Get started

Bitcoinpriceprediction

Bitcoin not due yet to go into full degen bull market modeIf history repeats itself - and so far history has repeated itself for Bitcoin every 4 years, we have not seen the true face of the Bitcoin bull market yet. Let's have a closer look at where and when things could really go ballistic to the upside by analysing its so-called logarithmic regression: You will see 3 different areas of importance on this chart: 1. A purple line showing the current "fair" price of Bitcoin according to the regression 2. A green channel marking the price area where Bitcoin should spend most of its time 3. A red channel marking the projected blow off tops for each bull run The pattern we usually see is that after a top somewhere within the red channel Bitcoin eventually falls back to the green channel (and sometimes below it) to then settle roughly around the purple line at the time of the halvings. What do these findings tell us about the current state of the bull market? Let's look at the price behaviour after the halving of 2016 and 2020.... It took Bitcoin around 300 days after the 2016 halving and 220 days after the 2020 halving to finally breach the green channel to the upside and go into, what I call, full degen frenzy bull market mode. This is the area between the green and red channel, where prices go ballistic and influencers on social media will talk about the how everything will be different this time and how everything is only going up from now on. As you can see Bitcoin currently is still quite far away from leaving the green channel to the upside. In fact if it would go into full frenzy bull market mode right now we would need to see prices well above 90,000 USD. If history repeats itself again and we can expect the price to leave the green channel to the north sometime 220 to 300 days after the halving. That would be sometime between November 2024 and February 2025 - the top of the green channel will then be around 100,000 USD. Price will then probably rise rather quickly to the red channel again where it will eventually top out and, once again, enter a bear market. Top prices should be somewhere between 200,000 USD and 300,000 USD in 2025. It is then time to get out of the market and go into hibernation once again to come back once the lower green band of the logarithmic regression is reached. The good news is....with prices currently around 67,500 USD there is still plenty of money to earn even until reaching the phase where the price of Bitcoin will really go ballistic. The bad news is... most people will be left behind and will probably fomo into Bitcoin (or the worse alternative: Altcoins) at prices between 150,000 USD and 200,000 USD. This, of course, is just my own opinion and no financial advise!
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoForMoney
3
A Bitcoin Compression patternBitcoin appears to be compressing near all-time highs in what looks like an ascending triangle. Previously, Bitcoin would pierce the ascending triangle to the downside and the result would be the liquidation of all of the leverage in the system, then the price of Bitcoin would proceed to chop around more before eventually moving higher. Essentially, the ascending triangle pattern would be extended by double the amount of time, give or take. I have found this example in many uptrends in crypto and specifically in Bitcoin. While this scenario could certainly play out again, I lean more toward a sooner breakout before this type of scenario happens. Why? Quite simply - ETFs and big money have entered the market. A lot of these players are accumulating bitcoin for the long term in spot. The brokers will have a new fear to face besides waiting to liquidate people, what if they can't? It will force them to cover and the price could start driving higher sooner. This fact alone could lead Bitcoin to not follow its "usual" path of a breakdown first and an extension of its compression pattern and instead break to the upside and continue its journey further north. For now, we wait and see what happens. Cheers, TCD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ChartDudes
Bitcoin Breaches $69,000: Bullish Breakout?Bitcoin Breaches $69,000: A Bullish Breakout or a Fleeting Glimpse? Bitcoin (BTC) bulls were ecstatic as the world's leading cryptocurrency climbed above $69,000 during early Asian trading on June 3rd. This move marked a significant milestone, breaking a resistance level that has held firm for the past 12 weeks. However, the crucial question remains: is this a decisive breakout or a temporary blip within a prolonged trading range? The recent surge follows a period of relative stability for Bitcoin. After reaching a new all-time high near $69,000 in early March, the price retreated and consolidated within a range of roughly $60,000 to $67,000. This consolidation phase, while frustrating for some investors hoping for immediate gains, can be a healthy sign for the long-term health of the market. Several factors are fueling the current optimism surrounding Bitcoin: • Institutional Adoption: The continued influx of institutional investors into the cryptocurrency space is a major driver of growth. Large investment firms, hedge funds, and even traditional banks are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin's potential as a valuable asset class. This institutional interest provides much-needed stability and legitimacy to the market. • Positive On-Chain Metrics: Analysis of on-chain data, which tracks the movement of Bitcoin on the blockchain, suggests positive signs for future price movements. Metrics like active addresses and exchange outflows indicate that investors are accumulating Bitcoin and holding onto their assets, which can reduce sell-off pressure and contribute to price appreciation. However, there are also reasons for caution: • Resistance at $69,000: The $69,000 level represents a significant point of resistance. Previous attempts to break above this level have been met with selling pressure, pushing the price back down. Successfully flipping this resistance into support will be a crucial step for a sustained bullish run. • Macroeconomic Concerns: The broader macroeconomic environment remains a source of uncertainty. Rising interest rates, a potential global recession, and ongoing geopolitical tensions could all dampen investor sentiment and negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. • Regulation: Regulatory scrutiny surrounding cryptocurrency remains a potential hurdle. Government intervention could stifle innovation and limit market growth, although clear regulations could also bring more stability and attract hesitant investors. So, will Bitcoin's climb above $69,000 be a lasting victory? Experts are divided. Some analysts believe this is a breakout signal, paving the way for a continued price increase towards new all-time highs. They point to the confluence of positive on-chain metrics, institutional adoption, and increasing scarcity of Bitcoin due to its capped supply. Others remain cautious. They highlight the strong resistance at $69,000 and the potential for a pullback if bulls fail to maintain momentum. Additionally, they emphasize the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market and the influence of external factors like global economic conditions and regulations. Ultimately, the future direction of Bitcoin remains uncertain. However, the recent surge above $69,000 signifies a renewed sense of optimism in the market. Whether this translates to a sustained bull run or a temporary blip within a trading range will depend on various factors, including the ability of bulls to overcome resistance levels and the overall health of the global economy. In the coming weeks, investors should closely monitor key metrics such as trading volume, order book depth, and news surrounding regulations and institutional adoption. These factors will provide valuable insights into the strength of the current uptrend and the potential trajectory of Bitcoin in the near future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
#Bitcoin could hit $156,000 by May 27 2025! Here's Why!!BTC is trading at %68500 as we speak. These green boxes represent the price action after #BTC halvings. We've never seen a red year after a halving. Bitcoin halvings are significant events, here are the percentages of Bitcoin's price increase one year after each halving event to date: 1. First Halving (November 28, 2012) - Price at Halving: ~$12.35 - Price 1 Year Later: ~$1,037 - Percentage Increase: ~8,296% 2. Second Halving (July 9, 2016) - Price at Halving: ~$650 - Price 1 Year Later: ~$2,520 - Percentage Increase: ~288% 3. Third Halving (May 11, 2020) - Price at Halving: ~$8,800 - Price 1 Year Later: ~$56,000 - Percentage Increase: ~536% 4. Fourth Halving (April 19, 2024) - Price at Halving:~ $65,415 - Expected Price (1 Year Later): $115,000 - $156,000 - Percentage Increase:~ 127% at $156,000! This return is decent as compared to the previous rallies. Looking at the bigger picture is crucial if you want to see significant changes in your portfolio. If you like this content, consider bookmarking it and sharing your views in the comment section. Thank you! #Bitcoin
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptorphic
10
Bitcoin Channel AnalysisBullish scenario: $64000 is broken and run to $72000. If $72000 is broken, a bull flag formation occurs and 100k is reached. Bearish scenario: Rejection at $64000 and break of both price action support and moving average level at $60000. It drops up to $52000. Since it recovered quickly after the decline below 60k at the beginning of May, I think the bear scenario is not possible except in an extraordinary situation. But we should not forget to put our stops just in case. On the contrary, apart from these two scenarios, it is also possible for Bitcoin to fluctuate in the parallel channel between 73k - 60k.
Long
by YavuzAkbay
Bitcoin Intraday Shake-Up: Crucial Levels to Watch!Intraday Chart: The intraday chart could save Bitcoin as long as it is trading above $60,239. 1. A bearish break-out and a sustained price action below $60,239 results in dip towards $58,624 and, if broken to the downside, lower to $56,698. Re-claiming $61,742 will be ideal, as it will decrease risk of downside and likely to lead to $63,245. A slow and choppy consolidation in the tight range above $60,239 is also a possibility due to a thin weekend liquidity. Daily Chart: Yesterday, Bitcoin gave up all gains from Thursday and closed strongly bearish below $61,671, key support zone, and below 100MA. A sustained price action in this location is bad for BTC and it has to recover to above $61,671, as soon as possible. Below $61,671 is the bearish territory and a re-test of $61,671 today followed by a strong rejection will lead to a downward move towards $58,947 and, if broken to the downside, to $54,000-$55,000 zone. A price recovery to above $61,671 is needed today or tomorrow for BTC to move towards $63,245. Find more details in signature!
by Trade-Lean
Can Bitcoin hold $57,000 price for Bullish Hopes?Bitcoin has entered a critical juncture, with its price dipping below $56,500 this week on 1st May. This decline has ignited a debate among crypto analysts, traders, and Investors: is this a temporary blip or a sign of a deepening bear market? The current drop has some crypto analysts worried about a potential freefall. They point to the proximity of the price to the $56,500 mark, which could trigger a cascade of sell-offs, pushing Bitcoin towards $42,300 - a level not seen since February. This scenario would undoubtedly usher in a bearish market, characterized by sustained price declines. However, I remain optimistic. As illustrated in above chart, If Bitcoin can maintain support around $57,600, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. This would pave the way for a potential surge towards the much-anticipated targets of $82,000 or even $100,000 by the end of the year. DYOR before entering the market!
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by Z4F4R
May Foolish BTC Focast & The Fool's Odyssey Til Sept 2024: SELL?Ah, behold, fellow seekers of truth and fortune, for on this illustrious 1st of May in the year 2024, I bring forth yet another tale of folly and insight for your discerning minds. Gather 'round, for what follows is not for the faint of heart but for those who dare to dance on the edge of reason. Let us pay homage to the noble fool who sold in April., that rare breed with minds agape and hearts unburdened by the shackles of convention. Yes, my friends, in their folly lies a wisdom beyond measure, a willingness to embrace the unknown while others cower in the shadows of doubt. And so we find ourselves in the midst of a grand spectacle, where Bitcoin reigns supreme, its price gyrations a symphony conducted by the whims of market makers. Oh, the suspense! It grips us, thrills us, and yes, at times, even sickens us, especially if our hopes are built on shifting sands. But fear not, for in this chaos lies opportunity, for those with the courage to seize it. Intuition, that silent guide, whispers truths amidst the cacophony of market noise. Yet, even the wisest among us may falter in timing, as I humbly confess. Yet, lo and behold, the winds of change blow strong, and though my predictions may have missed the mark, the tide will soon turn. For while I foresaw a descent to $40k, Bitcoin soared to heights unseen, a testament to the capricious nature of the market. So, my fellow travelers in this grand odyssey, heed my words: seize the moment, for opportunity knocks but once. Do not be swayed by the specter of fear, for it is but a trickster's guise, a ploy to shake our resolve. And as we brace for the storms ahead, let us arm ourselves with knowledge, for it is our greatest weapon. Behold, the sacred support levels, the bastions of strength in our hour of need: 1. $56,400 - $51,200 2. $49,046 - $45,905 3. $40,359 - $38,722 4. $31,892 - $25,711 Let this missive be a beacon of hope in the darkness, a roadmap for navigating the treacherous waters of the market. And to you, oh hodlers of Bitcoin, I say: stand firm, hold fast, and let not doubt cloud your vision. For with steadfast resolve and unwavering conviction, we shall weather this storm and emerge victorious on the shores of prosperity. So, my friends, I bid you farewell with these words: HODL strong, and may fortune smile upon us all! Ah, but heed my warning, dear traders, for the next three months shall test even the stoutest of hearts. The time I foretold back in April here , oh how it has come to pass! As the winds of uncertainty buffet our sails, let us not falter but stand firm in the face of adversity. Yes, my friends, the stage is set, and the actors poised for their grand performance. Do not be deceived by the allure of quick gains, for the road ahead is fraught with peril. Yet fear not, for in every challenge lies an opportunity, and it is our duty to seize it with both hands. So, to you, brave souls of the trading realm, I say: be vigilant, be steadfast, and above all, be bold. For the time to act is upon us, and those who heed the call shall reap the rewards. And to my fellow hodlers, I offer this counsel: stand resolute, for the storm shall pass, and the sun will once again shine upon our endeavors. In the meantime, let us hold fast to our convictions and weather the tempest together. For in unity lies strength, and in perseverance, victory. So let us march forward, my friends, with heads held high and hearts ablaze with the fire of determination. The journey ahead may be long and arduous, but together, we shall emerge triumphant. May fortune favor the bold, and may the winds of change carry us ever closer to our goals. Onward, then, to glory! Disclaimer: Please note that the analysis provided above is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly speculative and carry inherent risks. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. If you found this analysis insightful, please consider giving it a like and following for more content updates. Thank you for your support!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by MachiavelliTrader
1
Post BTC Halving Price Prediction, DXY, $IBIT, and May ForecastAs I've been saying, we really just need a breather after the huge runup in Bitcoin and the altcoins pre-halving and with 7 consequetive up months and Green candles. So it's no surprise April is selling off, and the halving was a 'sell the news' event. It's good news, because all markets need to rest and re-gain their strength to push higher. Watch the video for details, but the TLDR is I think we'll drift sideways and even down to re-test the $60k region where we can see strong buy blocks until we get into May, and then we'll start to push higher and hopefully into bull-mania. However, IF Bitcoin can get back above $66k - $68k on a daily closing basis, effectively washing out the Red block of sellers and back above both the 21 and 50 day EMA's (Exponential Moving Averages) then I would start buying BTC.
TVC:DXY
by BrettFogle
🟠 BITCOIN MULTI TIMEFRAME: ZERO MOMENTUM IN PLAY 🟣🟣 Hey there, @TradingView fam! Ready for some fresh Bitcoin analysis? We've got a juicy update for you, covering multiple timeframes and packed with insights from key indicators. If you're diving into this post right now, show us some love with a thumbs up! And don't forget to jump into the comments section for some lively discussion. We'd love to hear your thoughts! Let's dive in! 💜 Let's kick things off with a look at the daily perspective. We've plotted the EMA 20, EMA 100, and a Triangle Pattern. Triangles are interesting because they often signal a temporary pause in the prevailing trend. This happens as buyers and sellers push against each other, causing momentum to dissipate. While triangles are fairly easy to spot, trading them can be tricky. Prices can get stuck for a while without any significant breakouts, and when a breakout finally happens, it can sometimes be a false signal, leaving traders scratching their heads. Now, let's talk about the exponential moving averages (EMAs). They're great for tracking trends because they give more weight to recent price action. Currently, the EMA 20 is above the EMA 100, indicating a clear uptrend. In this scenario, these EMAs act as dynamic support and resistance levels. The EMA 20 offers short-term support, while the EMA 100 serves as a long-term support line. Check out our tutorial on trading triangles to learn more about how to navigate these patterns: So now, let's talk about RSI - it's a pretty handy momentum indicator that's all about spotting when the market's either feeling overbought or oversold. When RSI drops below 30, we're talking oversold territory, and when it shoots past 70, we're looking at overbought conditions. Funny thing is, lots of folks get it wrong, selling when RSI's high and buying when it's low. But you know what? Sometimes the market keeps on climbing even with RSI above 70, and it can still drop lower when RSI's below 30. Now, here's a neat trick with RSI: instead of just using those standard 30 and 70 marks, we tweak it a bit. Push the upper band to 60 and lower it to 40. So, when RSI's cruising above 60, it's telling us the market's got some solid upward momentum, and when it's below 40, well, things are getting bearish momentum. Taking a peek at Bitcoin's charts, both on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, RSI seems stuck in the middle, indicating there's not much momentum swinging either way. But hey, Bitcoin can flip on a dime, right? That's why it's crucial to keep an eye on RSI, especially with the halving on the horizon. By the way, don't forget to check out our RSI tutorial! It's packed with valuable insights to help you master this powerful momentum indicator: Now, onto the SuperTrend indicator - another nifty tool for tracking trends and spotting reversals. We've fine-tuned the settings for Bitcoin, setting ATR to 5 and the multiplier to 2, based on some solid backtesting data. Looking at the daily timeframe, SuperTrend 's giving us sell signals, but hop over to the 4-hour chart, and suddenly it's flashing a buy opportunity. Thing is, though, the EMA combo still looks bullish, and RSI's not showing much oomph. So, that early SuperTrend buy signal? Might be a bit premature, you know? And here's something fascinating on the monthly timeframe: Bitcoin's showing seven straight green candles. That's unheard of! Last time we saw anything close was back in 2021, with six greens in a row during a post-halving bull market. In conclusion, April 2024 poses challenges for both buyers and sellers of Bitcoin, potentially resulting in false entries. The market likely needs to recalibrate following 7 months of growth, presenting an opportunity for early investors to capitalize on this shift. Stay informed and explore our other educational resources and posts.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Vestinda
2
Bitcoin Hello Traders, Today I propose an idea on how to manage inputs on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD . A violent selling is very likely due to which you can start to accumulate between 56k and 44k. It is a really wide range however it is better to place orders lower to better manage the risk. By buying spot obviously the risk is mitigated even better because you do not incur liquidations. We find the Fibonacci retracement (0.618%) at 51350 USD and the way things are going, it is likely to be hit that level. Target 90K.
by IllyrianTrader
Bitcoin Looks for ONE MORE Possible Chance to BUY THE DIP!! Remember to Like, Comment, & Follow for more in-depth analysis! Share with your friends! The greatest compliment one can give is a referral I've seen too many doom and gloom posts for Bitcoin, and there are macro and micro bullish patterns being layered with more bullish patterns as we get closer to the Havening. Bitcoin is in a descending parallel channel, but it is not a bearish distribution. The distribution is bullish due to the top of the channel being tested already 4 different times, and the bottom side of the channel has only been tested once. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes. Bitcoin has also created a macro inverse head and shoulders pattern, and each shoulder and the head of that inverse head and shoulders pattern is its own inverse head and shoulders pattern. The most bullish bottoming pattern in trading was just created 4 times to create the bullish support in the 60k - 73K range. This range includes the bullish double top that was made in 2021, plus now, this inverse head and shoulders pattern is made up of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in each of the shoulders and the head. We are now Even though we did not break out off the inverse head and shoulders pattern, we will continue to cool off indicators with another drop down to the 65K level, or potentially the 59.7k level. The only reason that we would drop down that far again after creating the bullish pattern we just made would be the fetish Bitcoin has with needing to hit the .618 Fib retracement level. The .618 Fib retracement level sits at 59.7k. The head of the inverse head and shoulders wicks down under the .55 fib retracement but never reaches the .618 fib retracement level. Since we are in a descending parallel channel, it would allow it to hit that .618 Fib retracement level now while staying within this parallel channel. Another bullish pattern bitcoin has made, is the macro bull flag. We had a major run-up, from 38.5k, where volume increase was consistent and noticeable, and we topped out at 73.5k (about +93% upward). Just by extrapolating the percentage move and estimating where the second pole moves from the bull flag would finish. More importantly, it would be important to know where the starting point for the next runup is. It would be starting from the 59.7k (.618 fib retracement level) and then extrapolating +93% upward would put us at about $115k (which also is the 1.618 Fib Extension Level). Another pattern I see that can occur is, as I said previously, we technically have not bounced off the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k), which is the bounce point Bitcoin has a fetish for to be able to start another bullish move upward. Currently, we sit in a position where we are 2 weeks away from the Bitcoin Halvening, which is the catalyst that starts the new Bitcoin Bull Market, where we make a parabolic move. There are at least 10 different bullish confluences of support within the range of $60k- FWB:73K , and the only bearish confluence is that the top side of the descending parallel channel we have has held any breakout above it from happening. The move that I am possibly watching for would be one that lands us just shy of the $100k milestone. The move would look possibly something like this, where the only way I could see this bullish confluence zone could become more BULLISH would be to make an eve & eve double bottom and create the second bottom with another inverse head and shoulders pattern. We would then break out to $73.5k peak and then around the same time as the halvening, we would look to break the peak and then use the .55 Fib Ext.Level and .5 FIb Ext Level to create a Bullish W-Breakout Pattern with making both bottoms re-test the previous peak of $73.5k. After re-testing both times, holding support above that previous peak, We would launch to the .618 Fib Ext Level, possibly re-test the top of the W breakout we just made, and then after, we would take a launch at the 1 Fib Ext. Level that sits at $93.8k. Major key points would be: -Drop to the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k) -Breakout bounce up to the .5 Fib Extension ($76.1k) or the .55 Fib Extension ($77.9k) of which breaks out $73.5k peak -Minor Correction from the .55 Fib Ext and the .5 Fib Ext level down to re-test the $73.5k peak to create a Bullish W breakout pattern -Breakout to either .618 Fib Ext ($80.3k) or the 1 Fib Ext ($93.5K) Let me know what you think in the comments below! Which pattern do you see playing out? 1. Run-up to $115k 2. Run-up to $94k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Gamblers_Paradise