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Bitcoinshort

Bitcoin a correction? I think yes. Maybe I'm wrong BTC/USDTHello dear friends, traders. At this time, I want to describe the situation in simple terms. Rising wedge without correction. They often break down. Be attentive and careful. This is not a call to action, but just what I look forward to in the next few days. This Channel is not financial advise, It's My opinion and My observation: @opptrade Dear friends, I'll just leave it here. I WRITE YOU IMMEDIATELY: This is not a financial recommendation, this is not a call to action to buy or sell everything. This is not a call to action to hang the lot in position. - this is not a call to action AT ALL TO WHAT - THAT. I just shared with you the schedule that, in my opinion, will have to work out. We'll see. ❗️❗️❗️Disclamer:❗️❗️❗️ Dear friends, traders. My trading ideas here are not financial advice or coercion into action. I am not responsible for your trading and how you follow all aspects of correct trading. - I do not recommend that you trade AT ALL if you do not know what risk management is, money management. - I do not recommend that you trade without a STOP LOSS. - And I'm not responsible for your "make millions of dollars fast" gag - I am only showing you the charts that suit me for certain positions. - For each position - RESPONSIBILITY LIES ON YOU. If you don't use all of the above, your deposit will soon become $ 0 - Therefore, if you decide to follow my positions - Take responsibility for where the bad outcome may be. In time, i to bee wrong too, and have a loss. But with the correct observance of the indicated points, which trade with me others traders - they earn (NOT IN A DAY, but in the medium, long term) I am only showing you how this or that scenario can work in trading. For all your actions, only you are responsible. 💠💠💠I am not a scammer and I am concerned about your trade.💠💠💠
Short
by UnknownUnicorn13204076
31
Bitcoin - i open short Position From 51400Short: 51400 Targets: 50000 - 48000 - 45000 - 42000 Stop loss: 52500 My risk: 3% All traders, please, don't forget for this⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️ I ask each of you to consider your own risk and money management. Do not trade with a large "X10-X100" and always place a stop loss. This Channel is not financial advise, It's My opinion and My observation: @opptrade ❗️❗️❗️Disclamer:❗️❗️❗️ Dear friends, traders. My trading ideas here are not financial advice or coercion into action. I am not responsible for your trading and how you follow all aspects of correct trading. - I do not recommend that you trade AT ALL if you do not know what risk management is, money management. - I do not recommend that you trade without a STOP LOSS. - And I'm not responsible for your "make millions of dollars fast" gag - I am only showing you the charts that suit me for certain positions. - For each position - RESPONSIBILITY LIES ON YOU. If you don't use all of the above, your deposit will soon become $ 0 - Therefore, if you decide to follow my positions - Take responsibility for where the bad outcome may be. In time, i to bee wrong too, and have a loss. But with the correct observance of the indicated points, which trade with me others traders - they earn (NOT IN A DAY, but in the medium, long term) I am only showing you how this or that scenario can work in trading. For all your actions, only you are responsible. 💠💠💠I am not a scammer and I am concerned about your trade.💠💠💠
Short
by UnknownUnicorn13204076
6
Bitcoin - i open a short position From 46350 BTC/USDTShort: 46350 Targets: 45000 - 44350 - 42320 - 41100 Stop loss: 48020 x5 %5 All traders, please, don't forget for this⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️ I ask each of you to consider your own risk and money management. Do not trade with a large "X10-X100" and always place a stop loss. Today we have already opened one short position from 47005 I announced this in the comments under the latest BNB / USDT trading idea. I also wrote to everyone who asked about the position. I may be wrong this time, but I chose this position, despite the fact that the price of bitcoin is growing every hour. I ask each of you who decided to follow this trading strategy - do not open a position with an overstated lot, do not overestimate your risk and money management, trade wisely. Today I will analyze the situation - and I hope each of you will take advantage of it and make the right decision
Short
by UnknownUnicorn13204076
5
BTC Bitcoin falling through 2 possible channels to the abyssHi everyone, with the dollar DXY going up with good support and market incertitude there is a good chance that the Bitcoin will retrace. This was a good run but we must be realistic. Don't forget CME contract will open tomorrow. Also i note a ugly close on the weekly and monthly chart, this is putting the market at risk. Here a some key support zone and bearish factors : Bearish factors : -Signature of candles double top with lower highs and lower lows (W chart) -Signature of a Shooting Star on the monthly chart and formation of a spinning top (M chart) -Weekly MACD slowing down -Weekly stoch RSI bearish -Monthly stoch RSI about to cross bearish -Monthly KDJ just turned bearish Top Key Strong Support Zone -Weekly MA 21 : 21243$ -0.618 from bottom of Wave 2 18423$ -Monthly MA21 : 13269$ (agressive) -0.786 from bottom of Wave 2 12014$ I wish you a wonderful day !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Crypto_Mercy
2
Bitcoin (BTC/XBT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/24Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Ethereum! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: Bitcoin is stuck consolidating at the 200MAs, even as ETH has broken out to the upside. Waiting to see if BTC follows ETH or continues to languish. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the lows @ $28850. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/20: We had a winning trade! We entered short @ $34940 SL @ $35560, price reached a low of $28850, giving us a risk reward ratio of 10:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 10BTC. 2021/01/19: We had a winning trade! We had a signal from a strategy in the testing stage. We entered short @ $36760 SL @ $37150, price reached a low of $36K, giving us a risk reward ratio of 2:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 2BTC. 2021/01/15: We had a winning trade! We entered long @ $38470 SL @ $37770, price reached a high of $38780, giving us a risk reward ratio of 0.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 0.5BTC. This is our smallest win so far, but a win is a win, and this is the first step on our road back to profitable trades. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the then rapidly climbs above $28850, forming a bear trap 2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakdown candlestick  followed by a reclaiming candlestick, above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle, MACD bottoming Why Follow Me Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups. Live trade signals so that you can take the same trades that I am taking. A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together. Trading education in the form of personal advice and educational materials Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones. About Me I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016. I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options. I have worked at top consulting firms advising Fortune 500 companies and worked on $10Billion+ deals. I have founded and advised blockchain projects and companies, including in the areas of defi, nft, data ownership, and personal identity. I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis below! Thanks!
by cryptotraderog
6
Bitcoin (BTC/XBT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/23Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Ethereum! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: Bitcoin rallied 17% from a low of $28850 to a high of ~$34K, and is now trying to establish itself above the 200MAs to regain bullish momentum. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the lows @ $28850. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/20: We had a winning trade! We entered short @ $34940 SL @ $35560, price reached a low of $28850, giving us a risk reward ratio of 10:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 10BTC. 2021/01/19: We had a winning trade! We had a signal from a strategy in the testing stage. We entered short @ $36760 SL @ $37150, price reached a low of $36K, giving us a risk reward ratio of 2:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 2BTC. 2021/01/15: We had a winning trade! We entered long @ $38470 SL @ $37770, price reached a high of $38780, giving us a risk reward ratio of 0.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 0.5BTC. This is our smallest win so far, but a win is a win, and this is the first step on our road back to profitable trades. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the then rapidly climbs above $28850, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick  followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Bitcoin Danger ZoneContinued though from the last posts (in French, not sorry) so you can trace my thinking and analysis forming 4 days ago. Lots here, lots to say, let's breakdown. What if people got it wrong: Emotions may have made many want to see an unsustainable uptrend reboot via a triangle. Here is why I think they got this wrong, completely wrong, and the trick was not easy to spot. Lets first get out a bit of the key: - Orange, the trend from December. - Dark red, approx support/resistance levels - Blue, triangle - Red, "triangle" exists - Grey, potential trajectory in next few weeks/months - Pink, trend line (curved). Alright, this triangle. We have heard enough of it. Sign of continued uptrend of which all scenarios have failed for 2 major reasons: 3 lower highs in a row (failure to regain ATH), and double exit from the bottom. The first exit (red) was predictable, but the second (red) break through the December uptrend (orange) and opens wide compared to the first which was opening narrow. This is a negative sign adding to the fact that the market rejects December average trend. Reason in fact, if you look closely, (the trick) the 35-36k support/resistance, was a double pivot for both a triangle and a swing failure. There was no triangle, in fact, the swing failure was confirmed twice. And the stockRSI confirms the market behaviors on these exists. This makes me speculate that the trend now is "curved", which would announce a market reversal into a bearish movement. If I speculate a little further, correction some thought happened, had not, it's only starting. No financial advice but if you are risk-averse, time to close positions, avoid a blood bath and compensate losses with a leverage future BTC:DOWN. A triangle and a swing failure with the same pivot. Rare, but it illustrates one thing: be wary of people only seeing triangles they may miss the swing below...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by balaupre
BTCUSD Short Term and Swing TargetsBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Has put in a swing low at 34,385 and pulled back from that area. This area is my first target for a short position as Bitcoin continues to put in lower highs. If the lows are broken I believe Bitcoin can swing to lower support at 32,376 increasing supply in the market. The drop would serve as a part of the natural rotation of Bitcoin after a failed break at 40,000 earlier this week (likely a result of buyer shock). Furthermore, the initial drop from 41,000 greatly increased short term uncertainty in BTCUSD, and those who were convinced of moonshots to 50k-100k might be taking a breather after such a rapid drop. Take all this with a grain of salt as the market has continued to see increasing buying volume and I simply believe that 32,000 would hold as strong floor.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by crawfordpaul
Bitcoin (BTC/XBT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/17Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Ethereum! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: Bitcoin flash crash to $34.4K, bounced up to the 200MAs, and is now again testing the lows. Chart Patterns: No significantly visible chart patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 200MAs @ $36.4-36.7K and the support @ $34.4K. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/15: We had a winning trade! We entered long @ $38470 SL @ $37770, price reached a high of $38780, giving us a risk reward ratio of 0.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 0.5BTC. This is our smallest win so far, but a win is a win, and this is the first step on our road back to profitable trades. 2021/ 01 /11: We had two losing trade! We entered long @ $35.4K SL @ $34.1K, and we hit Stop Loss. We entered long again @ $33.1K SL @ $31.6K, and we again hit stop loss. In hindsight, should have stepped aside from such a major selloff and wait for markets to stabilize before looking for trade entries. 2021/ 01 /08: We had a winning trade! We entered long @ $37997 SL @ 36760, price reached a high of $41950, giving us a risk reward ratio of 3:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 3BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #2: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the then rapidly climbs above $34.4K, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick  followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace back up to test the 200MAs and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $36.4-36.7K by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
11
BITCOIN - What Are We Looking At Here? Let's Talk About It.We have not seen confirmation of a reversal yet but I want to ask you a couple of questions. Do you even know how the waves operate? Are you hodling because you know the waves or do you think the waves are irrelevant? If you think the waves are irrelevant then do not watch this video and just continue to do what you are doing. If you trust the waves and just need to understand the waves in progress here then you have come to the right place. Please LIKE and FOLLOW to get notification of updates and future posts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AriasWave
6
Bitcoin (BTC/XBT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/16Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Ethereum! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: Bitcoin rallied to a high of $40.1K before having a flash crash to $34.4K, and is now trading near the lows. Chart Patterns: No significantly visible chart patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the primary 61.8 Fib @ $34.1K and the secondary 61.8Fib @ $37.9K . Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/15: We had a winning trade! This was a trade using a strategy in testing. We entered long @ $38470 SL @ $37770, price reached a high of $38780, giving us a risk reward ratio of 0.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 0.5BTC. This is our smallest win so far, but a win is a win, and this is the first step on our road back to profitable trades. 2021/ 01 /11: We had two losing trade! We entered long @ $35.4K SL @ $34.1K, and we hit Stop Loss. We entered long again @ $33.1K SL @ $31.6K, and we again hit stop loss. In hindsight, should have stepped aside from such a major selloff and wait for markets to stabilize before looking for trade entries. 2021/ 01 /08: We had a winning trade! We entered long @ $37997 SL @ 36760, price reached a high of $41950, giving us a risk reward ratio of 3:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 3BTC. ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together! TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $34.1K and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace up to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $37.9 and bounce back down. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out
by cryptotraderog
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