BITCOIN The Volatility Index is showing the way to 100kBitcoin (BTCUSD) undoubtedly shares a relationship with the Volatility Index (VIX), even though not 100% tight, being a speculative financial asset. Naturally the two are on a negative correlation, meaning that when volatility hits the market and VIX rises, BTC rises and vice versa, similar to what happens against stocks.
Following the massive volatility spike on the weeks of July 29 and August 05, VIX quickly corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been its pivot line since the Channel Down started 2 years ago.
Bitcoin on the other hand is already significantly above its 1W MA50, as on the week of VIX's aggressive volatility, it managed to test it and held. Opposite to VIX, Bitcoin has been trading on an upward trend, illustrated on today's analysis by a Fibonacci Channel. Initially the 1.0 Fib has been its top but then when broken, it topped on the 1.5 Fib extension.
As a result, we expect that when VIX finally closes below its 1W MA50, it will seek its 1-year Support, the Diverging Lower Lows trend-line and that will propel Bitcoin to its 1.5 Fib extension again. If that takes place towards the end of the year, we expect $100k to have been reached.
Do you think this correlation model will materialize 100k for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoinsignals
Bitcoin Analysis==>>FallingBitcoin was rejected from the Resistance zone($58,500-$57,000) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Upper line of the Ascending channel , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to Go down to at least the lower line of the ascending channel , and maybe Bitcoin will break the support zones .
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $63,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to pump to $65,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Attack to Downtrend line==>>Short-termBitcoin is moving in the Support zone($58,500-$57,000) near the Downtrend line .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5-wave downtrend in the 15-minute time frame .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise again to at least $59,200 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $57,000, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to $55,000 (at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN 5month correction is over. Is 200k the minimum Target??Almost 1 year ago (September 05 2023, see chart below), we published the following idea on Bitcoin (BTCUSD), which very illustratively presented the potential course of the new Bull Cycle:
As you can see, BTC managed to trade an entire year rising within this green Arc pattern and always below the Cyclical Pivot trend-line that emerged from the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle.
Given that historically the Bull Cycle lasts post-Halving almost the time it lasted from the bottom to the Halving, we should expect its top around December 2025 - January 2026 and if it is on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line, then it could be as high as $400k.
However, even on a less optimistic scenario where it lasts 1064 days (152 weeks) from the Bottom (not counting FTX crash), like the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can expect a peak a little over $200000 on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line.
It is important to notice that the 1W RSI is recovering from the overbought volatility correction, indicating that BTC should now resume the long-term bullish trend and make a new All Time High soon. Needless to say, the 1W MA50 has to hold, in order to support this bull trend as in all previous Cycles.
But what do you think? Has the market started the new bullish wave and if so, will it reach at least 200k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Reversal Patterns==>>(Short term)Bitcoin moved as I expected in the previous post .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($60,800-$56,700) and near the Support lines .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in forming a Falling Wedge Pattern , and an Inverse head-and-shoulders Pattern is possible .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least near $60,000 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Can it reach at least 150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last month (July) in green and even though August started on a very strong decline, the market has managed to recover most of its losses before the middle of the month.
This shows incredible buying force right on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the 2021 All Time High (ATH). Today's study is centered around the 1M time-frame and the Bullish Crosses of the MACD. In the past 10 years, we have had this formation only 5 times, all of which during Bull Cycles.
The most recent one was in June 2023 and needless to mention, BTC had a remarkable rally (its first of the Bull Cycle) after it. From a time perspective within the Cycle, the June 2023 Cross, resembles the Bullish Crosses of November 2019 and December 2015. They were formed 25 and 23 months respectively after the High of the previous Cycle and following their formation, BTC peaked exactly 24 months (731 days) later.
The June 2023 MACD Bullish Cross was formed 19 months after the previous Cycle High, so if it follows the previous peak patterns, then Bitcoin should peak around June 2025. Symmetrically, it appears that we are currently in a above 0.786 Fib consolidation phase (blue circles) as November 2020 and February 2017.
The bullish break-outs that followed after such consolidations, initiated the Bull Cycles' 2nd rallies to the eventual ATH. If we were to make a rough projection on that high, we can look into the Channel Up since 2014. That pattern formed the Cycle Highs above it every time (red arcs), so technically we could be looking at values between 200k - 300k.
However even if we follow a 'conservative' path within the Channel Up, if BTC hits the top of that dotted Channel, it will reach a price as high as $150000, which in our opinion is a very desirable level to start taking long-term profits.
But what do you think about this whole scenario? Is the 1M MACD Bullish Cross symmetry about to start the 2nd rally of this Cycle and if yes, can it reach 150k at least? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN is right on track and even stronger than previous CyclesBitcoin (BTCUSD) has experienced a sharp drop over the past 2 weeks, causing a test of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which as explained in a previous analysis, this has only happened once during a Bull Cycle.
As today's idea shows though, what caused massive panic and liquidations recently, can be seen as merely a technical attempt of the market to re-adjust and harmonize what was a very aggressive bull run up until March, towards the mean, relative to past Cycles.
More specifically in the last 2 Cycles, as you can see, 630 days after the Cycle bottom, Bitcoin was trading just below its 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, while on the current Cycle the recent drop took place just over it. This means that the current bull run came closer to the trend of the last two, but remains more aggressive.
As a result, we expect BTC to resume the rally and continue on a more aggressive tone than in the past and by early 2025 break above 100k and possibly by next Summer reach the -0.618 Fibonacci extension, a level that was achieved during all past Cycles.
So what do you think? Has this BTC Cycle been normalized after the recent drop and is now ready to resume the uptrend? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Last ChanceBitcoin started to rise after the announcement of the Unemployment Claims rate and Putin's signing of the crypto mining law . However, the factors I mentioned in the post below can still cause Bitcoin to decrease.👇
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($60,800-$56,700) and near 50_SMA(Daily) and 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Triple Double Correction(WXYXZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue falling to at least the Support line after completing the corrective pattern .
Considering the Situation of Bitcoin, a Short Position is definitely better than a Long Position. Do you agree with me!?
Note: If Bitcoin can create a 4-hour or daily candle above the 200_SMA(Daily) and 50_SMA(Daily), we should expect Bitcoin to go up again.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Amazing 'Golden Ratio' correlation showing the way!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately, basically it has paused for the past 5 months the uptrend that started in late 2022. We have discovered a remarkable correlation with Gold (XAUUSD) and Russell 2000 (RUT) in the form of the GOLD/RUT ratio (blue trend-line). This correlation, which is a negative one (i.e. when BTC rises the GOLD/RUT ratio falls and vice versa), is present on a cyclical basis.
This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common. That is the following:
When the GOLD/RUT ratio peaks and starts falling by forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin tends to start its parabolic rally (green arc) of the Bull Cycle, above previous All Time Highs. This usually takes place a little before the Halving.
Right now it appears that it happened on the last Halving (mid April), assuming we see the ratio forming Lower Highs from now on. If it does, BTC will most likely start the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle. The Sine Waves that track the GOLD/RUT peak, suggest that indeed the April High may have been the new peak. It remains to be seen if Lower Highs will be formed.
What do you think will happen? Can this be BTC's "Golden ratio" that reveals the parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Short-termBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($60,800-$56,700) and the Downtrend line .
According to the theory of Elliott Waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) near the Resistance zone.
From a Classic Technical point of view, Bitcoin seems to have formed a Double Top Pattern .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $52,600 .
Bitcoin analysis on the daily time frame 👇
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN priced the new bottom. Strong evidence of new ATH ahead.With tensions and volatility continuing among the markets, we revisit a chart that we published almost 1 year ago (August 14, see chart below) when the market was again in a time of high volatility and was consolidating within a wide margin for a rather long period of time (April 17 2023 - August 21 2023):
Back then we stated that a huge rally was in the making and only one week later, the market delivered and BTC rose from 25k to +70k in a span of 6 months. It was the unique Bullish Cross on the 3W KTS indicator that only happens once in every Cycle that cemented our bullish projection.
BTC is now on a consolidation phase similar not only to the 2023 one (Apr - Aug) but also to the past Cycles that followed the KTS Bullish Cross. It is noticeable that there are two such consolidation phases in every Bull Cycle and currently we are inside the 2nd.
This is strong evidence suggesting that we are about to experience multiple green months in the coming quarters.
Do you agree or you feel the economic slowdown fears will prevail and break this structure? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Death Cross!?The fall of Bitcoin in the last 3-4 days has shocked everyone, first, let's take a look at the reasons for this fall :
The publication of the US employment report and the increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in the last 3 years .
Tensions in the Middle East , the possibility of a confrontation between Iran and Israel in the coming days.
Rumors of selling Jump Trading's assets .
The Nikkei index of the Japanese stock market today fell 3,595.30 units , equivalent to -10.01% , to experience the heaviest daily decline in its history since October 1987 .
The Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index hit its lowest level since early July , indicating panic in the market. However, I think the Fear and Greed index will enter the Extreme Fear zone in the coming days.
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Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the daily time frame .
Bitcoin managed to break the Support zone($60,800-$56,700) which is shown on the chart with the Resistance zone. Also, Bitcoin has broken 200_SMA(Daily) , 100_SMA(Daily) , 200_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , which is NOT a good sign for BTC.
Most likely, the Death Cross Sell signal by Bitcoin will happen.
Death Cross Signal : The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA), usually the 50-day , crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that according to the momentum of Bitcoin's fall in the last 3-4 days, the continuing Descending Broadening Wedge pattern will fail, which could be a sign of the further fall of Bitcoin .
Looking at the USDT.D% chart , we can see that USDT.D% will probably increase again after a correction and attack the Resistance lines .👇
According to the explanation above, I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($49,000-$38,500) again after the correction , probably near $59,000-$60,000. If the Support line is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $42,000-$43,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin can stabilize above the resistance zone, we can expect Bitcoin to rise again, but due to possible tensions that will happen in the Middle East in the coming days, this scenario is less likely to happen.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️🧐Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in a weekly time frame so that maybe it can give us a good view of the continuation of Bitcoin's movement .
🏃♂️If you look at the chart, Bitcoin is moving in the Ascending Channel in the weekly time frame, the ascending channel I have drawn seems to be a valid channel, so that the middle line of the ascending channel has played the role of resistance and support well.
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the ascending channel's midline , the pitchfork line , the Resistance lines , and the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($82,800-$73,200) 🟡➡️ So it shows that Bitcoin is facing an Important Resistance(Supply zone).
⚖️If we look at the chart, it looks like we can expect similar moves before the 2020 Halving . Move 1 is similar to move 3 , and moves 2 and 4 are similar, so if we want to expect similar moves, Bitcoin should start correcting . And until the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci corrections (we should NOT consider the decrease of Bitcoin in Covid ). I have drawn the possible move for you in the chart below.👇
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin can follow two scenarios, and it depends on future events and news . The scenario is as follows:
🚀 Bullish scenario ( more likely due to Halving, ETF, etc ): Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 at $73,777, and we should wait for the start of the main wave 4 and then increase towards $87,000-$99,000-$112,000 .
🚨 Bearish Scenario : Bitcoin has finished the main wave C at $73,777 (or a little higher), and in case of breaking the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($50,000-$38,500) 🟢, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall (the fall can continue up to 😱 $18,000 😱). Of course, according to the current market conditions, this scenario is somewhat unlikely, but it is still possible, if Bitcoin goes above $77,000 , this scenario will be removed in general .
💡If we look at the RSI indicator in the weekly time frame , we can see that it seems that the RSI has succeeded in forming a Rising Wedge pattern , which can correct the upcoming correction of Bitcoin.
💡In the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin has formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern , which can be a sign to start the correction of Bitcoin .
🔔According to the above explanation , we can conclude that Bitcoin correction can start soon ; Bitcoin can have a correction to 🟢 Heavy Support zone($50,000-$38,500) 🟢 and then we have to wait for the next movement of Bitcoin( Re-pumping is more likely ).
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Weekly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Is this a BEAR or a BULL Cycle?? This is the last stand.Bitcoin just hit before the E.U. opening the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a Support level that has been intact for more than 1 year (since the week of March 13 2023). This is a test of Bear Cycle territory for BTC as during its past Cycles, this level was touched only after the market has started a new Bear Cycle, with the only exception being the week of June 21 2021.
The key difference then was even though the price hit and marginally broke below its 1W MA50, it never closed a 1W candle below it (the MA50) and that gave way to a new 5-month rally until the eventual Cycle Top.
This cross-Cycle analysis, shows just how strong and intact the 1W MA50 has been during all Bull Cycles. The market during its current strong 5-month consolidation since the March ATH, never really broke considerably higher than the previous Cycle's High (November 2021), so symmetrically BTC appears to be in a below-ATH-Resistance consolidation phase similar to November 2020, April 2017 and February 2013.
As a result, it becomes obvious that since the 1W MA50 broke (even marginally), the condition for the Bull Cycle to continue and give a new rally from here is for the price to avoid closing any 1W candles below the 1W MA50. If not, then expect just a dead-cat-bounce and then after diving below the 1W MA50 again, to turn it into a Resistance and trade below it for the rest of the new Bear Cycle.
So which of the two do you think it's going to be, a Bull or a Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin can Go Up Temporary!!!==>>Short termBitcoin and other tokens faced a sharp drop in price following unfavorable US economic reports and the possibility of tension between Iran and Israel .
Bitcoin fell below $60,000 for the first time in recent weeks. The publication of the US employment report and the increase in the unemployment rate to the highest level in the last 3 years have been the main factors of this fall in previous days. The withdrawal of capital from Bitcoin ETFs and failure to maintain key support zones also fueled this downward trend, and strong selling pressure in the market also provided the conditions for further price reduction.
First of all, I must say that this analysis is short-term , and Bitcoin's trend can continue to be bearish if it does not stabilize above the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($61,760-$58,400) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that a 5th downward wave has been completed and we should wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $61,900 .
Note: Because the tension in the Middle East is increasing, especially after 20:30 UTC, try to keep an eye on long positions and make sure not to forget capital management and Stop Loss(SL).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Fifth Attack to Resistance linesBitcoin is currently moving near important Resistance lines and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . This is the fifth time that Bitcoin has attacked important Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin NOT to break the Resistance lines for the first time in the 5th attack .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Also, I expect that Bitcoin will at least fill the first CME Gap($68,700-$68,270) , and if the Uptrend line breaks, we can expect Bitcoin to go down to the Support line and possibly fill the second CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) as well.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Ultimate Cross-Cycle Comparison on 1 chart! DON'T MISS!On this special Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis, we compare the current Cycle to all past ones by plotting one on top of the other. By classifying each Phase, we can see that all Cycles share some very strong characteristics.
More precisely, BTC appears to be currently approaching the end of the Break-out Phase (orange Rectangle). That gives way to the most aggressive part of the Cycle, its Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle).
As you can see, this is where all 3 past Cycles took off, the 2018 - 2021 Cycle (black trend-line), the 2014 - 2017 Cycle (blue trend-line) and the 2011 - 2013 Cycle (orange trend-line), the latter of which is stretched in order to fit on the shared bottom of the others.
This chart doesn't technically show the Target value of the Cycle's top but rather serves as a useful benchmark to time this peak, in relation to the Tops of the previous 3 Cycles. As you see, this might be towards the end of October 2025, i.e. a full year into the new U.S. Presidency, which is aligned almost perfectly with historic market behavior.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to enter a Parabolic Rally phase and if so, could it essentially be a full year of rallying activity ahead of us? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Resistance Zone ==>>Short termBitcoin ended up filling both CME Gaps as I expected.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($65,500-$64,600) and seems to have succeeded in forming a Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance zone($67,540-$66,740) at least once and if this zone is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to reach $68,000 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN has entered into early Parabolic Rally levels.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to close the month of July with a strong test-and-hold on its historic Parabolic Growth Channel, which is the zone that has signified its cyclical bottom and the recommended region to buy after a Bear Cycle.
This marks the 5th straight month of sideways trading and as this 1M chart shows, this is a behavioral pattern that normally takes place before BTC starts its most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the 'Parabolic Rally'.
What precedes this is of course the Accumulation Phase within the Parabolic Growth Channel. We are some months past this stage and based on the Time Cycles, the market has just entered the (green) region where the Parabolic Rally can start anytime.
Do you expect that to start as early as next month? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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From Monthly to Daily: Bitcoin’s Bullish Surge Above $100KI'm not a "to the Mooner", and when I thought Bitcoin was going down, I said so, even though I knew I'd get some negative comments.
I'm not a perma-bear either...
In fact, at the beginning of this month, I mentioned that the break under 60k is most probably a false break.
I try to stay as objective as possible, trading based on what I see rather than my biases, and right now everything I'm seeing looks extremely bullish
I'll break down my analysis from monthly to daily because I believe all signs point to Bitcoin reaching 100k or more by the end of the year.
Monthly Chart Analysis:
Starting with the monthly chart, although I'm not an Elliott Wave (EW) expert, it's quite clear that from the 15,500 bottom, we have an impulsive EW structure.
The first wave reached 31.5K, followed by a correction in the second wave down to 25K. Wave three then surged to 74K, and now we're experiencing the complex correction that typically characterizes wave four.
Going further with basic Elliott Wave (EW) theory, Wave 1 shows an approximate 100% increase from 15,500 to 31,500.
Wave 3 then surged from 25,000 to 74,000, an approximate 200% increase.
After a correction in Wave 4 down to 54,000, we can now project Wave 5 using these percentage movements.
Using the percentage increase of Wave 1 (100%) and applying it to the bottom of Wave 4 (54,000):
- A 1.0x extension of Wave 1’s percentage increase suggests Wave 5 could rise by approximately 54k (54,000 * 1.0), reaching a target above 100k.
- A more bullish scenario, using a 1.618 extension of Wave 1’s percentage increase, suggests Wave 5 could rise by approximately 90,000 (54,000 * 1.6), reaching a target of 144,000.
Therefore, considering these percentage movements and the high volatility of Bitcoin, the potential target for Wave 5 could be between 100k and 150k, depending on market conditions and the exact nature of Wave 5.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
Refining to the weekly chart, we observe a notable upward movement from 25 to 74, followed by a correction that forms a bullish flag pattern.
The bottom of this flag pattern aligns around the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which is typical for flag formations.
Additionally, from a price action perspective, the last three weeks exhibit strong bullish tendencies, with the current week presenting a bullish continuation Pin Bar.
Applying the measured target for the flag pattern projects a value above 100k.
If we were to apply a percentage-based target similar to the wave analysis, it would suggest 150k, but it's prudent to hold off on that projection for now (though this would approximately equate to a 1.6 extension from the monthly wave analysis).
Daily Chart Analysis:
Zooming in further to the daily chart, we clearly see a false break followed by a reversal back above 60k.
The recent correction dropped to a horizontal support level, concluding with a Pin Bar. Adding to this, yesterday's bullish candle completes a strongly bullish Morning Star pattern, indicating a likely imminent break of the resistance level.
Overall Perspective and Conclusion:
Looking at Bitcoin's behavior from monthly down to daily charts, the outlook remains very positive.
The long-term wave analysis suggests significant growth potential. On the weekly chart, the bullish flag pattern points to further gains, and the daily chart's reversal patterns reinforce this bullish sentiment.
In summary, Bitcoin is showing strong signs of upward movement across all time frames. While conservative targets point to around 100k, the possibility of reaching 150k isn't off the table if the bullish trends continue.
As always, it's wise to watch for key resistance breaks to confirm these bullish projections.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
Bitcoin will Fill the CME Gap!!!Bitcoin reached the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) again. Will Bitcoin succeed in breaking this zone or not❗️❓
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 ; the structure of the main wave 5 can be Expanding Ending Diagonal .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to go down at least up to the Support line and the CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Annual Bitcoin Conference 2024==>>ExpectationsBitcoin moved as I expected in previous posts . The question here is whether the upward trend of Bitcoin continues or not!?
I apologize for the that the chart is a bit busy. I think all was needed😊.
🌐 Breaking News : As I was writing this post, the breaking news was that Joe Biden withdrew from the US presidential election, which can shock financial markets. 🌐
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) and Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 in the resistance zone , and now we have to wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In addition, if we look at the USDT.D% chart , we will notice that USDT.D% is near the Lower line of the Ascending Channel and the Support zone , which I expect USDT.D% to have a little upward trend in the coming days, which will also correct the cryptocurrency market.
As a result, corrective waves can continue until the start of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024 , and if Bitcoin breaks the Support lines , the Support zone($64,000-$62,280) , 100_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , we can wait for the CME Gap($60,845-$57,895) to be filled.
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Now, let's get some information about the Annual Bitcoin Conference .
The Bitcoin Conference(started in 2011) is an annual event where industry leaders, developers, and enthusiasts gather to discuss the latest advancements in Bitcoin and blockchain technology. The conference features keynote speakers, panel discussions, and networking opportunities, providing insights into the future of cryptocurrency, regulatory issues, and innovations in the space. It's a key platform for sharing knowledge, exploring new ideas, and connecting with others in the Bitcoin community.
My review from 2017 is that the market cap of the cryptocurrency is considerably higher than in the years before 2017.
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The year 2017:
Date: May 22-24
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +7.66%
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The year 2018:
Date: May 14-16
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -4.27%
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The year 2019:
Date: May 13-15
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +11.87%
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The year 2020:Covid
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The year 2021:
Date: June 4-5
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -5.6%
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The year 2022:
Date: April 6-9
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -6.89%
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The year 2023:
Date: May 18-19
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +2.00 %
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The year 2024:
Date: July 25-27
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): ❗️❓ %
What do you think about the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024? Will Bitcoin continue to rise?
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It can be concluded that when the general trend of the market is bullish , Bitcoin has increased during the annual Bitcoin Conference, this review is only based on past data. Another point is that Donald Trump will probably speak at this conference this year, so Bitcoin probably increase in the two days of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024.
But before holding the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024, we can wait for Bitcoin correction.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bat PatternBitcoin is currently moving in an Important Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) , which it has tried to break several times.
It also seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a 🦇 Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern 🦇.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least the Lower line of the Ascending Channel .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.