Back at the 100x longIt looks like btc is bouncing off key support at 56500-59500 usd. Key resistance is now at 72-74k. It has stayed in this trend from going in between these zones since late February (last 4 months). The RSI was also oversold at both 4H and daily. We are now looking for the MACD to flip bullish at higher timeframes 4H-1D (it is already bullish at 1H). When btc confirmed support (looking to at least get a bounce) and broke out of the downward sloping trend. I went in with a 100x long. The trade has been made risk free and I will move my stop loss into more profits (usually under the last bottom) as prices keep rising. Btc and the S&P500 index is also related and the S&P500 index is reversing and has some nasty gaps to fill. I predict that this index will get a correction of at least 7%. This is bullish for bitcoin! But let me tell more about the current trade. The worst possible scenario at the time of writing is that I get a 152% ROI and the best that can happen is that I make a 2000% ROI. This is a good position to be in if you ask me. I will make money regardless!
Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
Bitcoin Under Pressure: Analysis and Investment GuidelinesBitcoin price (BTC) faced difficulty rising above the $65,000 level, leading to its decline below the support level at $63,500. There was a continuous decline until the price reached a bottom at $62,700. This decline can be attributed to several factors, including profit-taking by investors and some negative news in the market.
Technical indicators point to a clear downward trend as Bitcoin is currently trading below the $63,500 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. The bearish trend line connected with resistance at $63,600 indicates that recovery may be limited in the near term.
If the price attempts to recover, it may face strong resistance at the levels of $63,550, $64,000, and $64,500. Surpassing these levels may pave the way for a stable increase that could reach $65,500 and even $66,200.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $62,700 level, followed by $62,200, and then $62,000. Any break below these levels could lead to a further decline to $61,200.
Investment Recommendation
In the short term, Bitcoin is facing strong downward pressure. Investors should closely monitor support levels. If the support level at $62,700 is broken, there may be further decline, providing a buying opportunity at lower levels.
Despite the current decline, Bitcoin still holds strong potential in the medium and long term. Current price levels may be a good entry point for investors looking for long-term investment, especially if they are willing to endure some market volatility.
Investment Strategy
1. Short-term investors: They can wait for the break of key support levels like $62,700 and $62,000 to enter buy positions at lower levels, or wait for the break of resistance levels at $64,500 to confirm the upward trend before buying.
2. Long-term investors: They may consider the current declines as a good opportunity to buy gradually over different time periods (dollar-cost averaging) to take advantage of lower prices.
I repeat an important point from a previous article: I expect Bitcoin's price to rise by 30% in July, surpassing $85,000, despite the current technical indicators leaning towards a downward trend. Therefore, if you are considering investing in Bitcoin, now may be a good time to consider buying, especially if you can withstand the volatility and have a long-term outlook. It is advisable to regularly reassess positions and take advantage of any significant price movements to take profits or adjust strategies.
BTC Monthly Elliot Wave possible scenario IMO
If this is correct $73800 was the end of wave 5 of 1,2,3,4,5 which means at least a fib 0.382 retracement but can go lower as fib 0.5, 0.556 or even lower as 0.618 (golden pocket).
Quite curious to see the reaction this week witch is the last one of June.
It can go either way from here even with some weakness on weekly and daily charts.
Bitcoin Log Channels CRITICALIn the long term, Bitcoin is in a logarithmic channel. The levels of this channel indicate how cheap and how expensive Bitcoin is. The aqua-colored channel represents the exceptionally cheap region that Bitcoin has never entered in history. The yellow channel has always represented times in history when Bitcoin has been cheap. Therefore, if the 62k level is broken right now, Bitcoin will enter the cheap channel. If this happens, it will give Bitcoin one last buying opportunity before the next bull. The red area is the area that is usually seen in the bull market and where Bitcoin is relatively expensive. It is recommended to hold, not buy, in this area. The blue area is where Bitcoin peaks. It is usually advisable to sell within the blue channel.
Cautious Investment Strategies Amid Bitcoin Market VolatilityGiven the recent drop of Bitcoin below the $65,000 level, Bitcoin is currently experiencing downward pressure, with the price nearing critical support levels. In my view, these fluctuations suggest that the market may not be suitable for investors with a low risk tolerance.
First Support Level: $63,000 – This level is an important point to monitor market reactions. If stabilization occurs at this level, buying interest that can be leveraged may appear. Should the price break through this first support and reach $60,000, the market should be carefully evaluated for entry as this area might be a potential turning point for recovery.
This means that a gradual buying strategy can be implemented starting at $63,000 and increased if the price approaches $60,000, thereby enhancing the average entry price and reducing risks in the event of a sudden decline. Before buying, the anticipated risks should be identified and evaluated, and the market's readiness to receive lower price levels should be considered.
External considerations such as economic developments, policy updates, and geopolitical conditions can significantly impact the market. These factors should be taken into account before making a purchase decision.
Current analyses suggest a cautious approach to investing in Bitcoin. Investments should be carefully considered, focusing on support levels and using a gradual buying strategy to improve the average purchase price and minimize exposure to high volatility.
If you prefer to avoid high risks, it may be wise to wait until the market shows stronger signs of stability and recovery.
$BTCUSD BEARISHA rejection at this resistance zone will activate my sell order.
I still believe that Bitcoin is not ready for bullish re-run.
Entry 73000
sl 73600
tp1 66000
tp2 62000
tp3 60000
least.
note: Wait for rejection on a daily frame.
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Use a stop order and do your own research before trade
Bitcoin is Going for 88 K - Cup Handle Pattern Hello My dear Traders,
I am Bullish for Bitcoin for a Target of 88 K
The cup and handle pattern is a technical analysis pattern used trading to identify potential bullish continuation patterns
It's formed by a price movement that resembles a cup with a handle. Here's how it typically looks: Here are the stages for cup and handle pattern.
First stage - Cup : The price initially forms a rounding bottom, creating the shape of a cup. This phase usually represents a period of consolidation after a previous uptrend. The up move Started from 58 K to 71k and now the cup is fully formed.
Second Stage - Handle : Following the cup formation, there's a slight downward drift in this case from 71 k to 67 k in prices, forming a smaller consolidation pattern resembling a handle. I have marked the likely handle formation on the chart. range of handle is from 67 k to 71 k levels - a short lived bearish trend or we can say consolidation near the zone of resistance.
How to enter Trade in Cup and Handle Pattern - The buy signal occurs when the price breaks out above the handle's resistance level, indicating a potential continuation of the previous uptrend. In this case any break above 71 K levels will be bullish for the target of 88 k on the charts.
what are the confirm the Pattern Confirmation characteristics ?
Volume: Typically, volume should decrease as the cup forms and increase during the breakout phase. Same in happening this case also.
Depth: The cup should be relatively deep, indicating a significant retracement from previous highs. The depth of cup is from 58 k to 71 K - qualifies for adequate depth
Duration: The pattern should ideally take several weeks to form, indicating a solid base of support. In this case. Seven Weeks have been taken in formation of the cup as marked on the chart. The formation of handle is still in progress for last two weeks. Completion is expected in by another two weeks.
I hope this analysis of mine will help you learn something more and new about Cup and Handle Pattern in technical analysis
Do follow and like / boost my work to motivate me
God Bless you all
BTC IS JUST SHAKING YOU OUTDON'T GET SHAKEN OUT. You just need to know that, and i think it's enough. Bitcoin is testing your patience, and it can probably drop a bit more before a strong upside moves that will lead the price above $75.000. Every dip is now an awesome gift, and doesn't matter how deep the price can drop now, we are going up and we will reach new ATH in some weeks/months
Swing & Day Trading Bitcoin LongsBitcoin is the cleanest uptrend of my watchlist right now. I'm looking to buy any weakness to $65,000. Daily RSI Crossover indicates we could be at the start of another bullish "cycle" providing a good risk reward opportunity. I'm preparing to execute aggressively if conditions require.
Daily closes below $65,000 or sustained movement below $63,000 would invalidate this setup.
Any trades upcoming this week will be posted below. Likes and Follows are appreciated
Bitcoin Range Theory - BTC thoughtsIf BTC rejects from range high here, it is plausible to look for lower time frame logical structural longs from the daily fvg level indicated. Mondays high could get retested as well so this is confluence to that point of interest.
There is the chance that pull back never occurs. If the supply above range high is flipped then I am looking to get a nice continuation long off range high. Nothing is stopping price from moving up until at least 70.5k (imo)
Bitcoin Channel AnalysisBullish scenario: $64000 is broken and run to $72000. If $72000 is broken, a bull flag formation occurs and 100k is reached.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at $64000 and break of both price action support and moving average level at $60000. It drops up to $52000.
Since it recovered quickly after the decline below 60k at the beginning of May, I think the bear scenario is not possible except in an extraordinary situation. But we should not forget to put our stops just in case. On the contrary, apart from these two scenarios, it is also possible for Bitcoin to fluctuate in the parallel channel between 73k - 60k.
May Foolish BTC Focast & The Fool's Odyssey Til Sept 2024: SELL?Ah, behold, fellow seekers of truth and fortune, for on this illustrious 1st of May in the year 2024, I bring forth yet another tale of folly and insight for your discerning minds. Gather 'round, for what follows is not for the faint of heart but for those who dare to dance on the edge of reason.
Let us pay homage to the noble fool who sold in April., that rare breed with minds agape and hearts unburdened by the shackles of convention. Yes, my friends, in their folly lies a wisdom beyond measure, a willingness to embrace the unknown while others cower in the shadows of doubt.
And so we find ourselves in the midst of a grand spectacle, where Bitcoin reigns supreme, its price gyrations a symphony conducted by the whims of market makers. Oh, the suspense! It grips us, thrills us, and yes, at times, even sickens us, especially if our hopes are built on shifting sands.
But fear not, for in this chaos lies opportunity, for those with the courage to seize it. Intuition, that silent guide, whispers truths amidst the cacophony of market noise. Yet, even the wisest among us may falter in timing, as I humbly confess.
Yet, lo and behold, the winds of change blow strong, and though my predictions may have missed the mark, the tide will soon turn. For while I foresaw a descent to $40k, Bitcoin soared to heights unseen, a testament to the capricious nature of the market.
So, my fellow travelers in this grand odyssey, heed my words: seize the moment, for opportunity knocks but once. Do not be swayed by the specter of fear, for it is but a trickster's guise, a ploy to shake our resolve.
And as we brace for the storms ahead, let us arm ourselves with knowledge, for it is our greatest weapon. Behold, the sacred support levels, the bastions of strength in our hour of need:
1. $56,400 - $51,200
2. $49,046 - $45,905
3. $40,359 - $38,722
4. $31,892 - $25,711
Let this missive be a beacon of hope in the darkness, a roadmap for navigating the treacherous waters of the market. And to you, oh hodlers of Bitcoin, I say: stand firm, hold fast, and let not doubt cloud your vision.
For with steadfast resolve and unwavering conviction, we shall weather this storm and emerge victorious on the shores of prosperity. So, my friends, I bid you farewell with these words: HODL strong, and may fortune smile upon us all!
Ah, but heed my warning, dear traders, for the next three months shall test even the stoutest of hearts. The time I foretold back in April here , oh how it has come to pass! As the winds of uncertainty buffet our sails, let us not falter but stand firm in the face of adversity.
Yes, my friends, the stage is set, and the actors poised for their grand performance. Do not be deceived by the allure of quick gains, for the road ahead is fraught with peril. Yet fear not, for in every challenge lies an opportunity, and it is our duty to seize it with both hands.
So, to you, brave souls of the trading realm, I say: be vigilant, be steadfast, and above all, be bold. For the time to act is upon us, and those who heed the call shall reap the rewards.
And to my fellow hodlers, I offer this counsel: stand resolute, for the storm shall pass, and the sun will once again shine upon our endeavors. In the meantime, let us hold fast to our convictions and weather the tempest together.
For in unity lies strength, and in perseverance, victory. So let us march forward, my friends, with heads held high and hearts ablaze with the fire of determination. The journey ahead may be long and arduous, but together, we shall emerge triumphant.
May fortune favor the bold, and may the winds of change carry us ever closer to our goals. Onward, then, to glory!
Disclaimer:
Please note that the analysis provided above is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly speculative and carry inherent risks. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
If you found this analysis insightful, please consider giving it a like and following for more content updates. Thank you for your support!
Post BTC Halving Price Prediction, DXY, $IBIT, and May ForecastAs I've been saying, we really just need a breather after the huge runup in Bitcoin and the altcoins pre-halving and with 7 consequetive up months and Green candles.
So it's no surprise April is selling off, and the halving was a 'sell the news' event. It's good news, because all markets need to rest and re-gain their strength to push higher.
Watch the video for details, but the TLDR is I think we'll drift sideways and even down to re-test the $60k region where we can see strong buy blocks until we get into May, and then we'll start to push higher and hopefully into bull-mania.
However, IF Bitcoin can get back above $66k - $68k on a daily closing basis, effectively washing out the Red block of sellers and back above both the 21 and 50 day EMA's (Exponential Moving Averages) then I would start buying BTC.
Bitcoin $68,700 breakout was a good sign!Bitcoin (BTC) bulls cheered as the price smashed through the $68,700 resistance level, marking a significant milestone. However, the climb has stalled as the coin encounters a new hurdle - the $69,700 to $70,500 resistance zone .
A decisive break above $70,500 could signal further bullish momentum.
This area has historically proven to be a profit-taking zone for experienced traders. The logic is that after a strong upswing, some investors lock in gains, leading to a temporary price dip.
Bitcoin Looks for ONE MORE Possible Chance to BUY THE DIP!! Remember to Like, Comment, & Follow for more in-depth analysis! Share with your friends!
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I've seen too many doom and gloom posts for Bitcoin, and there are macro and micro bullish patterns being layered with more bullish patterns as we get closer to the Havening.
Bitcoin is in a descending parallel channel, but it is not a bearish distribution. The distribution is bullish due to the top of the channel being tested already 4 different times, and the bottom side of the channel has only been tested once. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes.
Bitcoin has also created a macro inverse head and shoulders pattern, and each shoulder and the head of that inverse head and shoulders pattern is its own inverse head and shoulders pattern. The most bullish bottoming pattern in trading was just created 4 times to create the bullish support in the 60k - 73K range. This range includes the bullish double top that was made in 2021, plus now, this inverse head and shoulders pattern is made up of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in each of the shoulders and the head. We are now
Even though we did not break out off the inverse head and shoulders pattern, we will continue to cool off indicators with another drop down to the 65K level, or potentially the 59.7k level. The only reason that we would drop down that far again after creating the bullish pattern we just made would be the fetish Bitcoin has with needing to hit the .618 Fib retracement level.
The .618 Fib retracement level sits at 59.7k. The head of the inverse head and shoulders wicks down under the .55 fib retracement but never reaches the .618 fib retracement level. Since we are in a descending parallel channel, it would allow it to hit that .618 Fib retracement level now while staying within this parallel channel.
Another bullish pattern bitcoin has made, is the macro bull flag. We had a major run-up, from 38.5k, where volume increase was consistent and noticeable, and we topped out at 73.5k (about +93% upward).
Just by extrapolating the percentage move and estimating where the second pole moves from the bull flag would finish. More importantly, it would be important to know where the starting point for the next runup is. It would be starting from the 59.7k (.618 fib retracement level) and then extrapolating +93% upward would put us at about $115k (which also is the 1.618 Fib Extension Level).
Another pattern I see that can occur is, as I said previously, we technically have not bounced off the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k), which is the bounce point Bitcoin has a fetish for to be able to start another bullish move upward.
Currently, we sit in a position where we are 2 weeks away from the Bitcoin Halvening, which is the catalyst that starts the new Bitcoin Bull Market, where we make a parabolic move. There are at least 10 different bullish confluences of support within the range of $60k- FWB:73K , and the only bearish confluence is that the top side of the descending parallel channel we have has held any breakout above it from happening.
The move that I am possibly watching for would be one that lands us just shy of the $100k milestone.
The move would look possibly something like this, where the only way I could see this bullish confluence zone could become more BULLISH would be to make an eve & eve double bottom and create the second bottom with another inverse head and shoulders pattern. We would then break out to $73.5k peak and then around the same time as the halvening, we would look to break the peak and then use the .55 Fib Ext.Level and .5 FIb Ext Level to create a Bullish W-Breakout Pattern with making both bottoms re-test the previous peak of $73.5k. After re-testing both times, holding support above that previous peak, We would launch to the .618 Fib Ext Level, possibly re-test the top of the W breakout we just made, and then after, we would take a launch at the 1 Fib Ext. Level that sits at $93.8k.
Major key points would be:
-Drop to the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k)
-Breakout bounce up to the .5 Fib Extension ($76.1k) or the .55 Fib Extension ($77.9k) of which breaks out $73.5k peak
-Minor Correction from the .55 Fib Ext and the .5 Fib Ext level down to re-test the $73.5k peak to create a Bullish W breakout pattern
-Breakout to either .618 Fib Ext ($80.3k) or the 1 Fib Ext ($93.5K)
Let me know what you think in the comments below! Which pattern do you see playing out?
1. Run-up to $115k
2. Run-up to $94k