Bitcoinshort
SteadyCompound #1 Newsletter: Week 23.10.23 - 29.10.23Welcome to SteadyCompound 1st Newsletter,
A few notes about my approach to nowadays trading
- I am a retired trader (2008-2018). I day-traded high frequency time-frame across Stock (2008), Bond Futures (2010), Forex / Gold (2012), Commodity e.g. Brent, Gas (2015) and Crypto (2017)
- I turned start-up cofounder (2020) and recently gained financial freedom (2023), which define my approach to now "trading as a hobby": refrain from over-trade and opt for high probability trade only with high R/R, clear indicators and peace of mind
- My goal is to steadily compound wealth and accumulate Bitcoin long-term
Trade Ideas for Week 23.10.23 - 29.10.23
1. Range has been stable for 6 months within 25K - 31K territory so we can exit our long at high 30k - low 31K
2. Taking Short Position at high 31K e.g 31600 is our SC "SteadyCompound" trade:
- short into the down trend / RSI oversold +75 / year-high 31K resistant / low volume spike for 2.7 R/R ratio, targeting above 27K
- hard-stop of 5% at right above 33K e.g 33113 (there is another resistant range at 31K - 33K formed during 2021-2022 which possibly allow us to scratch / take small loss on our short position)
#steadycompound #financialfreedom #tradingstrategy #systematic #bitcoin
p/s repost for Binance Exchange
BTCUSD MID-WEEK ANALYSIS UPDATE 08/10/2023📈 BTC/USD: Short-term Drop with Upside Potential 📉
Recent USD weakness fueled a rise in BTC 🚀. Now, with the Dollar initiating a pullback, I anticipate a short-term drop in BTC/USD. After that, I'm looking for a continuation to target the $31,500 level. Here's what to keep in mind:
- USD Influence: Recent Dollar weakness played a role in BTC's ascent 📉.
- Short-term Drop: Expect a temporary pullback in BTC as the Dollar regains strength 📉.
- Upside Target: The goal is to target $31,500 as the next potential move upward 🚀.
- Risk Management: Set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels to protect your capital ⚖️.
- Technical Analysis: Use technical indicators, like moving averages or RSI, to time your entry and confirm trends 📊.
- Stay Informed: Keep an eye on news and events that could impact both BTC and the USD 🌐.
Remember, this analysis is not financial advice, and all trading carries risks 🚨. Make sure to do your own research and tailor your strategy to your risk tolerance. Good luck with your trading journey! 🍀📈💹
False Bitcoin rumors revealing real market sentimentFake news sent Bitcoin up about 10% on Monday, surging from $27,900 to over $30,000 after Crypto news site Cointelegraph posted on X that the Securities and Exchange Commission had approved BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF application.
In response to the rumor, BlackRock had to clarify that no decision had been made regarding their ETF application. Even though the rumor has now been debunked, Bitcoin is still up more than 5%, at $28,600, with some movement suggesting that buyers are still willing to prob for more gains.
The 10% upside move has perhaps provided us with a preview of what might happen when/ if the SEC eventually approves or rejects BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF application. It could also be argued that we are also getting a glimpse into what could happen if the SEC rejects the application, with targets set at the pre-rumor price of $27,900 the first port of call.
BITCOIN: Bearishness Before UpsideHowdy risks-taker!
I've had time to take a probing look at bitcoin this weekend and see what I think I found.
I do expect some large-scale bearish activity on bitcoin in the coming weeks. The pair looks anytime ready to plummet in any case. We've been struggling to keep any bullish steam and sellers are pretty much in control.
But make no mistake about it, the pair is inherently bullish in my view and the question is how long to keep going down before we see definite rallies?
For now, this is the idea I am interested to engage with until proven otherwise as we often are.
BTC Short📌 BTC/USDT SHORT SIGNAL
ENTRY: ~27040
SL: 28238
Leverage: Isolated max. X10
Position Size: max. 15%
1St TP: Exit 25% of the Position @ 25490
Wait on further instructions for full EXIT, lets see how the market behaves.
Note: CME Gap at ~20500USD
High probability that we retrace a third time off the 800EMA (Purple Line) on the 4H chart.
If we do not close above the 800EMA with lots of conviction there is no reason to enter LONG Positions IMO.
Wait on trade update for full exit.
Bitcoin Could have a pullback into a break out to 27.9Bitcoin was rising yesterday despite DXY movement to the upside.that indicates we may see a rise in prise when dxy pulls back down. IF DXY keeps going up and hit specific levels we could see a capitulation candle to the downside instead of a upside for BTC.
Thanks for all your support
BTC Multiple Sell Signals Showing Possible Flood To 23.8KBitcoin sell signals are getting more and more without showing any sign of recovery to the upside.With VIX going up today could be a volatile day for NY market thus BTC could get volatile as well.
SPX made a gap yesterday and went lower.we could see the same thing today if the bearish momentum is strong
Thanks for all the support
Bitcoin 10k crash! Reposting from Aug 19, 2023This is a republishing of my original post of title:
Bitcoin 10k crash‼️ - 🤔 will it happen? Can it be avoided?
The original version was removed - for reason I care not to explain.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BINANCE:BTCBUSD
KUCOIN:BTCUSDC
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
I wanted to do an update to my original post and below you will see what charts and findings including the original post from August 19th to help you decide on if you want to invest.
Please be advised.
🚫Do not allow this to frighten you into selling, or consider this as financial advice, understand the risk and understand this may be hypothetical so bear with me BTC -fans or any of those that follow my content, take this with a grain of salt.
Like, laugh, make fun of this prediction, but I just wanted to give everyone a heads up of my findings.
So by the 19th to the 20th of this month, we maybe in more trouble than we think, we may need to start the recovery process soon as this is effecting a great deal of the market and not just cryptos if this issue is not recovered soon - or - see Bitcoin fall in price to the range of 10k by September 25, 2023 or late October 2023.
I will add updates to this post as it progress.
Be sure like, follow, and subscribe for more tips and prediction from me.
Grandmaster_oz
Will be creating a streaming channel soon so I will be covering future events live or on recording.
Below the current status of the market today.
🔴 BITCOIN | There Will Be Blood September is the worst month in history of bitcoin, its a month that all Bears order Lambo!
While Shorts continue to stack into the weekend, expecting some kind of move around US Futures open and into Monday EU session. low whale order volume, the accompanying order book chart showed a lack of bid liquidity overall, with $25,500 gaining only modest interest.
The BTC bullish momentum moving averages may act as resistance, It is no secret that Bitcoin has underperformed this month even by August standards, which have rarely given bulls anything to celebrate. volume is super low means more trader stopped trading and waiting for more confirmation.
BTC is down 11% this month, and with the weekly close around the corner, anticipation is building among market observers. August 2023 is already vying with last year to become Bitcoin’s worst August since 2015. BTC price shed 13.9% in August 2022, a move which marked the beginning of half a year of pain.
positive news events, such as the future green-lighting of the United States’ first Bitcoin spot price exchange traded fund , had not yet entered market consciousness.
This week, despite containing the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge in the form of PCE, could well end up no different.PCE data is due on Aug. 31, hours before the Bitcoin monthly close, with Sep. 1 offering nonfarm payrolls and unemployment data
The Bitcoin hash rate just hit 400 th/s for the first time ever which is mindblowing, considering the energy issues in Texas and the cost of electricity surging worldwide, means more whales prepare for new bull market
The price of BTC is $25,965 today with a 24hour trading volume of 7 billion dollar. This represents a -0.6% price decline in the last 24hours and a -11% price decline in the past 14days
most indicators all bearish and the next targets are 25,500$, 25k and 24,500$
whats your plan for September bloodbath ?
Bitcoin Short trade IdeaMy basic premise is that Bitcoin is in the midst of relief rally/ short squeeze. If Bitcoin breaks above 28K and holds support, I will reconsider my opinion.
IMO, there is confluence for a short trade between 27K – 27.3K.
Possible Short triggers:
1. The 200D EMA, at 27K, may act as resistance.
2. The 50D EMA, at 27,076, may act as resistance.
3. Supply Zone (1H) between 27K 27.3K
4. Trendline resistance at 27K.
4. SL is at the 50% of the wick at 27.43K
Wait for a rejection. It is possible that this squeeze will run as high as 28K.
Trade Idea:
• Entry: 27, 050
• SL: 27,450
• TP1: 25,300
• Target: 23,500
• R:R: 1:3.89 to first TP.
NFA
What do you think? Please share in the comments
Best Wishes