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Bitcoinscenarios

BITCOIN ABOUT TO DUMP?BTC has been consolidating around the $90 - $100k price now for 20 days or so, the weekly time frames are clearly showing price slumping as liquidity and volume slows down due to traders liquidating positions and capitalising at the $100k mark. I do believe people are still buying BTC and there will be LOTS of fomo buyers at this price, but usually this is where the markets catch those who are to late to the party and they are the ones who are stung when price dumps. There is some TA to back a potential dump, we have the slumping of price clearly shown by the candle formations, rejections of major key levels ($100K) as well as some patterns like a rising wedge / rising consolidation however i'm not much of a pattern trader but it is worth taking into consideration as i know a lot of retail traders do trade patterns so this could influence areas of liquidity and help predict future market movements. It's likely we see a spike through $100k before price dumps to grab liquidity above the $100k mark. I'm fully expecting a volatile and highly manipulated market as it plays out over the next few days. If price does dump i would think it will dump to the $72,000 level (-%30) as this is the next major level so again there will be a lot of liquidity in the form of buy orders from traders expecting to 'buy the dip'. It also makes sense for the market to pull back / dump this much as we hade a massive bull market / pump for 3 weeks and there is always relief after a big increase in price simply due to profits being taken so supply will increase. Be wary, if BTC does dump so will 90& of alts.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
Next target for Bitcoin BTC price is $110k but there is a nuanceCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has reached $90000 - this is something incredible, considering that just 8 years ago we were trading #BTCUSD for $900) X100 is easy money if you save it) And the coolest thing is that this is just the beginning) However, no one on our planet has yet canceled the effect of gravity so everything that takes off will be attracted to the ground OKX:BTCUSDT price needs a correction, at least to $77-78k. And even more so, this correction is needed for altcoins, so that the “fresh” capital that entered the cryptocurrency market through #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:DOGE CRYPTOCAP:TON can flow into low-cap #Altcoins It may hurt a little at first, but it will be pleasant later Use the correction period to monitor altcoins very closely to determine which ones are being redeemed, where there is strength and support, and the greatest chance of further growth Or follow us, we regularly give tips;)
by P_S_trade
3
Bitcoin: Step-by-Step Action Plan for 2025 Bitcoin has just reached its 60-day cycle low, coinciding with the conclusion of the U.S. election—a critical moment in both markets. If this cycle follows a "right-translated" pattern, we could see BTC maintaining bullish momentum for the next four weeks. In trading, two types of participants tend to profit: those who spot and act on trends using indicators, market structures, or other strategies, and those who rely on luck by buying at the right time. While luck might bring gains in a market with Bitcoin’s history of strong growth, relying on it is often short-lived. Without the skill to analyze the market, "lucky" traders often lose out in the long run, especially when conditions turn. For sustainable success, understanding the 60-day cycle and recognizing right-translation as a bullish sign can make all the difference. Watch for potential upward movement in Bitcoin over the coming weeks, but remember to keep an eye on key indicators and manage risk carefully! What Are the Cycles Telling Us About Bitcoin and Altcoins Right Now? Bitcoin Confirmed 60-Day Cycle Low: Bullish Setup for the Next 40 Days Bitcoin's price is showing signs of upward momentum. Our 3-day indicator, which we aimed to see below 20, has started turning upward, suggesting a bullish short-term pattern. Currently, the daily indicator sits around 46—potentially a good entry signal. Over the next 3-4 days, we could see a strong price push, potentially followed by a brief consolidation. The ideal buying opportunity came at the last cycle bottom of $56,000, with the next best entry at the recent low around $70,000. Now, with Bitcoin confirming its 60-day cycle low at $68,000 and beginning its ascent, a right-translated cycle could mean a climb over the next 40 days, providing ample time for gains. While the 1-week indicator (red line) is above 80, it’s holding steady, indicating a continued bullish phase. Although this weekly indicator may dip to 20 within the next month or two, bringing another buying opportunity, strong uptrends can mean that waiting could result in missed profits. Stay alert for potential pullbacks, but the momentum is favoring the bulls! Don't sleep on open profits - always take profits on the cycle tops!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
Yes, Bitcoin can also do this - next move to watch out1️⃣ Bitcoin is retracing to its 60-day low, giving risk-takers a chance to enter the market’s next leg up right now 🪙. No rush, wait patiently. So, are we going to go up in November? It all depends on the next 10 days. If Bitcoin can hold above $65,000–$66,000 while the 3-day indicator resets, it’ll be a prime opportunity to re-enter the market. If Bitcoin fails to hold that level, we may need to wait for the 1-week (red line) indicator to reset instead. 📈 Bitcoin has rallied 34% from September to November, hitting overbought on all cycle indicators. Just like in 2021 , the 2-week cycle (light blue line at the bottom) indicates mid-term growth, while other indicators are beginning to retrace. 🔄 📉 If history repeats (and it might), the ideal re-entry will be when the 3-day indicator (violet line) dips below 20. Let’s stop gambling and start making sustainable money in crypto.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan Descending Trading Channel: Bitcoin appears to be moving within a descending trading channel, with the price gradually testing the lower bounds and trying to break out from this downtrend. The key resistance for a breakout from this descending channel is around the 64,000 USDT level, while the support is close to the 62,500 USDT level. A breakout above the upper channel line would indicate a potential bullish reversal and continuation to the upside. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance: The primary resistance zone is around 64,333 USDT (marked on the chart). A breakout above this level may result in the next target being around 66,966 USDT. Support: The nearest support level is 62,566 USDT. A breakdown below this could push the price towards the lower support area around 59,544.5 USDT. Momentum Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator is currently showing some positive momentum with green dots indicating potential bullish divergence, suggesting that the price may increase soon. RSI (14, close): The RSI is hovering around 50, indicating neutral momentum. A break above 50 could indicate a bullish trend, while a drop below could signal a bearish continuation. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stoch (14, 1, 3) shows an overbought condition at 82.78, which may suggest a short-term pullback or consolidation. However, if the upward trend continues, this can be ignored in favor of further bullish momentum. HMA+ Histogram: The HMA+ (Hull Moving Average) is slightly bullish with a reading of 33.0, indicating that the short-term trend may be shifting toward the upside. Volume: The chart shows moderate volume. Higher volume accompanying a breakout above the resistance level will be crucial to confirm the move. Trading Plan: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above 64,333 USDT with confirmed volume. Target 1: The first target would be around 65,000 USDT. Target 2: If momentum persists, the second target could be 66,966 USDT. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support at 62,500 USDT to manage risk. Bearish Scenario: Entry: If Bitcoin breaks below 62,566 USDT, consider entering a short position. Target 1: The first target would be around 61,000 USDT. Target 2: A further decline could push the price toward 59,544.5 USDT. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the 64,333 USDT level to minimize potential losses. Summary: Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal point within a descending channel. If the price breaks above the key resistance at 64,333 USDT, there is potential for a bullish breakout targeting 66,966 USDT. However, if Bitcoin breaks down from the 62,566 USDT support, the bearish scenario could unfold, leading to a possible drop toward the 59,500 USDT zone. Monitoring volume and key indicators like RSI, Stochastic, and HMA+ will be important for confirming the direction.
Long
by elfabiiani
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan Chart Patterns Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon. Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation. Indicators VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction. Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum. Volume: The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle. Support and Resistance: Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle). Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle. Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT. Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle. Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT). Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is. Risk Management: Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade. In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Long
by elfabiiani
Bitcoin BTC price + CPI US 15.05 will stir up the marketHere is a chart of #BTCUSDT on the 12-hour timeframe. At first glance, it looks nothing special: a prolonged consolidation on falling trading volumes, everything is natural and natural. But tomorrow, at 15.05 at lunchtime with the close of the 12hr candlestick, everything can change. Tomorrow is the announcement of the "fresh" US CPI rate. Forecast: inflation will decrease from 3.5% to 3.4%. Declining inflation = a good signal for the growth of financial markets. But the tweet from Mr. Biden adds some "spice". President Biden: wants to give new home buyers $400 per month for 2 years to help people with housing. This is either a pre-election promise or a good opportunity to start the “printing press” And now for a bit of conspiracy theorizing: Let's assume for a moment that Biden knows a little more than we do. And tomorrow it will be announced that inflation has fallen not to 3.4% but to 3.2% or even 3%. This will definitely cause a powerful surge and growth in the market. The last thing that comes to mind is how massively $ were printed and distributed in the spring of 2020 as financial aid during COVID-19. Do you remember how the crypto market grew then in 20\21 from an additional portion of “retail's crazy money”?) So where do you think the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price will go in 24 hours? 👍 towards $71000 👎🏿 towards $56500
by P_S_trade
23
Bitcoin - Is it Time to Panic?At the low yesterday, the price of Bitcoin was down a little over 27% from the all-time high in March. In previous bull market cycles, we have seen many corrections of 30% or more. As was the case in past cycle corrections, we are seeing a lot of panic selling. Another issue is being in over leveraged positions and getting stopped out during corrections. Unfortunately, many inexperienced market participants are not familiar with Bitcoin's past price history. So, when we experience a large correction, they panic and sell when history has shown that these corrections are great buying opportunities. But, unfortunately, past history has shown us that many people will be too scared to buy during this correction and many won't start buying again until the price of BTC is back up near it's all-time high. If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles are very consistent. Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case, then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all downhill from here. But I believe the probability of that is very low. I believe we could see a lot more volatility and possibly even lower prices leading up to the post halving bull market. The German and the US governments still hold significant amounts of BTC which they could sell adding to downside pressure. There is also the Mt Gox BTC that could add to selling pressure driving the price of BTC lower. But in the coming months I believe any excess selling of BTC will be absorbed by the market and eventually the current bearish sentiment will flip to Bullish. I will be using this correction and the time between now and this fall to increase my position sizes. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle; every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long-time horizon.
BNC:BLXLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
Bitcoin - Could this be a Left Translated Market Cycle?There has been a lot of speculation that this current Bitcoin market cycle could end as a left translated cycle. This is most likely because Bitcoin surpassed the previous all-time high almost 1 month before the halving. This is the first time in Bitcoins short history that has happened. But, does this alone indicate that this will be an accelerated market cycle? From the bear market low on November 21st, 2022, it took only 16 months for BTC to set a new all-time high. Looking back though, during the 2011 to 2015 market cycle it took only 15 months from the bear market low for BTC to set a new all-time high. But, even though this cycle was abbreviated at just 3 years 2 months long the peak still occurred just after the 2 year mark. As you can see by the chart, the new all-time high was set after the halving but this is due to the halving occurring only 376 days after the previous bear market low. Looking at the 2015 to 2018 market cycle, the 2018 to 2022 market cycle, and the current market cycle you can see that the halvings occurred 543 days, 514 days, and 515 days after the previous bear market low. So, I guess the point I am trying to make is even though the new all-time high that was set on March 14th occurred much sooner than in the previous two cycles that alone doesn't mean that this will result in a left translated cycle. If we look at the elapsed time from the Nov. 2022 bear market low to the halving that just occurred it aligns more closely to the last two market cycles. Both of these market cycles were classic right translated 4-year cycles. An explaination for the early new all-time high could be due to the hype sorounding the spot Bitcoin ETFs as well as the subsequent trading of them. I'm not going to pretend to know where Bitcoin is going to go from here. It's very possible that we could end up with a market cycle that is completely different than the previous cycles. At some point I believe that the changing investor demographics will alter the market cycles. Another influence on the market cycles could be macroeconomic forces. Just this morning the May CPI data was released and came out lower than expected. As a result Bitcoin after being down 3.2% yesterday is now up over 3.5% today. But, even though BTC is up big today it is still stuck in the consolidation range and the $72k level still remains a formidable resistance that has rejected BTC five times over the last three months. But, as of now I am leaning towards this market cycle continuing the trend of the last two as a typical 4-year cycle. That is until I see more evidence that something has changed. If this market cycle is to follow the timing of the previous two I would either expect a prolonged period of range bound price action, lasting into the fall. Or a prolonged period of slowly rising prices lasting into the fall leading to the eventual blast off. Either way I remain extremely bullish long term and look forward to what lies ahead.
BNC:BLXLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
Bitcoin PATTERN - BTC Roadmap to NEW ATHBINANCE:BTCUSDT 👉 Trendline Analysis: BTC has been consolidating directly underneath the resistance zone - BULLISH 👉 Candlestick Analysis: Three white soldiers in the 2W timeframe - BULLISH 👉 Technical Indicator Analysis : Price has cooled down after being "Extremely Overbought", moving averages holds - BULLISH Technical Indicator Monthly Timeframe: Technical Indicator Weekly Timeframe: There is really only one concerning matter, and that is from a potential near term scenario: ❗ Pattern Analysis: Potential for M-Pattern to form, medium risk: BEARISH The candle closes of the next two weeks are crucial in determining how this pattern will play out. For further reading, here's the initial Elliot Wave analysis on BTC: ___________________________
Long
by CryptoCheck-
1
Bitcoin is Going for 88 K - Cup Handle Pattern Hello My dear Traders, I am Bullish for Bitcoin for a Target of 88 K The cup and handle pattern is a technical analysis pattern used trading to identify potential bullish continuation patterns It's formed by a price movement that resembles a cup with a handle. Here's how it typically looks: Here are the stages for cup and handle pattern. First stage - Cup : The price initially forms a rounding bottom, creating the shape of a cup. This phase usually represents a period of consolidation after a previous uptrend. The up move Started from 58 K to 71k and now the cup is fully formed. Second Stage - Handle : Following the cup formation, there's a slight downward drift in this case from 71 k to 67 k in prices, forming a smaller consolidation pattern resembling a handle. I have marked the likely handle formation on the chart. range of handle is from 67 k to 71 k levels - a short lived bearish trend or we can say consolidation near the zone of resistance. How to enter Trade in Cup and Handle Pattern - The buy signal occurs when the price breaks out above the handle's resistance level, indicating a potential continuation of the previous uptrend. In this case any break above 71 K levels will be bullish for the target of 88 k on the charts. what are the confirm the Pattern Confirmation characteristics ? Volume: Typically, volume should decrease as the cup forms and increase during the breakout phase. Same in happening this case also. Depth: The cup should be relatively deep, indicating a significant retracement from previous highs. The depth of cup is from 58 k to 71 K - qualifies for adequate depth Duration: The pattern should ideally take several weeks to form, indicating a solid base of support. In this case. Seven Weeks have been taken in formation of the cup as marked on the chart. The formation of handle is still in progress for last two weeks. Completion is expected in by another two weeks. I hope this analysis of mine will help you learn something more and new about Cup and Handle Pattern in technical analysis Do follow and like / boost my work to motivate me God Bless you all
by KINGSFALCONTRADERS
Bitcoin on the edgeAs is often the case, we're back to discussing the future of your digital gold. Where is it headed? We can approach this question from several angles: analyzing Bitcoin's current situation from either a fundamental or technical perspective. For now, let's focus on the technical side. Looking at the chart, I identified the price level to which Bitcoin was most sensitive in 2021. My analysis clearly points to one specific level: $59,000 Three years ago, this price level triggered a 50% correction first, followed by a 30% correction. The good news is that it has tried to break down once in the beggining of may, but it is holding for now. The bad news is that the price action indicates sellers are currently in control, as evidenced by the steadily declining price. The bottom line: Wait until the situation becomes clearer. It has been almost three months since this balance period started, and it will likely resolve sooner rather than later. Stay tuned, and I will update this post with fresh price action news!
by krisztiankabat
Bitcoin BTC price global view for next few monthsOn the #Bitcoin chart, you can see a combination of horizontal and dynamic fibo levels. It took us a long time to see something new.... But here's our summary: ️ ↪️ right now, the #BTCUSDT price is at a critical point. If buyers manage to keep the price above $57000-57300 until Monday, there will be a chance for a good price increase via the blue route 🟦 ↩️ fixing the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price below $57000 is the way for a sharp drop in the price to the $49-50k range. There are still many longers whose positions can be liquidated, and their assets can be taken into "stronger hands" Which scenario do you prefer: ❤️red or 💙blue? Because in our opinion, the #BTCUSD price should go into a protracted sideways consolidation for the summer of 2024. In this consolidation, the large capital that entered the cryptocurrency market through BTC ETFs may start flowing into less liquid altcoins, which could lead to local and selective bull runs. So, in our opinion, the most important task for the coming months is to track which altcoins or sectors of the crypto market capital is flowing into and buy on corrections. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
4
Bitcoin: is price set to get cheaper or.....?Today's focus: BTCUSD Pattern – Range, seller test. Support – 62,000 area Resistance – 73,000 area Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at BTC on the daily. With sellers continuing to check buyers, it continues to look like we could see a new move at support. But for now, buyers continue to hold firm from around the 62,000 area. We have run over a few scenarios. Could we see a move-through support to test the next lower Fibb point? Or will we see support contnue to hold the current range pattern? Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDShort
by Eightcap
23
Bitcoin Bullish Fractal Bars Pattern To $100k, $155k, and $250kHere's a slightly different chart showing how Bitcoin will likelyt proceed quickly to $100k once we break the $70K triple-top resistance, which I see happening quickly. With Fresh NASDAQ:IBIT money continuing to flow into Bitcoin and the markets, this market has plenty of rocket fuel on the sidelines to send this rocket into the stratosphere. Not only does the previous cycle fractal pattern show how Bitcoin can hit these levels this cycle, it also overlays perfect (with minor adjusting) with the Fibonacci projections that correctly forecasted the prior cycle high at the Fib 3.618 level. The 3.168 number for this cycle would be $210k but I think it's reasonable to overshoot that this time with all the money on the sidelines waiting to come in. We're already starting to see and hear rumors of Tesla buying, Qatar and potentially other sovereign wealth funds, even China. How high will Bitcoin go this cycle? Here's a good roadmap for now. But new information = new dedision. I'll keep you updated. What do you think?
Long
by BrettFogle