is the level I'm watching for the short/medium term for the DXY. I imagine it strengthens again in the future, but it's offside at the current moment.
Stonks, BTC, & Crypto are looking prime for a risk on environment & substantial gains - for at least the short to medium term - if the DXY sells off.
Either way, it's looking like the DXY will need to mean revert in the near term.
BULLISH.
Bitcoin Looking for more upsideAfter revisiting a daily bullish order block with a liquidity sweep, Bitcoin demonstrated a strong upward reaction, forming a bullish breaker and a potential daily fair value gap (FVG). However, Bitcoin has not yet closed above the midpoint of the FVG. For me, it’s crucial to wait for a close at least above that level, or ideally above the shaded area. Such a move would present a solid opportunity to target the all-time high and the 113K level as a low-hanging fruit.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has reached our significant Key Resistance level of 106000 during the current week's trading session. This development signals a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip of the 108000 cryptocurrency before the expansion of the continued upward movement. Nevertheless, an interim decline may likely occur, leading down to the Mean Support level of 100000, with a potential further extension to the Mean Support level of 95000 before any resurgence in the bull market occurrence.
Shiro Neko: A Cat with a $10B Potential Shiro is an incredible opportunity with the potential to exceed 2000x! I’ve been closely following the recent dip, which was a great correction to shake out the weak hands. With this reset, new entries in the coming weeks are expected to be massive.
Don’t miss the chance to buy at the bottom, as this might be the last time Shiro Neko is available at this price. In the future, the project could surpass a $10 billion market cap!
Shiro is truly a hidden meme gem, still under the radar for most. Everyone knows their ideal entry point, but take advantage of the dip and enjoy being part of the most adorable cat on the internet. Big things are on the horizon! 🐱🚀🐾 CRYPTO:SHIROUSD
Breaking: Bitcoin Crosses $104,000 , Defying Market ExpectationsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has achieved a significant milestone, breaking through the psychological resistance level of $100,000 and trading as high as $104,000. This 4.27% surge has positioned BTC as the focal point of global financial discussions. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions, traders are left questioning whether the rally can sustain its momentum or if a correction is imminent.
Technical Analysis:
BTC’s move above the $100,000 resistance level highlights its bullish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as overbought signals from the RSI suggest the possibility of a near-term correction. Immediate support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical zone that could act as a buffer against potential selling pressure.
Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below this support, the price may dip toward the one-month low of $90,000. Such a move could trigger a massive sell-off, further intensifying bearish sentiment. Conversely, maintaining the current momentum above $100,000 could pave the way for BTC to explore new all-time highs, fueled by increased institutional and retail interest.
Miners Bolster BTC Reserves
Recent data underscores the pivotal role of U.S.-based cryptocurrency miners in Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. As of December 2024, miners have doubled their BTC reserves to nearly 100,000 coins, raising over $3.7 billion since November to bolster their holdings.
Top players such as Marathon Digital Holdings (40,435 BTC), Riot Platforms (16,728 BTC), and CleanSpark (10,097 BTC) lead the charge. Their "HODL" strategy—holding rather than selling mined Bitcoin—has not only strengthened their balance sheets but also amplified investor confidence. This is reflected in rising stock valuations for these firms, showcasing the synergy between strategic asset accumulation and market sentiment.
Key Drivers Behind Miner Resilience
1. Market Conditions: Lower Bitcoin prices in early 2024 allowed miners to acquire BTC at discounted rates.
2. Technological Advancements: The adoption of efficient mining equipment and energy optimization strategies enabled miners to enhance profitability.
3. Price Recovery: The late 2024 Bitcoin rally increased the value of miners’ reserves, positioning them advantageously in the current market landscape.
Challenges on the Horizon
Despite their impressive growth, U.S.-based miners face mounting challenges. Rising global hash rates, driven by increased competition from international miners, are squeezing profit margins. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024—which will reduce mining rewards by 50%—poses an additional hurdle. Miners will need to innovate, optimize operations, and explore diversified revenue streams to remain competitive.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Bitcoin’s latest surge also aligns with macroeconomic developments. The cryptocurrency has gained 7.85% in the past week, fueled by speculation around the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. Market participants anticipate favorable regulatory policies under the new administration, further boosting confidence in digital assets.
Outlook
At a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, Bitcoin’s ascent to $104,000 signifies both the resilience of the crypto market and the strategic maneuvers of key industry players. However, the overbought RSI, coupled with potential resistance at higher levels, necessitates vigilance among traders and investors.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, near-term corrections could provide strategic entry points for those seeking to capitalize on its upward trajectory. As miners continue to accumulate reserves and innovate, their role in shaping Bitcoin’s future will be pivotal in navigating the challenges of an evolving crypto ecosystem.
Bitcoin 240000$ This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart uses the Fibonacci extension tool to project possible future price levels. The key observations are:
1. Current Price and Breakout: BTC is trading at $105,019, having surged significantly beyond previous resistance levels.
2. Fibonacci Levels: The price has surpassed the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level at $99,745, a crucial bullish signal.
3. Next Targets: The next Fibonacci extensions are at:
$151,950 (1.618 level)
$204,154 (2.618 level)
$236,416 (3.618 level), nearing $240,000
Bitcoin Testing Key Levels: Potential Breakout or Consolidation hello guys!
The chart shows a clear formation of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern at the upper price levels, with the head around $101,000 and the left and right shoulders near $100,000. This is a key reversal pattern signaling a potential downside if the neckline at approximately $97,000 breaks.
On the broader structure, there is an upward wedge pattern forming, with Bitcoin facing strong resistance at $103,000-$105,000 (upper boundary). This range aligns with a second right shoulder observed previously, indicating a critical decision point for the asset.
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The chart highlights two scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: A break above $101,000 and confirmation past $103,000 would likely drive the price to test higher levels, potentially towards $105,000 and beyond.
Bearish Reversal: If Bitcoin loses the neckline support ($97,000), it could test lower support levels near $93,800 and potentially $91,000-$92,000.
Bitcoin's Path to $253,953 in 2025 – A Technical PerspectiveIdea Description:
In this analysis, I aim to present why I believe Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $253,953 in 2025. This price target is derived from a combination of historical trends and advanced technical analysis.
1️⃣ Key Resistance: The Historical Trendline
The trendline formed by the peaks of 2017 and 2021 acts as a robust resistance level. Historically, these trendlines have played a pivotal role in determining Bitcoin's price action during bull cycles.
2️⃣ Convergence with SpiderLines
The SpiderLines, established in 2019, perfectly align with the aforementioned trendline, creating a critical confluence zone. This dual-layered resistance suggests that $253,953 will be a significant psychological and technical barrier.
3️⃣ Supporting Market Cycles
Analyzing past cycles, we see that Bitcoin often revisits key trendlines in subsequent bull runs. The historical context suggests that 2025 will align with the next cycle peak, reinforcing this price prediction.
This idea highlights the importance of respecting historical levels and recognizing key confluences in market analysis. What are your thoughts on this projection? Could BTC challenge this resistance and push higher? Let’s discuss!