🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(4_hour time frame)⏰✅Bitcoin broke the upper line of the classic Symmetrical Triangle Pattern a few hours ago.
🌊Regarding Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) in a symmetrical triangle.
🌊Currently, Bitcoin is completing microwave wave 3 of main wave 5 , which can complete around an All-Time High($73,777) ( or even a little higher ).
🔔I expect Bitcoin to start rising again to complete the main wave 5 after the pullback to the upper line of the symmetrical triangle and at least rise to the upper line of the Ascending Channel .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can break the 🟢Support zone($69,300-$67,800)🟢, the scenario will change and we have to wait for Bitcoin to fall further.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoinsignals
BITCOIN About to break the 3-week Triangle! How to trade it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a (dashed) Triangle pattern since the March 14 High, supported twice by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The price is testing today the top of that pattern and going back to November 2022 at the bottom of the Bear Cycle when the Fibonacci Channel Up begun, we can see that a similar pattern emerged two more times.
The first (January - March 2023), the Triangle broke downwards, hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and then rose aggressively towards the 1.786 Fib extension. The second Triangle (December 2023 - January 2024) broke to the upside but then got rejected at the top of the (blue) Channel Up (Channel Fib 1.0) and pulled-back to the 1D MA100 before rising even more aggressively towards the 4.5 Fib ext. The common fact is that on both cases, the price touched the 1D MA100 eventually before rebounding.
At the moment though, BTC is above the former (blue) Channel Up and is transitioned into a Fibonacci dynamic pattern. As a result, there is no obvious Resistance right above besides the 2.0 Channel Fib extension. A bullish break-out this time may not necessarily require a 1D MA100 test before a more aggressive rise. Since however the new Halving event is expected in a week and a supply shock may initially cause a decline upon news that might already priced in, traders are advised to keep some 'dry powder' for a final test of the 1D MA100.
We have two targets for the medium-term: Target 1 at 85500 (marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext) and Target 2 at 120000 (marginally below the 4.5 Fib ext).
The signal to buy with more confidence on the 1D MA100 would be if you see the 1D RSI hitting the green cup pattern again as it happened on the previous price Triangle cases, which as you can see, have been fairly similar, getting overbought (above 70.00) prior to the Triangle and then deflating as the Triangle formed.
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin- Are new ATHs still on the horizon in the near term?Since reaching the recent all-time high (ATH) near 74k in mid-March, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has corrected to the 61k zone support and has begun consolidating thereafter.
Despite significant volatility over the past three weeks, the overall outlook remains predominantly bullish, offering reassurance to medium to long-term holders.
Furthermore, upon examining the daily chart, it becomes evident that this consolidation is gradually narrowing, forming a symmetrical triangle, which typically signals continuation. Additionally, following the breach below the interim support at 68k on Tuesday, the subsequent reversal has resulted in a Morning Star candlestick formation, while yesterday's NFP report provided further evidence of bullish momentum with a Pin Bar candle.
At the time of writing, the price has returned to the 68k median level, showing determination to retest the 70k mark once more. To confirm a new upward trend, bulls will require stabilization above 71k, at which point, the measured target for the triangle pattern around 80k comes into focus.
My bullish stance persists as long as the price remains above the 62k zone.
BITCOIN The Golden 51%-49% Ratio! 600 days of Bull Market left!This is a really simple Bitcoin study on which I calculate the remaining days of the current Bull Cycle we are in based on the Top, Bottom and Halving of each Cycle. These parameters are effectively used to distinguish the Bull from the Bear Cycles. Tops are obviously where the Bull phase ends and Bear starts, while the Bottoms are where the Bear phase ends and the Bull starts.
** The 51%-49% Ratio and the important of the Halvings **
The focus of this study is the Bull Cycle. As you see on the chart there is a striking similarity on each Cycle. The phase from the Bottom to the Halving is 51% of the whole Bull Cycle while the rest (Halving to Top) consists the 49%. Practically we can claim that the Halving seems to be the middle of each Bull Cycle.
** So where are we now? **
Based on the above ratio and with the 3rd Halving scheduled on May 12th, 2020, we can calculate that the first phase (51%) of the current Bull Cycle will last around 520 days (Bottom made on December 15th 2018). The 49% which based on the previous two cycles has been the second phase should therefore last around 505 days, placing the Top of the current Bull Cycle in early October 2021! This means that there are around 600 days of Bull Cycle left!!
Of course there are and will be several other parameters that can influence the cycle (we saw that on the April-June 2019 parabolic explosion) but this is a good (and so far very accurate) pattern that long term Bitcoin investors can follow. It certainly answers the question "is it too late to buy?" though!
Do you agree with this estimate of have another pattern in mind? Let me know in the comments section!
Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community!
BONUS MATERIAL a shorter term perspective:
BITCOIN still has at least 500 days of Bull Cycle ahead !!!Back in February 2020 we published one of our most popular ideas, the 'Golden 51%-49% Ratio':
And in December 2022 exactly on the last Bear Cycle's bottom, we updated it issuing a mega buy signal for long-term traders and investors:
As you can see, this couldn't have been more accurate and today, as we are only 2 weeks before Bitcoin's 4th historic Halving, we are giving you an update with a few extra elements!
** Cycles and LGC **
The Bear Cycles are displayed by the red Rectangles and the Bull Cycle by the green. What's noticeable here is that BTC only recently got out of its Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC), which is unusual before a Halving event. Being that close to the range that is basically Bitcoin's historic Buy Zone, indicates its huge potential moving forward in this new Bull Cycle.
** The Golden Ratio **
However the highlight of this analysis remains the Halving's Golden Ratio, which implies that the time distance from the Bear Cycle's bottom to the Halving is almost equivalent to the distance from the Halving to the Bull Cycle's top. It has held beautifully on the 3 previous Cycles and there is no reason not to expect it to unfold this time also.
** 500 more days of Bull **
This indicates that we have at least another 500 days of Bull Cycle ahead of us and the best part is that those will be in the form of the most aggressive part of the Cycle, the Post-Halving Parabolic Rally (green Megaphone)!
But what do you think? Do you expect the 51%-49% Golden Ratio to hold again? If yes, at what price do you expect Bitcoin to peak? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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⚠️Bitcoin is Ready to Go Down again by Wedge Pattern⚠️🏃♂️ Bitcoin is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($69,000-$67,800) 🔴.
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 .
📈The Classic Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern is also visible in the chart.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least near the Support line after breaking the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can break the 🔴 Resistance zone($69,000-$67,800) 🔴, the scenario can be bullish, and Bitcoin will go to a new All-Time High(ATH).
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Will we see 60k before 100k?Yesterday we discussed from a 4H perspective (see chart below) why it would be technically possible and above all healthy for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to pull-back to the 1D MA50 and then rebound:
Today we approach this from the 1W time-frame where the results are virtually the same. As you can see, Bitcoin has pulled-back towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level measured from the previous Low on both previous corrections. Even the April - June and July - September double corrections last year (2023), both didn't exceed the 0.382 Fib.
With the underlying long-term pattern for BTC being a Channel Up since the November 2022 (FTX crash) bottom, such a pull-back would be a new Higher Low. As you can see every Bullish Leg to a Higher High is slightly weaker progressively. The 1st was +104.28%, the 2nd +96.69% (-8% lower), the 3rd +92.48% (-4% lower), so we may have a pattern here where every Higher High's decreasing rate is -50% lower each time. This indicates that the next Higher High may be -2% less, i.e. +90.48%.
That gives us a $110000 Higher High target but it is always safer to start taking profits (medium-term at least) around $100k. So if this model continues to repeat those systemic sequences, we are looking at the possibility of a 60-58k pull-back towards and marginally after the Halving and then new rally to $100k.
It is worth mentioning that every time such Higher Low pull-back took place within the Channel Up, the 1W MACD either made a Bearish Cross or a very tight Squeeze. We can already see the MACD reversing downwards.
So what do you think? It is more probable to see a 60k pull-back before a new rally to 100k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN a 1D MA50 test is quite likely before 100k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke and closed below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since February 05). Last time such a pull-back off a Higher High took place was on January 12 (orange circle), which confirmed the extension of a short-term correction that found support on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded.
That was a -21.41% decline from the top. On today's sequence a -21.41% repeat would again make contact (or come very close) with the 1D MA50. That could coincide with the Halving event, two weeks from now and would make for a very healthy correction. In our opinion that is the most optimal and low risk level to add more buys for the long-term 100k Target.
But what do you think? Will BTC correct to the 1D MA50 or a rebound from the current levels is more probable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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🚨Bitcoin Analysis🚨✅As I shared with you in previous posts, Bitcoin attacked the 🟢 Support zone($69,000-$67,800) 🟢 two times.
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($69,000-$67,800) 🟢 and near the Support line .
🔔Based on Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) conditions, I expect Bitcoin to rise to $70,200 at most and then attack the Support line . The Rising Wedge Pattern is still Valid .
💡Bitcoin also seems to be completing a pullback to the lower line of the symmetrical triangle .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️ : If Bitcoin can break the Resistance lines , we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
⚠️Bitcoin Can Dump By Rising Wedge Pattern⚠️🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($73,700-$71,800) 🔴. Above the 🔴 Resistance zone($73,700-$71,800) 🔴is also an important 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($82,800-$73,700) 🟡.
📈From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern , and there is also the possibility of forming a Double Top Pattern .
📈We can also look at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart for a better analysis of Bitcoin. Yesterday, I analyzed USDT.D% for you.
📈 USDT.D% has succeeded in breaking the upper line of the Falling wedge, and this is good news, which confirms the breaking of the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern in the Bitcoin chart.👇
📈Also, the Market Cap BTC Dominance% (BTC.D%) chart will also be bearish and can help the fall of Bitcoin.👇
🔔I expect Bitcoin will Go Down at least to the 🟢 Support zone($69,000-$67,800) 🟢, and if it breaks, we can expect BTC will go down to the Support line and Fibonacci cluster.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN hit a record 7 straight green months! NOT APRIL FOOL'S !Yes it is not April Fool's, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed a record 7 straight months of gains for the first time in history. Since it's inception, there hasn't been an exchange where BTC made more than 6 bullish monthly (1M) candles in a row.
What started in September 2023 as merely a hold and bottom formation on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), eventually evolved into a record breaking sequence. In fact, Bitcoin has only had 3 red months in the past 15, which makes the feat even more impressive!
Being the lengthiest such bullish sequence in history, doesn't mean that the rally is over. In fact, we can argue that it has only just begun as based on the 1M RSI, which is trading within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, we are on symmetrical terms relative to past Bull Cycles, where the price was on November 2020, February 2017 and February 2013.
We can see that this is an impressive symmetry, and shows that we are at a point far from the cyclical peak. The previous 3 Cycles topped 12, 10 and 10 months from that RSI position respectively. If this continues, we can expect Bitcoin to rally for at least another 10 months before the Cycle peaks and the RSI approaches the Channel Top where we can gradually start taking profit!
But what do you think? Does this impressive 7-month bullish streak still have at least 10-month fuel in it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN immediate target is 78k based on this SPX fractal.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently repeating on its 4H time-frame a fractal of S&P500 (SPX) on its 1W time-frame. As BTC is pulling back towards the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and a Bullish Cross is about to be formed, the symmetric development on the S&P500 fractal indicates that this Bullish Cross should be treated as a Buy Signal. On S&P500 it started the aggressive rally that the market is currently still on.
As you can see, both fractals started with a Bearish Megaphone after their respective tops, hit and held their MA200 (orange trend-line), while a MA50/ MA100 Bearish Cross marked the Bottom. The Channel Up that emerged led the recovery. From an RSI perspective a similar Channel Up took both to the overbought territory after an oversold Double Bottom, which was an additional Buy Signal.
As a result, for BTC we are now on the 0.786 rejection phase and after this pull-back is completed, the S&P500 fractal suggests that the target should be just shy off the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We therefore have $78000 as our immediate Target.
Do you think it can be achieved on such a short period of time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Can it hit $200k on this Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to see enormous grow, despite the recent 2-week consolidation (blue circle) after breaking the previous All Time High (ATH). BTC is no stranger to such a consolidation as it also took it 3 weeks trading sideways when it hit the ATH during the previous Cycle in November 2020.
What followed after that was an aggressive rally marginally above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and after a pull-back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it rebounded for a "Double Top" Cycle peak marginally above the 1.618 Fib one.
The two sequences are identical, and the similarities on the 1W CCI even are striking. Symmetry is at its best and it may be attributed to the fact that the dominant pattern for Bitcoin in the past 7 years (since July 2017), has been a Channel Up. The Fibonacci retracement levels offer an excellent display of the price movements and symmetry of the trends.
As a result, we are expecting a parabolic rally to break-out soon, with a first Target on the 1.618 Fib at $180000. If the same "Double Top" formation is followed, we can even see a Blow-off Top as high as $200000. Both of those targets are restrained below the 0.786 Fib level of the Channel Up. It BTC follows the standard Higher High pattern on Channel Ups, we may even see prices as high as $300k but best to take the more conservative route.
But what do you think? Can we reach $200k during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Brace for the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. That is the final bullish sequence at the end of which leads to the All Time High (ATH) and new peak of the Cycle. What makes it the most aggressive part is its Higher Highs angle, which historically has been the greater on each and every Cycle.
More specifically, the Parabolic Rally tends to start after BTC breaks above its previous ATH (blue circle). Until then, the angle degree (°) of the Higher Highs is low, with the current Cycle being 31°, the previous one of 2019/20 at 18° and the one before of 2015/16 at 26° (2019/20 Cycle was taken as such in order to filter out both the Libra euphoria and the COVID crash). This trend-line starts at the same time the 'Accumulation Triangle' starts, which leads to the ATH rally test.
The Parabolic Rally in the last 2 Cycles has been 71° and 66° respectively. Each Cycle's ° degrees of the 2 Higher Highs trend-lines give a sum of 89° - 92°. Since the current Cycle has the first Higher Highs trend-line on a 31° angle, the Parabolic Higher Highs should be a minimum of 58°. This suggests that by June we may have hit the 100k psychological benchmark and by September even extend to $150000.
But what do you think? Have we entered the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle and if yes, are such targets realistic that soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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🚨Bitcoin Is Ready to Fall🚨🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($66,120-$65,350) 🟡 and Resistance line .
🌊According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be able to complete the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in PRZs (🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) ($66,120-$65,350)🟡 has more chances).
💡Another sign that we can point to Bitcoin correction is the formation of the Head and Shoulders Pattern .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to my Pitchfork lines on the chart.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Is $175000 so easy to achieve?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke its All Time High (ATH) this month, making history once again. The quest for the rest of the month is to close the March 1M candle above the previous ATH (69000). Why is this important? Because every time it did so in the past on each and every Cycle, the price never looked back and it entered the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle: the Parabolic Break-out Phase.
This has coincided with the 1M RSI breaking above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the Fibonacci Channel Down. As you can see on the chart every time it did so, it reached (or almost) the top of the Channel Down (blue circle) while the price hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. During the first 2 Cycles the price went on even considerably higher than that (red rectangle) before the Cycle peaked, while the 1M RSI again hit the top of the Channel Down.
During the previous (most recent) Cycle though, there was no 2nd RSI top, as the price only marginally exceeded the 1.618 Fib with its 2nd top, in fact it didn't even close a 1M candle above it.
As a result, we may have a similar 'Double Top' Cycle this time also, but that's just the modest scenario. In any case the 1.618 Fib extension is now priced at $175000, which technically is a 'certainty' (if you can ever say that in investing) based on this historic chart and the Target of this Cycle.
But what do you think? Is $175k a given and if yes, will BTC surpass the 1.618 Fib for an even higher Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN New bottom formed. Rally could aim well above $100k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is at the early stages of a new parabolic rally, similar to January - March, as a key bullish development took place. The 1D RSI hit the 50.00 neutral (middle) level for the first time since breaking above it on January 26 2024 and rebounded, while keeping the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) intact.
This is a strong bullish signal for the Bull Cycle. BTC has been within a range for the majority of this month and last time all those parameters emerged together was in late November - early December 2020. At that time, Bitcoin also hit the 50.00 RSI level, held above the 1D MA50 and after being ranged for almost a month, it started a new parabolic bullish leg towards the 6.0 Fibonacci extension before the next 1D MA50 pull-back.
As you can see, both sequences capped a roughly +100% rise since the previous Lows where the price made contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and eventually bounced. The 1D MA100 wasn't touched again for almost 7 months, not before BTC approached the 8.0 Fib extension, completing a +563% rise from that Low.
The fractals are virtually identical so far and if the current price action continues to replicate 2020/ 2021, we expect the 1D RSI to hit 90.00 again before retracing. If $100k isn't hit at that time, we will book profits regardless and buy again on the next 1D MA50 contact. Until then, $100k is our next Target.
But what do you think? Is 100k a realistic target that soon and if yes can Bitcoin repeat 2021 to its full extent and even reach 250k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Will 60k hold?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having so far its strongest correction (almost -15%) in 2 months (since the January 23 2024 Low) with the 1D RSI turning neutral (was overbought last week) after forming Lower Highs (i.e. a Bearish Divergence).
The dominant pattern is still a Channel Up, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and last time we saw such an RSI Bearish Divergence was during the previous Channel Up (October 13 2023 - January 11 2024) but turned out to be false and the trend continued upwards. This time though the pull-back appears to be stronger, similar to January 12 2024, which broke the previous Channel Up and made a bearish move towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result we are looking for a pull-back extension near Support 1 (59500) and the 0.382 Fib, which is marginally below it, where the 1D MA50 is headed. This is the strongest Support Cluster possible on the short-term and if it holds, the bullish trend of the Channel Up should be maintained and the potential rebound can target $90000 around the time of the Halving. If however the price closes a 1D candle below the 0.382 Fib, we will be looking towards a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test around 45000, before the bullish trend is resumed.
Notice also that technically the 44.90 - 36.00 1D RSI Support Zone has been a buy opportunity since for the past 6 months.
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN This dump will truly test the strength of the rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) declined from the fresh 73700 All Time High (ATH) back to 65600 in a matter of a few hours, breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), entering the green Ichimoku Cloud for the first time this month, while touching the bottom of the short-term Channel Up pattern.
This is the 2nd Higher Low for the pattern and now is the time for the trend to test the strength of this rally. As long as the candles close inside the Channel Up, we expect the bullish trend to continue and make a break-out attempt even to the 3.0 Fibonacci extension (90000), similar to the Channel Up bullish break-out that delivered the December 09 2023 High.
The two patterns share many similarities not just on their price action and MA periods involved but also on their RSI sequences. If the Channel Up breaks to the downside though, we expect a quick test of Support 1 and will pursue a 60000 Target that should test the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Then, as long as the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) holds, we can look forward to a bullish reversal and higher accumulation towards yet another ATH near the end of the month or at worst first week of April.
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN The ETF multiyear rally has only just begun(Gold's case)With Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) continuous bullish run, day after day, running basically the 7th straight green month, we thought it may be a good time to put things into a greater perspective from a macro point of view, as many seem confused over this hyper aggressive bullish sentiment.
The reason is one and one alone and has a very short name: E T F
Yes, everyone that is following the market knows that on January 11 2024, the first Bitcoin ETF was launched on the U.S. market and after a quick dip, the price has been rising every since. Other macro factors are playing their role, such as the AI technological innovation, the upcoming Halving, the anticipation of Fed rate cuts by June etc. But BTC has never made a new All Time High (ATH) before the Halving before, and this is primarily attributed to the ETFs introduction.
What better case to compare Bitcoin's price action to Gold's following its own ETF launch. That was done on March 28 2003 and the result you can see on the right hand chart. Gold used its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support to fuel an 8 year parabolic rally, which only broken during the shock of the 2008 Housing Crisis, but still managed to recover the extend the rally until August 2011.
That peak almost on the 4.0 Fibonacci extension level from the High (January 1996) that preceded Gold's ETF. If Bitcoin follows a similar trend to Gold's (note that Gold's market cap is around $14.530 Trillion, while BTC's is 'only' $1.445 Trillion), it can reach and even surpass emphatically the $1000000 mark (the 4.0 Fib for Bitcoin is at $6 million). Crazy as this may sound (well that's Bitcoin's life story, everything has been 'crazy' at $1, then $10, $100, it was deemed expensive by some even at $1000 and so on), there is no time restriction nor the necessity to reach seemingly extraordinary levels in 8 years or 10. As the market matures, fiat currencies are devalued by more inflation etc, and adoption is accelerated, this may be a process that takes up 15, 20, 30 years. The key, not just for fund managers but also average investors, is to hold Bitcoin in their portfolios just as it has been paying off since 2003 to hold Gold.
Buy what do you think about these two assets and their potential similarities of their post ETF trends? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN hit 70k! Can a 60k pull-back deliver 100k in 3 months?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke the $70000 psychological barrier today, smashing yet again a benchmark level during this Bull Cycle and on a momentum basis, it does not give any signs of stopping. However based on the 2020 post-COVID crash fractal, which started after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossed above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), and that BTC has been following on an almost identical trade for the past 1 year (since March 2020), the price may experience a short-term pull-back at this stage.
If the fractal continues to play out, then a $60000 correction towards the end of the month, may come as a technical necessity is Bitcoin is to see a new High as we get closer to April's Halving. As you can see, even the 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals are quite similar. Based on that fractal we may even see Bitcoin at $100000 as early as June!
Do you agree with that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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