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BITCOIN The 2021 Pivot trend-line that is coming to its rescue.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has stayed stable after last week's rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the level that offered support on the Bull Cycle Channel's previous Higher Low (August 05 2024). Technically however, that is not the only major Support level that may be coming to BTC's rescue as we've identified the Pivot trend-line that started on the April 12 2021 High as a Resistance and since then made another 2 contacts (as rejections). This is the first time now that is being tested as Support. During the previous Cycle (2018 - 2021) a similar Pivot trend-line was the level that supported Bitcoin during the last year of its parabolic rally on January and June 2021. The June 2021 contact in particular tested the 1W MA50 as well, which is the exact situation we're in right now. That double support hold initiated the final rebound towards the Cycle's new All Time High (ATH). Check also how similar the 1W CCI patterns between the two fractals are and based on that, a 1W CCI reading at 200.00 would be a solid level to sell and take profit. As a result, we expect this Cycle's Channel Up to accelerate the current rebound, technically its Bullish Leg and make a new ATH, which would be the Cycle's new Top, ideally with a CCI at 200.00. So do you think this cyclical Pivot trend-line is coming along with the 1W MA50 to BTC's rescue? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin- I'm looking to re-eter shortIn my BTC analysis last week, I outlined the reasons behind my decision to enter short exit and detailed my expectations for a corrective move. As projected, BTC broke below the $80,000 level. Although my initial downside target at $75,000 has not been fully met, I opted to manually close my short position to secure profits. Currently, I am monitoring price action for a potential re-entry on the short side. From a structural standpoint, after establishing a local low around the $76,500 area, BTC has initiated a corrective bounce. However, this recovery appears weak and corrective in nature — likely unfolding as a bear flag formation, albeit not perfectly defined. My primary short re-entry zone is identified between $85,500 and $87,000, where I expect supply to emerge. As long as price remains capped below that zone, my bearish bias remains intact. I continue to anticipate a move to $75,000, with a potential extension toward the $72,000 technical support zone. This bearish scenario would be invalidated in the event of sustained buying and consolidation above the $90,000 resistance level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
This Low Cap Alt will 20-50x (CULT DAO)This crypto cycle has been brutal for alts. There have been massive shakeouts over and over, a relentless onslaught of rug pulls and scams, and the "Pump.fun" casino on Solana that’s drained billions of retail liquidity and transferred it to the few. The few always seem to win, and the many always seem to lose. Today, if you’re reading this, it might all change. CULT DAO could easily 20-50x from now until October 2025. Let’s take a look at the MACD divergence. ### Technical Divergence For 750 days, this bullish divergence has been forming on the histogram MACD. Every new low on price has formed a higher low on the MACD. Let’s take a look at a case study of what happens when we get this form of divergence. I traded this exact same pattern in 2022 that resulted in a nearly 425% move. The play function doesn’t work because they rebranded, and that ticker is no longer valid, but you can scroll to the bottom in my comments on that TA and see the move. I’ll post it under this as well. As you can see, we got that 425% move. Currently, CULT DAO is showing exactly the same histogram divergence. Here are some examples of zigzag impulses on low-cap alts. You tend not to get 5 waves; instead, you get this zigzag pattern. This is what I predict CULT DAO will do since it’s only a 5 million market cap. We can also see in the chart that the 0.618 time Fibonacci level hits at the end of October 2025, which is exactly where I think the altcoin market will top. Check out previous TA on that. This is only scratching the surface of what is to come for CULT DAO. I have presented to you the technical reason why a big move is stirring and why, at the apex of these divergences, the stars align, and you have the catalyst present itself, and boom—the explosive move comes all at once, and it will be extremely volatile because of its low market cap. ### Let’s Start with the Tokenomics Every time someone sells or buys CULT DAO on Uniswap, there is a 0.40% tax that goes to a treasury. The top 50 stakers get to pass proposals that fund projects/investments. The idea is to remove the centralized component of funding a project. 121 projects have been funded over the last three years with 3 million dollars. - Total CULT Funded: 479,751,081,214 CULT - Total ETH Funded: 1,573 ETH - Proposals Funded: 121 - Total USD Funded: $3,289,596 - Total ETH Burned: 303 ETH Allocating these funds has been a learning process over the last three years, but every failure has been necessary in preparing the DAO for what’s to come next. ### The Big Catalyst The creator of CULT DAO has been working on a blockchain that will function on a custom gas token—that’s right, and that custom token will be CULT DAO. You heard correctly. Every transaction, every deployment on the blockchain will require the CULT DAO token as gas to execute. The implications are massive. There are multiple dApps that are currently being constructed on the Modulus blockchain. A privacy-first zkEVM blockchain like Modulus means a scalable, Ethereum-compatible blockchain that prioritizes user privacy through zero-knowledge proofs, allowing optional private transactions while maintaining decentralization. Modulus is a privacy-first zkEVM blockchain and is scheduled to release this year between April and August 2025. I hope now you’re starting to see the picture. ### CULT DAO and ETH Liquidity Pools So, why does the price of CULT go down if there is currently very little volume? Well, CULT DAO and ETH liquidity pools are tied together, so if the ETH price goes down, so does CULT. In turn, if ETH goes up, so does CULT. You can see that CULT is nearly at a 1:1 ratio with ETH for now, coming in at a 0.91 ratio. In other words, if my thesis is correct about ETH and it goes to 15,000 dollars, the price of CULT would be as follows: - ETH at $10,000: CULT Price: $0.000005008 (4x increase). Market Cap: $21.38M (4x increase). - ETH at $15,000: CULT Price: $0.000007512 (6x increase). Market Cap: $32.08M (6x increase). That’s right—if nobody even bought CULT, not one dollar, the base liquidity increase of ETH would bring the market cap to possibly 32 million, in other words, if you were thinking of buying ETH, why don’t you just buy CULT DAO? You can buy ETH now; from this price, 15,000 is 7x, or you can buy CULT DAO, get 6x plus whatever extra volume is coming in. It seems like a logical play, really. Everything you’ve seen so far is why I believe this MACD histogram divergence has been forming for 750 days. As I said, the stars will align at the apex, and the explosion will come. ### Unruggable and No Whales Controlling Supply As you can see from the bubble map, the largest wallet that is not an exchange has a cluster total of 0.7%. The rest of the clusters you see in the image are basically exchange wallets, which are the red and dark green circles mostly. Liquidity is also locked for over 200 years. - Burned Supply = 1.29664T - Circulating Supply (including staked) = 4.27T - Staked Supply = 1.07599T - Remaining Tradable Supply (excluding burned and staked) = 4.27T - 1.29664T - 1.07599T ≈ 1.89737T So, no whales, and it’s not possible to rug because liquidity is locked. ### Modulus Blockchain Liquidity Injection The average liquidity injection for DAOs in ZK would be anything from 200,000 to 10 million. Let’s assume it’s a $1M injection that is split 50/50 between CULT and ETH, a common practice for Uniswap-style pools. - CULT Amount in Pool: At the current price of $0.000001252, $500,000 buys ~399.36B CULT ($500,000 ÷ $0.000001252). It would increase the price to a 10 million market cap overnight. ### Conclusion - Liquidity is locked for 200 years - No whales - Not possible to rug - Mainnet launching this year - ETH pools tied to CULT - MACD histogram divergence The target I have for CULT is just based on Fibonacci levels. Honestly, it’s unpredictable what will happen, how high it will go, or the impact the Modulus chain will have. 120 million is my low-end estimate; the macro Fibonacci is much higher. The last extension puts it at a 1.4 billion market cap and 266x from where we are now. This is where you want to be for the upcoming alt season—right here, down 98% with this massive divergence and all these factors that come into play. Just the mainnet launch and ETH going to 10,000 basically sends this to a 30-50 million market cap. Cult DAO and Satoshi Nakamoto share a common ethos of decentralization and anti-centralization. We need to embrace this notion and bring back the power to the many. If CULT DAO hits 1.4 billion dollars, the treasury funds would be in the millions; we fund our own future. moduluszk.io cultdao.io cultdao.io coinmarketcap.com
UNISWAP:CULTWETH_5281E3.USDLong
by Sporia
BITCOIN The 0.5 Fib Golden Rule! This is not a Bear Market yet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) shook the bullish market sentiment last month, as late February saw it drop aggressively not just from the 109k All Time High (ATH) but also below the key psychological Support of $90000. We have discussed already how the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) coming to its rescue, is the critical Support and rightfully so, but there is also another critical condition that is currently showing incredible strength, keeping BTC into Bull Cycle territory (for now). That is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level Golden Rule. This suggests that BTC's corrections/ pull-backs up to the 0.5 Fib level are technical and perfectly systemic, especially with the 1W MA50 supporting. If anything, such pull-backs during a Bull Cycle are the most optimal buy opportunities. We are currently on an exact such opportunity as the price hit last week both the 1W MA50 and the 0.5 Fib. In the past 10 years since the August 2015 Bear Cycle bottom, every correction up to the 0.5 Fib was a buy. In the 4 cases it broke, 2 were the signals of the 2018 and 2022 Bear Cycles and the other 2 signals of the market correcting the bullish overreaction to the Libra (2019) and Musk (2021) rallies. The latter though was still contained above the 1W MA50 and so would the 2019 one if it wasn't for the March 2020 COVID crash. As a result, we still see no cause for concern (yet) and so far this is the best buy opportunity for Bitcoin since last year and the August 05 2024 Low. But what do you think? Is this 0.5 Fib Golden Rule coming to push Bitcoin higher to its next ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN Is this the 'most normal' Cycle of them all ??This is not the first time we use a Convergence/ Divergence approach to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycles and certainly not the last one. On the previous one, it helped us to succesffuly predict the end of 2022 bottom but what we couldn't anticipate is how smooth the new/ current Cycle 5 (orange trend-line) would be. As the title says, this is probably the 'most normal' Cycle of them all, as BTC has been trading within a Channel Up (orange) since the Bear Cycle's bottom more than 2 years ago. To get a better understanding of this claim, we compare Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles from their previous top to the next one (with the exception of the first), on this complete mapping analysis, having them all displayed on top of another: Cycle 1 (green trend-line), Cycle 2 (red), Cycle 3 (blue), Cycle 4 (black) and the current one Cycle 5 (orange). ** Diminishing Returns ** As you see, first of all, this showcases the Theory of Diminishing Returns, which suggests that as the market grows and higher adoption is achieved, BTC will show less and less returns in each Cycle. Every Cycle Top has been lower from the previous one. ** Cycle Convergence - Divergence ** Secondly, all Cycles particularly during their Bear Phase and for a short time after, tend to follow a common path. The illustration on this analysis is very clear as it starts with each Cycle's Bear Phase and you can see that when they diverge, they converge again quickly. The most recent Bear Phase was not surprisingly as long as Cycle 4 and almost Cycle 3, which was to be expected as the market has shown an amazing degree of symmetry in the past 10 years. Note that this is also the model that helped as determine very early in 2023 that Cycle 3 would be the best fit for the new Cycle in terms of price action and without a doubt, BTC has been mostly replicating that Cycle. ** What's next for the current Cycle? ** If we compare the current Cycle (5) with Cycle 3 we can see that the Convergence - Divergence Model is holding. So far when Cycle 5 converged, it immediately diverged. And this is exactly what it has been doing since the December High and the marginal January All Time High (ATH). It has started to diverge significantly from Cycle 3 so what the recent pull-back to the 1W MA50 achieved is to normalize it and is about to touch it. Now that the price hit the bottom of its +2 year Channel Up, we expect to rise, which will achieved convergence and contact with both Cycles 3 and 4, which is what they both did in their last 150 days of their respective Bull Cycles. Technically, this can take Cycle 5 to around $150k. As we've first mentioned in the crypto space, regarding the last Bear Market being the 'smoothest' in history, we can securely say now that the current Bull Cycle is also the 'most normal' ever. So what do you think? Does this Cycle regression model offer any useful conclusion as to where Bitcoin might top and if so, is this Cycle indeed the 'most normal' in the history? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
XLMUSDT - JUST ANOTHER IDEA OKAY!Crypto trends been down for awhile after all those uptrend euphoria failed badly.. The more you see those influencers on youtube hyping some coins, of course it crashed at some points, after all that is what those big power institutes wanted to suck all the money inflow, and especially they killed off people who wanna get rich quick who went for high leverage trades.. even with just 2X you will get liquidized with 50% drop for altcoins.. So enough said, if another crash is expected, probably it s going to be the bottom,.. so we can expect great recovery.. I am not an expert, but as XLM being down beautifully as it seems like a flag pattern, so we can expect rebound for XLM some where @0.191.. and expecting higher-high at bigger time frame.. How high? for now no body knows.. So, trade wisely and don't forget your stoploss.. Have a nice day & Happy trading guys!~
by berryviano
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think? Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) . From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave . According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure. I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 . What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
35
BITCOIN Is this a Falling Wedge bottom formation?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading since the February 28 Low within a Falling Wedge pattern, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the same time supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Throughout its dominant Bull Cycle pattern, the +2 year Channel Up, it has formed another 6 such Falling Wedges, all below the 1D MA50 and all turned out to be market bottom formations, which paved the way for an immediate bullish break-out. On all occasions, the 1D CCI has been almost as low as on the February Low. The shortest rebound it made before another break below the 1D MA50, was +26.68% and the highest was +106.96%. As a result this gives us a minimum immediate potential Target of $96800 and a maximum of a little more than $150000. Given that the price has touched the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, like the bottom formations of September 06 2024 and September 11 2023, it is quite likely to see the stronger rebound probability taking place. But what do you think would be the case? Is this a classical Falling Wedge bottom break-out formation and if so what may be the Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN Money Supply, Dollar and Bonds pushing for MEGA RALLY!This is not the first time we publish a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis in relation to the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line) or Chinese Bonds (red trend-line) and Global Liquidity (blue trend-line). In fact we have been doing this since the late 2022 bands in China and like the highly bearish sentiment that was in the market then, we decided to dive into this cross-asset analysis yet again in order to put the current sentiment in perspective. Well it couldn't be more relevant. What we discovered is that all the financial assets mentioned above have yet again aligned to offer the strongest bullish confirmation for BTC since the November 2022 Bear Cycle bottom! More specifically, we are a little past the point where the DXY peaks and declines aggressively, Global Liquidity bottoms and starts rising, while Chinese bonds (our CN02Y/CN20Y ratio) bottom and rise aggressively. In the past 10 years this combination of events has happened 6 times, 2 times during each Cycle: one at the bottom of the Cycle and the other when the final, most aggressive rally starts. Notice also that (naturally) this is where the stock market (SPX, black trend-line) also bottoms and starts rising aggressively. As a result, the above market conditions are an indication that despite the recent monthly correction and turbulence due to a number geopolitical and other trade fundamental reasons, the macro-economic parameters remain intact for the wider picture of this Cycle. Truthfully, this is where an announcement next week of future Fed Rate Cuts would come very handy. So what do you think of this analysis above? Are you fearful that a new Bear Cycle is starting or more confident that the market will soon recover and price a new High? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin. Potential Impact on Bitcoin : Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin Historical Influence : In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin. I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!? Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) . Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend. Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
BITCOIN Cycle pattern completed. Year-end Target locked at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far. Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle has been predominantly trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up, since its very start, the November 2022 bottom. Its 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out, so it's been exactly 2 years of holding and throughout this time period has provided two excellent buy opportunities. As you can see, the Channel Up can be classified into two main Phases so far: each has a Primary correction (red) of more than -30% drop, followed by a rally (blue), then a Secondary correction (yellow) of more than -20%, followed by the second and last rally (blue). All rallies have so far been around +100%. Based on this model, we are now on the Secondary correction of Phase 2. Notice that all corrections (either primary or secondary) hit or approached apart from the 1W MA50, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from their previous Low. This is actually the first time that the price has marginally broken below the 0.382 Fib. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost got oversold last week (34.50) and according to the August 05 2024 (Higher) Low, this is were a series of RSI Higher Lows would be a signal of a new bottom formation. The bottom and recovery process may take a while though, another 4-6 weeks. According to the Time Fibs (blue dashed vertical lines), each correction (whether primary or secondary) has ended at or a little before the 1.0 Fib with the 0.0 being the bottom of the previous one and 0.5 Fib the Top of the rally. Based on this, we can expect the new rally to start by the week of April 28 the latest. So now as to how high this can get, if it repeats the 'weakest' rally of the Channel's three so far, it should rise by +95.95%, which gives us a straight price of $150000 as a Target. If the rally symmetry also holds, this should come by late September, perfectly aligning with Bitcoin's historic Cycle expectation for the final year. Do you think that will be the case? Recovery starting within 4-6 weeks and if so, are you expecting $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that. ** The key 1W MA50 ** In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier. ** Symmetry playing out ** So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross. ** How high can it get? ** Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021. So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
14
BITCOIN Same bottom, different year.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has formed a Triangle pattern of Lower Highs (Resistance) and Higher Lows (Support), following the February 28 Low. The bullish confirmation will be given if the price breaks above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) but this already looks like a Bottom formation, similar to the Triangle patterns formed around August 2024 and September 2023. Those were the major bottoms (so far) of the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle and it won't be surprising at all if 2025 has its own now that will drive BTC to its eventual Top towards the end of the year. Both rallies that followed the 2023 and 2024 Triangle break-outs, reached at least their 1.786 Fibonacci extension. As a result, this gives us a minimum medium-term Target of $120000 in the event the 4H MA200 breaks. So do you think this is a standard Bull Cycle Triangle bottom formation? And if yes, is $120k the immediate Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN Like a well tuned Swiss clock...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had a red February with a correction that touched its 1D MA200 and almost hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), spurring massive liquidations and ETF outflows. On the wider picture though and the long-term technical trend of this Cycle, this looks nothing more than a normal technical pull-back at the start of the last year of the Bull Cycle. More specifically, since the start of the current Bull Cycle following the November 2022 market bottom, BTC has been replicating to almost perfection the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle. As this chart on the 1W time-frame shows, every medium-term top and bottom since July 2023, matches harmonically the tops and bottoms since July 2015. In addition, the 1W RSI is now on its 2nd bottom of the 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase', which started after the Higher Lows trend-line that was initiated on the market bottom, peaked and turned sideways. In 2016 - 2017, that was the ultimate guide to buy low through Bitcoin's last year of Bull Cycle all the way to the Top. Based on this analogy, BTC should now form a Channel Up that might form the next Higher High in June, pull-back in July, then new Higher High in August, pull-back in September and final push for a Cycle Top around November. Based on this pattern, this may very well be around $200k but again, a 1W RSI top sell signal is more fitting. But do you think the market will continue replicating the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle all the way to the top? And if yes, is a $200k peak plausible? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
18
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February. Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday). During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back. As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level. As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension. So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
Bitcoin & Trump Effect: A Short-Term Pump or Sustainable Rally?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post , but Donald Trump helped double the momentum of Bitcoin yesterday. But the question here is whether the correction of Bitcoin is over or if this is an increase in the chance of exit. Bitcoin is trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 . Note : Due to the high momentum of wave 3, it is possible that wave 5 is a truncated wave. I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $95,000 in the coming hours. The next target of Bitcoin can be Resistance lines and 100_SMA(Daily) . What do you think about Bitcoin movement? Time to escape or wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) to be created? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $89,000, we can expect Bitcoin to decline and the big CME Gap($91,610-$84,830) to be filled. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. B e sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
23
Bitcoin’s Candlestick Pattern- Reversal Signal Confirmed?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall with the help of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . Bitcoin is moving near Support lines and the important Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have successfully completed its 5 downward impulse waves . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 5 is the Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . Another sign of Bitcoin's reverse can be the Hammer Candlestick Pattern . Let's take some risks today and swim against the current, but please follow capital management and follow your strategy . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500)(broken) after breaking the Resistance zone($88,200-$87,450) . Do you think Bitcoin can rise to at least $90,000 again? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $84,500, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
20
ROAD TO 130K !!!Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to $130k . it might happen. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
BITCOIN Is the correction over??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed yesterday a -21.14% decline from its January All Time High (ATH). This move made new 3-month lows for the market and naturally accelerated the fears of a Cycle peak and the start of a new Bear Market. Zooming out to the larger time-frames however, we can see that the trend remains heavily bullish within this Bull Cycle's dominant pattern, the Channel Up since August 2021. In fact the current -21.14% pull-back is identical with the Minor Correction Phase (orange) the pattern had during July - September 2023. The similarities don't stop there. That Minor Correction bottomed a little before touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.382 Fib on the current Phase is at $81000, while the 1W MA50 is a little lower. The 1D RSI however has already breached the oversold barrier (<30.00) as on the August 14 2023 Low. That wasn't the only time the 1D RSI tested the oversold barrier. The last time it was on the week of July 01 2024, during another pull-back, this time the Major Correction Phase. That was considerably longer and stronger (-33.28%), which did hit the 1W MA50 in order to bottom, and as you can see it hasn't been the only major pull-back of the Channel Up. The other Major Correction Phase was at the start of the pattern (Aug - Nov 2022), which measured a -38.47% decline. As you see, there is a high degree of symmetry among Major and Minor Correction Phases, so there is a high probability that BTC has now bottomed on its new Minor Correction Phase. If not, a bottom level candidate will be waiting a little above $81k and the 0.382 Fib. The minimum rally following a correction bottom has been +95.95%, so if BTC repeats that from yesterday's Low, we are looking at a new Higher High exactly at the top of the Channel Up at $169000. So do you think we've see the bottom on this technical correction or we are due some more towards $81k before rebounding? And if so, are you expecting a final rally towards $169k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
Bitcoin broke down- Is 75k next target?Over the past three weeks, Bitcoin has remained virtually unchanged, trading within a range of 95K–97K. However, yesterday, the price broke below this range, dropping to the 91K confluence support—a key level I’ve highlighted in previous analyses. After briefly spiking as low as 87K, BTC has rebounded to around 90K, but if we analyze the price action objectively, there are no clear bullish signals. From a technical perspective, the three-month trading range has broken to the downside, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend. I anticipate further losses for BTC, and a drop to 75K in the coming months wouldn’t be surprising. 📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle? Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well. Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment. As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases. As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard. But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
13
BITCOIN Can it reach 200k by the end of the year?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under a heavy consolidation for the whole month of February bringing discomfort to the market, which thought that an immediate rally in 2025 was in order. Libra's rug pull and last week's ByBit's hack didn't help, quite the contrary, the first calls of a Bear Market have started to resurface again. This chart on the 1W time-frame however, pays good justice as to the situation BTC is currently facing. First of all, the price has dropped below the Mayer Multiple 1SD above (grey trend-line), which is not encouraging as in the previous Cycle this only happened in mid-May 2021 and in the two Cycles before, didn't happen until the new Bear Cycles started. This isn't however that alarming as it was natural for Bitcoin to be more aggressive during its first years, with the price so low (and with much greater potential ahead of it) and the market capitalization still in infant stages. This is why, as you may notice, the Parabolic Channels get less and less aggressive on each passing Cycle, with the current one being the most 'conservative' of all. This explains why last Cycle 'only' hit the MM 2SD above (orange trend-line), while the two Cycles before that easily hit and broke above the MM 3SD above. Naturally, we may assume the following to parameters for the remainder of the current Bull Cycle: a) It is not necessary to hit the MM 2SD above again, in fact it is more likely not to do so. b) Since the last two Cycles both lasted 1064 days (152 weeks) from their Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle top, we can expect the current one to top around October 06 2025. Despite those limitations, BTC can hit the $200k mark based on the tranjectory of the current Parabolic Channel, which would still be considerably below the MM 2SD above, by the end of 2025. Do you think that's realistic to expect or $200000 is too much to expect during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Bitcoin Breaks Uptrend line– Is a Crash Coming?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise and reached the upper areas of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) and has managed to break the Uptrend line . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finally completed the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines once again, this is likely to be a heavy drop . Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260), we expect more Pumps. Do you think Bitcoin can break the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) or not? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
52