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Bitcoin- 36k zone remains my targetIn my previous Bitcoin analysis, I argued that, in my opinion, the correction for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD was not yet over, and we could potentially witness a drop to the 36k zone. Since then, the price dipped below the 40k zone and rebounded back to almost 44k. However, this rebound exhibits a corrective structure, resembling a bearish flag, suggesting that a new downward leg could follow. In conclusion, as long as the 45k level remains intact, selling rallies could prove to be a sound strategy with favorable risk-reward potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
17
BITCOIN Cycle Phases like you've never seen them before!On today's post we are basically upgrading our previous analysis (see chart below) with the addition of actual circle shapes on Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles and pies on their phases: As you can see this reveals a groundbreaking illustration of the historic Cycles. We don't want to get you in the technical details of the trend, you can find everything by clicking on our previous publication. But as you can see, on top of the tradition measuring of the Cycle phases (Bear, Accumulation, Bull), we have place Wedges/ Pies that fit into the actual Circles. Those Circles (as well as the pies naturally) are all the same size/ symmetry, which just goes to show you how similar BTC's Cycles are despite the different news and fundamentals that take place during each Cycle. We use a Double Circle pattern to demonstrate more vividly the Cycles. Most of BTC's price action tends to be within that Zone that is made, even the 2018 - 2021 Cycle, despite the notable divergencies during the Accumulation (Libra euphoria) and Bull (Musk, Tesla adoption) phases, it eventually fell back within the Channel. The presentation also reveals Bitcoin's current position relative to the previous Cycles (black "We are HERE" arrow). That's near the end of the Accumulation Phase, only a few weeks before the Halving, above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and within the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci Zone. The upside is enormous and since the price is above the Circles Channel as during February 2020, who is to say we won't see another outperformance, especially if positive fundamentals hit the market (ETF approvals already, potential Rate Cuts, more news of adoption every day etc). But what do you think? Is this Cycle presentation accurate and if so are you expecting a massive rally as we approach the Halving? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
29
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(Daily time frame)⏰👋Hi, everyone. 📈Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in a daily time frame so that we can have a short-term view of Bitcoin regarding the technical analysis . (Please 🌹🙏 respectfully🙏🌹 share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts). ✅As I expected, Bitcoin started declining from 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 after the SEC approval of Bitcoin ETFs . ( In previous posts, I warned you several times that Bitcoin is near the end of its upward trend. ) 🏃‍♂️Bitcoin has been moving in an Ascending Channel for more than a year , and as long as Bitcoin is moving in this channel, we can still hope for the rise of Bitcoin. ⚔️Currently, Bitcoin is attacking the 🟢 Support zone($39,000-$37,000) 🟢, SMA(100) and Support line for the first time . Of course, it seems that Bitcoin will NOT succeed in breaking this zone . 📚 Assets generally do NOT break Support and Resistance zones for the first time. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed five impulse waves in 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and is now starting to form new corrective waves . 🔔I expect an upward trend in the coming days and at least an increase in the 🔴 Resistance Zone($43,800-$43,000) 🔴. (Bitcoin has had a high trading volume of around $43,400 , which indicates an important resistance for Bitcoin ). ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️If the Daily Candle closes below the 🟢 Support zone($39,000-$37,000) 🟢, we can expect further falls for Bitcoin. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
59
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(1-hour time frame)⏰🧐Bitcoin seems NOT to have decided to fill the 🔵 CME Gap($40,325-$39,290) 🔵 at the moment and will probably fill this gap in the next drop . 🌊From the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has completed 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect Bitcoin to go UP in the coming hours and break the 🔴 Resistance Zone($42,200-$41,780) 🔴 in front of it, and have a minimal increase until the end of wave 4 . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
100
Bitcoin Ready to Increase 🚀➕10%🚀↘️After the SEC approved the Bitcoin ETFs , we saw that Bitcoin has lost more than ➖16% of its value so far ( Buy the Rumor, Sell the News ). ✅As I shared in previous posts , Bitcoin started falling from 🔴 Heavy Resistance Zone($52,100-$45,800) 🔴 as I shared with you. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin went through wave 5 with the Expanding Ending Diagonal , and it seems that Bitcoin has already started corrective waves . 🌊Bitcoin has confirmed the end of wave 4 by breaking the Lower line of the ascending channel. 🔔I expect Bitcoin to complete its wave 5 when it fills the 🔵 CME Gap($40,325-$39,290) 🔵 and then rebounds( ➕10% ) to around $43,500 . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
BITCOIN Every monthly pull-back is a BUY opportunity from now onOn this 1W analysis we see Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) amazing symmetry through its historic Cycles. A symmetry which upto this date, is holding and we will explain why right away. Before we begin, note that the current study can be used in combination with our legendary Golden 51%-49% Ratio publications shown below: ** Three Cycle Phases ** Now as to the cyclical symmetry. The chart classifies each grand Cycle into three phases: a) The Bear Phase (red), which starts at the top of the previous Cycle and ends on its bottom. The price breaks below the 1W MA50 during that phase. b) The Accumulation Phase (blue), which continues where Bear left off and is when investors buy for the long-term following the market bottom. The price breaks above the 1W MA50 during that phase. c) The Bull Phase (green), which starts after the Halving event (orange vertical line) and ends on the new Cycle top. The price never closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50 during that phase. ** The Symmetry ** As you can realize just on first glance, the Phases along the Cycles are on an amazing symmetry. The Bear Phases has so far been 59 weeks (413 days), 52 weeks (364 days) and the most recent 58 weeks (406 days) respectively. The Accumulation Phases have been 77 weeks (539 days) and 73 weeks (511 days) respectively. The Bull Phases have been 75 weeks (525 days) and 79 weeks (553 days) respectively. The current Accumulation Phase will be 71 weeks (497 days) by the time of the Halving, which is remarkably along the lines of the previous 2. As for the new Bull Phase after the Halving, we could assume a minimum duration of 75 weeks (525 days) as in 2016 - 2017. ** Fibonacci role on the Halving date ** The key at the moment as we approach the upcoming Halving in April, are the Fibonacci retracement levels. During the previous two Halvings, BTC had already reached the 0.786 Fib once and at the time of the Halving was around the 0.618 Fib, which is basically the current price levels within 39000-40000. The 1W MA50 is about to touch the 0.5 Fib level which is around 33000 and technically, based on this model, is as low as the correction can extend to. Technically we should be expecting price levels around 40k as we enter April, which of course doesn't dismiss the possibility of another run to 50k earlier. In conclusion, assuming the 1W MA50 is the new long-term Support from now on, every monthly correction, should technically be a buy opportunity as we head into the Bull Phase. But what do you think about this Cycle mapping? Do you expect history to continue to repeat itself? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
18
Bitcoin 2024 (Scenario 1)Expect the unexpected this year. As you know, I flipped bearish in December. Check out the TA below. It's taken a while to rollover, but Bitcoin has failed to break the 0.75 Fib Fan. Just like in 2019, week after week, it closed right under it, and now it's finally making a move down. There are two scenarios that I put together that have probable outcomes. Scenario 1: This idea is basically as you see in the main chart above, a deep correction to 30k that comes down to the 0.618 Fan Fib. We have this diagonal macro support that has three macro cycle low hits. I hate diagonal supports; for me, they never hold up, but we will see with this one. If we go back in history and see how 2015 played out with Fib Fans, we see a similar pattern with the 0.75 Fib Fan, a rejection, and a move down to the 0.618. The bottom for this cycle low played out very closely to 2015. The cycle bottom of 2015 and 2022 were a mirror, mind-blowing really. So in 2015 after a rejection of the 0.75 Fib Fan, Bitcoin comes back to retest its base. Our base this cycle is 30k. So why have I marked the timeframes between April and July 2024? Well, there are two time Fib sequences I'm following, one on the LINK/BTC chart, and the other is a macro Bitcoin sequence I have been following for years. You can check it out below. Every time we come to a date, something big happens with Chainlink and Bitcoin. For me, if it continues playing out like 2015, a move to 30k this year is highly likely. Now, Scenario 2 is far more of a crazy outcome, but if I would put my money on it, Scenario 2 happens, not 1. Will publish Scenario 2 later on.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sporia
5
Bitcoin 2024 (Scenario 2)Bitcoin-2024-Scenario-1 Below Let's talk about the thing nobody wants to talk about. THE CME GAP AT 20k! This CME gap is one of the largest Gaps in history. Coming in at 20300 to 21200, it's a huge Gap. I remember very clearly the herd saying the "GAP AT 18K WILL NEVER GET FILLED." 500 days later, what happened, the damn GAP gets filled. How many times do we need to fade this signal lol. The fact is that every damn GAP this size gets filled at one point. Will this time be different? Are we going to play the "this time will be different" tune again lol. There are a couple of charts that are screaming Black Swan. ETH Giant rising wedge pattern in ETH. A break of this wedge would be a massive move down! XRP XRP is repeating the same pattern it formed from 2014-2017. What happened at the end of the triangle? A massive shakeout! USDT dominance Chart Guys look at the channel. Do we need to question it? Even now at the 48k top, there was not a single candle close under the channel. I've been following it with my group week by week and nothing. The channel is still strong. It is a fact that no BIG bull market or rally has started from the bottom of this channel, and until the dominance is back up to where this green circle is, the chances are this bull market will not start. So how do we get the dominance up there and still hit 70k by December 2024? By using a black swan, that's how. My call is something big happens this year, another scare, Bank, War, Virus, anything to drive mass fear. I can see it now, a crazy wick down to close the CME gap but weekly close above this macro support. If this plays out, then XRP plays out its shakeout, ETH breaks its rising wedge, and USDT dominance goes back up to the top of the channel. It all fits. If Bitcoin is at 20k and the USDT dominance is at the top of the channel, that's when I can say for sure that the bull market has started. Until then, I have doubt. We can't even say with 100% certainty that the Bitcoin double bottom is even in! Every cycle we retest and make a double macro bottom before the bull market starts, but this time it's not been so clear. Can we say that June and Nov of 2022 were the double bottom of this cycle with 100% certainty? I don't think so. This is something I have been trying to figure out for months: IS THE DOUBLE BOTTOM IN OR NOT? How can we say that with a 20k CME GAP that if it would get filled, it would then form a macro double bottom on the Bitcoin chart. This is my view on scenario 2. I would not have any longs open or collateral loans and have cash to buy if this scenario happens. This is without a doubt the most dangerous unpredictable period of the Bitcoin cycle. If nothing has happened by September, we are in the clear. Until then, protect yourself from risk. My bet is Scenario 2 unfolds.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Sporia
BITCOIN 1W MACD Bearish Cross formed. Is it alarming?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the 3rd straight bearish week (1W) following the 49000 High, which technically was a Higher High on the 1-year Channel Up. This is the 2nd Higher High structure within this pattern (first was on April 10 2023) and technically we are currently on the new Bearish Leg that seeks the formation of a new Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up. ** 1W MACD Bearish Cross ** This week's big development though is the completion of a Bearish Cross on the 1W MACD, the first one since July 24 2023 and before that May 29 2023. Both of those came after the peak formations but delivered at least another 3 weeks of downtrend. ** The 3-year Cyclical Demand/ Supply Zone ** Interestingly enough those peaks were priced on the 3-year Cyclical Demand/ Supply Zone, which we have analyzed extensively in previous publications (has been Support during the Bull Cycle and Resistance during the Bear Cycle). This time BTC is above that Zone and the current Bearish Leg has high probabilities of testing it as a Support (Demand) for the first time since May 2022. ** Where to buy? ** The medium-term supporting trend-line is the 1D MA200 (red trend-line), which is already near the middle of that Zone and long-term the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is about to enter it. What long-term investors and Dollar-Cost-Average traders should be looking for is buy positions on those key levels. If the Cyclical Zone holds (i.e. keeps closing 1W candles above it), then it will be confirmed as a Supply level for the remainder of the Bull Cycle and most likely will propel the price to the new Parabolic Rally Phase after April's Halving. ** Next Target? ** Every Bullish Leg within the 1-year Channel Up has been around +100%, so as long as the pattern holds, we should be technically expecting a rebound of similar magnitude. Assuming the bottom (Higher Low) is priced as low as possible (on the 1W MA50), a new +100% rise will provide a Higher High around 65000, just below Resistance 2 (69150), which is essentially the All Time High (ATH). Historic patterns have shown that a buy just before the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross, is perhaps the most optimal entry in preparation for this rally. But what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to test the Supply Zone and perhaps the 1D MA200 and 1W MA50? Are you waiting for a long-term buy there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BTCUSD Bitcoin - Jan to Jan , what's next?! 22.1.24The common assumption is that Bitcoin is crazy and unpredictable. But if we look at the big picture - A technically perfect picture appears, predictable looking at roughly a year and a half of trading. Connecting the lowest and highest points creates an ascending (rising) tunnel with parallel lows and highs. The current floor of the long-term trend is around 32,000 per coin. The current roof of the long-term trend is around 50,000 per coin. A daily weekly candle close below 40,000 could mean 38,000 to 32,000 would be the next targets to come. A daily weekly candle close above 40,800 could mean immediate target would be back to 42,000 following with 44,000 and 48,000. ETF news provide turbulent movements which provide attractive entry points in the bigger picture view of up-trend since beginning of 2023. A weekly close below 32,000 would be the sign of the picture shifting, but until that happens bitcoin is overall expected to have a very bullish year.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Exactus
2
🚨Bitcoin is Ready to GO DOWN again🚨🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving in an Ascending channel with a low slope of 4 days . 🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🔴 Resistance Zone($43,720-$43,100) 🔴 and near the upper line of the Ascending channel . 🔔I expect Bitcoin to move to the lower line of the ascending channel again and possibly break this channel. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
40
BITCOIN MACD bottom pattern shows when to Buy and when to Sell !Over the years we have discovered many historic patterns applicable to Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles. With a relative degree of volatility every time, since each Cycle has it's own distinct characteristics and fundamental events that shape it, those patterns can help traders/ investors construct strategies for buying and selling on a long-term scale. This time we have come across a very unique pattern on the 1M time-frame, which can identify where to Buy and where to Sell, near the Tops and Bottoms respectively, on a Cyclical scale. Starting from the November 2011 bottom onwards, each Cycle is measured at either 3.58 or 3.83 years to the point where the 1M MACD bottoms. The last MACD bottom and start of reversal was on February 2023, while BTC was trading around 23k on average. Still not as appealing as the November 2022 16000 but low enough to provide an excellent (and confirmed) long-term dip buy entry compared to the previous $69000 All Time High. At the moment the price is on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the current Cycle and as you can see on the chart, this is the level where BTC makes a 1-2 month pull-back. The Tops are priced either on the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This means that long-term investors could take their profits either on January 2025 or July 2025, if the current Cycle lasts again 3.58 years. And as for the next bottom based on the model, it is expected on December 2026, where we can take a (relatively) confirmed buy position again for the long-term. But what do you think about that MACD bottom model? Are you also expecting a new Cycle Top within January - July 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN Will it respect the 3-year Pivot Zone?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) had a strong rejection last week shortly after breaking Resistance 1 (48400), which was the high of the March 28 2022 1W candle. That is technically strong enough to initiate a medium-term pull-back on its own. The correction bias get even stronger though if we consider the 3-year Pivot Zone which has been relevant since January 11 2021, initially as a Support (held numerous times, see green circles) and later as a Resistance (red circles). A potential test of even the top of the Zone would bring the BTC as close as possible to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which would be a healthy medium-term correction before the next parabolic rally starts. The next Resistance is the 68900 All Time High (ATH) and obviously our next long-term Target. But what do you think? Will Bitcoin give us this pull-back buy opportunity? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
Bitcoin- I'm looking to sellAs elucidated in my prior analysis, I maintain the perspective that the correction for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is not yet complete. In fact, I anticipate a decline below the 41500 support level, targeting the 35-36k zone. From a technical standpoint, we observe a range between 41500 and 45k, with an upward break, followed by a sharp reversal—a type of price action typically indicative of a reversal. In conclusion, my strategy involves selling during rallies, and I am actively seeking entry opportunities around the 45k threshold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
8
Warning! Bitcoin could correct further; even to 36kThe eagerly anticipated ETF has finally arrived, and as anticipated by many, its approval was followed by a correction. After reaching a peak of $49,000, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD experienced a decline to a low of $41,500 yesterday, marking a 20% correction overall. The question now arises: is the correction complete? In my view, Bitcoin could potentially undergo further correction. From a strictly technical standpoint, BtcUsd continues to exhibit a robust upward trend. However, despite the 41,500 support holding steady over the past month and a half, any surges above $44,000 were consistently met with selling pressure. The recent ascent beyond $45,000, which was, in fact, a false breakout, contributes to the likelihood of a more extended correction scenario. In summary, unless the price stabilizes above $45,000, the possibility of additional losses remains high. Sustained selling below the $41,500 zone could potentially lead to a drop to the $36,000 zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Top Is Likely In , I'm Out.Today, I'm going to present to you my thesis on why this rally is over and why the Bitcoin top is in for now, marking the weekly lower high that everyone will be setting as resistance in the coming months. This rally has reminded me a lot of 2019 in many ways; it has played out the same, especially with Chainlink. I have been following a bar pattern fractal from 2019 that played out almost 1:1 for 358 days. As you can see, LINK should have had a blowoff top by now, or has it? Something that I have learned a lot in this space is that blowoff tops are really anticlimactic. Prices go up, pull back, we all think it's just a small pullback, and then before you know it, it's a full-blown correction. When you look back, you realize, "Damn, that was the top." The main chart you see above is one of many reasons why I think the top is highly likely. In 2019, we hit the 0.75 Fan Fib and topped out. So far, at this moment, it's finding resistance at this Fan Fib. I have documented on my channel how the 2015 cycle macro structure is a lot like this cycle's structure, especially the cycle low. What happened in 2015 with Fib levels and Gann Fann. Looking into it, we can see that Bitcoin topped out between the 0.5-0.618 Fib and around the 2/1 Gann Fann. If you take a look at today's price action, you can see that we are in exactly the same spot as we were in 2015 before a big correction. A pre-halving 50% correction is always in the books. A 55% correction to the 20k CME gap is very possible, no doubt, within the first 4 months of the year. This would be normal for a Bitcoin cycle. The Mayer Multiple band 1.4 has predicted tops in Bitcoin for 2 years its been a very big resistance. Finally we come to the chart I personally trust the most , the one chart and channel that has put me ahead of the curve most of the time and that is the USDT dominance chart. You can clearly see that when the price comes to the bottom of the channel, we get a top in the market. It has predicted all the tops in the past few years. I cannot ignore this signal. Not only that, but the greed indicator fired off like the April top 2021. It's undeniable that the channel is strong and unbreakable. Maybe this time it's different? Maybe this time it breaks down, and we go to an all-time high. Maybe I'm wrong, but I'm not taking the risk. I'm out.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Sporia
35
BITCOIN The path to All Time Highs is scripted.It has been 14 months (November 14 2022) since we published our first (and to this date most important) Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycle comparison between 2022/ 2023 and 2014/ 2015: www.tradingview.com As you can see the main driver behind this comparison was the FTX crash in November 2022 and the Bitfinex crash in August 2015, which both acted as catalysts for the bottom. Following the FTX crash/ bottom, the price action has so far followed quite closely the 2015/ 2016 recovery. On today's analysis, also on the 1W time-frame, we focus on the Rising Wedge that funneled the price action from the Cycle bottom to the bullish recovery. The similarities between the two Cycles are remarkable: 1. Bounce on the Lower Highs and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) break-out, which basically confirmed the transition into the Bull Cycle. 2. Immediate Channel Down after the 1W MA50 break-out on the Rising Wedge's first Higher High. 3. 1W MA50 supporting since the break-out. Right now we are in the stage where the price has broken above the Rising Wedge. In June 2016 this caused a short-term correction back inside the Wedge towards the 1W MA50, which as mentioned held. If BTC continues to replicate that Cycle, does it mean that such a technical correction is due? The 1W MA50 is currently above 30000 and rising aggressively. But what do you think? Are you expecting a 1 - 1.5 month pull-back from here and then a new All Time High after April's Halving? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
Bitcoin Scenarios for the Future Hours🧐👋Hi, everyone. 🌐Today, I want to explain to you the possible scenarios for Bitcoin; during the last week and the beginning of the new year 2024 , Bitcoin has been affected by the News , and we have seen Pumps and even Dumps , so before the SEC decision In the case of Bitcoin ETFs , it is better to trade a little more carefully . That's why I didn't consider Short or Long labels for this post. 🌐In general, ➕ Positive News ➕ about the approval of ETFs outweighs the ➖ Negative News ➖. 📚This positive news caused the Fear & Greed Index to re-enter the Extreme Greed zone(76) for the first time in 2/5 years . Of course, maybe you are Greedy too😊. 📈We can use technical analysis tools to analyze Bitcoin in the current situation to help us predict the future of Bitcoin. ⚔️Bitcoin is attacking the 🔴 Heavy Resistance Zone($52,100-$45,800) 🔴 for the second time . 🏃‍♂️If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 1-hour time frame , we will find that Bitcoin has been moving in the Ascending Channel(Black) for about 7 days . However, on the daily time frame , Bitcoin is moving in an Ascending channel(Blue) . 💡In terms of divergence, Regular Divergence(RD-) can be seen between successive peaks of Bitcoin, but Bitcoin has already proven that this type of Divergence is definitely NOT the reason for a return , and at least we can understand that soon Bitcoin will enter a correction ( it is likely that Bitcoin will still With these divergences, the price will increase by about 20% . 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed one of its impulsive/correction waves above the lines of ascending channels and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($48,180-$47,250) 🟡. ⚠️I have two scenarios for the waves that I will share with you after the approval/disapproval of Bitcoin ETFs ⚠️. 💡Before concluding, let's take a look at Market Cap BTC Dominance% (BTC.D%) and Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) charts. 🔸 Market Cap BTC Dominance% (BTC.D%) : After the positive news about Bitcoin ETFs , investors started investing more in Bitcoin, causing BTC.D% to go up for days. Currently, BTC.D% is moving in the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and near the Resistance line , and I expect this investor greed to end in the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 or 🔴 Heavy Resistance Zone(60%-%57) 🔴. Then, we will see a decrease in the strength of Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency market. We can see this decrease in the strength of Bitcoin after the final news of the SEC subsides. 💡 Tip : Until the return of BTC.D% is confirmed, it is better to invest less in Altcoins. 👇 🔸 Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) : USDT.D% is moving in the 🟢 Heavy Support zone(5.80%-5.20%) 🟢, and it is attacking this zone for the first time, I expect that even if bitcoin ETFs are confirmed, USDT.D% will NOT break the🟢 Heavy Support zone(5.80%-5.20%) 🟢 and the Support line at least for this attack and at least until the 🔴 Resistance zone(6.70%-6.30%) 🔴 starts to increase, because there is a possibility that even after the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, the cryptocurrency market will enter a correction. 👇 🔔As a result, I expect Bitcoin to fall to the Fibonacci levels I marked on my chart in the coming hours ahead of the SEC approval/disapproval of Bitcoin ETFs . If it is confirmed , it will attack the upper lines of the ascending channels and 🟡PRZ🟡, and if it is not confirmed or even postponed in the vote, Bitcoin will lose the 🟢 Support zone($44,800-$44,160) 🟢 and ascending channel(Black) . ❤️In the end, here is some advice for you as a little brother: 🔸TradingView website has provided us with a suitable space to transfer our analysis, so it is better to use it and not waste our time on destruction or ugly comments. 🔸If you have any comments, please share them with respect. 🔸No analysis is 100%, so if you use analysis as an investment, it is better to follow capital management and take responsibility for it yourself. 🔸Please don't look at the words of Celebrities about the price of Bitcoin and other Altcoins as an investment; check their past, and the truth will be clear(These days they are hot). 🔸I hope we can use TradingView to increase our capital and knowledge. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
by pejman_zwin
25
BITCOIN ETF APPROVED!! Aggressive rally to $120k possible?Exactly a year ago (January 18 2023) we posted our last Fibonacci MAs study and called for a calculated rally while the rice was still at 20k: It is now time to expand on our original idea and update it using the Mayer Multiple Bands. Basically, as you can see on the chart below, the Mayer MA helped us on June 17 2022 identify the Bottom Phase on the 1W MA300: On the current analysis the 1W MA300 is portrayed by the blue trend-line but our focus has shifted to the black trend-line (Mayer Multiple Mean), which just broke emphatically this week. As you can see, when BTC has broken above this level since November 2015 (green circles), it starts aggressive rallies (lowest of those 3 has been the April - June 2019 of +180%). The dashed curve represents the Bull Cycle Rally phases and if the +180% mininum black trend-line rise is repeated, expect at least $120000 as the current Cycle High. It might be less aggressive than the previous ones (Theory of Diminishing Returns and Cycle lengthening) but it should hit at least the orange trend-line (2nd upper SD) as it has always done in the past. But what do you think? Are we going to see such a strong rally now that the Mayer Multiple Mean has been broken? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
7
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️(15-minute time frame➡️RR>3.00)🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($44,800-$44,160) 🔴 and Inside the Ascending Channel . 🌊According to Elliot's wave theory , wave 3 ended near 50_SMA(Daily) , and now we have to wait for the confirmation of the end of wave 4 . 🌊It seems that the structure of wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) . 🌊With a lower line of ascending channel broken , we can confirm the end of wave 4 . 🔔After breaking the lower line of the ascending channel, I expect Bitcoin to Fall at least to the 🟢 Support zone($40,900-$40,200) 🟢 and complete wave 5 ( wave 5 can even be truncated) . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can break the 🔴Resistance zone($44,800-$44,160)🔴, the scenario will change ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
67
BITCOIN Formed the first 1W Golden Cross in history!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed with last week's candle a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame, its first ever in history! That alone is a monumental development, as the Golden Cross pattern is a powerful technical formation, especially on stable long-term time-frames such as the 1W. Apart from the technicalities, this pattern becomes even more important considering the fact that it was formed only three days before the all important decision of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding the approval of a Bitcoin ETF. On the current analysis we decide it would be productive to maintain a long-term perspective on BTC and interpret the Golden Cross and the potential ETF approval on a macro Cyclical scale. As you can see, we are on that certain level during each Cycle when the Parabolic Rally is about to take off. Principally, there is nothing that can hold BTC back, especially after Halving 4 this April and every pull-back on the dotted trend-line is technically a long-term buy entry. But what do you think? Is this first ever 1W Golden Cross along with a potential ETF approval really what Bitcoin needs to take off and approach the All Time High? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN Is a potential ETF approval already priced in?It has been almost 3 months since Cointelegraph's fake ETF approval tweet (October 16 2023), which was basically the start of a medium-term mid-Cycle parabolic rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) that saw it grow by +69.10% this week. Yesterday we got the first serious signs of exhaustion as the 1D candle made contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 12 2023. That was also at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up pattern. Both (1D MA50 and Channel Up) held, which keeps the trend bullish for now. ** Is the ETF priced in ahead of SEC? ** Only days before the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) deadline regarding its decision, the real question is, has a potential Bitcoin ETF approval already priced in on this enormous mid-Cycle rally? ** Buy the rumor, sell the news? ** Indeed that was a significant move, especially considering the fact that it took place months before the next Halving (number 4, expected this April), which is the fundamentals event that provides a supply shock in the market. Nobody knows for sure how the market will react to a potential ETF approval next week but we have seen the old 'Buy the rumor, sell the news' approach one too many times happening in situations like this. ** Next Halving is the benchmark ** It wouldn't be surprising to see a correction towards April's Halving and then accumulation towards the Bull Cycle's 1 year rally. Purely from a technical point of view, which is the only hard data we have at hand to work with, a 1D MA50/ Channel Down break downwards can start a technical correction towards the lower Fibonacci retracement levels and the long-term Moving Averages. ** Fibonacci targets and the 1W MA50 ** The first level to test would be the 0.382 Fibonacci around 37500 and then the 0.5 Fib around 35350. If the correction takes place gradually in a controlled manner and not aggressively, we can see a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) contact by then. A more aggressive possibility can see BTC test the 0.618 Fib and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) a little lower, which is the natural long-term Support during Bull Cycles and is currently intact (the 1W MA50) since March 13 2023. ** Bearish Divergence ** In addition to the above technical realities, we shouldn't ignore the 1D RSI, which has been on Lower Highs since October 25 2023, i.e. peaked 9 days after Cointelegraph's fake ETF tweet, trading within a Falling Wedge pattern, which with regards to the price's Channel Up, is a Bearish Divergence. But what do you think? Is a potential ETF approval already priced in, and if yes how low do you expect the price to fall? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(4-hour time frame)⏰📈Today I want to show you all the Resistance/Support lines and areas that we should consider for Bitcoin analysis and trading . 💡Bitcoin with the announcement of the spot Bitcoin ETF application file by the Swiss company Pando is 3 weeks after this company's request by the SEC , and the listing of ARK 21Shares spot ETF in DTCC broker started to rise from the 🟢 Support zone($40,900_$40,200) 🟢 to the 🔴 Resistance zone($43,500_$42,800) 🔴. 💡Bitcoin is currently in a sensitive area , so that it seems to have succeeded in breaking the 🔴 Resistance zone($43,500_$42,800) 🔴. On the other hand, there are Resistance lines and 🟡 Price Reversal Zones (PRZs) 🟡above the current price of Bitcoin. 🧐So now that Bitcoin is in a sensitive area, we should use other technical analysis tools such as Elliott Wave Theory . 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the correction structure of Double Three Correction(WXY) . In such a way that the main wave W and Y have a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) correction structure, so it can be said that the correction structure is Double Zigzag Correction(WXY) , which is a special type of Double Three Correction. 💡Another thing to keep in mind is that I expect the DXY index to go up and have a negative effect on Bitcoin due to the correlation(-0.60) between Bitcoin and the DXY index . On the other hand, it is very likely that in the coming week, the Gold chart will also have a downward trend (Gold has a Correlation of 0.51 with Bitcoin at the moment), so Gold can also have a negative effect on Bitcoin. 💡Also, we can see Strong Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks . 🔔As a result, I expect Bitcoin to Fall to at least the Support line(1) in the coming days 🚦Since Volume Trading is usually low on Saturdays and Sundays , perhaps the decline of Bitcoin will be a little delayed . 📚Regarding the possibility that the spot Bitcoin ETF will be approved around January 10 , I can say that I think the market is currently full of news about this issue and we saw its effect on the chart weeks ago, so I think Bitcoin can still be corrected until it really is. Let confirmation spot Bitcoin ETF come so we can see another exciting movement in the crypto market. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If BTC can touch $44,800, Bullish Scenario will be active == Next 🎯Target🎯 ==🟡 Price Reversal Zones (PRZ(1)) 🟡. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
59