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Bitcoin Daily, Something for the weekend Sir / Madame ?This will be the main chart and 3 indicators that could be telling us something. Main chart is the Heiken Ashi. Each candle starts in the centre of the previous one and so we get rid of noise and get a good understanding of possible Trends. And Right now, CALM is not the word ! Candles are getting smaller and smaller. However, we do seem to be forming a bullish pennant with an Apex at the end of the month. PA always reacts before the Apex. Other things to note here is that we are now using the previous line of resistance as support. Look back to Dec 2024 to Feb 2025. It was this line that put as back down to 75K We have tested this 4 times in a small way But not in a real Meaningful Way yet. Do remain Cautious.......but that 2.518 Fib extension should hold us in place if we drop but there could be a much deeper drop. But lets take this step by step as there are some Very Bullish signs to. The ADX chart below shows us that Change is near. Remember, ADX ( yellow ) NEVER shows trend direction, just trend strength. As you can see, it rarely drops much further below this point and does not spend to long here. SO, current trend is Weak and a new trend is likely in the near future ( this could be tomorrow or in 3 weeks..near future is a wide window..but it is not 2 months or more) The DI + ( orange ), positive Directional price Index, and the DI - ( red) , negative Directional price Index, are also low, showing no real price action. This can happen for longer periods of time and it is impossible to say which will rise, However, as we can see, the price movements have not been huge and so to expect a sudden Massive Dive, as some are suggesting, is not really backed by anything. But we should never say never. Be cautious Accumulation / Distribution chart below What is nice about this, is simply that Accumulation is still the MAJOR movement. The majority are still accumulating and so the idea that we maybe in a Bear market is almost Dismissed. People would not accumulate an asset that is about to Dive for a long eriod of time....Normally. There has been distribution, as marked by the RED zones. This is heavier distribution and as you can see, this Stopped at the beginning of this month, having begun when we reached the high towards end of 2024. So many thought that was cycle ATH They have seen the error of their ways BUT, Again, remain Cautious till we see a bigger move higher. And now my favorite, MACD And for me, this is where we will see the decision being made. We are approaching the Neutral zone Last time we bounced off this area was in October 2024 and we went from 70K to 109K BUT remain cautious, we have every possibility that we may fall through the neutral zone for a while too....But we are in an area that could show us a time to move. This is a LINEAR Bitcoin Daily chart And those descending lines are FIB Circles and you can see how PA often runs along them. You can also see how we are in a Pinch, a tight Squeeze right now ( arrow) with Horizontal line of support and the rejecting red 236 Fib circle. That Apex is, again, at the end of the month. So, to conclude, we are certainly heading towards a Move and possibly a new trend. I like to think this will be Bullish but there are plenty f reasons for Caution. I will remain with my Monthly charts that suggest June may be RED and that after than we will see more Green. A Dip is possible and I have New Buy orders around 98K incase PA wicks down to them but there is NO guarantee this will happen...OR if it does, that it will stop there.... We just have to be prepared. Stay safe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Silver Offers More Upside and Less Risk Than Bitcoin In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, two assets often stand out for their allure as alternative stores of value: silver and Bitcoin (BTC). Both have captured the imagination of investors seeking diversification beyond traditional equities and bonds, yet they cater to vastly different risk profiles and market dynamics. Recently, Bitcoin has experienced a notable dip in its price, prompting renewed debate about its stability and long-term potential. Amid this backdrop, silver emerges as a compelling alternative, offering more upside potential and less risk compared to the volatile cryptocurrency. While crypto enthusiasts argue Bitcoin's dominance and rising market cap cement its position as a leading asset, silver’s fundamental strengths, historical resilience, and current market positioning make a strong case for its outperformance in the near term. This article delves into the comparative analysis of silver and Bitcoin, exploring their respective market conditions, risk-reward profiles, fundamental drivers, and technical outlooks. It also addresses the counterarguments from Bitcoin supporters and examines why, despite BTC’s impressive $2 trillion market cap and higher global asset ranking, silver presents a more attractive opportunity for investors seeking stability and growth in the current economic climate. ________________________________________ The Current State of Bitcoin: A Dip Sparks Concern Bitcoin, often heralded as "digital gold," has been a transformative force in the financial world since its inception in 2009. Its meteoric rise over the past decade, culminating in a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at its peak, has solidified its status as a dominant alternative asset. As of late 2023, Bitcoin ranks among the top global assets by market value, far surpassing silver, which holds a market cap of approximately $1.4 trillion based on total above-ground silver stocks valued at current prices. However, Bitcoin’s recent price dip—following a period of intense volatility—has raised eyebrows among investors. After reaching an all-time high near $73,000 in early 2023, BTC has corrected by over 20%, trading closer to $55,000-$60,000 in recent weeks (based on hypothetical data for this analysis). This decline has been attributed to a combination of factors, including macroeconomic pressures like rising interest rates, regulatory scrutiny in major markets, and profit-taking by institutional investors. Such volatility is not new to Bitcoin; it has historically experienced sharp corrections of 30% or more during bull runs. Yet, each dip reignites debates about its reliability as a store of value, especially for risk-averse investors. Crypto supporters have been quick to defend Bitcoin, emphasizing its long-term upward trajectory and growing adoption. They argue that Bitcoin’s market cap, which dwarfs silver’s, reflects its superior position in the global asset hierarchy. Moreover, institutional interest—evidenced by the entry of major players like BlackRock and Fidelity into Bitcoin ETFs—underscores its staying power. Proponents also point to Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and finite supply (capped at 21 million coins) as reasons it remains a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, even amidst short-term price fluctuations. Despite these arguments, Bitcoin’s inherent volatility remains a sticking point. Its price swings are often driven by speculative fervor, market sentiment, and external shocks—factors that are difficult to predict or model. For investors prioritizing capital preservation alongside growth, Bitcoin’s risk profile during periods of uncertainty can be a significant deterrent. This is where silver steps into the spotlight as a more stable alternative with comparable, if not superior, upside potential in the current market environment. ________________________________________ Silver’s Resilient Appeal: A Safe Haven with Growth Potential Silver, often referred to as the "poor man’s gold," has been a store of value for centuries, long predating the advent of cryptocurrencies. Unlike Bitcoin, which operates purely in the digital realm, silver is a tangible asset with intrinsic value derived from its industrial applications and historical role as currency. In 2023, silver prices have shown relative stability compared to Bitcoin, trading in a range of $22-$28 per ounce, with recent movements suggesting a potential breakout above key resistance levels. Fundamental Drivers of Silver’s Upside Several fundamental factors position silver for significant upside in the near to medium term, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s current challenges: 1. Industrial Demand and Green Energy Boom: Silver is a critical component in various industries, notably in the production of solar panels, electronics, and batteries. The global push for renewable energy has driven a surge in demand for silver, as it is the most conductive metal and essential for photovoltaic cells. According to the Silver Institute, industrial demand for silver reached a record high in 2022 and is projected to grow by 8-10% annually through 2025. This structural demand provides a solid foundation for price appreciation, unlike Bitcoin, whose value is largely speculative. 2. Supply Constraints: Silver mining output has struggled to keep pace with rising demand, creating a persistent market deficit. In 2022, the global silver market recorded a deficit of over 200 million ounces, the largest in decades. With limited new mine discoveries and geopolitical risks affecting major silver-producing regions (e.g., Mexico and Peru), supply tightness is likely to support higher prices. Bitcoin, while also constrained by its 21 million coin cap, faces no such physical supply-demand imbalance, as its scarcity is algorithmic rather than resource-based. 3. Inflation Hedge with Lower Volatility: Silver has historically served as a hedge against inflation, much like gold. With global inflation remaining elevated in 2023 due to lingering supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, investors are increasingly turning to precious metals for portfolio protection. Unlike Bitcoin, which has shown mixed results as an inflation hedge (often correlating with risk assets like tech stocks), silver’s price tends to rise during periods of economic uncertainty with far less volatility. For instance, while Bitcoin dropped 20% in its recent dip, silver has fluctuated within a 10-15% range over the same period. 4. Undervaluation Relative to Gold: The gold-to-silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, currently stands at around 80:1, near historic highs. This suggests silver is undervalued relative to gold and could see significant price gains if the ratio reverts to its long-term average of 60:1. A move toward this level could push silver prices to $35-$40 per ounce, representing a 40-60% upside from current levels—a far more achievable target than Bitcoin reclaiming its all-time high. 5. Risk Profile: Silver vs. Bitcoin Silver’s risk profile is notably more favorable than Bitcoin’s for several reasons: • Lower Volatility: Silver’s price movements are less erratic than Bitcoin’s. While silver can experience short-term fluctuations due to macroeconomic data or shifts in industrial demand, it rarely sees the 10-20% daily swings common in the crypto market. This makes silver a safer bet for investors wary of sudden capital erosion. • Tangible Asset: As a physical commodity, silver carries no counterparty risk. Bitcoin, despite its decentralized nature, is vulnerable to risks such as exchange hacks, regulatory bans, and technological failures (e.g., network congestion or 51% attacks). Silver’s tangibility offers a layer of security absent in digital assets. • Historical Stability: Silver has weathered economic crises for centuries, maintaining its value during wars, depressions, and inflationary periods. Bitcoin, while resilient in its own right, lacks a comparable track record, having existed for only 14 years—a period too short to fully assess its behavior across diverse economic cycles. ________________________________________ Technical Analysis: Silver Poised for Breakout, Bitcoin Faces Resistance From a technical perspective, silver’s chart patterns and indicators suggest a stronger short-term outlook compared to Bitcoin. Silver Technical Outlook • Price Action: Silver has been consolidating in a tight range between $22 and $26 per ounce for much of 2023, forming a bullish triangle pattern on the daily chart. This pattern often precedes a breakout, and with prices recently testing the upper boundary near $26, a move above this level could trigger a rally toward $30, a key psychological resistance. • Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for silver is currently at 55, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory (above 70). Additionally, the 50-day moving average (MA) is on the verge of crossing above the 200-day MA—a bullish "golden cross" signal. • Support and Resistance: Strong support exists at $22, a level tested multiple times in 2023, while resistance at $26-$28 remains the immediate hurdle. A breakout above $28 could pave the way for a rapid move to $35, aligning with fundamental upside targets. Bitcoin Technical Outlook • Price Action: Bitcoin’s recent dip has seen it fall below key support at $60,000, with prices now testing the $55,000 level. The daily chart shows a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming, which, if confirmed, could signal further downside to $48,000-$50,000. • Indicators: BTC’s RSI is at 40, approaching oversold territory, which may attract bargain hunters. However, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains bearish, with the signal line below the MACD line, suggesting continued downward pressure. • Support and Resistance: Immediate support lies at $50,000, a psychologically significant level, while resistance at $60,000-$62,000 must be reclaimed to restore bullish momentum. Until then, BTC remains vulnerable to further selling pressure. While Bitcoin could rebound if oversold conditions trigger buying, its technical setup suggests higher near-term risk compared to silver’s more constructive chart pattern. Silver’s consolidation and potential breakout offer a clearer path to gains with defined support levels to manage downside risk. ________________________________________ Counterarguments from Crypto Supporters: Bitcoin’s Dominance and Market Cap Crypto enthusiasts have been vocal in defending Bitcoin’s position, even amid its recent dip. Their arguments center on several key points, which deserve consideration: 1. Market Cap and Global Ranking: Bitcoin’s market cap of over $2 trillion places it far ahead of silver (approximately $1.4 trillion) in global asset rankings. This reflects widespread investor confidence and institutional adoption, positioning BTC as a more mainstream asset than silver in the digital age. 2. Long-Term Growth Trajectory: Despite short-term corrections, Bitcoin has delivered staggering returns over the past decade, far outpacing silver. From a price of under $1,000 in 2017 to peaks above $70,000 in 2023, BTC’s growth story remains compelling for long-term holders. 3. Adoption and Innovation: Bitcoin’s integration into financial systems—via ETFs, payment platforms like PayPal, and corporate treasuries (e.g., Tesla and MicroStrategy)—demonstrates its growing utility. Silver, while valuable, lacks a comparable narrative of technological disruption or mainstream adoption beyond industrial and investment use. 4. Inflation Hedge Narrative: Proponents argue Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it a superior hedge against fiat currency debasement, especially in an era of unprecedented central bank money printing. Silver, while also a traditional inflation hedge, is subject to industrial demand cycles that can dilute its safe-haven appeal. While these points highlight Bitcoin’s strengths, they do not fully address the asset’s short-term risks or volatility. Market cap, while impressive, does not guarantee stability—evidenced by BTC’s frequent boom-and-bust cycles. Long-term growth is also less relevant for investors focused on near-term opportunities, where silver’s fundamentals and technicals suggest a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Moreover, Bitcoin’s adoption is a double-edged sword; increased regulatory scrutiny could dampen its appeal, as seen in recent crackdowns in China and proposed legislation in the EU and US. Silver faces no such existential threats, as its value is rooted in physical utility rather than regulatory acceptance. ________________________________________ Comparative Risk-Reward: Why Silver Edges Out Bitcoin To summarize the risk-reward dynamics, let’s compare silver and Bitcoin across key metrics: • Upside Potential: Silver offers a realistic 40-60% upside to $35-$40 per ounce based on fundamental demand, supply deficits, and historical gold-silver ratio trends. Bitcoin, while capable of larger percentage gains, requires a return to $70,000 (a 25-30% increase from current levels) just to reclaim its recent high—a target complicated by bearish technicals and macro headwinds. • Downside Risk: Silver’s downside is capped by strong support at $22, representing a 10-15% drop from current levels. Bitcoin, conversely, could fall another 10-20% to $50,000 or lower if bearish patterns play out, with no tangible floor beyond speculative buying interest. • Volatility: Silver’s historical volatility (annualized standard deviation of returns) averages around 20-25%, compared to Bitcoin’s 60-80%. For risk-averse investors, silver provides a smoother ride. • Liquidity and Accessibility: Both assets are highly liquid, with silver traded via futures, ETFs (e.g., SLV), and physical bullion, and Bitcoin accessible through exchanges and funds. However, silver avoids the cybersecurity and regulatory risks tied to crypto trading platforms. • ________________________________________ Broader Economic Context: Silver’s Edge in Uncertain Times The global economic environment in 2023 further tilts the balance toward silver. With central banks like the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank tightening monetary policy to combat inflation, risk assets like Bitcoin—often correlated with tech stocks—face headwinds from higher interest rates. Silver, however, benefits from its dual role as an industrial commodity and safe haven, making it less sensitive to rate hikes. Geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and US-China trade frictions, also bolster demand for precious metals as portfolio diversifiers, while Bitcoin’s behavior during such crises remains unproven over long cycles. Additionally, silver’s lower price point compared to gold makes it more accessible to retail investors, potentially driving broader demand during economic uncertainty. Bitcoin, with its high nominal price per coin, can feel out of reach for smaller investors, even if fractional ownership is possible. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Silver Shines Brighter for Now While Bitcoin’s $2 trillion market cap and global asset ranking underscore its dominance, the cryptocurrency’s recent dip highlights the risks inherent in its volatile nature. Silver, by contrast, offers a compelling mix of upside potential and lower risk, driven by strong industrial demand, supply constraints, and its role as a traditional safe haven. Technical indicators further support silver’s near-term breakout potential, while Bitcoin faces resistance and bearish patterns that could prolong its correction. Crypto supporters are right to highlight Bitcoin’s long-term growth story and innovative appeal, but for investors focused on the short to medium term, silver presents a more attractive opportunity. Its tangible value, historical resilience, and alignment with current economic trends make it a safer bet for capital preservation and growth. As markets navigate uncertainty in 2023, silver shines brighter than Bitcoin, offering a stable path to profit with less exposure to the wild swings of the crypto world. Investors would be wise to consider allocating to silver as a core holding, balancing the allure of digital assets with the enduring reliability of precious metals.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Strategic Interval – Latency & Asymmetric Bias.⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – Binance – (CHART: 1D) – (June 20, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,025.88. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D): ▦ EMA21 – ($105,772.44): ∴ The price remains fractionally above EMA21, retaking the short-term reactive axis; ∴ Despite prior rejection, current candle shows renewed traction with a solid close above; ∴ The slope is flat–rising, signaling the potential reactivation of local trend continuation. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 is tentatively reclaimed – a short-term bullish signal under close scrutiny. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($95,921.92): ∴ Long-term structure preserved: price maintains a wide buffer over SMA200; ∴ The moving average exhibits a healthy upward slope, uninterrupted since Q4 2023; ∴ No technical threat detected to the macro-trend structure. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA200 acts as the primary institutional defense line. No stress present. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (105,899 | 105,738 | 102,433 | 105,576 | 106,025): ∴ Price is nestled precisely within the flat upper cloud band – a known zone of consolidation; ∴ Span A and B are beginning to flatten, suggesting temporary exhaustion of momentum; ∴ Chikou remains above price – confirming trend integrity. ✴️ Conclusion: Ichimoku signals a pause, not a break – directional clarity pending. ⊢ ▦ MACD (12,26,9) – (Histogram: -364.87 | MACD: 257.20 | Signal: 622.06): ∴ Bearish histogram remains negative, but shrinking for three sessions; ∴ MACD line curling upward with initial convergence to Signal line; ∴ Reversal signal forming but not yet triggered. ✴️ Conclusion: Early signs of MACD cross; confirmation requires follow-through. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (53.17 | Avg: 51.74): ∴ RSI reclaims neutral-positive zone, stabilizing above 50; ∴ Structure shows divergence fading, with momentum recovering slowly; ∴ Still far from exhaustion thresholds. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI favors the bulls with cautious optimism. ⊢ ▦ Volume (Last 5 Days): ∴ Volume remains muted, averaging 110–120k Bitcoin/day; ∴ No aggressive buy or sell pressure confirmed; ∴ Current move lacks conviction – suggests passive spot activity. ✴️ Conclusion: Price is advancing without volume confirmation – fragility persists. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Structural trend remains intact and undisturbed on the macro scale; ∴ Short-term bullish reclaim of EMA21 within the cloud, but momentum and volume still lag; ∴ Absence of conviction demands validation from price action or macro catalyst. ⊢ ∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ 🝰 Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7): ∴ Metric sits near historic lows (≈0.4 BTC), denoting multi-week suppression of inflows; ∴ Correlates directly with reduced sell-side pressure from whales and institutions; ∴ Price structure remains unchallenged by inflow spikes – consistent with strategic holding. ✴️ Conclusion: Absence of fear or distribution among large holders – bullish backdrop intact. ⊢ ▦ 🜍 Estimated Leverage Ratio – (Current: 0.259): ∴ Leverage steadily increasing, now entering historical danger zone; ∴ Elevated risk of cascade liquidations on any sharp downside move; ∴ Suggests the current rally is not organically fueled by spot demand. ✴️ Conclusion: Price structure is leveraged, not grounded – risk of synthetic instability. ⊢ ▦ 🝗 Exchange Reserves - (Binance) – (≈544.5K BTC): ∴ Continuous net outflows – multi-month drain confirmed; ∴ Reflects silent accumulation or self-custody migration; ∴ No exchange-driven supply pressure visible. ✴️ Conclusion: Structural supply depleting – passive bullish signal. ⊢ ▦ ⚒ Miners’ Position Index - (MPI) – (-1.1): ∴ Readings below 0 indicate minimal miner distribution; ∴ Suggests miners are confident, or at least not forced to sell at current levels; ∴ Historically coincides with market support zones. ✴️ Conclusion: Miner behavior aligned with trend preservation – not resistance. ⊢ ▦ 🜚 Funding Rate - (All Exchanges) – (+0.003): ∴ Rates mildly positive, indicating slight dominance of long positioning; ∴ No excessive funding imbalance – healthy sentiment baseline; ∴ Reflects controlled bullish bias with no speculative overheating. ✴️ Conclusion: Longs exist, but not in a way that endangers trend integrity. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ On-chain metrics echo the technical chart: structurally sound, short-term vulnerable; ∴ Long-term holders remain disengaged from distribution behavior; ∴ The system is healthy, but carries hidden leverage that may trigger volatility. ⊢ ⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus: ▦ 🇺🇸 United States – Federal Axis & Risk Channels: ∴ Treasury Yield Curve remains slightly positive (+0.44%), removing short-term recession signal; ∴ 10Y yield elevated at 4.42% – reflects sustained inflation resistance and risk demand; ∴ Fed has signaled no rate cuts before September – QT policy remains; ∴ Speculative expectations for only 1–2 cuts in 2025; ∴ Trump administration signals potential military action in Iran, igniting geopolitical risk premium. ✴️ Conclusion: U.S. monetary regime is steady–tight; geopolitical volatility injects asymmetric risk into crypto valuations. ⊢ ▦ 🇨🇳 China – Internal Stimulus & Soft Deflation: ∴ Industrial Production slows to +5.8% YoY – weakest in 6 months; ∴ Retail sales climb to +6.4% YoY due to stimulus programs ("618 event", consumption vouchers); ∴ PPI remains deflationary (-3.3% YoY), compressing industrial margins; ∴ Fiscal revenue down -0.3% YTD – signals internal fragility despite easing efforts. ✴️ Conclusion: China is applying targeted stimulus, but lacks decisive global impact – neutral crypto flow effect. ⊢ ▦ 🇪🇺 European Union – Disinflation & Rate Reversal: ∴ HICP inflation falls to 1.9% – below ECB’s 2.0% target; ∴ ECB cuts deposit rate by 25bps – now 2.00%; ∴ PMI Composite remains below 50 – economic contraction underway; ∴ ECB forward guidance signals data-dependence and hesitation for further cuts. ✴️ Conclusion: Europe is easing rates amidst stagnation – weak driver for global risk flows. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Interflux Macro Oracle: ∴ U.S. tight policy + Iran tension = dual pressure point on risk assets; ∴ China’s mild stimulus is not yet globally inflationary – no volatility trigger; ∴ EU drifts silently – supportive, but irrelevant to Bitcoin in current configuration; ∴ Global system is stable in appearance, but tactically charged beneath – setup aligns with Bitcoin volatility potential. ⊢ IV. ♝ Market Sentiment - Media & Institutional Lens: ▦ The Block – Corporate Stockpiling Thesis: ∴ Ongoing accumulation of Bitcoin by public and private entities continues across Q2; ∴ Institutional wallets showing strategic DCA behavior – interpreted as positioning for either macro easing or geopolitical hedge; ∴ Unlike past cycles, no major corporate selloffs have been detected. ✴️ Conclusion: Institutional base remains in passive accumulation – potential catalyst insulation. ⊢ ▦ CoinDesk – Sentiment Report – BTC at $92K Risk Threshold: ∴ Despite price climbing above $106K, analysts caution of technical rejection scenarios; ∴ Zones near $92K identified as high-liquidity, high-reaction clusters; ∴ Chart analysis frames current movement as vulnerable if macro catalysts turn hawkish. ✴️ Conclusion: Sentiment remains cautiously bullish but alert to correction windows. ⊢ ▦ InfoMoney – U.S. Military Risk – Iran Strike Potential: ∴ Reported internal briefing of U.S. military planning toward Iranian targets; ∴ Trump’s media team leveraging geopolitical strength posture to influence sentiment; ∴ Markets (Dow Futures) showing pre-market decline on the headline. ✴️ Conclusion: Bitcoin holds narrative premium under geopolitical fear – but risk surge remains volatile. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Media Oracle: ∴ The crypto narrative is suspended between structural trust (institutional accumulation) and external fear (macro-political instability); ∴ Bitcoin presently benefits from asymmetric narrative positioning — but lacks transactional confirmation; ∴ Media flows suggest that sentiment will pivot swiftly if Powell’s tone confirms further hawkish stance or if Iran tension escalates. ⊢ ⊢ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ The 1D reclaim of EMA21 inside the Ichimoku flat cloud reflects a market in suspended potential, where trend continuation and failure share equal weight; ∴ On-chain dynamics remain structurally undisturbed, yet veiled in a fragile layer of leveraged positioning; ∴ Exchange reserves continue their descent, detaching the market from traditional sell-side threat, but increasing reliance on thin liquidity zones; ∴ Macro vectors (Fed policy + Middle East tension) hover as dual shadows, capable of igniting volatility without prelude; ∴ Institutional accumulation remains active, but no longer decisive - the market awaits external ignition, not internal strength; ∴ Sentiment is asymmetrically bullish, yet explicitly unconfirmed in transactional volume and price aggression; ∴ The system is quiet - not because it is resolved, but because it is observing itself. This is a moment of ritual latency. ⊢ ⌘ Market Status – Tactical Mode: ✴️ Strategic Position: “Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended”; ✴️ Primary Mode: “Observation Priority”; ✴️ Tactical Stance:  ∴ No active positioning expansion without confirmation beyond Ichimoku flat zone;  ∴ Watch for MACD confirmation and volume acceleration;  ∴ Monitor geopolitical escalation and Powell’s tone – both capable of shifting structural balance. ✴️ Directional Bias: Neutral–Bullish, contingent upon validation; ✴️ Key Zone of Collapse Risk: $92,000; ✴️ Ascent Gate: $110,800 + (confirmation threshold). ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis🔍 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis 📆 Chart Context: Published on: June 18, 2025 Instrument: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT) Timeframe: Appears to be 4H or 1H based on candle width and structure 🧠 Market Structure 🔸 Lower Highs Forming Clear rejection from around 110,000–112,000 USDT A sequence of lower highs suggests bearish momentum Market is failing to break previous highs, signaling potential reversal 🔸 Strong Support Zone Marked between $99,000 – $100,000 This level has previously caused price reversals (see June 6 and 13 wicks) Currently being tested again — buyers have defended this area twice 🔁 Price Action & Candlestick Behavior Recent candles show indecision and weakness after a mild bounce Wick rejections near $106,000–$107,000 point to supply zone Projected path (gray curve) implies a small pullback, then a breakdown into the support zone 📉 Prediction: Price Outlook ✴️ Short-Term (1–3 Days): A likely pullback to $106,000, then a drop toward $100,000–$99,000 If support fails to hold, next target is $96,000–$94,500 ✴️ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Candle close below $99,000 with high volume = clear sell signal In this case, bears may aim for $92,000–$90,000 next ✴️ Bullish Scenario (Less Likely): If price holds above $104,000 and breaks $108,000, next resistance: $110,500–$112,000 📊 Key Technical Zones Zone Type Price Level (USDT) Note Resistance $110,000–$112,000 Previous top, major supply zone Short-Term Resistance $106,000–$107,000 Weak bounce, possible entry area for shorts Current Price ~$104,376 Weak consolidation Support Zone $99,000–$100,000 Key demand area Breakdown Target $96,000–$94,000 If support fails ✅ Professional Outlook Summary Market Bias: 📉 Bearish Action Zone: 🔍 Watching $106K as potential short entry Support Critical: $99K must hold, or deeper drop Risk Level: ⚠️ High volatility likely
Short
by MQL_CodedPips
BTC Triangle Squeezing Toward $100 K — Sellers Press🎯 TL;DR A four-week contracting triangle is coiling price just under $105 K. Measured move ⇒ $100 506 Both W.ARITAS Quantum RSI flash strong selling pressure while QSP shows a weak trend. On-chain: miners dumped ≈30 000 BTC since late May, yet spot-ETF inflows have stayed positive eight days straight. Base case: price breaks lower into $100 K-97 K, where I expect a sharp bounce. 🗺️ Chart at a Glance Element Detail Pattern Symmetrical / contracting triangle (late-Apr → present) Immediate pivot $104 800 – reclaimed as resistance (red circle) Target 1 $100 506 – triangle measured move Demand block $96 900 – $95 000 – weekly support & June VWAP Invalidation 6-h close > $106 000 🔧 Technical Internals Momentum 🟣 Quantum RSI: −23 / −41 and falling → sellers dominate. QSP: muted blue histogram sub-zero → trend itself is still weak, so expect whipsaws near support. Structure 🔵 Three successive lower-highs (113 K → 110 K → 109 K) tighten the squeeze. Price is riding the underside of the triangle, a common “kiss-of-death” before resolution. 🔍 Fundamental / Flow Backdrop Miners on the offer – Wallet balances down ~30 000 BTC over 20 days (≈ $3.1 B) Source: IntoTheBlock via CoinDesk, 19 Jun 2025 ETF demand refuses to quit – U.S. spot ETFs pulled $388.3 M on 18 Jun, marking 8 consecutive inflow days Source: CoinTelegraph, Cryptonomist, 19 Jun 2025 Regulatory clarity incoming – U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan stablecoin bill on 17 Jun; House vote next Source: Reuters, 17 Jun 2025 Net: structural sellers (miners, profit-takers) vs. structural buyers (ETFs). Right now, technicals side with the sellers. 📈 Trade Map (3-8 Week Horizon) 106 000 – 104 800 Triangle top & failed breakout zone Bias flips bullish only on sustained reclaim 100 506 Measured-move target + psychological $100 K Primary TP / bounce watch 96 900 – 95 000 Weekly demand, June VWAP Secondary TP if 100 K gives way 110 000 + Pattern invalidation Opens road to 113 K-115 K ATH cluster 🛠️ Execution Idea (Not Financial Advice) Trigger: 6-hour close < $103 500 confirms breakdown. Entry Bias: Short retest of 104.8 K-105.5 K. Targets: TP1 – $100 500 TP2 – $97 000 (only if momentum stays bearish) Stop / Invalidation: 6-hour close > $106 000 and Quantum RSI flips back to green.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by insidermike
Chainlink (LINKUSDT) | Falling Wedge at Critical SupportChainlink is trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, a typically bullish reversal setup. Price action indicates the coin is hovering just above key horizontal support around $12.35, making this a critical zone to watch. Technical Breakdown: Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Bias) Current Price: $12.98 Immediate Support: $12.35 Major Support: $10.71 Resistance 1: $13.80 (wedge upper trendline) Breakout Targets: $17.78 (major resistance) $20.03 (macro level supply zone) Indicators: RSI (14) at ~42 → Weak but stabilizing, potential for reversal Volume has been compressing — watch for a breakout with rising volume for confirmation Strategy: A 4H close above the wedge trendline with volume could trigger a breakout rally toward $17.78 or even $20.03. Failure to hold $12.35 could send LINK back toward $10.71 support, caution below this level. Setup Summary: Long entry on breakout above $13.50 (trendline) Stop-loss: Below $12.35 Target 1: $17.78 Target 2: $20.03 Risk: Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ Not financial advice. DYOR before entering trades. If this analysis helps, like & comment your view.
Long
by ScramblerG
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June. Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed. 🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump. 💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k. And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little. ⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume. What do you think?
by P_S_trade
2
Bitcoin, Interest rates & Key fundamental points since 2021 The Growing question is just how much does the American Federal Reserve interest rate changes effect Bitcoin. We can see how in 2022, it appears they did but from late 2022 and early 2023, it doesn't seem to. Bitcoin began its rise even while rates were being put up. The Fundimental Key points may have had more impact but again, there are moments were we can see something that should have been Great for BTC, had little effect and Visa Versa. Has Bitcon Truly Broken away from being effected by the worlds "largest" economy ? We are currently seeing the ever growing threat of WW3 and Rates being Kept artificially High by the US Fed Reserve. The EU Central banks has already reduced its rate twice while the USA remained with no change ) And Bitcoin remains stable. And Bitcoins international adoption continues. STACK SATS
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.📉 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Technical Outlook 🔍 Structure Insight: Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Price action appears compressed between key trendlines, hinting at an imminent breakout. --- 🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias) If BTC fails to hold above the lower boundary of the range, a decisive break below could trigger a sharp move toward the 103,650–103,000 demand zone. The structure supports continuation to the downside if the price rejects resistance again. 🧊 Bearish Confluence: Price is unable to break above dynamic resistance. Momentum remains weak near the mid-range. Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure. --- 🔼 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (Alternative View) A breakout above the descending trendline and confirmation candle could flip bias short-term bullish. This would target the 105,400+ region as the next liquidity area. ⚡ Bullish Signs to Watch: Break and retest above trendline resistance. Bullish engulfing or breakout candle with volume. --- 🔍 Key Levels to Monitor Support: 103,650 / 103,000 Resistance: 105,000 / 105,400 Breakout Zones: Watch for clean breaks and retests outside the wedge pattern. --- 📌 Conclusion: BTC is coiling within a tightening range. The breakout direction will likely dictate the next short-term trend. Maintain flexibility — breakout confirmation is key before positioning. 🚨 Not financial advice — always DYOR before trading!
by Peter_Wade
FUNUSDT Forming Bullish BreakoutFUNUSDT is currently showing a bullish breakout from a long-term descending channel, indicating a potential reversal and strong upside momentum building. After a prolonged downtrend within the falling structure, the price has now breached resistance with notable volume support, signaling that buyers are beginning to regain control. This technical breakout, combined with fresh investor interest, adds significant weight to a potential bullish continuation move in the coming days and weeks. The pattern visible here is suggestive of a classic trend reversal. With volume expanding and momentum indicators turning bullish, the setup implies a strong recovery is underway. Historical data shows that when FUNUSDT breaks out of such structures, it often leads to parabolic price movements. The chart projects a target gain of around 140% to 150%, with intermediate resistance levels offering multiple potential entries and take-profit zones. The initial breakout is already attracting attention from both retail and institutional traders. On the fundamental side, FunFair continues to be a recognized name in the blockchain gaming and decentralized gambling space. Its legacy presence, combined with renewed volume interest and community activity, is contributing to the renewed investor enthusiasm. Additionally, the project is increasingly being mentioned across various trading forums and crypto communities, further amplifying the probability of a continued upward trend. Overall, FUNUSDT is one of the more exciting low-cap altcoins currently in a technical sweet spot. With the breakout confirmed and bullish targets ahead, this could be a great opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on early-stage momentum before wider market recognition kicks in. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
₿itcoin: SetbackBitcoin has come under selling pressure in recent hours. We cannot rule out that a deeper dip may precede the next leg higher into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once green wave B concludes in this range, we anticipate a wave C decline into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 to complete the larger orange wave a. From there, a corrective rally in orange wave b is expected, which should set the stage for a final leg lower to finalize blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, we’re still monitoring the alternative scenario (30% probability), in which blue wave alt.(i) is still in progress. In this case, BTC would stage an immediate breakout above resistance at $130,891. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
Bitcoin Daily Linear chart getting Squeezed on FED day - Caution Those Fib circles are showing their strength again. See how PA is pushed by them 99% of the Time. And right now, we see PA ina tight Squeeze between horizontal Local support and that falling red 236 fib circle. The Apex of that Bearish pennant is near the end of this month. And, Today, depending on how Markets react to the FED Rate decision, PA could break away from this A Push higher will meet resistance around 109K A Drop lower would find support around 100K - 98K And if I am going to show a Bearish side, a drop to the 4.618 at 92K is VERY possible given Macro events We live in Hope that the Bulls Will show up
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁 In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️ We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders. For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
by fxtraderanthony
2
Is the Bitcoin Cash Hype Over? BCH/BTC Ratio Flashes WarningThe Great Divergence: Why the Bitcoin Cash-Bitcoin Ratio Breakdown Signals More Than Just a Price Drop In the unforgiving arena of the cryptocurrency markets, every chart tells a story. Some whisper of quiet accumulation, others scream of speculative frenzy. But few charts tell a story as profound and historically charged as the Bitcoin Cash to Bitcoin (BCH/BTC) ratio. For years, this ratio has been the ultimate barometer of a digital civil war, a measure of the hopes and failures of a project born from a contentious schism. Recently, that barometer has given its clearest signal in months: a decisive and powerful breakdown from a multi-month triangle pattern. This technical event is far more than a simple squiggle on a screen for traders. It represents the potential end of a speculative, hype-driven rally and the forceful reassertion of a brutal, long-term trend. It signals that the fundamental chasm between Bitcoin, the undisputed king of digital assets, and Bitcoin Cash, its most famous and ambitious offshoot, may be widening once again. The breakdown suggests that the brief period of optimism for Bitcoin Cash, fueled by its own halving event and a broader market updraft, may be conclusively over. To understand the gravity of this moment, one must dissect not only the technical pattern itself but also the deep-seated historical and fundamental weaknesses that made this breakdown almost inevitable. The Anatomy of a Technical Collapse: Smashing the Triangle For much of 2024, the BCH/BTC ratio was trapped in a state of compression. On the chart, this appeared as a classic symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, creating two converging trendlines that form the shape of a triangle. In market terms, it represents a period of intense equilibrium and indecision. Buyers and sellers are locked in a fierce battle, with neither side able to gain a definitive edge. The price coils tighter and tighter, like a compressed spring, building up energy for an explosive move. The only question is which direction it will break. In the case of the BCH/BTC ratio, that question has been answered with a resounding crash. The price has decisively broken below the lower trendline of the triangle. This is known as a "breakdown," and it is a powerfully bearish signal. It signifies that the sellers have overwhelmed the buyers, the equilibrium has been shattered, and the path of least resistance is now firmly downwards. Traders often measure the potential target of such a breakdown by taking the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance downwards from the point of the breakdown. Given the scale of this particular pattern, this technical measurement points to a significant further decline in the ratio, potentially revisiting and even surpassing its all-time lows. This isn't just a minor dip; it's a structural failure on the chart that suggests a new, sustained leg down in Bitcoin Cash's performance relative to Bitcoin. The "hype rally" that saw the ratio climb in the lead-up to the Bitcoin Cash halving has been effectively erased, and the market is signaling that the fundamental gravity of the long-term downtrend is taking hold once more. A Ghost in the Machine: The Lingering Shadow of the 2017 Fork This technical breakdown did not occur in a vacuum. It is a single chapter in a long and bitter saga that began in 2017. To grasp its significance, we must revisit the great "Block Size War" that tore the Bitcoin community apart. At its heart was a philosophical disagreement about how to scale Bitcoin to accommodate more users. One camp, which included many of the earliest adopters and evangelists, argued for a simple solution: increase the block size. By allowing more transactions to fit into each block, the network could process more volume and keep fees low, preserving what they saw as Bitcoin's original vision of a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system." The other camp, which ultimately retained control of the Bitcoin protocol, argued for a more cautious approach. They feared that large blocks would lead to centralization, making it too expensive for ordinary users to run a full node and validate the blockchain. Their solution was to keep the base layer small and secure, and to build scaling solutions on top of it, such as the Lightning Network. This ideological impasse led to a "hard fork" in August 2017, creating Bitcoin Cash. For a brief, euphoric period, BCH was seen as a legitimate contender. Fueled by a powerful narrative and influential backers, its price soared, and the BCH/BTC ratio hit an all-time high of over 0.5 in late 2017, sparking serious talk of a "flippening"—the moment BCH would overtake BTC in market capitalization. That moment never came. Since that peak, the BCH/BTC ratio has been locked in a devastating, multi-year downtrend. The recent triangle pattern was merely a pause, a brief consolidation within this much larger waterfall decline. The breakdown from the triangle is therefore not a new event, but a continuation of a historical trend. It is the market's brutal verdict on the outcome of that civil war. The Fundamental Chasm: Why Bitcoin Cash Keeps Losing Ground A chart pattern is ultimately a reflection of underlying fundamentals. The relentless decline of the BCH/BTC ratio is a direct consequence of the widening gap between the two networks across every meaningful metric. 1. Narrative and Brand Identity: Bitcoin has successfully cultivated a simple, powerful, and globally understood narrative: it is digital gold. It is a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a pristine, unconfiscatable asset. This narrative has attracted institutions, nation-states, and trillions of dollars in potential capital. Bitcoin Cash, meanwhile, has struggled to define itself. Its narrative as "peer-to-peer electronic cash" is less compelling in a world with countless low-fee payment options, including stablecoins and Bitcoin's own Lightning Network. Without a clear and unique value proposition, it has failed to capture the market's imagination. 2. Security and Hash Rate: The most critical measure of a proof-of-work blockchain's health is its hash rate—the total computational power dedicated to securing the network. Here, the difference is staggering. Bitcoin's hash rate is orders of magnitude higher than Bitcoin Cash's. This makes Bitcoin exponentially more secure and resistant to a 51% attack, where a malicious actor could gain control of the network. Bitcoin Cash, with its comparatively minuscule hash rate, remains theoretically vulnerable, a fundamental flaw that deters serious institutional capital. 3. Developer Activity and Innovation: The heart of any technology is its developer community. The most innovative and exciting developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem are happening on the main chain. The activation of Taproot, the explosion of Ordinals and Inscriptions, and the continued growth of the Lightning Network all demonstrate a vibrant and evolving protocol. In contrast, the developer ecosystem for Bitcoin Cash has been far less dynamic. While it has its dedicated builders, it has not produced the kind of groundbreaking innovation needed to attract new users and capital. 3. Adoption and Network Effects: Bitcoin's network effect is its ultimate moat. It has spot ETFs trading on major stock exchanges, granting it unparalleled access to traditional finance. It is held on the balance sheets of public companies and is recognized as legal tender in some countries. Bitcoin Cash has none of these things. Merchant adoption has stalled, and institutional interest is virtually non-existent. In the world of networks, winners tend to take all, and Bitcoin's lead has become seemingly insurmountable. The Aftermath: What Comes Next for the BCH/BTC Ratio? With the triangle pattern now shattered, the path forward for the BCH/BTC ratio looks precarious. The most likely scenario is a continuation of the bearish trend that has been in place for over six years. The breakdown has released the coiled energy to the downside, and the ratio will likely seek out lower levels of support, potentially bleeding towards its all-time lows. For investors, this serves as a stark reminder of the risks of holding assets that are fundamentally and technically weaker than the market leader. Is there any hope for a reversal? A bull case for Bitcoin Cash would require a monumental shift. It would need to carve out a sustainable niche that Bitcoin cannot serve, perhaps in ultra-low-fee microtransactions. It would require a renaissance in developer activity, producing a "killer app" that draws in millions of users. More likely, any significant bounce in the BCH/BTC ratio would probably be a result of a massive, indiscriminate altcoin rally that lifts all boats, rather than a specific vote of confidence in Bitcoin Cash itself. Even then, history suggests such bounces are temporary and ultimately present better opportunities to sell than to buy for the long term. Conclusion: The Market Has Spoken The breakdown of the BCH/BTC ratio from its multi-month triangle is a technically significant event with profound fundamental implications. It is the market's latest verdict in the long-running war for the "real Bitcoin" title. The verdict is clear: the hype is over. The dream of a "flippening" is a distant memory, a ghost from 2017. The story of the BCH/BTC chart is a powerful lesson in market dynamics. It shows that in the brutal competition of open-source protocols, a superior narrative, impenetrable security, and a powerful network effect are the ultimate weapons. Bitcoin Cash began its life as a legitimate contender with a compelling vision. But over time, it has been outmaneuvered, out-developed, and out-adopted. The chart does not lie. It simply reflects this divergent reality, and its latest signal suggests that the great divergence between Bitcoin and its most famous offspring is set to continue.
Short
by bryandowningqln
3
₿itcoin: Directly or with a Detour?!Under our primary scenario, Bitcoin remains on track to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 during green wave B. The key question at this stage: will the crypto giant head straight for the zone – or take a detour below the $100,000 level first? Either path remains structurally consistent with the broader outlook. Once wave B concludes, we expect a pullback to unfold in wave C, with the low of that move – and the bottom of orange wave a – anticipated in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. From there, orange wave b should initiate a corrective rally, likely rebounding toward the $100,000 mark. This would set the stage for the final leg down in blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, our alternative scenario remains intact on the 8-hour chart. This 30% likely scenario suggests Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) , rather than correcting in wave (ii). A confirmed breakout above $130,891 would validate this outcome. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down. But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns. Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble. #BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement 🎯 Key Levels Analysis: ✅ Resistance: 106.3K → This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs. ✅ Support: 103.7K → Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base. ✅ Support: 99.6K → Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction. ✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K → Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
by Vandallet
Bitcoin Multiframe: Key clusters to watch before FOMC__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all major timeframes (MTFTI = Up). Supports/Resistances: No HTF pivot engaged; key on-chain support at $97.6k, resistance at $115.4k. Volume: Central oscillation within range; no major surges observed, consolidation on micro-TF. Multi-timeframe behaviors: Bullish structure dominates, technical pullback on 4H-1H-15min without major breaks. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Structurally bullish as long as key supports hold (97.6k–104.5k zone). Opportunities: Buy confirmed dips on on-chain cluster/H4-H2 area, target 110–115k extension post-FOMC positive catalyst. Risk zones: Extreme volatility expected around FOMC (June 17–18); strict risk management, avoid overexposure. Macro catalysts: FOMC (rate decision, dot plot), Fed leadership stability, Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions. Action plan: Patience until FOMC; favor setups on clear price reaction, tight stops below 97.5k (on-chain support). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Bullish momentum, price at range center ($106k). Watch for pivot break. 12H: Persistent bullish bias, confluence with 1D. 6H: Expected consolidation, bullish structure. 4H: Technical pullback, bullish structure remains. Key anticipated support 105k–104.5k. 2H: Likely move towards lower range. Up bias confirmed. 1H: Technical correction within overall Up trend. 30min/15min: Seller sequence, trend intact, no major break. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Up” across all frames, boosting the positive view despite short-term correction. Executive summary: Strong bullish convergence from Daily → 15min timeframes. Ongoing short-term pullback, no HTF pivot breaks. Any break below $97.6k would invalidate the swing bullish scenario. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro, Economic Calendar, On-chain & Risk Management __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: FOMC imminent (June 17–18): waiting – volatility on rate/dot plot. Geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel): sustained global risk-off may escalate. BTC shows strong resilience at 106k. Economic calendar (key points): June 17–18: FOMC — maximum impact (stocks, FX, crypto) June 17: Fed leadership rumors — potential volatility, BTC stable June 17, 08:30 UTC: USA — retail sales (May/core) On-chain: Key support at $97.6k (STH cost basis), resistance at $115.4k. Long-term holders are distributing, but bullish accumulation pressure intact. Clustering may amplify short-term directional moves. Key scenarios: Bullish: Extension to 110–115k if FOMC positive, stop below 97.6k. Bearish: Break of 97.6k = risk of drop towards 92.9–95.4k. Management: Avoid exposure pre-FOMC, active monitoring, strict stops. Patience & discipline: Only size up with post-FOMC validated reaction or confirmed breakout. On-chain cluster = invalidation radar for bullish bias. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
₿itcoin: Continuing B WaveBitcoin has recently reclaimed the key $106,000 level. Under our primary scenario, we anticipate continued increases into the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 – where green wave B is expected to conclude. From that corrective peak, we project a significant move lower in wave C, which should ultimately pull prices into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This range is expected to mark the completion of orange wave a. We then foresee a brief corrective rally before wave (ii) completes its broader correction with a final sell-off. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
PNUTUSDT Forming Falling WedgePNUTUSDT is presenting a compelling falling wedge pattern, signaling a high-probability bullish reversal. This technical formation typically occurs after a sustained downtrend and is characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward. In the case of PNUTUSDT, the wedge is nearing its apex, indicating that a breakout is likely imminent. The setup is further supported by healthy volume levels, adding credibility to the expected move. Historically, falling wedges often lead to explosive upside moves, and this pair is currently projecting a potential gain of 90% to 100%+ if the breakout confirms. Market interest in PNUTUSDT is steadily growing, as indicated by rising trading activity and increased visibility across community forums and social platforms. This surge in attention aligns with the volume spike seen during recent trading sessions — a classic precursor to bullish breakouts. As more investors start to take positions in anticipation of a breakout, price momentum can accelerate rapidly, creating ideal conditions for short- to mid-term gains. From a technical standpoint, a confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper resistance line could open the door to rapid price expansion, especially with limited overhead resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candlesticks, increasing volume, or a retest of the breakout level. PNUTUSDT is shaping up as an exciting opportunity for swing traders looking to capitalize on pattern-based moves in the altcoin space. With bullish sentiment, clear technical structure, and improving market participation, PNUTUSDT could be on the verge of a significant breakout. It’s a setup that combines strong technicals with growing investor interest — a powerful combination in crypto trading. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout. Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating. The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction. Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍 Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts. NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈 The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets. Summary & Outlook 🚦 BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart. Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained. The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony