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Fetch.ai $FET/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime Detection This indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies. We've just had our bull regime print and are trading just 2 days of bull regime duration. Golden cross incoming: 200D x 50D SMA crossover Key Features: - Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification - Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation - Metrics dashboard Core Signals: - Bullish Regime: Price < 200 SMA - Bearish Regime: Price > 200 SMA - Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
Long
by igreycrypto
2
Bitcoin Analysis Base On Eliott Wave Theor and Macro EconomicsBitcoin Projection Base On Technical Analysis Eliott Wave Theory & Macro Economics Target Price (Bullish Scenario) : 🔹$108.000 = Fibo Extend 1.272 🔹$134.000 = Fibo Extend 1.414 🔹$182.000 = Fibonacci Extend 1.618 INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Be Careful : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen DISCLAIMER : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections. 🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K) 🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news. 🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation. 🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !. 🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kelvin_gautama9
BTC H4 Descending Broadening WedgeBitcoin is currently trading within a Descending Broadening Wedge that appears to be completing and ready to flip bullish. RSI is 51 at time of publishing. Price action fell through the 50 sma and then recovered at the 100 sma. It then temporarily lost the 100 sma and recovered it. PA is currently sitting on the .5 extension. The bottom of the price action has also formed a "v" recovery. I think this area is bottom. Key levels to watch for after the breakout are marked with green horizontal lines and correspond to fib extensions. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Will It Break $96K or Pull Back to $90K"Bitcoin's price action remains within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows. The recent recovery from the lower boundary of the channel highlights strong buyer interest around the $90,000 level, but now the price is approaching a critical inflection point near $96,000. Bullish Case: Potential Breakout Above the Midline If Bitcoin can decisively break above the midline of the channel with strong volume, it would signal a continuation of the bullish momentum. This could pave the way for a rally toward the upper boundary of the channel, aligning with the psychological resistance of $100,000. A clean breakout above this zone might even trigger further upside potential, leading to a retest of higher levels like $105,000 or more. Watch for increasing buy volume and reduced resistance as key signals for this scenario. Bearish Case: Potential Rejection On the flip side, failure to maintain bullish pressure near $96,000 could result in a rejection and a pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel. The key support to watch in this scenario would be the $90,000 level. A breakdown below the channel's support would invalidate the bullish setup and could push Bitcoin toward deeper corrections, possibly targeting $87,000 or even $83,000 as the next significant support levels. Key Levels to Monitor Immediate Resistance: $96,500 (midline of the channel) Major Resistance: $98,000–$100,000 (upper channel boundary & psychological level) Immediate Support: $93,000 (short-term pullback zone) Major Support: $90,000 (lower channel boundary) Indicators & Volume Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD should be closely monitored here. A breakout with overbought RSI might indicate exhaustion, while bearish divergence would support the rejection scenario. Moreover, the trading volume remains critical—any bullish breakout without significant volume could lead to a false breakout, trapping buyers. Market Context It's also important to consider the broader macroeconomic environment. Any significant news—such as regulatory developments, institutional buying, or macroeconomic shifts—could act as a catalyst for Bitcoin's next major move. With the current market sentiment leaning bullish, many traders may remain cautiously optimistic, but risk management is crucial given the volatile nature of the market. In conclusion, Bitcoin is at a decisive moment. Whether it breaks higher or pulls back, this channel structure provides a clear framework for monitoring the next key moves. As always, trade wisely and ensure proper risk-reward ratios in your setups."
by Alireza-Abedi
1
Bitcoin Breaks $95K Pivot: What’s Next After US Inflation Data? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged past the crucial $95,000 level following the release of US PCE inflation data, which came in at 2.3% YoY—right on target. This event, combined with strong technical signals and institutional interest, paints a compellingly bullish outlook for BTC. Inflation and Institutional Moves The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data revealed steady inflation at 2.3%, aligning with expectations. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, showed a 2.8% YoY increase. This steady inflation reading suggests potential stabilization in interest rates, a scenario historically favorable for Bitcoin as investors seek hedges against inflation and currency devaluation. Additionally, the global landscape for institutional investments in Bitcoin is heating up. Chinese publicly-listed firm SOS recently announced a $50 million investment in BTC, viewing it as a long-term store of value and predicting a $100K milestone. This strategic move signals growing confidence among institutional players, which could drive further price momentum. Technical Analysis Bitcoin’s current price action supports the bullish narrative. Here’s why: 1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading around $95,900, having formed a strong bullish engulfing candle. This pattern often signals a trend reversal or continuation, indicating potential for further gains. 2. Golden Cross Formation: BTC’s chart shows a “Golden Cross,” where the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA. Historically, this pattern has preceded major bull runs, suggesting CRYPTOCAP:BTC could reach $150K by the end of the year or shortly after. 3. RSI at 67: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in neutral territory—not overbought nor oversold—providing room for further upward movement. This gives traders and investors confidence to enter or hold positions. Since May 2024, Bitcoin was trapped in a falling wedge pattern. It recently broke through this structure at the intersection of the 50-day and 200-day MAs. Outlook: Targeting $150K? With strong fundamentals—rising institutional adoption and favorable inflation data—combined with powerful technical indicators like the Golden Cross and bullish engulfing patterns, Bitcoin appears poised for a substantial rally. We predict BTC could hit $150K by Christmas or early 2025. Investors should watch key levels: maintaining support above $95K will be crucial, with near-term resistance at $100K. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC sustains momentum, a breakout above this psychological barrier could trigger a parabolic move. Final Thoughts As Bitcoin’s narrative strengthens with macroeconomic and technical factors aligned, now may be an opportune moment for investors. Stay tuned—2024 might end with Bitcoin rewriting crypto history.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce: Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support: This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support. Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level: The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices. Key Considerations: Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand. Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas. Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial. These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.
Long
by UmutTrades
1
BTC Retrace Possibly Complete H4From BTC low to swing high (88,700 to 99,800) we have had a perfect breakdown through the fibs all the way down to a perfect body close on the .786. The price action dipped below the 100 sma for a short period and quickly recovered this level. Price is currently trading above the .5 fib retracement level. RSI is 49 at time of publishing and trending upward after an MA cross. Price is targeting the .382 and 50 sma next as levels to watch as btc recovers further. This is just my opinion, there is also clearly a scenario with more downside. This idea is strictly my opinion. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Bitcoin's $92K Correction: A Deep Dive into the Real CulpritBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently undergone a significant price correction, dipping below the crucial $92,000 level. While many analysts initially pointed fingers at the influx of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) as the primary catalyst for this downturn, on-chain data paints a different picture. The Myth of ETF-Induced Selling Pressure The narrative that ETF inflows have been the primary driver of Bitcoin's recent price decline has gained traction in certain circles. However, a closer examination of on-chain data reveals a different story. • Long-Term Hodlers Remain Resilient: Despite the market downturn, long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," have shown remarkable resilience. These individuals, who have held their Bitcoin for extended periods, have not been significant sellers during the recent correction. • Short-Term Holders Under Pressure: In contrast to long-term holders, short-term holders have been more inclined to sell their Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market volatility. This suggests that the recent price decline may be more attributable to profit-taking by short-term investors rather than a broader market sell-off. A Normal Correction, Not a Bear Market It's important to recognize that the current price correction is a natural part of the cryptocurrency market cycle. Bitcoin has experienced similar corrections in the past, often followed by periods of consolidation and subsequent upward momentum. • Technical Analysis Suggests a Healthy Correction: A closer look at Bitcoin's technical indicators reveals a healthy correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped below the overbought level, indicating that the recent price surge may have been overextended. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the short term. • Support Levels to Watch: Traders and investors should keep an eye on key support levels, such as the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could signal a potential reversal of the current downtrend. The Future of Bitcoin: A Long-Term Bullish Outlook Despite the recent price correction, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several factors continue to drive the adoption and value of Bitcoin: • Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. This institutional adoption is likely to fuel further price appreciation in the long run. • Deflationary Supply: Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million coins ensures that its value will appreciate over time as demand increases. • Global Economic Uncertainty: As global economies grapple with inflation and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against inflation and a store of value is likely to grow. In conclusion, while the recent price correction may have caused some short-term volatility, it is important to maintain a long-term perspective. Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong, and the cryptocurrency is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory in the years to come. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.2
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin to 125,000After 9 months of downtrend/sideways price action, bitcoin has finally broke out of this trend. If we zoom out to weekly time frame, the 9 months of downtrend/sideways price action, serves as "handle" for "cup and handle" pattern which goes back to Nov 2021. Finally, after 3 years, this pattern is completed and bitcoin is set to get to it's next target which is ~125,000. On it's way up, bitcoin will probably face some resistance at 100K, since people have been waiting for bitcoin to hit this price target from all the way back in 2019-2020. Moreover, 100K is Fibonacci famous 1.6 extension level, so we might see some sell off at this price. However, we believe that FOMO can break this resistance level with ease and bring up the price to 125,000 USD. From this point, we probably see more sharp upward trend toward 155K and 200K but this is the danger zone where we might see sharp pullbacks to 100-125K range.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mo_reza_kaz
3
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can BTC Bounce Back After 8% Crash?Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has recently taken a significant hit, with the price crashing by 8% from its all-time high of $99,690. As of the latest data, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is trading around $92,373, after a 7.09% correction that has left many traders wondering whether BTC will recover or continue its downward trend. This article takes a deep dive into both the fundamental and technical aspects of Bitcoin's current performance and explores what might lie ahead for the leading cryptocurrency. Bitcoin's Recent Price Action: A Brief Overview Bitcoin's impressive ascent towards the $100,000 mark was temporarily halted with the most recent crash, which occurred in the wake of the asset approaching its all-time high on November 22. The drop has led to the formation of a potential swing low at $92,620 on Monday, with Bitcoin showing early signs of a recovery. Despite the correction, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) remains up by more than 130% year-to-date, reflecting the continued bullish sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency. Many analysts have speculated that the fourth quarter of 2024 could see Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) pushing towards a six-digit price point, and this recent drop may be part of a healthy consolidation before another leg up. Bullish Long-Term Outlook Bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market remains unparalleled. The digital asset’s market capitalization hovers around $1.93 trillion, representing over 40% of the entire cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s resilience is fueled by its status as the first decentralized digital currency and its wide acceptance as "digital gold" and a store of value. The network’s security, scalability, and decentralized nature have kept Bitcoin at the forefront of the crypto market since its inception in 2009. In addition, Bitcoin continues to be a preferred hedge against inflation, a narrative that remains relevant as inflation concerns persist globally. Furthermore, Bitcoin’s role as an uncorrelated asset has also contributed to its growing reputation as a safe haven. As Bitcoin’s popularity expands and its network upgrades continue to improve its efficiency and functionality, the long-term outlook remains highly positive. Upcoming Key Developments: The Bitcoin network has seen several crucial upgrades in the past few years, including the Taproot upgrade, which significantly improved Bitcoin’s smart contract functionality and privacy features. Upgrades like these are key to ensuring that Bitcoin remains secure, decentralized, and scalable, with more improvements planned for the future. As more institutional investors and major companies embrace Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the demand for the cryptocurrency is expected to continue growing. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s recent price action reveals both bearish and bullish signals. As the price hit a local low of $92,620, the market is at a crucial juncture. A failure to hold above the $92,000-$93,000 support zone could see Bitcoin testing lower levels, with potential downside targets near the $87,000 region. If Bitcoin breaks below $87,000, a further decline towards the $70,000-$75,000 range could follow. However, there are also significant bullish signs in Bitcoin’s current price structure. Despite the recent drop, Bitcoin is holding above key support levels, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains above 50, which suggests that there is still potential for upward momentum. A bounce from current levels could push Bitcoin back towards the $95,000 level, with a crucial resistance at $95,666. If Bitcoin clears this hurdle, it could set the stage for a recovery to $100,000 and beyond. Will Bitcoin Recover or Face Further Declines? Bitcoin’s price movements have been volatile, and this recent crash may simply be part of a healthy consolidation phase before the next major rally. Given that Bitcoin is holding well above support zones and has maintained significant year-to-date gains, it is likely that the cryptocurrency will make another attempt to reach $100,000 in the near future. However, this will depend heavily on broader market conditions and investor sentiment. If Bitcoin breaks the $95,666 resistance level, there is a strong chance that it could set new all-time highs by the end of the year, pushing closer to $100,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to reclaim bullish momentum and breaks below the $87,000 support, it could face a deeper pullback, with $70,000 being a possible target.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by DEXWireNews
1
Gold Lost Steam as New US Administration to Take World StageCOMEX: Micro Gold Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MGC1! ) On Monday, gold prices tumbled 3% on reports of Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire and the nomination of Scott Bessent as the U.S. Treasury Secretary. Spot gold fell 3.4% to $2,619.43 per ounce. COMEX gold futures shed 3.4% to $2,620.8. As a safe-haven investment, gold holds strong appeal with the rise of geopolitical crisis. After the US presidential election, investors anticipated that both the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East neared end. The new Treasury pick reduces the risk of escalating trade conflicts, as we have seen in Mr. Trump’s first term. Overall, gold falls on anticipation of lower geopolitical risks in the second Trump presidency. Where would gold prices go from here? I find it useful to analyze the 5-year price trends and identify key factors driving gold prices up and down. From December 2019 to October 2024, golds prices rose 88%. Gold’s recent plunge started in late October, as market anticipated a Trump win. During this five-year period, gold prices have seen significant rises for five times, and major pullbacks for four times. Gold Bull Trends and the Key Drivers: • When the COVID pandemic broke out in January 2020, gold prices rose sharply, and the stock market plummeted. This highlights gold's safe-haven investment function. • In February 2022, gold prices rose in response to the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Geopolitical crisis was the key driver. • High inflation in the US, peaked at a 9.1% CPI in July 2022, pushed gold prices to record high. Gold is considered a good hedge for inflation. • In October 2023, the Hamas-Israeli conflict broke out. Gold rallied again as a safe-haven investment. • The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a massive 50 basis points at its September 2024 policy meeting, followed by another 25-bp cut in November. With the expectation of more Fed cuts, gold started a new rally in July 2024. The trade logic: Fed cuts reduce the rate of return on interest-bearing assets such as Treasury bonds and bank deposits, which on turn makes gold investment more appealing. Gold Bear Trends and the Key Drivers: • China resumed manufacturing activities relatively soon after the pandemic. While the U.S. and Europe were still on lockdown and standstill, Chinese goods were exported to fill the gap. This helped lower the perceived risk of an once-a-century health crisis. Gold prices pulled back as a result. • The Russia-Ukraine conflict entered a stalemate. It did not spread to other European countries and escalated into World War 3. The geopolitical crisis has subsided, and as a result, gold prices withdrew from advancing. • After the Fed hiked rates 11 times in a row, US inflation has finally cooled down. Gold completed its mission as inflation hedge. Consequently, investors pulled money out of gold and into stocks, causing gold prices to fall. Trade Setup with Micro Gold Futures On November 5th, Mr. Trump won by a landslide and was re-elected as the 47th U.S President. In the following three weeks, he quickly completed the nomination of 15-member Cabinet in his new administration. Based on campaign promises and new Cabinet picks, investors interpret the new Trump policy in a series of the so-called "Trump trades". In my own opinion, these include strong US dollar, weak gold prices and a secular bull market for cryptocurrencies. • The ascension of a political strongman could bring about ceasefires in both the Russia-Ukraine front and the Middle East. As we recall the relatively peace time during the first Trump term, the expected de-escalation of geopolitical crises in his second term could drive gold prices down in the next four years. • The "America First" policy is bullish for US dollar. 1) Bringing manufacturing back onshore would strengthen U.S. economy. 2) High tariffs would reduce trade deficits overtime, although inflation may go up in the short term. 3) Slashing fiscal spending by $2 trillion a year would shore up the government coffer. Combined, these policies would defend the dollar's status as an international reserve currency. The dollar index has risen from 103 to 107 in the past month. A strong dollar is bearish for the dollar-denominated gold, as foreign investors would pay more with foreign currencies. • Mr. Trump is a strong supporter of cryptocurrencies. In the past three months, bitcoin has doubled in prices from $50,000 to nearly $100,000. The campaign promise to establishment of a central bank reserve for bitcoin, if materialized, would push crypto prices significantly higher in the next four years. The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on November 19th, total Open Interest (OI) for Gold Futures is 502,952 contracts, down 33,029 or -6.2% from prior week. Leading the position cutback is Managed Money, which reduces 10,306 (-5.1%) in long positions and 15,911 (-25.6%) in spreading positions. Movement of the “Small Money” is a good indicator of future price trend. Based on the above analysis, if a trader is bearish on gold prices, he could express his opinions by shorting the COMEX Micro Gold Futures ( AMEX:MGC ). MGC contracts have a notional value of 10 troy ounces. With Monday settlement price of 2,712.2, each December contract (MGCZ4) has a notional value of $27,122. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $1,150. The MGC contracts are very liquid. On Monday, MGC has a daily trade volume of 178,663 contracts and an Open Interest of 51,364. Hypothetically, if gold prices pull back 5% further to 2,576.6, a short position would gain $1,356 (=135.6 x $10). Using initial margin as cost base, a theoretical return would be +118% (= 1356 / 1150). The risk of shorting futures is a rise on gold prices. Investors could lose part or all of their initial margin. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
2
IBIT | This is Where Real Trader's are LookingThere's no need to complicate things. You are watching where real traders watch. I see the green box and the red box as the selling place. When the price reaches those areas, I recommend you to follow the volume side. If these regions are to be broken and passed, the volume side will give signals of this. - My Record Speaks for Itself DOGEUSDT.P | 4 Reward for 1 Risk much more if you hold it. RENDERUSDT.P | HTF Accuracy ETHUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it. BNBUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it. Bitcoin Dominance | Great Characteristic Detection and Accurate Analysis
NASDAQ:IBIT
by UmutTrades
#2 Danger BTC is falling Bearish Outlook and Macro Perspective As in my previous remarks, I signaled an unstable #100k level, which has developed into a failure even to touch this mark. This reflects a loosening in bullish momentum, as many holders and investors are now taking profits. It's important to remember that there are also long-term holders (over 5 years) who experienced losses of up to #77% since November 2021. These holders might now be exiting their positions, adding selling pressure to the market. Moreover, with speculation surrounding Trump's actions post-20 January next year, it’s wise to approach the market cautiously and avoid wild bets. There are still lagging opportunities in other sectors. For example, Cardano (ADA) recently posted #38% gains in two weeks, highlighting alternative investments that are catching up to the current crypto bull run. Bitcoin Analysis: Bearish Outlook and Short-Term Targets Position Details: Current Sell Entry: #97k Target: #90k Market Structure Overview: The price action is respecting a rising wedge pattern, which is generally a bearish continuation pattern. The breakdown seen near the current price (~#94k) aligns with your bearish outlook. Bearish Confirmation: RSI: The RSI has fallen below neutral (currently #34.06), signaling weakening momentum. MACD: The MACD histogram shows growing bearish momentum (red bars) alongside a bearish crossover. Volume Flow Index (VFI): The VFI at #20 suggests moderate capital flow into the market, but not sufficient to sustain bullish trends. Short-Term Target: #90k The primary target remains #90k, supported by: The wedge breakdown projection aligning with this level. Historical support zones evident on the chart. December Scenario: Potential Retest or Breakout Heading into December, two possible scenarios are likely: Scenario A: Retest as a Double Top A rebound could take the price back to #97k or higher, potentially forming a double top. Rejection here would confirm continued bearish pressure. Scenario B: Breakout to #100k-#102k If bullish momentum unexpectedly revives, a breakout to #100k-#102k could occur. However, this would likely represent a false breakout, followed by a deeper decline. Technical Outlook: Key Resistance Levels: #96k (current zone of interest). #100k-#102k (psychological resistance and possible retest zone). Key Support Levels: #90k (primary target). #85k (potential deeper breakdown area). Conclusion: The current analysis reinforces a bearish short-term outlook, with a sell position targeting #90k. December may bring increased volatility with a possible retest at #97k or a breakout to #100k-#102k before the downward trend resumes. This cautious approach is underscored by macro factors such as profit-taking from long-term holders and alternative opportunities, like Cardano’s recent #38% gains, still lagging the broader crypto bull run. Stay vigilant with key levels and monitor confirmation signals from RSI and MACD.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Adoamigo
Understanding the Benefits of Long-Term Bitcoin HoldingThe Bitcoin market has been on a tear, recently surging towards the coveted $100,000 mark. Amidst this bullish momentum, a fascinating trend has emerged: long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "hodlers," are showing no signs of capitulation.1 In fact, they seem more determined than ever to hold onto their coins, even as the price continues to rise. The Psychology of Hodling The concept of hodling, a deliberate misspelling of "holding," has become synonymous with the Bitcoin community. It encapsulates the idea of buying and holding Bitcoin for the long term, regardless of short-term price fluctuations. Hodlers are often driven by a deep belief in Bitcoin's potential as a revolutionary technology and a store of value.2 As Bitcoin's price has soared, some investors might be tempted to take profits and cash out. However, long-term holders are resisting this urge, choosing instead to remain patient and steadfast in their conviction. This behavior can be attributed to several factors: • Belief in Bitcoin's Long-Term Potential: Many hodlers view Bitcoin as a digital gold, a scarce asset with immense value potential. They believe that the current price surge is just the beginning of a much larger upward trend. • Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): As Bitcoin's price continues to climb, there's a fear of missing out on significant gains. Hodlers may worry that if they sell now, they might regret it later when the price reaches even higher levels. • The Halving Effect: Bitcoin's supply is halved every four years, reducing the number of new coins entering circulation.4 This event, known as the halving, is expected to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. Hodlers may be anticipating a substantial price increase after the next halving, scheduled for 2024. • The Network Effect: As more people and institutions adopt Bitcoin, its network effect strengthens. This increased adoption can lead to higher demand, driving the price up further. Why Hodling is Good for Bitcoin The fact that long-term holders are resisting the temptation to sell is a positive sign for Bitcoin's future. Here's why: • Reduced Selling Pressure: When fewer coins are being sold, it reduces selling pressure on the market. This can help to stabilize the price and prevent sharp declines. • Increased Price Stability: A lower supply of Bitcoin available for sale can lead to increased price stability. This can attract more institutional investors who prefer assets with lower volatility. • Stronger Market Fundamentals: The behavior of long-term holders demonstrates strong market fundamentals. It suggests that Bitcoin is perceived as a valuable asset with long-term potential. • Positive Market Sentiment: The resilience of long-term holders can boost market sentiment, attracting new investors and driving further price appreciation. In conclusion, the greed of long-term Bitcoin holders is a bullish indicator for the cryptocurrency market. Their unwavering belief in Bitcoin's potential, coupled with their willingness to hold onto their coins, is a testament to the strength of the Bitcoin community and the underlying technology. As Bitcoin continues its journey towards mass adoption, the hodlers will likely play a crucial role in shaping its future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
MicroStrategy Acquires 55,500 BTC More Amidst Market Intrigue MicroStrategy, the leading corporate Bitcoin holder, has once again made headlines, acquiring an additional 55,500 BTC for a staggering $5.4 billion between November 18 and 24, 2024. This brings their total holdings to 386,700 BTC, purchased at an average of $56,761 per Bitcoin. As the fourth-largest Bitcoin holder globally, trailing only Satoshi Nakamoto, Binance, and BlackRock, MicroStrategy continues its unwavering commitment to its Bitcoin Strategy, a vision initiated by co-founder Michael Saylor in August 2020. Fundamental Analysis MicroStrategy’s strategic Bitcoin accumulation has solidified its position as a market leader in institutional crypto adoption. This most recent purchase represents a 35.2% quarter-to-date (QTD) and 59.3% year-to-date (YTD) BTC yield, outperforming most traditional financial assets. The market has responded favorably: - MSTR stock surged 6%, indicating investor confidence in the Bitcoin-centric approach. - The company briefly entered the top 100 publicly traded US companies**, showcasing its growing influence. - Speculation is rife regarding its potential inclusion in the **Nasdaq 100** during the annual re-ranking announcement on December 13. In comparison, MARA Holdings, the second-largest Bitcoin-holding public company, remains significantly behind, with only 33,875 BTC. MicroStrategy’s aggressive approach has redefined corporate investment strategies, further legitimizing Bitcoin’s role in financial portfolios. Speculations Around Satoshi Nakamoto Adding intrigue to Bitcoin’s narrative, researchers from BTCparser have unearthed a conspiracy theory involving wallets attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto. These wallets, inactive since 2010, allegedly began liquidating BTC in November 2019, selling $176 million worth in November 2024 alone. The theory speculates deliberate profit-taking while maintaining anonymity, fueling debates about Bitcoin’s creator’s involvement in the market. Technical Analysis At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading 3 lower, consolidating within a falling trend channel. This phase may signify temporary weakness or a precursor to a significant breakout. Key technical insights: - Support Levels: Immediate support exists in the $90,500–$94,700 range, with $85,000 acting as a critical fallback if bearish momentum strengthens. - Resistance Levels: Breaking $100,000 could trigger a rally into uncharted territory, testing market resilience. Supply dynamics will likely determine if this milestone results in a price squeeze or continued upward momentum. - Indicators: Bitcoin’s RSI and moving averages suggest mixed signals, reflecting consolidation. However, the formation of a Falling wedge pattern hints at potential bullish reversal. If Bitcoin breaches $100,000, we predict a rapid ascent to $180,000, supported by increasing demand from institutions and retail investors alike. However, failure to hold key support levels could lead to corrections toward mid-$80,000, signaling potential accumulation opportunities for long-term holders. Market Outlook The intersection of MicroStrategy’s aggressive accumulation, evolving narratives around Satoshi Nakamoto, and Bitcoin’s technical positioning paints a compelling picture. While Bitcoin faces near-term volatility, the long-term trajectory remains bullish, with institutional adoption and mainstream interest fueling its rise. As Bitcoin flirts with the $100,000 milestone, the question is no longer if but when it will redefine its historic peak. Amid speculation and strategic accumulation, Bitcoin continues to solidify its status as the apex asset of the digital economy. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before year-end, or will resistance levels delay the inevitable? Stay tuned.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BTC Huge Gap!!! We going back to 75k?Hey guys! Congrats all with BTC ATH and recent profits, I was not commenting the situation, because it was pretty clear, and we all know what was happening. But also, as we know, even in the bull cycle have to be corrections and consolidations. So here at the futures chart, we can see a huge gap around the healthy correction possible zone (max to 30%). Also, we have RSI oversold for sure and descending volumes. Plus, in December there were no promises about decreasing US Interest rate, so possibly December can end up in this correction phase. What's your thoughts about when and how much we could go? Let's chat in the comments =)
CME:BTC1!Short
by SheTradesHub