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Expanding Ending Diagonal Can Cause a Correction in Bitcoin🧐👋Hi everyone. 🚀Bitcoin continued its upward trend after a series of News and Joe Biden's strange Tweet (red eyes). 🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving near the upper reaches of the 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($53,000-$47,000) 🔴, Resistance lines , and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($52,700-$51,780) 🟡. 🌊According to the Elliott wave theory, it seems that Bitcoin has chosen the Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern to complete the fifth wave ( As long as Bitcoin cannot break the 🔴Heavy Resistance zone($53,000-$47,000)🔴, this wave count is valid. ). 📚The Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern ( Elliot's point of view) is the same as the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern ( Classical Analysis point of view). ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can touch $53,700, some corrective scenarios will expire, and we can expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend to $56,000 in the coming days. 🔔I expect Bitcoin to go down to at least $50,000 , where the most volume trading has happened around this price in the past few days, and if Bitcoin can create a candle below $50,000 in the 4-hour time frame , we can expect a lower line of Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern will break, and Bitcoin will fall even to the 🟢 Support zone($49,000-$47,000) 🟢. 📚 Elliott waves include a series of Rules and Guidelines that you can analyze and predict the road map of the price. In general, in the theory of Elliott waves, you are faced with several scenarios in which you should find the correct scenario with the help of other technical analysis tools and fundamental analysis and try to identify the correct scenario from the false scenario. ❤️In the end, here is some advice for you as a little brother: 🔸TradingView website has provided us with a suitable space to transfer our analysis, so it is better to use it and NOT waste our time on destruction or ugly comments. 🔸If you have any comments, please share them with respect . 🔸 No analysis is 100% , so if you use analysis as an investment, it is better to follow capital management and take responsibility for it yourself. 🔸I hope we can use TradingView to increase our capital and knowledge . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
54
BITCOIN Are we witnessing a run straight to new All Time Highs?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken aggressively above January's Highs and hasn't been that high since November 2021! The December - January consolidation is history and what technically follows consolidation periods are phases of strong trends. We can in fact gain remarkable insight by comparing BTC's bullish run since the November 2021 market bottom to the runs of 2020/21 and 2015/16. As you can see on these 1W time-frame charts, all periods share common characteristics. They all started with a strong Channel Down that formed the market bottom and then consolidated for the first time within a Triangle after they broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). After a rally, the 2nd consolidation took place (red arc), which then paved the way for a more aggressive rally. Based on this pattern, it would appear that Bitcoin could be at the start of such a rally. The only charactestic that is not common on all three is that in 2023/24 and 2015/16 we had a Bullish Cross between the 1D MA50 and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) after the Triangle consolidation, while during 2020/21 that took place much earlier due to the Libra euphoria. In any case, all phases have a Higher Lows trend-line which was respected and held during the two past Cycles. On the current one, that gives a downside range at around 35k, which is practically the 1W MA50. Also notice how the 1W RSI negated any potential for a Bearish Divergence by crossing above Lower Highs. That is the same RSI pattern that emerged after each red Arc consolidation that led into the rallies. As long as those hold, could it mean that Bitcoin has started a very aggressive wave that will break to new All Time Highs (ATH) in a matter of weeks, possibly by the time of the Halving? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
🚨Bitcoin is Ready to Decrease to the Uptrend line🚨🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡. 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks . 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , five impulse waves have been completed in 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡. 🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Uptrend line , and if this line breaks, we can expect Bitcoin to fall to the 🟢 Support zone($44,700-$41,780) 🟢. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
43
BITCOIN to 40k or 69k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern since the November 21 2022 market bottom. The price broke today above the psychological level of $50000 and is about to touch that very top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. As the 1D RSI broke above its 4-month Lower Highs trend-line and is largely overbought near 80.00, this technically resembles the same break-out of June 23 2023. As a result, as long as the 1D candles close within the Channel Up, BTC could pull-back to a 'fair' value near $40000 and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Time-wise it would be ideal to reach that level before April's Halving and start attracting long-term buying interest then. If however a 1D or even better, a 1W candle closes above the Channel Up, we will turn again largely bullish on the medium-term break-out as we can see an price action resembling the short-term Channel Up that started on October 24 2023 that paved the way for the December 08 2023 High. That High was on a +79.77% rise from the September 11 2023 Low, the last technical Higher Low of the Channel Up. A new +79.77% run from the recent January 23 2024 Low would peak marginally above $69000, which in that case will be our Target. Which scenario do you think is more likely to prevail now? 40k or 69k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(4-hour time frame)⏰🏃‍♂️After breaking the 🔴 Resistance zone($44,700-$41,780) 🔴, Bitcoin has reached the top of the Ascending Channel with the help of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . 🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is also currently moving near the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡. 🌊In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be. It has completed wave 3 at the top of the ascending channel and is completing wave 4 . 🔔I expect wave 4 to end near the broken 🔴 Resistance zone($44,700-$41,780) 🔴 and Bitcoin will start to rise again to the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
76
BITCOIN forming the first 4H Golden Cross in 5 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame, which will be the first such formation in almost 5 months (since September 18 2023)! Regardless of the time that has passed since its last occurrence (which is a strong parameter), that pattern alone is a strong enough bullish signal for the short-term. This can be the signal that can trigger a strong rally back to January's High but within the technical context of the dominant medium-term pattern that is none other than an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). That is a technical bullish reversal pattern that is formed on market bottoms. It could be no coincidence that the last 4H Golden Cross (chart on the right) was formed while BTC was completing an Inverse Head and Shoulders. The standard target of such patterns is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. As you see on October 20 2023 that was exactly where the price consolidated and it happened to be a Resistance level from a former High. The 2.0 Fib on the current IH&S happens to be only marginally above the 49000 Resistance and that is our Target for the short-term. Do you agree that the emergence of a 4H Golden Cross and the Inverse Head and Shoulders can take the price back to January's High? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
44
Navigating Sympathy Plays: A Guide to Trading BITCOIN & COINBASE** Introduction ** Sympathy trading, a strategic approach rooted in both technical and fundamental analysis, capitalizes on correlated movements between assets to uncover profitable opportunities. In this article, we delve into the nuanced realm of sympathy trading using Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) as case studies, exploring how a blend of technical and fundamental analysis can enhance trading strategies. ** Understanding Sympathy Trading ** Sympathy trading hinges on discerning and exploiting the symbiotic relationship between correlated assets. It involves analyzing both technical indicators and fundamental factors to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as underlying drivers influencing price movements. ** BTCUSD and COIN: A Sympathetic Relationship ** BTCUSD and COIN exemplify a compelling case study in sympathy trading within the cryptocurrency domain. Bitcoin's price dynamics often exert a significant influence on Coinbase's stock value, reflecting the exchange's dependency on Bitcoin's performance and trading volumes. Technical Analysis Insights: Technical analysis provides crucial insights into price trends, momentum, and support/resistance levels. Key technical indicators for trading BTCUSD and COIN include: 1.Moving Averages: Analyzing moving average crossovers and trends helps identify potential entry or exit points. Golden crosses (short-term moving average crossing above long-term moving average) or death crosses (opposite) can signal trend reversals. 2.Volume Analysis:  Monitoring trading volumes in both BTCUSD and COIN can confirm price movements and signal changes in market sentiment. An increase in volume accompanying price movements suggests stronger market conviction. 3.Chart Patterns:  Identifying chart patterns such as triangles, flags, and head and shoulders formations can provide insights into potential price reversals or continuation patterns, guiding trading decisions. Fundamental Analysis Insights: Fundamental analysis delves into underlying factors driving asset valuations and market sentiment. Key fundamental factors influencing BTCUSD and COIN include: 1.Regulatory Developments:  Changes in regulatory frameworks governing cryptocurrencies can impact investor sentiment and trading activity. Positive regulatory developments may boost confidence in BTCUSD and COIN, while regulatory uncertainties could lead to volatility. 2.User Adoption and Trading Volumes:  Monitoring user adoption rates and trading volumes on Coinbase's platform can provide insights into the exchange's revenue prospects and growth trajectory. Increased user activity often correlates with higher revenues for the exchange. 3.Market Sentiment and News Catalysts:  Market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin, such as institutional adoption, macroeconomic factors, or geopolitical events, can influence both BTCUSD and COIN prices. News catalysts, such as product launches, partnerships, or earnings reports from Coinbase, can drive short-term price movements. ** Crafting Sympathy Strategies: ** Sympathy trading strategies integrating technical and fundamental analysis may involve: 1.Confirmation of Technical Signals:  Confirming technical signals with fundamental catalysts can strengthen trading convictions. For example, if a bullish technical pattern emerges in BTCUSD, traders may look for positive fundamental catalysts supporting the uptrend in COIN. 2.Event-Based Trading: Leveraging fundamental analysis to anticipate market-moving events, traders may position themselves ahead of key announcements or developments. For instance, if positive regulatory news is expected for cryptocurrencies, traders may preemptively buy COIN in anticipation of increased trading activity. ** Risk Management Considerations: ** Effective risk management is paramount in sympathy trading to mitigate potential losses: 1.Position Sizing:  Determine appropriate position sizes based on risk tolerance, account capital, and trade conviction. Avoid overexposure to a single trade and diversify across multiple assets to spread risk. 2.Stop-Loss Orders:  Implement stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and protect capital. Place stop-loss levels based on technical levels, volatility considerations, or predetermined risk-reward ratios. ** Case study in action ** Let's look at the charts, both on the 1W time-frame in order to catch and get an understanding of the bigger trends and see if the theory is applied on the price action. Bitcoin has provided 5 excellent Sympathy Play signals for Coinbase in the last 2 years. Starting with a Bear Flag that was rejected on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), Bitcoin initiated a huge decline on Coinbase (red shape), proportionally much stronger that its own. Then as its was attempting to find a market bottom, it provided 2 recovery signals that gave a proportionally bigger rise on Coinbase. Then a BTC Bull Flag again turned into a proportionally bigger rise on Coinbase with the last signal coming on October 2023. As you can see during this significantly sample, Bitcoin tends to provide strong early buy/ sell signals on Coinbase. It is worth noting that even though Coinbase is a stock, it follows Bitcoin's price movements more closely than the S&P500 stock index, which we have illustrated on the right chart by the grey trend-line. As you can see there have been numerous occasions where Coinbase failed to follow a big stock market rally and instead was tied to BTC with the most notable examples being recently in January 2024, March 2023 and October 2022. ** A few things to consider that distinguish Bitcoin from Coinbase: ** Market Factors:  Bitcoin's price is influenced by various market factors such as supply and demand dynamics, investor sentiment, macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. Coinbase's stock price, on the other hand, is influenced by factors specific to the company, including financial performance, earnings reports, regulatory compliance, competition, and market sentiment towards the cryptocurrency industry. Liquidity and Trading Volume:  Bitcoin, being the largest and most well-known cryptocurrency, typically exhibits higher liquidity and trading volume compared to Coinbase's stock. As a result, Bitcoin may experience more significant price movements and volatility compared to COIN, which could impact their respective charts differently. Correlation vs. Causation:  While Bitcoin's price movements may influence sentiment towards Coinbase and vice versa, correlation does not necessarily imply causation. While there may be periods where BTC and COIN prices move in tandem due to shared market sentiment or external factors, they are ultimately distinct assets with their own fundamental drivers. Market Participants:  Bitcoin is traded on cryptocurrency exchanges by a diverse range of market participants, including retail investors, institutional investors, miners, and traders. Coinbase's stock, on the other hand, is traded on traditional stock exchanges and may attract a different set of investors, including institutional investors, hedge funds, and retail traders. ** Conclusion: ** Sympathy trading using BTCUSD and COIN as case studies demonstrates the synergy between technical and fundamental analysis in identifying trading opportunities and managing risk. By integrating insights from both disciplines, traders can enhance their trading strategies, navigate market dynamics with confidence, and strive for consistent profitability in the dynamic cryptocurrency market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN rare signal. Is it staging a mega bullish break-out?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to flash one of the strongest cyclical bull signals it can give as the 1M (monthly) RSI is attempting to break and close above the 62.50 level. What's so important about it? Every time that level broke with the price deep into the Bull Cycle, BTC started its most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally that ended on the Cycle's new (All Time) High. Last time that happened was in October 2020 and the Cycle before in June 2016. Common characteristic on both occasions is that the price was above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous High. On this Cycle, Bitcoin has already broken (and closed) above it since December 2023. As a result, once this pre-Halving consolidation is over, we can expect the new Parabolic Rally to start. In addition to the 1M RSI, the Vortex Indicator (VI) has diverged to its fullest last month after a Bullish Cross. Going back again to the previous two Cycles, symmetrically we are still at a level where BTC has established a Low/ Support and can only rise from here (exception of course the March 2020 COVID flash crash which set the market back for a few months. Also if it wasn't for the early 2019 Libra euphoria, the VI would have made the Bullish Cross at a later stage). As a result, comparing it with 2016 is more accurate. But what do you think? Is this potential RSI break-out, the strongest bullish signal we can get right now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
35
Bitcoin- Consolidation with bearish implicationsAfter the recent dip to the 38k zone two weeks ago, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD began to rise and reached the 44k resistance level. However, the upward movement appears to be corrective in nature, and the consolidation over the past week suggests bearish implications, raising the possibility of a lower high forming at 44k. The short-term support is situated around the 42k zone, and a break below this support could trigger a new downward movement. As long as the resistance at 44,000-44,500 remains intact, my focus remains on a drop towards the 36k zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
BITCOIN Weekly Update 05/02/2024 - 4hr breakdownHello again, so little quick cooperation on my statement : That by prolonged time of staying in highier price range without retracing down, odds are shifting to probability of going highier with time. So for better visibility I colored chart.. Now its clearly to see, that we stuck in price accumulation before unloading move.. But, its aswell clearly to see, that with time we slowly progressing highier, to our Buyside liquidity area and is unknown if we are willing to break to Highier range... Thats why for me is important FED high, which serve at this point of time as REVERSE point for me ... If I see price going above, and not willing to work to lower part of that range.. It should be "EARLY" signal, that there are increased odds of revisiting Highs from January and potentional more... Thats WHY is this idea not labeled long or short... But, if we not START to Reversing lower very soon (next 4-12 hours), odds to price pushing above 44k increasing a lot. So AGAIN, if you decide to make move and enter the trade, using STOP LOSS is a MUST! Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
Bitcoin- 36k zone remains my targetIn my previous Bitcoin analysis, I argued that, in my opinion, the correction for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD was not yet over, and we could potentially witness a drop to the 36k zone. Since then, the price dipped below the 40k zone and rebounded back to almost 44k. However, this rebound exhibits a corrective structure, resembling a bearish flag, suggesting that a new downward leg could follow. In conclusion, as long as the 45k level remains intact, selling rallies could prove to be a sound strategy with favorable risk-reward potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
17
BITCOIN Cycle Phases like you've never seen them before!On today's post we are basically upgrading our previous analysis (see chart below) with the addition of actual circle shapes on Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles and pies on their phases: As you can see this reveals a groundbreaking illustration of the historic Cycles. We don't want to get you in the technical details of the trend, you can find everything by clicking on our previous publication. But as you can see, on top of the tradition measuring of the Cycle phases (Bear, Accumulation, Bull), we have place Wedges/ Pies that fit into the actual Circles. Those Circles (as well as the pies naturally) are all the same size/ symmetry, which just goes to show you how similar BTC's Cycles are despite the different news and fundamentals that take place during each Cycle. We use a Double Circle pattern to demonstrate more vividly the Cycles. Most of BTC's price action tends to be within that Zone that is made, even the 2018 - 2021 Cycle, despite the notable divergencies during the Accumulation (Libra euphoria) and Bull (Musk, Tesla adoption) phases, it eventually fell back within the Channel. The presentation also reveals Bitcoin's current position relative to the previous Cycles (black "We are HERE" arrow). That's near the end of the Accumulation Phase, only a few weeks before the Halving, above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and within the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci Zone. The upside is enormous and since the price is above the Circles Channel as during February 2020, who is to say we won't see another outperformance, especially if positive fundamentals hit the market (ETF approvals already, potential Rate Cuts, more news of adoption every day etc). But what do you think? Is this Cycle presentation accurate and if so are you expecting a massive rally as we approach the Halving? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
29
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(Daily time frame)⏰👋Hi, everyone. 📈Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in a daily time frame so that we can have a short-term view of Bitcoin regarding the technical analysis . (Please 🌹🙏 respectfully🙏🌹 share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts). ✅As I expected, Bitcoin started declining from 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 after the SEC approval of Bitcoin ETFs . ( In previous posts, I warned you several times that Bitcoin is near the end of its upward trend. ) 🏃‍♂️Bitcoin has been moving in an Ascending Channel for more than a year , and as long as Bitcoin is moving in this channel, we can still hope for the rise of Bitcoin. ⚔️Currently, Bitcoin is attacking the 🟢 Support zone($39,000-$37,000) 🟢, SMA(100) and Support line for the first time . Of course, it seems that Bitcoin will NOT succeed in breaking this zone . 📚 Assets generally do NOT break Support and Resistance zones for the first time. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed five impulse waves in 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and is now starting to form new corrective waves . 🔔I expect an upward trend in the coming days and at least an increase in the 🔴 Resistance Zone($43,800-$43,000) 🔴. (Bitcoin has had a high trading volume of around $43,400 , which indicates an important resistance for Bitcoin ). ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️If the Daily Candle closes below the 🟢 Support zone($39,000-$37,000) 🟢, we can expect further falls for Bitcoin. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
59
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(1-hour time frame)⏰🧐Bitcoin seems NOT to have decided to fill the 🔵 CME Gap($40,325-$39,290) 🔵 at the moment and will probably fill this gap in the next drop . 🌊From the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has completed 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect Bitcoin to go UP in the coming hours and break the 🔴 Resistance Zone($42,200-$41,780) 🔴 in front of it, and have a minimal increase until the end of wave 4 . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
100
Bitcoin Ready to Increase 🚀➕10%🚀↘️After the SEC approved the Bitcoin ETFs , we saw that Bitcoin has lost more than ➖16% of its value so far ( Buy the Rumor, Sell the News ). ✅As I shared in previous posts , Bitcoin started falling from 🔴 Heavy Resistance Zone($52,100-$45,800) 🔴 as I shared with you. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin went through wave 5 with the Expanding Ending Diagonal , and it seems that Bitcoin has already started corrective waves . 🌊Bitcoin has confirmed the end of wave 4 by breaking the Lower line of the ascending channel. 🔔I expect Bitcoin to complete its wave 5 when it fills the 🔵 CME Gap($40,325-$39,290) 🔵 and then rebounds( ➕10% ) to around $43,500 . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
BITCOIN Every monthly pull-back is a BUY opportunity from now onOn this 1W analysis we see Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) amazing symmetry through its historic Cycles. A symmetry which upto this date, is holding and we will explain why right away. Before we begin, note that the current study can be used in combination with our legendary Golden 51%-49% Ratio publications shown below: ** Three Cycle Phases ** Now as to the cyclical symmetry. The chart classifies each grand Cycle into three phases: a) The Bear Phase (red), which starts at the top of the previous Cycle and ends on its bottom. The price breaks below the 1W MA50 during that phase. b) The Accumulation Phase (blue), which continues where Bear left off and is when investors buy for the long-term following the market bottom. The price breaks above the 1W MA50 during that phase. c) The Bull Phase (green), which starts after the Halving event (orange vertical line) and ends on the new Cycle top. The price never closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50 during that phase. ** The Symmetry ** As you can realize just on first glance, the Phases along the Cycles are on an amazing symmetry. The Bear Phases has so far been 59 weeks (413 days), 52 weeks (364 days) and the most recent 58 weeks (406 days) respectively. The Accumulation Phases have been 77 weeks (539 days) and 73 weeks (511 days) respectively. The Bull Phases have been 75 weeks (525 days) and 79 weeks (553 days) respectively. The current Accumulation Phase will be 71 weeks (497 days) by the time of the Halving, which is remarkably along the lines of the previous 2. As for the new Bull Phase after the Halving, we could assume a minimum duration of 75 weeks (525 days) as in 2016 - 2017. ** Fibonacci role on the Halving date ** The key at the moment as we approach the upcoming Halving in April, are the Fibonacci retracement levels. During the previous two Halvings, BTC had already reached the 0.786 Fib once and at the time of the Halving was around the 0.618 Fib, which is basically the current price levels within 39000-40000. The 1W MA50 is about to touch the 0.5 Fib level which is around 33000 and technically, based on this model, is as low as the correction can extend to. Technically we should be expecting price levels around 40k as we enter April, which of course doesn't dismiss the possibility of another run to 50k earlier. In conclusion, assuming the 1W MA50 is the new long-term Support from now on, every monthly correction, should technically be a buy opportunity as we head into the Bull Phase. But what do you think about this Cycle mapping? Do you expect history to continue to repeat itself? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
18
Bitcoin 2024 (Scenario 1)Expect the unexpected this year. As you know, I flipped bearish in December. Check out the TA below. It's taken a while to rollover, but Bitcoin has failed to break the 0.75 Fib Fan. Just like in 2019, week after week, it closed right under it, and now it's finally making a move down. There are two scenarios that I put together that have probable outcomes. Scenario 1: This idea is basically as you see in the main chart above, a deep correction to 30k that comes down to the 0.618 Fan Fib. We have this diagonal macro support that has three macro cycle low hits. I hate diagonal supports; for me, they never hold up, but we will see with this one. If we go back in history and see how 2015 played out with Fib Fans, we see a similar pattern with the 0.75 Fib Fan, a rejection, and a move down to the 0.618. The bottom for this cycle low played out very closely to 2015. The cycle bottom of 2015 and 2022 were a mirror, mind-blowing really. So in 2015 after a rejection of the 0.75 Fib Fan, Bitcoin comes back to retest its base. Our base this cycle is 30k. So why have I marked the timeframes between April and July 2024? Well, there are two time Fib sequences I'm following, one on the LINK/BTC chart, and the other is a macro Bitcoin sequence I have been following for years. You can check it out below. Every time we come to a date, something big happens with Chainlink and Bitcoin. For me, if it continues playing out like 2015, a move to 30k this year is highly likely. Now, Scenario 2 is far more of a crazy outcome, but if I would put my money on it, Scenario 2 happens, not 1. Will publish Scenario 2 later on.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sporia
5
Bitcoin 2024 (Scenario 2)Bitcoin-2024-Scenario-1 Below Let's talk about the thing nobody wants to talk about. THE CME GAP AT 20k! This CME gap is one of the largest Gaps in history. Coming in at 20300 to 21200, it's a huge Gap. I remember very clearly the herd saying the "GAP AT 18K WILL NEVER GET FILLED." 500 days later, what happened, the damn GAP gets filled. How many times do we need to fade this signal lol. The fact is that every damn GAP this size gets filled at one point. Will this time be different? Are we going to play the "this time will be different" tune again lol. There are a couple of charts that are screaming Black Swan. ETH Giant rising wedge pattern in ETH. A break of this wedge would be a massive move down! XRP XRP is repeating the same pattern it formed from 2014-2017. What happened at the end of the triangle? A massive shakeout! USDT dominance Chart Guys look at the channel. Do we need to question it? Even now at the 48k top, there was not a single candle close under the channel. I've been following it with my group week by week and nothing. The channel is still strong. It is a fact that no BIG bull market or rally has started from the bottom of this channel, and until the dominance is back up to where this green circle is, the chances are this bull market will not start. So how do we get the dominance up there and still hit 70k by December 2024? By using a black swan, that's how. My call is something big happens this year, another scare, Bank, War, Virus, anything to drive mass fear. I can see it now, a crazy wick down to close the CME gap but weekly close above this macro support. If this plays out, then XRP plays out its shakeout, ETH breaks its rising wedge, and USDT dominance goes back up to the top of the channel. It all fits. If Bitcoin is at 20k and the USDT dominance is at the top of the channel, that's when I can say for sure that the bull market has started. Until then, I have doubt. We can't even say with 100% certainty that the Bitcoin double bottom is even in! Every cycle we retest and make a double macro bottom before the bull market starts, but this time it's not been so clear. Can we say that June and Nov of 2022 were the double bottom of this cycle with 100% certainty? I don't think so. This is something I have been trying to figure out for months: IS THE DOUBLE BOTTOM IN OR NOT? How can we say that with a 20k CME GAP that if it would get filled, it would then form a macro double bottom on the Bitcoin chart. This is my view on scenario 2. I would not have any longs open or collateral loans and have cash to buy if this scenario happens. This is without a doubt the most dangerous unpredictable period of the Bitcoin cycle. If nothing has happened by September, we are in the clear. Until then, protect yourself from risk. My bet is Scenario 2 unfolds.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Sporia
BITCOIN 1W MACD Bearish Cross formed. Is it alarming?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the 3rd straight bearish week (1W) following the 49000 High, which technically was a Higher High on the 1-year Channel Up. This is the 2nd Higher High structure within this pattern (first was on April 10 2023) and technically we are currently on the new Bearish Leg that seeks the formation of a new Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up. ** 1W MACD Bearish Cross ** This week's big development though is the completion of a Bearish Cross on the 1W MACD, the first one since July 24 2023 and before that May 29 2023. Both of those came after the peak formations but delivered at least another 3 weeks of downtrend. ** The 3-year Cyclical Demand/ Supply Zone ** Interestingly enough those peaks were priced on the 3-year Cyclical Demand/ Supply Zone, which we have analyzed extensively in previous publications (has been Support during the Bull Cycle and Resistance during the Bear Cycle). This time BTC is above that Zone and the current Bearish Leg has high probabilities of testing it as a Support (Demand) for the first time since May 2022. ** Where to buy? ** The medium-term supporting trend-line is the 1D MA200 (red trend-line), which is already near the middle of that Zone and long-term the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is about to enter it. What long-term investors and Dollar-Cost-Average traders should be looking for is buy positions on those key levels. If the Cyclical Zone holds (i.e. keeps closing 1W candles above it), then it will be confirmed as a Supply level for the remainder of the Bull Cycle and most likely will propel the price to the new Parabolic Rally Phase after April's Halving. ** Next Target? ** Every Bullish Leg within the 1-year Channel Up has been around +100%, so as long as the pattern holds, we should be technically expecting a rebound of similar magnitude. Assuming the bottom (Higher Low) is priced as low as possible (on the 1W MA50), a new +100% rise will provide a Higher High around 65000, just below Resistance 2 (69150), which is essentially the All Time High (ATH). Historic patterns have shown that a buy just before the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross, is perhaps the most optimal entry in preparation for this rally. But what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to test the Supply Zone and perhaps the 1D MA200 and 1W MA50? Are you waiting for a long-term buy there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BTCUSD Bitcoin - Jan to Jan , what's next?! 22.1.24The common assumption is that Bitcoin is crazy and unpredictable. But if we look at the big picture - A technically perfect picture appears, predictable looking at roughly a year and a half of trading. Connecting the lowest and highest points creates an ascending (rising) tunnel with parallel lows and highs. The current floor of the long-term trend is around 32,000 per coin. The current roof of the long-term trend is around 50,000 per coin. A daily weekly candle close below 40,000 could mean 38,000 to 32,000 would be the next targets to come. A daily weekly candle close above 40,800 could mean immediate target would be back to 42,000 following with 44,000 and 48,000. ETF news provide turbulent movements which provide attractive entry points in the bigger picture view of up-trend since beginning of 2023. A weekly close below 32,000 would be the sign of the picture shifting, but until that happens bitcoin is overall expected to have a very bullish year.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Exactus
2
🚨Bitcoin is Ready to GO DOWN again🚨🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving in an Ascending channel with a low slope of 4 days . 🏃‍♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🔴 Resistance Zone($43,720-$43,100) 🔴 and near the upper line of the Ascending channel . 🔔I expect Bitcoin to move to the lower line of the ascending channel again and possibly break this channel. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
40
BITCOIN MACD bottom pattern shows when to Buy and when to Sell !Over the years we have discovered many historic patterns applicable to Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles. With a relative degree of volatility every time, since each Cycle has it's own distinct characteristics and fundamental events that shape it, those patterns can help traders/ investors construct strategies for buying and selling on a long-term scale. This time we have come across a very unique pattern on the 1M time-frame, which can identify where to Buy and where to Sell, near the Tops and Bottoms respectively, on a Cyclical scale. Starting from the November 2011 bottom onwards, each Cycle is measured at either 3.58 or 3.83 years to the point where the 1M MACD bottoms. The last MACD bottom and start of reversal was on February 2023, while BTC was trading around 23k on average. Still not as appealing as the November 2022 16000 but low enough to provide an excellent (and confirmed) long-term dip buy entry compared to the previous $69000 All Time High. At the moment the price is on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the current Cycle and as you can see on the chart, this is the level where BTC makes a 1-2 month pull-back. The Tops are priced either on the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This means that long-term investors could take their profits either on January 2025 or July 2025, if the current Cycle lasts again 3.58 years. And as for the next bottom based on the model, it is expected on December 2026, where we can take a (relatively) confirmed buy position again for the long-term. But what do you think about that MACD bottom model? Are you also expecting a new Cycle Top within January - July 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
2