BITCOIN BUY SETUP in chart btc is consolidating. in my scenario btc will touch 2021 high trendline for retest and got huge liquidity also a fib golden pocket on logarithm chart let see!!
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets.
Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures
1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data
The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts.
2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance
The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments.
3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment
The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis
1. Immediate Price Reaction
Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold.
- Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark.
3. Chart Patterns and Indicators
Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution.
4. Market Sentiment and Volume
Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets.
Conclusion:
The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
Watch out belowYeah, these charts are turning ugly for Bitcoin, which is down more than 10% from its high.
There will be a bounce somewhere on the way down. Use it as a chance to get out.
I see a bullish movement for BTC!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is in the most boring symmetrical triangle ever! However It's cooking something!
we can see a bullish Divergence on MACD and a possible bullish cross between MACD and Signal line!
these are some bullish signs which makes me think that the price might be able to break out of the triangle and get up to 123k! (AB=CD)
since we are at a bottom and the bullish trend line isn't lost yet, It might be a good point to enter!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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BTCUSD- hi friends, I use different strategies to make my analysis. So , this is my short term trade for BTCUSD. Thank you so much and have a safe trading ahead. please be careful with your trade and trade according to your account balance after checking all the safety parameters, i.e. Risk management, etc
thank you and have a good time aheaa
BITCOIN short term bearish bias#bitcoin #btc price has been declined from 4H Ema ribbons and ichimoku span resistance. In my previous ideas, i said CRYPTOCAP:BTC has entered distribution zone and the last phase (major sign of weakness) hasn't confirmed, yet but it' s proceeding! Only a new ATH (with not fake movement for only taking liquidations) may invalidate Wyckoff' s distribution schematic #btcusd has been in.
BITCOIN CRASH BEST TRADE IDEA🔻 BTC/USDT Short Setup - 30M Analysis 🔻
Bitcoin has rejected a key resistance zone around $97,400-$97,550, showing signs of a bearish move. Price has failed to break above this supply area, and now a potential sell-off towards the sell-side liquidity range is in play.
🔹 Entry: Around $97,400 (Retest of resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: $97,550 (Above supply zone)
🔹 Target: $94,725-$94,711 (Liquidity sweep level)
📉 Analysis Breakdown:
✅ Price is reacting to a well-defined supply zone.
✅ Bearish momentum increasing after liquidity grab.
✅ Confluence with 50 EMA rejecting price.
✅ High probability of price reaching liquidity range.
Watching this trade closely—let me know your thoughts! 📊🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoSignals 🚀
BTC ABOUT TO DUMP...Oh well, is this the BTC dump i've been waiting for...
As we all know BTC has been consolidating for around 90 days now, an entire quarter. We broke the $100k mark but failed to really drive any higher and make any new significant highs, i wouldn't class anything under $110k a significant high.
There is a trend line that has formed with 3 points of contact, confirming it's previous reliability until recently when we saw a spike dump from BTC from over $100k to around $80k. This spike broke through that trend line as well as some significant lows, breaking the stability and reliability of the support levels and the trend line.
BTC is now currently retesting this trend line at around GETTEX:98K , this could be a vital moment for BTC and all the Alts. If BTC rejects this trend line and drops off, continuing to break the lows of $90k i do believe we could see some downward momentum catch on and BTC could well continue downwards to the $70k mark.
I have been calling this for months now and hope it does happen as stated previously it gives us an incredible opportunity to load up our bags with BTC, but also with some good alts like XRP, SOL, BNB etc.
Lets watch closely over the next few days and see how this plays out. I am not short on this yet but would consider a short if this rejection takes place clearly.
$30,000 drop or $30,000 rise ?!!!This wedge can change the market outcome. If Bitcoin cannot break this wedge from above, we will see a $30k price drop. If the price breaks this wedge from above, we will see a $30k price increase. Now that most traders are disheartened by the crypto market and are selling their assets cheaply, I suspect that the price will go up.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
CELO LONGCelo has bounced every time it touched the lower range around $0.40, usually reaching at least $0.25.However, given the current market conditions, I expect either more downside or a sideways movement in the next few days.
The Stoch RSI is gearing up for a bullish cross on the weekly, but historically, the first cross is often followed by a negative one, before a second bullish cross that truly pushes the price higher. So while we might see some short-term upside, we should also be prepared for lower prices before a more significant rally kicks in.
Bitcoin Yet To Recover Amidst February DipBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has yet to fully recover from its early February drop. The leading cryptocurrency remains colloquial, trading between $92,000 support and $102,200 resistance. This price variations posits a key contrast between digital and physical gold—while an ounce of gold trades at a relatively modest $3,000, Bitcoin fluctuates within a $10,000 price disparity.
BTC’s future direction remains uncertain. If buyers gain strength and push the price above $100,000, Bitcoin could test new highs in the $102,200–$105,500 range, potentially extending its upward trend.
However, a deeper correction could trigger a retest of the $93,000 support level, which would likely lead to a new local low within the $89,200–$92,000 range.
Presently Up 1.02% with a moderate RSI of 44.90 a moderation largely attributed to Michael Saylor's 7,633 purchase of Bitcoin worth $742 million today.
While the fear and greed index still remains at 35 this hints at a potential pull back might be inevitable.
Market Update: Tariffs, Trade Shifts & Bitcoin's Next MoveCME:BTC1!
News and Economic Calendar Update
President Trump announced 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports, effective Monday, with reciprocal tariffs to follow on Tuesday or Wednesday. As Trump has shared, “if they tax us, we tax them the same amount.” This move is expected to reshape global trade relations, with China reportedly considering probes into U.S. tech firms such as Broadcom (AVGO) and Synopsys (SNPS), according to WSJ. Japan's PM Ishiba remains optimistic about avoiding higher U.S. tariffs, while Australia and India are negotiating exemptions and trade concessions. Meanwhile, the EU has hinted at retaliatory measures should new tariffs be imposed.
The U.S. dollar strengthened following Friday’s jobs report and fresh tariff announcements, while the Japanese yen under-performed. The EUR/USD briefly dipped below 1.03 before rebounding, and the British pound remained stable ahead of comments from BoE’s Mann. U.S. Treasury yields were unchanged, while European bunds edged higher amid rising trade concerns.
Gold surged to an all-time high above $2,900/oz, reflecting increased demand for safe-haven assets due to tariff uncertainty. Meanwhile, crude oil reached session highs, and European natural gas prices climbed to a two-year peak due to colder temperatures and tight storage.
Looking Ahead
Key upcoming data releases include Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, U.S. CPI data, Chinese M2 Money Supply, and U.S. retail sales. Additionally, multiple central bank officials are scheduled to speak throughout the week, providing further insights into monetary policy direction.
Macro Update: Trade War 2.0 and Tariff Shifts Impact Markets.
The latest reciprocal tariff announcements from Trump, in our view, presents a strategic opportunity for the U.S. This approach enables negotiations for lower tariffs on U.S. exports with individual trading partners, fostering a more flexible and targeted trade policy. This shift aligns more with global trade integration and could provide a more balanced framework for U.S. exporters.
Gold continues to exhibit renewed strength as a safe-haven asset, marking fresh all-time highs amid market uncertainty. Meanwhile, Bitcoin—often referred to as "digital gold"—has lagged behind, struggling in a climate of risk-off sentiment. However, it remains within its post-election trading range, signaling resilience despite broader market volatility.
At the fiscal level, U.S. House Republican leaders are proposing federal spending cuts ranging between $2 trillion to $2.5 trillion, according to Punchbowl sources. These cuts are expected to focus heavily on Medicaid spending. However, the effectiveness of government spending adjustments remains in question—whether such measures will enhance efficiency or simply reduce overall spending is yet to be seen. In addition, extending President Trump’s tax proposals could cut revenue by $5-11T over a decade, potentially pushing U.S. debt to 132-149% of GDP by 2035. Senate Republicans propose $342B in border and defense spending, with offsetting cuts. Meanwhile, Musk’s DOGE Service aims to automate government functions, reduce the federal workforce, and slash spending.
Bitcoin Big Picture:
Bitcoin has been consolidating after making new all time highs post US elections. Although price action and consolidation points towards further bullishness. We remain cautious and prepared for any of the scenarios that may happen as a result of many different factors influencing risk assets and market sentiment.
To better manage your exposure to Bitcoin, consider using CME’s Micro Bitcoin and Bitcoin Friday Futures . Additionally, you can take part in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, allowing you to showcase your Micro Bitcoin trading skills in The Leap —risk-free.
Key Levels to Watch
Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan.
Yearly Hi: 110,920
mCVAH: 104,400
Dec 2024 mid range: 101,570
Jan 2025 mid range: 100,610
mCVPOC: 98,075
mCVAL: 93,730
Key Bull Support: 92,505 - 90,000
Scenario 1: Further chop and acceptance
In this scenario, we may see price action remain range bound. Traders look for clarity on how policy may affect market sentiment before further committing capital.
Scenario 2: New ATHs
Price attempts to create new ATHs which marks a significant move. Although bitcoin created new all time highs in January 2025, these were rejected and price action pointed towards market top.
Scenario 3: Souring market sentiment
Scenario 2 and 3 requires remaining alert to all developments as fundamental and macro news is turning ever so significant in driving short-term volatility and price action.
Any further hint towards tighter monetary policy and tighter fiscal policy may send BTC prices lower very quickly.
Weekend is coming - another liquidation coming? BTC strongly bounced Monday and formed a daily candle with a massive bottom wick. It is a bullish candle but that itself doesn't confirm the bull trend is going to start. It was definitely the buy the dip moment for spot buyers and hodlers.
However, if people are trading, the obvious stop of Stop/Loss is just below that wick on the Monday candle. Subsequent daily candles failed to close above 100K. All daily momentum indicators are entering the bear zone. Now the price is steadily moving down.
Weekend is coming. I can see another perfect setup for the long liquidation event. I hope I am wrong.
I think the next few weeks are critical for the BTC bull. Weekly MACD is touching but hasn't crossed yet, so I will continue to observe the price action.
If MACD lines clearly cross to the downside and stochastic has entered the bear zone. I would consider opening a short position. I will use a daily chart to identify an entry.
It has been a very challenging market.
TOTAL3 is repeating the same exact pattern of cup and handleTOTAL3 is exactly repeating the same exact pattern of cup and handle also align with the 50 EMA and 61% Fibonacci level
we may see reversal of this strong levels
BITCOIN (BTC/USD)BTC/USD has completed the ABC phases of the ABCD pattern and is now testing support above 95K. Holding this level could trigger a move back above 100K to complete the D phase. A break below C (95-94K region) could invalidate the pattern, shifting bias to bearish.
Scalping Trade Setup (Short) - Bearish Bias✅ Entry: $96,000 - $96,200 (If price retests this area)
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $95,400 - $95,500
❌ Stop Loss (SL): $96,500
📊
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
🔹 Reasoning:
Price is breaking down from support around $96,000.
Ichimoku Cloud is bearish.
A retest of $96,000 before further downside is likely.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC - Key Zones & Liquidity InsightsBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently oscillating within a new trading range, establishing a trustable support zone while facing a weaker resistance trendline and resistance zone. Given this setup, a breakout isn’t the primary expectation just yet.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Strength: The support zone is stronger than the resistance, making it less likely for BTC to break downward easily.
Resistance Weakness: The resistance trendline and zone appear weaker, meaning any rejection could be temporary.
Liquidity Perspective: As seen on the liquidity chart, there’s favorable liquidity above the resistance zone, increasing the probability of a short-term push higher to hunt liquidity.
💡 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC could move toward the resistance zone, tapping into liquidity before reacting.
2️⃣ If buyers step in aggressively, a short-term liquidity grab above resistance might trigger further upside.
3️⃣ Failure to reclaim key levels could lead to continued range-bound movement.
🚀 Stay ready for the next Bitcoin move! Follow for real-time updates and professional insights! 🔔
My safe entry for #LONG87.5k to 90k area is good for long zone, for me current market situation is suggesting me to Wait patiently for this area or let's see CAN BTC HOLDS 95-97K AREA,0
SUNDAY IS SPECULATION DAY😅
BITCOIN - Recovery? or Collapse?BTC-USDT (1D Timeframe)
Long trade targets achieved, but Bitcoin is looking bearish based on the Risological Trading Indicator.
The price is retracing after a strong uptrend.
Key Levels:
Entry: $64,464
Stop-Loss (SL): $61,682
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: $67,903 ✅
TP 2: $73,467 ✅
TP 3: $79,032 ✅
TP 4: $82,470 ✅
What’s Next?
Pullback or Trend Reversal?
If support holds, we could see a bounce back for another bullish leg.
If momentum weakens, Bitcoin might see a rude reversal toward lower levels.
Iam not getting into a short position as yet, till I see the first candle close on Daily time frame below the Risological dotted trendline.
FOMO is a profitable trader's No.1 enemy! I am not going to fall for this, at the moment.
Wish you all the best, and do follow and upvote if this update has helped you.
Namaste!
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near
The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins.
I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!)
🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet
Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt.
🔹 Bitcoin Outlook
BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support.
😱 More blood on the charts?
Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders:
1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in.
2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish.
I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders.
📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles
When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding.
If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery.
Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
Starting a Bitcoin Analysis Series – February EditionI’m kicking off a Bitcoin analysis series for February , where I’ll be sharing quick and to-the-point updates on the Bitcoin chart throughout the month. Alongside that, I’ll also post my trade ideas as they develop. The goal is to stay on top of the price action and navigate the market with clear, structured setups.
I might not be able to catch every single move, but I’ll do my best to cover the most relevant ones. Hopefully, this will lead to some solid trades and strong results. At the end of the day, it’s not that complicated—you just have to trade what you see .
Looking forward to an exciting month in the crypto market!
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone,
This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here:
My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief.
As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
Gold's Rally and Bitcoin's Dip: Decoding the SignalsIs Gold's Glitter a Warning Sign? Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets as Physical Gold Demand Soars
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has been experiencing a resurgence, raising eyebrows and sparking discussions about potential economic headwinds. Its recent outperformance, coupled with a dramatic drop in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and a surge in physical gold deliveries, suggests growing concerns about the global financial landscape. Are these developments harbingers of fiscal worries ahead?
Gold's Allure Returns
Gold's appeal as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty has been rekindled. While the yellow metal has historically played a crucial role in portfolios seeking diversification and stability, its recent performance has been particularly noteworthy. Gold prices have reached all-time highs, driven by a confluence of factors, including geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and fears of economic slowdown.
One significant factor contributing to gold's rise is the escalating trade tensions between major economic powers. Past trade disputes, such as the tariff exchanges between the US and China, have historically fueled safe-haven demand, benefiting gold. The current geopolitical climate, marked by increasing uncertainty and potential for conflict, further strengthens this narrative.
Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets: A Shift in Investor Sentiment?
The Bitcoin-gold ratio, a metric that compares the price of Bitcoin to that of gold, has recently plummeted to a 12-week low. This decline suggests a shift in investor sentiment, with many seemingly favoring the traditional safe haven of gold over the more volatile cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin has often been touted as "digital gold," its price volatility and perceived regulatory risks may be driving investors back to the established stability of physical gold. This shift could indicate a broader move away from riskier assets and towards more traditional safe havens.
Physical Gold Demand Soars: A Flight to Tangible Assets
Adding fuel to the gold fire is the dramatic increase in physical gold deliveries. Reports indicate a surge in gold shipments to the U.S., with traders actively loading the precious metal onto planes bound for American shores. Furthermore, major financial institutions are playing a significant role in this trend. Investment banking giant JPMorgan, for example, is reportedly planning to deliver a staggering $4 billion worth of gold to New York this month. This substantial demand for physical gold underscores a preference for tangible assets, potentially signaling a lack of confidence in the stability of financial markets or fiat currencies.
Global Gold Demand Hits Record High: India Sees Uptick
The global appetite for gold is not limited to the U.S. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand has reached record highs in 2024. Even in price-sensitive markets like India, gold demand has seen a 5% uptick. This widespread increase in gold consumption further reinforces the narrative of a flight to safety and a growing unease about the global economic outlook.
Is Gold's Outperformance a Sign of Fiscal Worries Ahead?
The confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence – geopolitical uncertainty, trade tensions, declining Bitcoin-gold ratio, and soaring physical gold demand – raises the critical question: are these indicators of deeper fiscal worries on the horizon? While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, the historical precedent suggests a strong correlation between periods of economic uncertainty and increased demand for gold.
Gold's role as a hedge against inflation and economic turmoil is well-established. When investors perceive heightened risks in the global economy, they often flock to gold as a safe haven, driving up its price. The current environment certainly exhibits many of the characteristics that have historically triggered such a flight to safety.
The Potential Implications
If the current gold rush is indeed a sign of growing fiscal concerns, the implications could be significant. Increased demand for gold could put further upward pressure on prices, potentially exacerbating inflationary pressures. Furthermore, a shift away from riskier assets could lead to increased volatility in financial markets and potentially trigger a broader economic downturn.
A Word of Caution
While the evidence suggests a potential link between gold's outperformance and fiscal worries, it's essential to exercise caution. Market dynamics are complex and influenced by a multitude of factors. Gold's price can be volatile, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. It's crucial to avoid drawing hasty conclusions based solely on gold's price movements.
Conclusion
Gold's recent surge, coupled with the decline in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and the surge in physical gold deliveries, presents a compelling narrative. While it's too early to definitively declare a looming fiscal crisis, the confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence warrants close attention. Investors should carefully consider these developments and assess their potential impact on their portfolios. Whether gold's glitter is a mere reflection of market jitters or a harbinger of deeper economic troubles remains to be seen. However, the current trends certainly raise important questions about the health of the global economy and the potential for increased volatility in the near future.
