Zoom out: Bull Flag Pattern Points to Potential Upside TargetTechnical Overview
The COINBASE:BTCUSD weekly chart suggests a bullish setup, with a Bullish Flag pattern and Descending Broadening Triangle playing out. Current price action shows BTC retesting previous resistance as new support around $67,000.
Support and Resistance:
- Support: The zone at $67,000 serves as immediate support within the flag pattern.
- Resistance: Key resistance lies at Bullish Target 1 ($77,750), which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Outlook:
- Bullish: If BTC holds above $67,000 and breaks through $77,750, a rally towards Bullish Target 2 at $88,000 is plausible, with a long-term target of $112,993.
- Bearish: A breakdown below $67,000 may lead to a retracement toward $60,000 or lower.
Conclusion:
The weekly setup remains bullish if BTC can defend $67,000, with $77,750 and $88,000 as primary upside targets. A decisive breakout could confirm continuation to higher targets.
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion.
Elevated Volatility Expected
Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market.
Political Uncertainty Looms Large
The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors.
Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC.
Historical Trends and Market Sentiment
Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy.
Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart:
1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction.
2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment
Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors.
Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns
Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Incoming – $100k Target!!Bitcoin is forming a bull flag pattern on the daily chart, hinting at a potential breakout that could propel the price towards $100,000. Currently trading at $65,859, Bitcoin is testing the upper boundary of the flag, with multiple rejections seen in previous attempts to break out. This consolidation within a descending channel, following a strong upward trend, suggests a bullish continuation if the breakout is confirmed.
If Bitcoin successfully breaches the flag’s resistance, the measured move from the prior leg indicates a target of $100k. Bull flags are known for signaling a continuation of the prevailing trend, and with Bitcoin’s bullish momentum intact, a breakout could lead to a significant surge. Traders should watch for a clean break above the upper trendline as a confirmation of this setup.
Yes, Bitcoin can also do this - next move to watch out1️⃣ Bitcoin is retracing to its 60-day low, giving risk-takers a chance to enter the market’s next leg up right now 🪙.
No rush, wait patiently.
So, are we going to go up in November?
It all depends on the next 10 days. If Bitcoin can hold above $65,000–$66,000 while the 3-day indicator resets, it’ll be a prime opportunity to re-enter the market. If Bitcoin fails to hold that level, we may need to wait for the 1-week (red line) indicator to reset instead.
📈 Bitcoin has rallied 34% from September to November, hitting overbought on all cycle indicators. Just like in 2021 , the 2-week cycle (light blue line at the bottom) indicates mid-term growth, while other indicators are beginning to retrace. 🔄
📉 If history repeats (and it might), the ideal re-entry will be when the 3-day indicator (violet line) dips below 20.
Let’s stop gambling and start making sustainable money in crypto.
Bitcoin Forming GraveStone Doji "A reversal is on the horizon".
A "Gravestone doji" is a pattern of candlestick analysis that forms at the top of an uptrend and warns market participants of a bearish trend reversal. Sometimes, this pattern emerges at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling a bullish reversal.
Note :
Do your own Research and Trade Wisely Never rely on my opinions.
Good Luck folks
BTC price projection for November based on historical returnsI got data from CoinGlass looking at Bitcoin historical returns in November since 2013.
BTC has accumulated 42.78% gains on average. With seven positive years out of eleven, November also has a median return of 7.12%, from opening (1) to closing (30).
In particular, November’s best year was 2013 with 449.35% gains from day one to 30, followed by 2017 and 2020, with 53.48% and 42.95%, respectively. Meanwhile, 2018’s bear market resulted in -36.57% returns in November for Bitcoin, being its worst year followers by 2019.
Bitcoin opened November 2024 at $70,272.
So, if you project this price for the end of the month based on historical average and median returns, BTC could reach a range between:
Median (7.12% = $75,275)
Average (42.78% = $100,334)
This, of course, is just for your entertainment, and the analysis shouldn't be used in isolation to make any financial decisions. I hope you enjoyed it.
All things considered, Bitcoin price is impossible to predict with precision, as the market is extremely volatile and uncertain. Investors should understand what they are buying and consider multiple factors before pressing the button.
rally that is slow taking offwe have broken out of the channel weekly and are trying to confirm another higher daily low in the pattern. sequencer has not completed its bull exhaustion pattern, and we havent lost trama although it isnt rising yet. supertrend is still in a holding pattern, but the larger move hasnt brought us down to signal at this top yet. new all time highs are still the target, and i wouldnt be surprised to see this confirm a breakout and head toward $79k. im interested in smaller moves, and ill be using BITO during normal trading hours.
Bitcoin Approaches All-Time HighMarket Update - November 1 2024
Fueled by positive market sentiment, the price of bitcoin exceeded $73,100, just shy of its all-time high: The Fed’s decision on rate cuts could further fuel a price increase, but bitcoin pulled back Thursday toward $70,000 amid a broader tech sell-off.
US spot bitcoin ETFs recorded $870 million in inflows on Tuesday, led by BlackRock’s IBIT with $629 million: It’s believed that bitcoin’s swelling price might be contributing to investment in these funds.
Florida CFO Jimmy Patronis has requested an evaluation of the feasibility of adding bitcoin to the state’s public pension funds: The state of Florida has typically shown keen interest in crypto initiatives, with Governor DeSantis having made proposals to allow businesses to pay tax in bitcoin in 2022.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd. (HKEX) will launch the “HKEX Virtual Asset Index Series” on November 15, providing reference prices for BTC and ETH during the Asian trading day: The indexes aim to offer transparency and support for virtual asset investment decisions in the region.
Weekly sales of NBA Top Shot NFTs have hit a six-month peak, with 43,600 NFTs sold as of October 27, marking a 94% jump from the previous week: Renewed excitement from the season opener is driving the surge in activity after a slow offseason.
Bitcoin Surges Past $73,000, Pulls Back on Thursday
Bitcoin climbed above $73,000 Tuesday, marking the first time it breached this level in over seven months. The renewed surge comes near the end of a strong year for bitcoin, partly driven by the SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and anticipated rate cuts in the US. Tuesday was also reported to be bitcoin’s biggest trading day in months, as volumes skyrocketed. However, the price of bitcoin retreated Thursday, pulling back toward $70,000 as the broader tech market recorded mixed earnings results.
Federal Reserve decisions in particular have been playing a role in bitcoin’s recent rally, with bitcoin rising from around $54,000 in early September as expectations for a rate cut increased. A majority of analysts currently anticipate a 25 bps cut November 7, which could drop rates to the 4.5% to 4.75% range. If this comes to be, it would most likely add to the current bitcoin trading frenzy.
Some analysts are bitcoin to climb even higher before the end of the year as market conditions become more favorable. It could depend on numerous factors, and will most likely be influenced in some form by the results of the upcoming US presidential election.
💱 Topic of the Week: Traditional Lending vs. Crypto Lending
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Bitcoin vs Halving vs US Election DatesLook at the history. Bitcoin bull cycle start after Halving event & US election. So accumulation period is prior to halving event and we can sell bitcoin after 1 year from the date of US election. As of historical data, the best time to sell bitcoin will be around November, December 2025.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin need correction before to break new ATH?Hey guys!
Here is fresh thoughts about current BTC situation.
For me, looks like we had Elliot Waves with all this growing movement and can have some correction before to continue move up. Also RSI showing us that is need some cool off.
But volumes are growing and the MA cross is bullish here. So this correction can happen, but the movement can be not that big.
Lmk your thoughts in the comments 👇
Bitcoin PoundLike in recent post I mentioned two possible bitcoin scenarios. My most recent post was a sell around $69,000-$73,000.
Scenario two was a break above 69,000 to 73k
Right now if the rejection right before the all time high goes back to 69k there are two possible scenarios.
Scenario 1: A buy back towards 73k and a break to 79k.
Scenario 2: would be a entry on the sell to 42k
Good luck!
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money."
Gold: The Timeless Haven
Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven.
• Pros of Gold:
o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control.
o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term.
o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk.
o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity.
• Cons of Gold:
o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient.
o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price.
o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds.
Bitcoin: The Digital Gold
Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth.
• Pros of Bitcoin:
o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity.
o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection.
o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains.
• Cons of Bitcoin:
o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment.
o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies.
o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some.
o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy.
The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin
The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven.
Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age.
Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including:
• Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold.
• Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time.
• Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk.
A Balanced Approach
Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
BTC Price holding above 50 sma on the hourlyBitcoin price has currently broke above resistance in a recent bullish impulse. The 71,300 has been flipped from resistance to support. This support test also coincided with a 50 sma test and the 1.382 fib extension. All three held strong. Price action is possibly going to test the support again at time of publishing. this is a good area for a long trade. Buy inside the rectangle and hold rips.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
BTC POSSIBLE ROUTE TOWARDS DECEMBER !!Sorry for the mess, what you're interested in is the purple arrow here.
We might be looking at a correction before it reaches a new top again, something like 75K in beginning December ;
Even though a lot of traders tend to think now's the time to get in for the 100K rally, we think this is more a zigzag/scalping opportunity and not a long term yet.
BTC Potential Plan !BTC / USDT
Summary :
BTC finally made its first HH and HL after 6 months being in bearish pattern
What next ?
Correction started and i still think we will get strong bullish wave but first we have high chance to take liquidity at 59.2k or even 57k because there are much liquidity there and also won’t invalidate our pattern (HH and HL)
After that a full bullish wave is expected to 73k as first target
Invalidation of bullish plan : lose 52k daily
Do u agree ?
Let me know in comments section below 👇
Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024.
The Role of Derivatives Markets
Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors.
Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings.
The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst
A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market.
If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case.
Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally.
Potential Risks and Challenges
While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include:
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market.
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur.
• Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Conclusion
The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.