Wycoff Re-accumulation or DistributionWe've been ranging for past 4 months, since Nov 2024. Are we in a Wycoff re-accumulation or distribution? If we are in re-accumulation, we could break above creek without taking out the lows. There is another scenario where we take out the lows at 89k, grab liquidity and form a spring. We want to see daily candles closing above the last lower highs of the creek formation.
The other side of the coin is we are in a distribution event, we're going to pay very close attention the next time we head toward the top of the range, we want to see volume coming in and a break of all time high, if we get a rejection and begin closing below again, the probability of a distribution event increases. If we close any high time frame candles below the range low of 85k the probability increases that we fill the inefficiency at the 70k range.
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin close to another major bull moveThe daily Ichimoku chart for Bitcoin doesn't look pretty - but it's not awful either.
Resilience is the trait I attribute to Bitcoin here. Even Ethereum, when faced with the same current conditions with the Ichimoku system, failed to hold up and instead toppled.
If the structure remains the same, I anticipate another big push higher when both of these two events occur:
1. The Composite Index closes above both moving averages.
2. The DPO closes above the zero line.
This Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is Unstoppable!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last 2 months BINANCE:BTCUSDT is struggling to continue growing and as we can see most of traders now are sure that bear market has been started already, but this time can be really different and this rally can lasts much longer than usual.
On the weekly time frame we can see that Fractal Trend Detector shows the strong bullish phase. Price was not able even to break the green support zone on the indicator. We suppose that the wave from $15k to FWB:73K was just the wave 1 inside global wave 3. After that price retraced almost to 0.5 Fibonacci level and now this is wave 3 in global wave 3. This wave has a target zone between $140k and $200k. Currently price is finishing subwave 2 in wave 3. It looks like a flat correction. So, the target is not so deep, at 0.38 Fibonacci at $86k. From there we expect the huge rally inside the most impulsive wave C.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Probabilistic thinking. Using Technical logic to get odds.Markets are simple if you think about it.
moderate and long range resistance -- is the best odds for rally.
"horizontal" or 50-50 supports -- risky.
steep supports mean high demand, strong trends. Buying at such supports, at worst it bounces to the upside. (High market with strong trend can mean reversals)
rule: break outs always must coincide with 200dma rallies.
Bonus.
High market, strong trend -- best odds for reversal .
50-50 resistance, with weak support --> trickster market. (trap)
strong trend but no flying 200dma --> trap.
50-50 resistance with strong trend, high market, but weak 200dma ---> good odds for reversal.
keeping it simple.
P.S. this method shows why odds favor BTC reversal . Or why 110/120k had to be peak point. for now.
Bitcoin Price Update. Pending accumulation.The final phase of the bull run needs time for more significant accumulation. From current levels, I don’t expect decisive moves to new all-time highs.
High probability of a short-term bounce from 92,100. New all-time highs and the start of Bitcoin’s next major trend are more likely after a pullback to the Fib 0.5 zone.
How do i get access to chat? Here's a chart for SOLUSDTrying to get chat access. Here's a chart to show buying opportunity that I see for weekly SOLUSD chart. We're currently entering a long term support channel for SOLUSD, about 120-160. imo, it's a good channel to buy if you are bullish this year.
Bitcoin Price Update: Market Consolidation ContinuesBitcoin Trading in a Defined Range
For the past 90 days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a high time-frame (HTF) range of $108,000 to $90,000. Despite ongoing speculation about whether this phase represents distribution or re-accumulation, a decisive breakout in either direction is imminent.
Current Price Action and Market Structure
At present, Bitcoin is trading around the Point of Control (POC) within this range, experiencing a tight daily fluctuation of 3-4% over the last few days. This low volatility phase suggests that a major move is on the horizon.
Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment
Bitcoin’s price is currently positioned below the 55-day Exponential Moving Average (55EMA)(Blue) and above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (100EMA)(Red). While EMAs in this consolidation phase do not provide clear directional cues, they indicate that the bullish market structure remains intact as long as Bitcoin holds the $90,000 support level.
Potential Breakout and Expected Price Movement
Historically, when Bitcoin gets squeezed between key moving averages, a significant breakout follows. Given the current setup, a $4,000 to $5,000 price swing can be expected, depending on which side breaks first.
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin hovers within this range, the market anticipates a high-volatility move. Whether Bitcoin will push toward a new all-time high or dip into deeper correction territory depends on upcoming macroeconomic trends and market sentiment. Stay tuned for real-time Bitcoin price analysis to navigate the next big move effectively.
Momentum Loss on $BTCOn the Daily chart, Bitcoin struggle to surpass $110,000 after its many attempts on a 2 month period. It seems like CRYPTOCAP:BTC is cooling down and retest the 200 Ema line (Blue line), since the 50 Ema line (Red Line) its a strong resistance level. Bitcoin was rejected 6 times recently.
BTC Halving | Halving Mapping | Bull Run | Bitcoin Analysis
Timeframe: 1 Week (Halving Mapping)
This article focuses on three key aspects of Bitcoin’s halving, based on historical research:
Bull Market Moves
Bear Market Moves
Pre-Halving Moves
As you can see in the chart above, the previous halving events have been mapped out, providing a clear picture of Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, after each halving, Bitcoin enters a bull market, followed by a bear market. Additionally, I’ve observed and mapped a unique pattern that isn’t widely discussed: a pre-halving upward move that occurs before the halving event. This pre-halving move often provides significant returns, especially after a bear market phase.
For investors and long-term holders, this presents an opportunity to divide investments into two parts:
Pre-Halving Move: Capitalize on the upward momentum before the halving.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Benefit from the sustained bull market after the halving.
These strategies don’t require extensive technical analysis. A deep dive into historical data makes the patterns clear. Historically, after an uptrend, Bitcoin experiences a downtrend lasting between 1.5 to 2 years. Keeping these patterns in mind can help you craft effective investment strategies.
Current Market Bull Run Update
A common question among traders and investors is: Has the bull run ended? Is this the last exit point for Bitcoin?
Based on my research, the bull run is not over yet. While we may see a downward move in the near term, this is likely to be a manipulation phase, creating FOMO (fear of missing out) among traders who might believe the bull run has ended. However, Bitcoin is expected to make one final upward move, reaching a new all-time high. This final phase is likely to occur in the latter part of this year, with 2025 being entirely dominated by the bull run.
Looking at the 2020 halving chart, you can see a clear "M" shape pattern. At that time, the market experienced a similar phase where the "M" shape completed, and Bitcoin retraced significantly, creating FOMO. However, it eventually surged to a new all-time high in the final phase. Currently, I believe we are witnessing the formation of a similar "M" shape. Bitcoin is in the process of completing the first half of the "M," which could lead to a downward move. However, this is not a cause for panic. After this retracement, Bitcoin is expected to complete the "M" shape and reach a new all-time high later this year.
On-Chain Analysis Insights
From an on-chain perspective, it’s evident that major investors have not fully exited their positions. There’s a general sentiment among large holders to create FOMO, allowing them to buy back at lower prices. This aligns with my research, suggesting that the current market dynamics are part of a larger strategy.
Additionally, the recent delay in the bull run can be attributed to the rise of meme coins. These coins have created a frenzy, with politicians and influencers jumping on the bandwagon to launch their own meme coins. This has diverted attention and capital from Bitcoin, causing a slight delay in its upward momentum. However, once the meme coin hype subsides, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trajectory.
Summary
Halving Mapping: Three key phases were discussed – the bull run, bear market, and pre-halving upward move.
Current Chart Structure: Bitcoin is forming a half "M" shape, which may lead to a downward move before completing the pattern and reaching a new all-time high later this year.
2025 Outlook: The entire year of 2025 is expected to be dominated by the bull run.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Grab & Potential UPSIDE MOVEMarket Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep: BTC recently grabbed sell-side liquidity around $95,215 - $95,141, triggering stop losses and gathering institutional orders.
Reversal Signs: After tapping into this liquidity, a bullish reaction has started, with price now moving towards the buy-side liquidity range.
Potential Upside Move: If BTC maintains support above $95,600, we can expect a push towards the $97,000 - $97,600 range.
Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: $95,800 - $96,000 (After price confirmation)
🎯 Target 1: $97,050
🎯 Target 2: $97,600
🚀 Extended Target: $98,800 (If momentum continues)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $95,100 (Below liquidity grab zone)
Trade Rationale:
📌 Liquidity Grab: Market makers swept stop losses, indicating potential reversal.
📌 Market Structure: Bullish recovery from key support zone.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (low risk, high reward setup).
🔔 Waiting for confirmation before entry! A strong bullish candle close above $96,000 can confirm entry. 🚀
📢 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 📈👇
Time to Take Some Profit on Bitcoin.After the previous buy signal in September there has been two soft sell signals on the three day timeframe. Up almost 50% since the last buy signal now is a good time according to the TDR indicator to take some profit. These soft sell signals only signal to off load a small percentage of the position, between 5% and 10% based on your levels of risk.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #8👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's delve into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is Monday, the start of the week, so let's check out the weekly and daily timeframes for Bitcoin to see what happened last week and how the weekly candle closed.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
The scenario I mentioned before still stands in the weekly timeframe. If the price stabilizes below 93,419, we can expect further corrections. The initial correction targets remain at 82,000 and then 71,000, which are still relevant.
🔍 On the other hand, if the ATH area, which is a resistance at 105,000 in the weekly timeframe, is broken, the price could start its next bullish leg. If this resistance breaks, I will update the analysis as usual and include Bitcoin’s next ATH targets.
📊 The market volume is still decreasing. The candles are also becoming smaller and smaller. As you can see, last week's candle hardly showed any fluctuation, indicating very minimal price range.
✨ That covers everything for the Bitcoin analysis in the weekly timeframe. Since the RSI hasn't activated any triggers yet, it's better to move on to the daily timeframe to see what has happened there over the past seven days.
📅 Daily Timeframe
The main supports and resistances in the daily timeframe are at 92,470 and 106,212, unchanged from last week.
🧩 However, the change is in the support at 96,312, which I mentioned last week could be a good area for the price to form a higher low and move towards the ceiling. This support has slightly shifted and is now at 95,601, which is still a significant support for the price. If supported at this level, and if it forms a higher low relative to 92,470, the price could move towards the ceiling of 106,200. In this case, if it can form a higher ceiling, the likelihood of breaking 106,212 will increase.
🔼 The early trigger for opening a long position that we discussed last week worked out well, and in the daily timeframe, if the price can stabilize above 98,061, we can expect it to form a higher low and move towards the main resistance at 106,212.
💥 The market volume, as I mentioned in previous analyses, has decreased significantly and has reached its minimal possible state. When the market volume decreases, the chart can move more easily. So, again, as I mentioned in the previous analysis, be ready behind the chart in these few days because movements after such low-volume ranges can be very volatile and can help you open profitable positions.
⚡️ Now that we've reviewed the weekly and daily timeframes, let's move on to lower timeframes and identify suitable futures triggers.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
We have an expanding triangle in the four-hour timeframe, and the price has been reacting well to it. Yesterday, it was rejected from the triangle's ceiling, which could have provided a good position. I will show you this position in the one-hour timeframe.
👀 The support at 95,108 remains very important, and I suggest that if the price reaches this area and you want to break it, have a short position ready. For long positions, I still believe that the triangle's trendline must be broken from above, and in that case, the triggers at 98,482 and 99,946 would be suitable.
🚀 The first target for these positions, as a scalp, is 101,819, and their main target is 105,928. The short position target could be the bottom of the triangle or the area at 92,702.
🔑 The market volume has increased slightly in this timeframe. As you see, and as I mentioned yesterday, after the volume reaches its minimum, the price will definitely make a move in one direction, which I will specify in the one-hour timeframe how we could have taken our position.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe. First, I want to review the position the market gave us yesterday, and then we'll see what today's trigger will be.
🔄 About an hour after I published the analysis yesterday, the support at 97,110 broke, and with this break, we could have opened a short position that could still remain open, and I suggest you make it risk-free because, as I said yesterday, this position is very risky and the maximum target we can consider for it is 95,308.
📈 However, I personally would save the profit and not allow it to remain open any longer because it was opened as a scalp. The trigger for the long position at 97,816 was not reached and was not activated.
🔽 But today, I don't have a special trigger for a short position, and 95,108 is the only trigger that we were waiting for last week to be broken, but this did not happen. Here in the market volume, we can see in more detail that after breaking the 97,110 area, it increased significantly, and currently, with the price starting to range again, the market volume has decreased again.
✅ For long positions, first wait for the price to return above 97,110 and see which area it reacts to, and we can specify our next trigger tomorrow. But if the price comes up unidirectionally, you can open a short position with the breaking of 97,816 or 98,482.
🧲 Be careful because the price moved a bit yesterday, it might range today. So make sure you only open positions with triggers you are sure about, not risky triggers.
📅 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin dominance. We specified a very good resistance for Bitcoin dominance yesterday at 60.95, and as you see, Bitcoin dominance reacted very well to it, hitting this area several times with a shadow point and then dropping again, and it is now back to its support at 60.48, which is very important. If 60.48 breaks, the dominance could drop to 59.84, as mentioned in previous analyses, and in this case, if short positions are activated, their triggers within Bitcoin could allow us to open a very good short position on Bitcoin.
💣 But if at the same time as the activation of these triggers, the dominance increases and the resistance of 60.95 breaks, short positions on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to the Total2 analysis to see what suitable triggers will be for opening positions on altcoins.
🛎 The Total2 trigger was activated yesterday as you see at 1.24, which I said you could open a position with it riskily. However, as you see, the price has engulfed all the downward movements and returned up. However, I had said that this position was to be opened riskily and as a scalp, and if you opened a position with the trigger, quickly close your position.
📚 However, as you saw, Bitcoin still has a better bearish structure compared to Total2, and the reason is that Bitcoin dominance was bearish simultaneously with breaking the bearish areas, and if you had opened a position on Bitcoin, you would have made more profit, and now the position would still be open, but Total2 has returned all its upward movement and seems to want to form an upward structure. For now, I won’t change the 1.24 area and want to see what structure the price creates today and which ceiling it reacts to, and tomorrow I will change the location of this area for you.
📉 For short positions, you can open a position with the breaking of 1.23, but be aware, as you saw yesterday, altcoins did not drop much compared to Bitcoin, so if Bitcoin dominance is rising, you can open positions on altcoins. Otherwise, if the dominance is bearish, the short position you open on Bitcoin will give more profit.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday’s trigger for Tether dominance at 4.48 was activated, and Tether dominance had an upward move or leg, which was not very strong in terms of upward momentum and does not seem to be continuing.
💫 We can draw a trend line in this chart that the price has currently hit and seems to have been rejected. In this case, if the 4.48 area, which is now acting as support, is broken again, the price could drop to 4.24. Otherwise, if the price can break the downward trendline, we can expect Tether dominance to move up to 4.62.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
LiteCoin LTC for the Run? Looking for a x3 on this oneHi Guys, hope you are doing great!
This would be an amazing week, let´s go for it.
As you can see here on the (2W) chart, LTC has been in accumulation for 1.000 days.
The last 2 times it happened, it finished on a break out, but the first one was amazing compared to the one on 2020.
I have some reasons to believe this one could be more like the first break out than the second, this is similar to what happend with $XRP.
Also on the 1D chart, you can see a Wyckoff structure that wants to break, if it´s a breakout to the long side, I will buy the 75% I left to buy more.
Have a good week and let´s continue watching it.
KEY DEMAND ZONE FOR ETHBTCKey demand zone here for ETHBTC holding support here is SUPER CRUCIAL for atlcoins and ethereum itself.
If we don't expect many alts to make new lows before MAYBE reversing.
A bearish ETHBTC = BTC.D bullish = alts bleeding
A bullish ETHTC = BTC.D bearish = alts pump
only time will tell. Im sitting on the sidelines and max betting on some projects out there as they are massively undervalued imo.
Goodluck.
ALT SEASON IS COMINGWouldn't this be the perfect outcome? something many aren't seeing anymore at this point.
One thing i've been noticing is that social behavior is massively changing and people are litteraly stcuk in the trenches and hating on each other for being bullish or bearish which is basically the type of behavior like what we had in 2020 during COVID.
I overall remain bullish and don't see any reason why i shouldn't be. All the fundamentals are in our favor and AUM's are filing for ETF for alts left and right which means a requests to inject BILLIONS in capital into them.
Time will tell of course but i overall remain bullish untill proven different.
CRYPTO IS UNDER. VALUED.
DEVIATON INJIt looks like we have a deviation below the demand zone and the $13.8 support, which could present a buying opportunity.
I’m waiting to see if the price finds support around $14.4.
If the price drops below $14 and stays there for an extended period, I’ll reassess the trade, as we could see another leg down toward the $8-$11 zone, where stronger support is likely.
For now, the weekly oscillators look decent—Stoch RSI is close to a bullish cross, and RSI has found support at 40.
Bitcoin's Path to $100k USD&beyond - How much time is left?Don’t worry—we’re not here to debate whether the bull market top is in or still ahead. Based on cycle analysis, one thing is clear: Bitcoin is set to break $100K soon and continue its upward trajectory.
But the real question is: How much time do we have left?
Can we still make gains until the end of the year, or will March/April be the final window to profit?
🔹 Bitcoin’s Current Position
BTC is approaching its 60-day cycle low, with the 1-day, 3-day, and 1-week cycles all dipping below 20.
We’re waiting for the final bottom to form—historically, these moments offer some of the best buying opportunities.
🔸 Two Possible Scenarios Ahead:
1️⃣ Bull Market Peak in May 2025
The upcoming 2-week cycle top marks the end of the bull market (~May).
The 2-week cycle typically takes ~14 weeks to reach a peak, aligning with a late-May timeline.
After this, a 1.5-year bear market (~18 months) could begin, correcting the excess of this cycle.
2️⃣ Final Top in December/January
The market peaks at year-end, followed by a 12-month bear market.
This means a bloody summer, then a fast & bullish upside in Oct/Nov leading to a final peak.
This aligns with historical seasonality of previous cycles.
📌 Conclusion:
No matter which scenario plays out, the key is to maximize gains before the cycle peaks and exit before the bear market begins.
📈 Watch for the 60-day cycle bottom—this will be the key entry point.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let me know in the comments! 👇🚀
#Bitcoin's long-term road plan!-396 days Processed Between 2013 High and 2015 Bottom!
-365 days Processed Between 2017 High and 2018 Bottom!
-365 days Processed Between 2021 High and 2022 Bottom!
-1065 days processed between 2015 Bottom and 2017 Peak!
-1065 days processed between 2018 Bottom and 2021 Peak!
-1430 days Processed Between 2015 Bottom and 2018 Bottom!
-1430 days Processed Between 2018 Bottom and 2022 Bottom!
If the 1065 model is processed between 2022 Bottom and 2025 Peak, I think we will see a local peak in October.
If the 365 days Model is processed, I think we will see a 2025 Peak in October and a 2026 October Bottom.
I will be grateful if you appreciate...
BTC still can reach 123kBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
my previous Idea on BTC is still reliable! take a look!
the price is still in the triangle and the pattern has not been lost so I guess we can see BTC at 123K!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨