BTC Bitcoin Price Target after crypto volume fell 18% on HOODIf you haven`t bought the playout of the BTC Worts Case Scenario trading idea:
Then you you need to know that Bitcoin is currently facing a multitude of challenges that have contributed to a bearish outlook in the market.
The recent report from Robinhood revealing an 18% drop in crypto transactions during Q2 raises concerns about the overall demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. As one of the popular platforms for crypto trading, Robinhood's figures indicate a decrease in retail interest in digital assets, which could lead to lower prices as supply outweighs demand.
The correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market has been a cause for worry. When the stock market faces uncertainties, investors tend to seek safe-haven assets like gold and US treasuries, leading to a potential decrease in Bitcoin's demand. The recent decision by Fitch Ratings to downgrade the US debt rating from AAA to AA+ further adds to the market volatility, prompting investors to seek safer options rather than riskier digital assets like Bitcoin.
Apple Inc. (AAPL), a major player in the S&P 500 and representing 7.5% of the index, also plays a significant role in influencing market sentiment. The recent 2.5% premarket drop in AAPL due to lower-than-expected iPhone sales (which represents more than 50% of its revenue) casts doubts on the overall economic environment, potentially impacting investor sentiment across all asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
Coinbase, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges, is currently grappling with regulatory issues as it faces a lawsuit from the SEC. The accusation of selling unregistered securities and operating as an unregistered securities exchange puts a spotlight on regulatory uncertainties surrounding cryptocurrencies. This could lead to a decrease in investor confidence and further dampen demand for Bitcoin.
In addition, the cautionary statements from experienced trader Tone Vays carry considerable weight in the crypto community. Acknowledging the unpredictable nature of Bitcoin's movements, Vays highlights the potential for the cryptocurrency to plummet below the $25,000 low. Such warnings from seasoned traders can sway investor sentiment and trigger panic selling, leading to further declines in Bitcoin's price.
Taking all these factors into consideration, it's evident that Bitcoin is facing a challenging environment, with several headwinds putting downward pressure on its price. The projected price target of $27,500 based on Elliott Waves retracement further adds to the pessimistic outlook.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Bitcoinshort
📈Bitcoin prediction, 26.5K or 31.5K? 📉BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello dear traders
Due to the decrease in trading volume in the last few weeks, I'm going to do some weekly Bitcoin analysis.
In the next few days, Bitcoin is expected to return to the $31,000 range if it holds above the indicated areas (29600-29800).
If the price breaks below the mentioned areas, the price will drop to the level of 28,460 and then 26,500.
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Bitcoin Bearish Rising WedgeOver the last year and a half, we can see that INDEX:BTCUSD was forming a massive rising wedge pattern which usually indicates bearish reversal. We can also see the volume decreasing after each high, which is a strong indicator of the loss of momentum and potential breakdown.
The downside target for INDEX:BTCUSD if it were to break down in the next few days would be around $18,700.
BTC performed a sweep to both side.The Move Is Today!bitcoin swept both LATE longers and Shorters. Today is for bitcoin to make its move which I think its downside towards 27.9 then holding the equilibrium around there.After that we have to be glued to the charts to figure out the next move(More Downside IMO).
Thanks for watching
BTC TRADING IDEAHey Trader,
Check this trade out on BTCUSDT.
There is a possibility for BTC to break below the current demand zone (same zone that has once been used as supply.
A break below this zone could mean BTC heading back to $20k or even further down to monthly low of $15k.
Alternatively, if the price break above the roof (upper band of the descending triangle) then a further retest of $30k and $35k is very possible.
Keep a close tab on this.
IOST SHORT 1HHello friends,
Given the current market conditions, short trading can be appropriate. For this asset, you can enter in two steps, with the first step being marked by a black dotted line and the second step set at 0.008969. In the first step, you can follow the position down to the bottom of the descending channel.
Thank you for your time and wishing you a profitable and healthy trading experience.
Bitcoin Final stage of a Wyckoff Distribution schematicTLDR:
• IMO, Bitcoin is in the final stage of a Wyckoff distribution phase. From here we can expect the price to drop to roughly 24K.
• Confirmation: Daily close below the upward-sloping trendline with a retest as resistance.
• Invalidation: Daily close above 29.5K with a retest as support, followed by a HH.
My Friends.
• Let me begin by writing that I have no intention of spreading FUD. Consider my opinion as a possibility. A fellow trader and your friend is sharing his opinion. If I am correct, Bitcoin, and the whole crypto market, is going to dump, hard. If I am wrong, I provided my invalidation points, and you lose almost nothing by being patient.
• My notion is that Bitcoin is in the final stage of a Wyckoff distribution schematic. From here we can expect a correction. Maybe even as low as 24K.
What is Distribution?
• The distribution phase is a period of sideways price movement. During this phase, the MM is keeping the asset’s price in a tight range and exerts sell pressure to prevent the price from breaking above the range high. The MM’s intention is to sell high and drop the price down to buy back again for cheap.
• The clue that helped me realize that we are in distribution was the sharp move above the range high on July 13th followed by a sharp decrease in price on July 14th. This move in Wyckoff terminology is called Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD).
• Every swing up in price after the Upthrust is called the Last Point of Supply (LPSY). Meaning that the MM is raising the price sharply to lure traders to buy and then, drops the price sharply.
Other Clues:
Alts:
• IMO, the altcoin market is giving away the MM’s lie. While Bitcoin did make a HH, the alts, mainly ETH did a LH. It makes me think that Bitcoin’s HH was just an overshooting wave B. I am not an EW specialist, but wave B is a corrective wave moving up. This is exactly what we had seen in Bitcoin’s price. A sharp move up to lure traders to buy, followed by a month-long range to distribute Bitcoins supply.
Example ETH:
Volume:
• Volume is another giveaway. Look at the volume. We see sharp spikes of buying pressure followed by heavy sell pressure. Overall, volume is declining.
Bearish Divergence:
• During this distribution range, bitcoin formed bearish divergences on the weekly and daily charts. A Bearish Divergence is a sign of exhaustion. It signals that the uptrend is losing steam and a pullback is due.
Weekly Bearish Divergence:
Daily Bearish Divergence:
50D EMA:
• The 50D EMA is my marker of the trend. Whenever Bitcoin drops below the 50D EMA. You can expect the price to continue lower (linked TV idea).
Blackrock ETF:
• If you think that BlackRock is coming to the rescue, just think: What is more likely? That BlackRock will buy high to sell higher? Or, that BlackRock will dump the whole market to buy cheap and then sell high?
Pullback Targets:
• ATM I need more clarity. It is not yet certain that I am correct. If the price drops below the upward-sloping trendline, I will do my best to provide you with targets.
• My tentative target is the 0.382 Fib retracement for the whole move up at roughly 24K.
Invalidation:
• Daily close above 29.5K after retesting as support.
• HH, above 31.8K.
NFA.
What do you think? Please share in the comments.
Best Wishes.