My Perspective On BitcoinI Personally do think Long-Term is the move. As we see here is seems we are repeating the may move but in a shorter term.
Another way of seeing it, we could be testing the 100 Day Moving Average since we recently tested the 50 Day Moving Average from our last "Dip" back in September.
If we can bounce where we are now then I do see us flying somewhere around 72k around mid January or early February.
Remember this is just my perspective on the current situation in the market and highly advise you not to copy as this could take a turn for the worse at anytime when we least expect it to.
Stay safe, Use Stop Losses for your next couple of trades while we are down right now and Happy Trading/Happy New Years!
Twitter: @qoecs
Bitcoinpriceprediction
Bitcoin Winter Rollercoaster ❄ Should we get Pumped up?!Hey! Last days on bitcoin chopping longs and shors.
It is pretty regular to have such behaviour before big movements. Price get the similar movements below down-trend lines (blue) I have highlighted it with black arrow-zigzag.
I think there is an opportunity for nice move after price trigger (51200 or 45300). I have explained my thoughts on the chart.
Anythihg can happen, so keep you eyes on the price action and trigger levels (use alarm feature on @Tradingview)
PS: personally I would like to see trending up, what about you?;)
Have a nice holidays!
Best regards
Artem Shevelev
Just doodling ideas with bitcoin price predictions to $100k-500kLooks like if you follow log chart channel up Btc has a probability to go to $529k
or if it follows the log chart then it goes to $148k
supports would be last peak of $19k and $13k
Of course there's also a bearish side but bullish looks too good to be true. Haha! Hope you enjoy :)
The bad:
Monthly MACD about to cross down so watch out
Oversold cross down last month November
Volume going down
The good:
idk
keep Hodl and dca strong! Thanks for looking
Bitcoin - what is its cost production value, really?!I want to touch on the topic of bitcoin's cost production value. This is a rather important matter as it gives a better understanding of its price's cost bottom. Many miners talk about 15-20 thousand USD as its cost production value. They are right! When it comes to individual mining, then this is most likely to be the case. However, based on the above evaluation, many home miners and investors believe that the price of bitcoin cannot go any lower.
This is not the case!
The break-even point depends primarily on 2 factors: the efficiency of the equipment and the price of electricity or hosting. Globally, individual mining does not in any way affect the price action or its cost bottom.
Why is that?
This is because there is an industrial scale of mining by companies such as: Poolin & Bitmain from China, Crypto Scientific from US or BitBaza, BitRiver, CryptoUniverse from Russia, etc. where infrastructure investments range from 10 to 150 million USD. Bitcoin's cost for the mining giants is around 3,000-5,000 USD for the following reasons:
1. Equipment purchases are made in bulk directly from the manufacturers. Some companies, for example, like Bitmain produce their own ASICs.
2. The average efficiency of the equipment is around 40-45 J/TH. More advanced mining farms have even better equipment working at 60 J/TH.
3. Currently electricity's price for industrial use in the US is about 6-7 cents per kWh. Poolin, for example, offered 4 cents on its electricity contract in Texas. The price for electricity in Kazakstan and Russia's Irkutsk is around 2 cents - the two locations where some Chinese miners have been moving over the last six months. There are also examples of mining farms that are directly connected to power plants like Greenidge Generation. Such companies generally work without intermediaries.
Therefore, bitcoin's cost bottom price is not 15,000 USD at all, but is around 3,000-5,000 USD.
Can the price go below the cost production price?
Undoubtedly! Gold, oil and bonds - all of them had negative yields more than once over the past 60 years. A striking example is 20 April 2020, when the price of WTI crude oil fell below zero to -37 USD. Therefore, bitcoin's short-term drop to 1,500 USD is feasible and may well materialize.
Keep in mind that price action is fundamentally dependent on macroeconomic factors and the expectations of large speculators. Media feeds are always made for the crowd! As the saying goes, what every taxi driver knows - is no longer the news.
DOW JONES ANALYSIS FOR CRYPTO FORECASTINGGoodmorning y'all from Amsterdam..
a beautiful winter morning with freezing temperatures here.. Sitting with my morning coffee analyzing the charts. You can't make me more happy than this..
To forecast what can possibly happen with crypto it is important to look at what the FED and the American indices are doing..
The market seems to be calmed a little because of this OMICRON variant.. it seems this variant isn't that bad for our health as many predicted..
But the next big thing is the INFLATION.. Worldwide it is raising and raising..
The FED can take measures to bring this back.. 1 of this is to raise interest rates so that borrowing money becomes more expensive. They hope institutions and people will borrow less and stagnate their spending..
Once the other stops spending the other side is earning less... So this could help drop prices because their is less demand for stuff... when prices drop their is deflation..
Some how the better we can all agree that the total market has been overbought en is raising to the moon.. A lot of people have made money and this helps the inflation because they spend it..
It is the FED trying to bring the stock market down..
So we have to have an eye on this..
The DOW JONES is connected with crypto..
$BTC SHORT POSITION AT 52KBTC has broken the 55K & 52K level, we did have a strong rejection at 40K where it's the base zone where second rally started and created the new ATH . I am expecting a retest to at least 52K, then move downside to 38K and possibly down to 30K
Let's see how it plays out. :)
Bitcoin Analysis 02.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Bitcoin 1 hour chart more details... Good morning from Amsterdam...
Here is 2nd update as a follow up of the 4 hour chart...
This might be a 2nd scenario...
I am bullish on the mid long term but i expect price to correct once more to perfect the falling wedge and touche the trend line (daily bars) and than bounce up strong!
BTC Ready to bounce from 111 Daily SMABitcoin is ready to bounce from 111 Daily SMA!
Why 111 Daily SMA is important? Its one element of the PI cycle top indicator! in September crash it held support very well, and went for the new ATH!
Check the RSI level too! its almost as same level as previous crashes before bounce! so get ready!
Bitcoin year end price predictionIn June of this year the SHARK posted his year end Bitcoin price prediction...nothing has changed. The SHARK sill has a price target of $127,000. After tonights weekly candle close and successful backtest of 60k look for us to get to 70k-72k by this coming weekly close on OCT. 31st. The Bitcoin weekly charts haven't looked this bullish since last years run. In the short term there is an ABCD chart on weekly timeframes has us getting to the 80k level by the second week of November. To all other diamond hands out there let me compliment you on staying tough this summer when everyone was telling us we were wrong. Keep swimming with TheSHARK we are almost there.
This Autumn must be the last Bitcoin rally!Hey guys,
This is quick idea about Bitcoin price predition for late 2021.
It seems like in this fall it must be last rally for BTC in 2021. Looking at chart I notice bullish impulsive Elliott waves, and now after ETF approval, we are inside big (3)-wave, which is confmed by price action and media attention.
Next phase should begin in early November, with big mania around Bitcoin and its growth.
I consider to follow up the next targets on Bitcoin: m y main target is $80,000 with rebuy at $70,000 in following retracement. After that I consider to take profits near $ 102,000 as it could be potential top for bitcoin for next few years.
In any case, I am taking risk wise decisions and trades, using affordable risk. Please, do not bet all of your money, which you cannot afford to lose.
Best regards
Artem Shevelev
Stay tuned for further updates.
Bitcoin Time is Ticking- i am still bullish on BTC and i believe that we didnt yet get a second impulse, Cryptos are fast and the short time we have is very important in this Cycle.
- We got many bad news recently, Coinbase SEC Fud, China FUD blocked almost everything, Tradingview, Coingeko, Coinmarketcap, exchanges, facebook, reddit, Youtube,
this is when you understand that you are not controlling your own life and your own freedom.
- But the reality is when u block something or ban, you give to this product more Value, you make it more rare and difficult to access ( same as drugs, marijuana, prostitution, alcohol, etc).
So what they are trying to do is just to create panic to get more BTC at lower price or Short it.
- "Trying to stop Bitcoin is like trying to stop the internet and all the "P2P Computers" on the planet. it's impossible."
Here you can check who owns most of the Bitcoins in the World : www.kevinrooke.com
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trading Parts :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We have only 2 Scenarios right now ( most everything is in the graph ) :
1. Next impulse will come in those 3 coming months and rocket around 85,000$+ - 100k$+ (Green Triangle)
( we have to be fast to go on this Stratosphere or this scenario will be unvalidated )
2. We finished this move already at 64,000$ and we are making an "ABC" to dip around 24,000$, we will start a new Elliot wave impulse later, Wich could lead to retest 40k. (Red Triangle)
( This scenario could postpone BTC next Bullrun to June 2022 )
- That Said, we are in a "PIVOT ZONE" a very important momentum right now, my own view is still believe in Scenario 1.
- feel free to add your comments and ideas.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Remember anyone have "the cristal ball", Manage your invests, Keep some money for rebuy, believe in the future and fight for your freedom.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC ROAD to 13K Before HALVINGAccording to this quick analysis of BTC nearing it's next halving which in Bitcoin's history has always been bullish , we are:
1) Seemingly in a new bullish channel
2) Heading for a short term ABC correction which should hold above 8200$
3) Followed by a 12345 impulse wave within the channel topping our last ATH of June 2019
4) Followed by another ABC correction right before the halving and hovering & ending around 11k after halving
Note: 11K is according to me an important price level to maintain after Halving in order for many Miners to continue they're operations...
Enjoy the RIDE, this is the beginning, as the next years will be tumultuous, the whole banking system will change, and our FIAT system is being heavily put to the TEST!!!
Bitcoin About to Break Our Major descending triangle from ATHIt would be a HUGE confirmation of an all time high coming to bitcoin if we break 51K-53K, as you can see in the triangle we need to break the upper white line and stay above it and so far Bitcoin has been doing great at support and resistance. Making me very bullish.
The next leg is gonna be Huge let me tell y'allThe huge #Bitcoin bull run started almost 12 months ago this week...We are up +312% since then.
The next leg is gonna be Huge...big bullish volume is coming in.
Now we are moving sideways...We need to break through this $46k local resistance to really get going although don't be fooled there is still a lot of resistance to breaking through.
Secure your daily profits and don't panic selling your holdings.
Lastly don't forget to buy the Dip!
--------------------------------------------
Best Regards, Reda Souhail™
Bitcoin as predicted still in a triangle Bitcoin is still bouncing inside this triangle almost perfectly with 5 touches on the bottom line and 3 on the top line will Bitcoin drop to 38-37 K levels for us to buy in or will it bounce and recover to 48-49K...............only time can tell, but let's check the charts shall we
Bitcoin Bull TrapHello Everyone,
Today I am showing my bitcoin Descending Wedge Bull Trap Scenario. We have seen this pattern at the 60k area and now we are seeing it yet again in the 40k area.
Here are the Technicals:
1. Bearish Price Action - Volume is going up as Price is going down
2. Weekly/Monthly showing signs of cycle exhaustion. - The monthly Chart has maxed out on RSI and the weekly is showing similar patterns of market cycle reversal.
3. HS validation and Retest. - Both models show a head and shoulders pattern being validated with a retest.
I am expecting a bounce at 38k but this does not change the overall sentiment. I believe we have entered the bear market cycle and will continue to be in it until sentiment changes.
As Always, be patient, use risk management, and good luck trading.