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BITCOIN - Time to be Bearish!The 3-day chart shows a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator. -A bearish divergence occurs when: 1. Price Action: The asset's price forms higher highs (uptrend). 2. RSI Indicator: The RSI forms lower highs instead of following the price This divergence suggests that the upward momentum is weakening, even though the price is climbing, which could lead to a potential downtrend or correction. Based on this a drop to the 80k region is expected, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This decline perfectly corresponds to the fourth wave of the Elliott Impulse Wave. Afterward, a significant recovery is expected, representing Bitcoin's final bullish wave in the Elliott Wave cycle (the fifth wave) My outlook for the chart suggests a decline starting now and lasting until mid-February at most Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Short
by ceciliones
1
DAY 7 - Daily BTC UpdateThe Holidays have slowed the markets - for now. I've introduced a third potential scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), which is bearish and might see the price retesting the DAILY 100 Moving Average near $80K. Although this scenario seems less probable given the current market sentiment, where large corporations and businesses are actively accumulating, it's crucial to consider all possible outcomes to avoid the pitfalls of an "up-only" mindset prevalent in bullish markets. Remember, corrections are healthy and contribute to the robustness of the overall market pattern. After yesterday's positive momentum shift, we've again seen a lull in the market and increased sell pressure as the US gears up for tax season. The recent price movements in Bitcoin indicate an adjustment to overbought conditions following the election, with technical indicators suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend in the short term unless there's a significant influx of buying support. Keep an eye on these developments, as they could dictate the next moves in Bitcoin's price trajectory. Trading Tip: As we have no confirmed direction currently - One effective strategy during volatile periods like this can be the "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" approach. Instead of trying to time the market, you regularly invest a fixed dollar amount, regardless of the asset's price. This method reduces the impact of volatility by spreading out the purchase price over time. For Bitcoin's current scenario: Set a regular schedule: Decide to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin weekly or monthly. Stay disciplined: Avoid investing more when prices seem low or less when they're high. Consistency is key. Long-term perspective: DCA works best if you hold for the long term. It allows you to benefit from the average price over time rather than trying to predict short-term movements. This approach can mitigate the risk of entering the market at peak prices and can lead to purchasing more units when prices are low, potentially lowering your average cost per Bitcoin over time. Remember, while DCA can smooth out the volatility, it does not guarantee profits and should be part of a broader investment strategy considering your risk tolerance and financial situation! Thanks for following the 7 Days of BTC updates, and if you want these Daily - links are in my Bio :)
by LisaNEdwards
3
PRCL/USDT THE THE SKY IS THE LIMITPRCL/USDT SPOT update. The main markets have experienced a breakdown trend, particularly since BTC's last trend shift. PRCL/USDT is currently in a crucial support zone, which could be confirmed before 2025. What happens if this support zone is confirmed before 2025? It means the coin has the potential to break out, with a target price of up to $1. The coming 5 days can be important, after the data study of the last months. There is a signal of DCA data at the end of the month. For day traders there is no reason to enter this coin until it is confirmed the $0,50 could become interesting for the break.
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout: My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors: Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption: The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth. Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs: The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class. Supply Constraints from Halving Events: Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices. Growing Adoption as a Store of Value" As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Long
by TopgOptions
Understanding Moving Averages (MA): A Beginner’s GuideMoving Averages (MA) are among the most fundamental and widely used tools in technical analysis. They smooth out price data to create a trend-following indicator, helping traders identify the direction of an asset’s trend over a specific period. What is a Moving Average? A Moving Average calculates the average price of an asset over a set number of periods. By doing so, it reduces the impact of random price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the trend. There are two main types of moving averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA is the arithmetic mean of prices over a specified number of periods. Formula: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Formula: Smoothing factor: How to Use Moving Averages Trend Identification: Rising MA: Indicates an uptrend. Falling MA: Indicates a downtrend. Flat MA: Suggests a sideways or range-bound market. Crossover Signals: Golden Cross: When a short-term MA (e.g., 50-day) crosses above a long-term MA (e.g., 200-day), signaling a potential uptrend. Death Cross: When a short-term MA crosses below a long-term MA, signaling a potential downtrend. Dynamic Support and Resistance: Moving averages often act as support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Prices tend to bounce off the MA during retracements. Combination with Other Indicators: Moving averages can be paired with RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands for better signal confirmation. Strengths of Moving Averages Simplicity: Easy to calculate and understand. Trend Focused: Effective in identifying and confirming trends. Versatility: Applicable to various timeframes and markets. Limitations of Moving Averages Lagging Nature: Moving averages are based on past prices, which can delay signals. Less Effective in Sideways Markets: May produce false signals in range-bound conditions. Best Practices for Using Moving Averages Choose the Right Period: Shorter periods (e.g., 10, 20) make the MA more sensitive to price changes, suitable for short-term trading. Longer periods (e.g., 50, 200) provide a smoother line, ideal for long-term trend analysis. Combine with Multiple MAs: Use a combination of short-term, medium-term, and long-term MAs to understand different trends. Context Matters: Understand market conditions. Moving averages work best in trending markets and are less reliable in choppy conditions. Example of Moving Averages in Action Imagine a stock is in a clear uptrend, with the price consistently trading above its 50-day SMA. When the price retraces and touches the 50-day SMA but bounces upward, this can act as a signal to enter a long position. If the price breaks below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, it may indicate a trend reversal. Conclusion Moving Averages are a foundational tool in technical analysis that helps traders identify trends, dynamic support and resistance levels, and potential entry or exit points. While they are simple to use, their effectiveness improves when combined with other indicators and a solid understanding of market dynamics. As always, backtest your strategies and adapt your moving average settings to your specific trading style and market conditions.
Education
by CRYPTONIC_trend
BITCOIN DOMINANCE - Clear chart , Clear dataYour trading struggles are summarized in this chart weekly chart displays breakout a massive rising wedge pattern and now retesting... Everything is fine as long as you’ve bought your coins at good prices. All this struggle is simply summarized in this retest. What’s expected is strong price fluctuation until mid-January, after which things should settle down. If you’re out of the market and looking to enter, try to do so during the next correction
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by ceciliones
4
BTCUSDT - Bearish sign?daily chart displays a ascending broading wedge pattern can notice obviously how price action going when touches the lower side of the pattern You'll notice a full absorption of the candle, with only a wick touching the lower part of the pattern. It's important to understand that the ascending wedge pattern is inherently bearish, often signaling a downward move. However, Bitcoin rarely gives you a clear short signal like this—it will likely liquidate all short positions first. What’s expected is a strong upward move in the coming days, followed by a drop. Bitcoin’s target for this correction is 85k.
Short
by ceciliones
1
BTC Targets in 2024 & 2025As per fib tool, we can assume that BTC might hit these fib levels in this year or next year. 1.618 (102075.56) 2.618 (155599.53) 3.618 (209123.50) Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
Bitcoin's 486 days marathon after halving to reach the 150,000 !The Basics of Bitcoin's Analysis As we approach the anticipated fourth Bitcoin halving on April 15th, 2024, the mining of Bitcoin’s 19,656,962nd coin is a testament to the network’s enduring strength, bringing the circulating supply to 90% of the total. The ‘rainbow chart’ remains a popular model for visualizing Bitcoin’s logarithmic growth and its cyclical price patterns. The halving events, pivotal in Bitcoin’s economic model, systematically reduce the block reward, thereby constraining the new supply of Bitcoin. The current reward stands at 6.25 BTC per block, which will decrease to 3.125 BTC post the fourth halving. This deflationary mechanism has historically triggered bullish market sentiments as the reduced flow of new coins amplifies scarcity. Analyzing the cycles between halvings, a clear pattern emerges: the initial 70,000 blocks post-halving often usher in a bullish phase, succeeded by a bearish phase up to the 140,000th block, and culminating in a sideways market until the next halving at the 210,000th block. Bitcoin’s market dominance is also subject to cyclical fluctuations. Since 2016, its dominance has dipped below 40% during bearish phases and soared to around 70% during bullish periods, significantly influencing the broader cryptocurrency market. The average drawdown observed between halvings is approximately 80%. Currently, in the sideways phase of the third cycle, projections based on the intersection of the 210,000th block and the lower logarithmic regression boundary suggest a valuation of $30,000 per Bitcoin. The forthcoming era could witness a peak of $150,000, with an 80% drawdown positioning the potential low at $55,000 during the bearish phase, commencing 486 days after the halving. Where are we Today? Recent market analyses align with these projections, indicating a minor retracement a month after the 2024 halving, followed by a significant rally to new heights. Analysts advise caution as the market nears the halving event, with some predicting a pre-halving sell-off. Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, with predictions of a new all-time high price in each 4-year period between Halving dates. The only indicator to consider: The MVRV Ratio and Z-score The MVRV ratio was created by Murad Mahmudov & David Puell hot on the heals of the invention of the Realized Cap concept by the Coinmetrics team of Nic Carter and Antoine Le Calvez. Realized Cap is an alternative approach to Market Cap as a measure of network valuation. Rather than using the last traded price and multiplying by the coins in circulation as seen in Market Cap, Realized Cap approximates the value paid for all coins in existence by summing the market value of coins at the time they last moved on the blockchain. MVRV is simply the ratio comparing the two, i.e. MVRV = Market Cap / Realized Cap. It’s useful for getting a sense of when the exchange traded price is below “fair value” and is also quite useful for spotting market tops and bottoms (Source: Coinmetrics.com). The MVRV ratio is calculated by dividing the total bitcoin market value (MV) by its realized value (RV). Therefore, the metric represents the extent in which the current bitcoin market valuation is overextended beyond (values >1) or actually at a discount (values <1) compared to the holders’ aggregated cost base. From the MVRV ratio we obtain the MVRV z-score, which first calculates the difference between the total bitcoin market value and its realized value, and then divides that by the standard deviation of the market valuation — a common statistical procedure called “standardization.” The MVRV z-scores, therefore, represent the number of standard deviations that each bitcoin market valuation is increased or decreased against its realized value (Remember z-score >1 means overextended and z-score <1 discount) What do indicators say? We are currently at the dusk of the 3rd halving era which occurred on May 11th 2020, more precisely the END of the sideways phase. The MVRV ratio is at 2.24 giving sights of a Fair Value. Historically, Values over '3.7' indicated price top and values below '1' indicated price bottom.(Source: CryptoQuant) (It is crucial to note that these insights are for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and while historical data can provide guidance, it does not guarantee future performance).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
BTCUSDT Analysis: Be Patient for a Better Long EntryIf you're considering a long position on Bitcoin, ensure you do so from a significant level . As highlighted in all my analyses, the market is currently riskier than it appears . Nevertheless, if you're determined to go long, it’s worth waiting for the blue box to be tested. Key Points: Current Risk: The market is riskier than it may seem, so caution is essential. Blue Box Zone: A key level for potential long entries, providing better risk-reward opportunities. Confirmation Indicators: Use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks in lower time frames for validation. Learn With Me: If you want to learn how to effectively use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints to identify high-value demand zones, feel free to DM me. Reminder: Always manage your risk and wait for confirmation before entering a trade. If this analysis helps you, please don’t forget to boost and comment. Your support motivates me to share more insights! If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
The idea on BTC worked as expected, and now there is a patternThe market gifted us a 6% rebound in just one day. However, we are now observing a pattern formation, signaling consolidation and hinting at a potential huge impulse ahead. But which direction? It’s hard to determine at this moment. While fundamentals and trends suggest further growth, many traders are sitting on significant profits, waiting to see how others react. The previous idea played out well, but that narrative seems complete now. For the next move, patience is key. Entering a trade at this stage is controversial, as the impulsive pattern formation indicates the market could break in either direction. Stay cautious and watch for confirmation before making a move. Yours sincerely, Mister iM
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by grigori-ilkevich
BTC.D Analysis: Retest of Key Area Highly LikelyBitcoin Dominance Looking Bitcoin dominance looks very strong but BTC has entered the range. So I think dominance may follow a calmer course for a while, a few coins that have separated from the herd may make good moves in these few days, but it is too early to claim that the general atmosphere is completely bullish, because SP500 seems to be making a deep correction and is giving signals of this. I do not buy anything during the New Year, and I will not buy, but then I will spend all of these corrections with buying because I believe that 2025 will be good. A retest of this area in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) seems very possible based on current market behavior. This level holds significance as a potential reaction zone for further movements. Also, I see no point in saying that this view of dominance supports the blue box analysis I shared here: Because when BTC goes down to blue box we will see an upside move on dominance then we blue box of dominance chart will support the price, we will see an upmove on both. Key Points: Current Setup: BTC.D is approaching a critical area of interest. Retest Likelihood: Market dynamics suggest a probable revisit to this zone. Focus: Monitoring the reaction at this level for future directional clarity. If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by UmutTrades
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500: US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008. India's Nifty 50: India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak. Gold: Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well. Brent Crude: Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn. USD/INR: The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025. US Govt. 10 years bond yield: The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026. Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak. In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
SP:SPX
by BISHNU_P_BASYAL
1