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Bitcoin Post-Halving Shockwave: Why 2025 Could Still See a Mega Now that the much-anticipated 2024 halving is in the rearview, the big question is: Will Bitcoin continue its explosive post-halving trend? My long-term chart analysis suggests that BTC remains on track for a powerful rally—if certain key support zones hold and historical patterns play out. Here’s what I’m seeing: Post-Halving Volatility We’ve already witnessed a surge in volatility around the 2024 halving date (which occurred earlier this year). Historically, halvings have often propelled multi-month bull markets, though they don’t always ignite immediately. Keep an eye on the next few quarters for signs of a prolonged uptrend. Mature Ascending Channel Since 2017 The broad rising channel (outlined on the chart) has been a reliable guidepost. Multiple touchpoints along its upper and lower boundaries highlight how BTC has respected this structure for years. As long as price remains within this channel, the long-term bullish bias stays intact. Critical Support Zones (S1, S2, S3) I’ve identified major horizontal levels where strong buying pressure has historically emerged. If the market corrects from current levels, these supports could offer prime “buy the dip” opportunities—or serve as warnings if they fail to hold. 2025 Outlook If previous cycles are any indication, we may see a continued grind upwards heading into 2025. Bitcoin’s supply dynamics, combined with growing institutional interest, support the potential for a high-volatility, high-upside environment. However, it’s essential to stay flexible and keep tabs on macro factors. Bottom Line: The halving has come and gone, but its after-effects may just be warming up. Whether you’re bullish or bearish, always back your technical analysis with robust risk management. What are your thoughts on Bitcoin’s post-halving trajectory? Let me know in the comments below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by daniellalasa
2
Warning: Bitcoin Could Trigger an Economic Collapse This opinion might not be popular—especially here on Tradingview—but it’s worth discussing. Blind faith in Bitcoin can be dangerous, and today I want to shed light on the risks it entails. This post isn’t about creating fear but rather about encouraging critical thinking and risk assessment. As a supporter of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin myself, I’ve observed a troubling trend: people are rushing to buy Bitcoin at any price, ignoring a crucial possibility—it might be the largest financial pyramid ever created, with the potential to collapse the global financial system. Here’s why: Key Risks Associated with Bitcoin 1. Software Vulnerabilities Bitcoin relies on software developed by the Bitcoin Foundation. This software is not infallible and could contain bugs or even be exploited maliciously. While these wouldn’t compromise the blockchain itself, they could lead to massive theft of funds, triggering a price crash and eroding public trust. 2. Quantum Computing Risks Current cryptographic security is robust, but computational power is advancing rapidly. Quantum computers pose a theoretical threat to Bitcoin’s encryption. While developers are preparing for this, transitioning to quantum-resistant technology is far from guaranteed to be seamless. 3. Lack of Real-World Use Cases Bitcoin is often compared to gold, serving as a store of value rather than a functional currency or technological tool. Unlike gold, which has practical applications across industries, Bitcoin’s value hinges entirely on preservation and speculation. Is that enough to sustain its growth? 4. Potential Financial System Collapse Bitcoin is now deeply intertwined with traditional finance. ETFs like BlackRock’s funnel massive amounts of investor money into Bitcoin. As long as new funds flow in, prices soar. But BlackRock doesn’t care about Bitcoin’s fate—it simply follows the money. If outflows begin, BlackRock will sell, accelerating a price crash. A 90%+ drop could trigger a financial system-wide crisis, impacting everyday people’s savings and investments. 5. Market Manipulation The crypto market operates in a “Wild West” environment with limited transparency. Institutional and retail investors control 56% of Bitcoin, and Satoshi Nakamoto’s wallet alone holds 5.2% of all BTC. These entities can manipulate prices, short the market, and crash prices for profit without facing any repercussions. In traditional finance, this would lead to prosecution. In crypto? They remain untouchable. Reality Check: No Risk-Free Investments There’s no such thing as a risk-free asset or flawless technology. Bitcoin’s allure is built on a dream, but that dream must be scrutinized. Stay alert and cautious. As for me? Despite these risks, I’ve invested in Bitcoin and held it for a long time. Will I continue? Time will tell. I believe Bitcoin has only two potential outcomes: MIL:1M + or $0. Let’s hope the risks I’ve outlined are nothing more than the ramblings of someone writing at 9 AM. Good luck to all of us! Yours sincerely, Mister iM
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by grigori-ilkevich
UP "Please provide a meaningful and detailed description of your prediction..." Says Tradingview Up. It go up. Why? Idono the same as you do or do not know. It's the simple things I think that makes dollars sound like soundness of mind. While lil Timmy has been working hard to get a few bucks to buy his favorite dog coin he heard about at lunch yesterday in middle school. Asking a fool like me what to buy with his allowance. Who isn't looking for a return nowadays I guess even at 11 we need to make 1000x gainz because "10 years!?" "That's forever!" he and any other like minded person may say to me. I think all they heard was the "10 Year" Part...😋 Ya know? One things for sure we are all counting dollars when this or whatever thing you think will make you money moves up or down. Hummmmmm Maybe there's something to that whole I need a dollar thought?🤑 I bet it would be carzy to see the Yield on the 10 year US GOV Bonds run up to 16%. What kind of future are we all living in when that happens??? Asking for this 11 year old thats asking me what the next best coin is from here.... YOLO Moonboyz 🌛 If you feel so inclined to do so. 🚽👄 Toilet Mouth: "Why do all your post say Short!?" or a bunch of "BUT, BUT, BUT" ⭐Not my job to tell you to buy or sell entries matter to most I only care about my exits. ⭐Let each person determine their cost to acquire and choice to play or not. No Advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 8 years in the world of "CRYPTO" Things 🤷‍♂️ #Fixed IDK! 🙏FOR JUST A HEALTHLY PULLBACK! ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK & BALANCE your Senses!"" I am The CoinSLayer 👨‍💻😈 You have been warned by The Coin SLayer! P.S. Now witha bag! P.S.S. well two or Ten
TVC:US10YShort
by BradySWilliams
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders confirmed Bitcoin Head and Shoulders confirmed, with a slight adjustment, that it targets approximately 81k, including my prediction of potential developments. $88,770 will act as support since that was the RSI high using the 14 period and will receive a positive reaction, bouncing off the head and shoulders trend-line, then failing, and ultimately reaching the target of 81k. I believe we will test the November 5th election candle, which serves as a macro swing at the 68k range.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_Concepts
Bitcoin Roadmap=>Short-term!!!As I expected, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) once again attacked the 50_SMA(Daily) but failed to defeat it . Bitcoin is currently moving near Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) , Support zone($96,620-$95,520) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we need to confirm the break of the 50_SMA(Daily) . It also seems that Bitcoin in microwaves should experience an upward movement in the coming hours. I expect Bitcoin to at least rise to the Targets I have specified in the chart. ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870).⚠️ ⚠️Note: In general, the analysis is short-term, and holding a long position for targets above the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is a little risky.⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
23
2025 BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTIONBased on the current market, all the fundamentals and technicals considered i think BTC could hit $150,000 in 2025 on the next bull run, but first we need a large pull back to complete the fib's retracement levels. On the monthly time frame the candle formations have started to clearly show signs of deceleration and liquidation as the market slows down, we also have a high test / reversal candle which does indicate the market could be starting to reverse which would make sense after a large pump like the one we saw to $100k, the market needs to offer relief and pull back. On the weekly we have again signs of deceleration and a few recent candles that signal bearish momentum is incoming. All of this coupled with a large liquidation percentage as BTC famously hit $100k does clearly indicate a move on bigger time frames to the down side. My target for the downside move / pull back is around the $71,000 level, this is due to this being the next major support level and it also aligns nicely with the 61.80% fib retracement level which adds some correlation to the strategy. If we get this large pull back / dump to $71,000 i would expect BTC to reject the support / fib level, this area will attract a lot of attention from buyers / traders and will likely see aa large influx of liquidity to support a rejection and pump to the upside, this is likely the price area w would see BTC change it's trend from bearish to bullish. The fib generates a potential target of $150,000 on this move which also aligns very nicely with a psychological level, a lot of traders will target / take profit at the $150k mark purely because it is a nice round number, similar to $100k. Remember ALT's move in correlation to BTC, so if this move does play out it will also give us plenty of massive opportunities to get in on some good ALT's like SOL, ETH etc and catch the ride as they'll also pump with BTC, so if BTC creates new ATH's at $150k then so will the majority of the ALT coins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by h88nry
DECRYPTING THE TETHER FUD: Emergency Update!DECRYPTING THE TETHER FUD: WHAT IT MEANS AND HOW TO STAY PREPARED ##What’s Happening with Tether? A Simple Breakdown Tether (USDT), the most popular stablecoin, is facing challenges in Europe due to new rules called Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA). These rules, starting December 30, 2024, require stablecoin issuers like Tether to follow strict guidelines, including getting an e-money license. If Tether doesn’t comply, it could be removed from European exchanges. ## Why Does This Matter? - Less Liquidity: Tether is a major player in crypto trading. Losing it in Europe could make trading harder and more expensive. - Market Panic: Big news like this can make investors nervous, possibly leading to a drop in prices across the market. ## What is Tether Saying? Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, says this is all part of a “FUD campaign” (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt). He insists that Tether is working on meeting the rules and staying transparent. ## What Should You Do? 1. Spread Your Risk: Don’t rely only on Tether. Try using other stablecoins like USDC or DAI. 2. Stay Informed: Keep an eye on updates about Tether’s progress with the new rules. 3. Plan Ahead: Check which exchanges and trading pairs you can use if Tether faces restrictions. --- The Bottom Line Tether’s situation is serious, but there’s no need to panic. By diversifying and staying alert, you can protect yourself while the crypto market adapts to these changes. Though these kinds of Tether fuds are generally considered to be the catalyst of altseasons, this could be the best time to be prepared. If you have any serious questions, my comments are open, I will read you. If you found this helpful, please hit that like button and share your views in the comments. Thank you #PEACE
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Cryptorphic
BTC pullback before inauguration?Merryy Christmas guys and upcoming New Year! Seems like we gonna meet New Year w BTC lower than100k... Looks a bit scary, but here is in short what we have: 1) Daily MA cross. Which is bearish sign 2) Divergence between raising BTC channel and volumes 3) If the price will follow the red line move, it will form double top pattern 🥲 My expectations: I think we could correct to Fib zone around 0,236 (87k zone) and after we should check. But anyway seems like correction should happen before to continue growing and this we most likely gonna see after inauguration. What you think guys? Help me dispel this scary picture 😅
Short
by SheTradesHub
BTC shows a 6% potential in the last 3 days of 2024.It seems we are back to the initial thesis, which is great since we already profited from the previous trade entry. Now, it feels like we’re seeing the same situation unfold again. Key indicators such as the Bollinger Bands, the 50-day moving average, the volume spikes from November 13th, sufficient corrections, and the support lines are all aligning similarly. On a fundamental note, I’d like to add the following: with just three days left until the end of 2024, there’s the “Santa Rally” phenomenon, along with the prevailing sentiment in crypto communities that it would be exciting to close the year with BTC reaching $100k. Such a milestone could act as a psychological boost, potentially fueling a strong movement for the entirety of 2025. The $100k level is also a significant psychological barrier. Taking all this into account, I believe this is a good opportunity to enter a position with the potential for short-term profit—up to 6%—over the next few days. However, we need to take into account the 80% correlation with the S&P 500, which is currently at its peak levels. That said, hedge funds and institutional investors are closing deals to meet their KPIs, which could provide additional support. Hopefully, this will sustain the overall positive vibe for the last 3 days of the year. Yours sincerely, Mister iM
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by grigori-ilkevich
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, Bitcoin exhibited fluctuations within the newly defined Mean Resistance of 99500 and Mean Support of 91800. The analysis suggests a high probability that the cryptocurrency will experience a decline to the Inner Coin Dip 88500 prior to initiating a significant rebound. This rebound is expected to facilitate the re-establishment of its bullish trend. It is essential to consider that a rebound bull movement may indeed occur from the Mean Support 91800.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Tide Turning For Bitcoin? Reserves And Netflows Show ReversalBitcoin, the world's first and most well-known cryptocurrency, has experienced a rollercoaster ride since its inception. From its meteoric rise to its dramatic crashes, Bitcoin has remained a topic of fascination and debate for investors and financial analysts alike. In recent times, several factors have contributed to a sense of uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's future, including regulatory scrutiny, market volatility, and concerns about its environmental impact. However, recent developments, such as increasing institutional adoption and positive netflows, suggest that the tide may be turning for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Institutional Adoption Accelerates as ETFs Show Investor Appetite One of the most significant indicators of Bitcoin's growing acceptance is the increasing interest from institutional investors. Traditionally, institutional investors have been hesitant to invest in Bitcoin due to its volatile nature and lack of regulatory clarity. However, as the cryptocurrency market matures and regulatory frameworks become clearer, more and more institutions are beginning to see the potential of Bitcoin as an investment asset. This growing institutional interest is reflected in the recent surge in for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). ETFs are investment funds that track an underlying asset, such as a stock index or a commodity. They offer investors a convenient way to gain exposure to an asset without having to directly own it. Recent Reserves and Netflows Indicate Market Reversal In addition to increasing institutional adoption, recent data on Bitcoin reserves and netflows also suggest that the market may be reversing. Bitcoin reserves refer to the amount of Bitcoin held on cryptocurrency exchanges. A decrease in Bitcoin reserves indicates that investors are withdrawing their Bitcoin from exchanges, which is often a sign of accumulation and a bullish signal. Netflows, on the other hand, refer to the difference between the amount of Bitcoin entering and leaving exchanges. Positive netflows indicate that more Bitcoin is entering exchanges than leaving, which can be a sign of selling pressure and a bearish signal. Recent data shows that Bitcoin reserves have been declining, while netflows have turned positive. This combination of factors suggests that investors are accumulating Bitcoin and that selling pressure is decreasing. These are both positive signs for the Bitcoin market and could indicate that a reversal is underway. Bitcoin Price Analysis: Navigating Volatility and Key Levels Despite these positive developments, Bitcoin's price remains volatile and subject to market fluctuations It has been noted a potential 'head and shoulders' pattern, a bearish technical indicator, which could lead to a significant price drop. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin's price could fall to as low as $80,000. However, there maintain a more bullish outlook, emphasizing the importance of the $90,000 level. It is argued that if Bitcoin can maintain this level, it could pave the way for further price appreciation. Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to hold this level, it could trigger a sell-off and push the price down to $80,000. Conclusion: A Cautious but Optimistic Outlook for Bitcoin In conclusion, several recent developments suggest that the tide may be turning for Bitcoin. Increasing institutional adoption, as evidenced by the surge in Bitcoin ETF filings, indicates a growing acceptance of Bitcoin as an investment asset. Positive netflows and declining reserves further support this notion, suggesting that investors are accumulating Bitcoin and that selling pressure is decreasing. However, it is important to remain cautious. Bitcoin's price remains volatile, and various factors could impact its future performance.13 The cryptocurrency market is still relatively young and subject to regulatory changes, technological advancements, and shifts in investor sentiment. Therefore, while the recent developments are encouraging, it is crucial to approach Bitcoin with a balanced perspective. Investors should conduct thorough research, understand the risks involved, and make informed decisions based on their individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Overall, the outlook for Bitcoin appears cautiously optimistic. The increasing institutional adoption, positive netflows, and declining reserves suggest that the market may be reversing. However, it is important to remain vigilant and adapt to the ever-changing dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Scalping Sell Signal📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Scalping Sell Signal ✅ Suggestion: I anticipate a downward move for Bitcoin, aligning with the arrow drawn in the analysis. 🎯 Scalping Opportunity: A short-term sell position can be considered to capitalize on this expected drop. 🚨 💬 For managing this signal and exploring more setups: 1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊 2️⃣ Send me a private message for detailed guidance. 💎 Let’s trade wisely and seize the market’s potential! 💰
Short
by DAVID_SNIPERRR
BITCOIN - Time to be Bearish!The 3-day chart shows a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator. -A bearish divergence occurs when: 1. Price Action: The asset's price forms higher highs (uptrend). 2. RSI Indicator: The RSI forms lower highs instead of following the price This divergence suggests that the upward momentum is weakening, even though the price is climbing, which could lead to a potential downtrend or correction. Based on this a drop to the 80k region is expected, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This decline perfectly corresponds to the fourth wave of the Elliott Impulse Wave. Afterward, a significant recovery is expected, representing Bitcoin's final bullish wave in the Elliott Wave cycle (the fifth wave) My outlook for the chart suggests a decline starting now and lasting until mid-February at most Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Short
by ceciliones
1