BTCUSD: These are historically the best conditions to buy.Bitcoin has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.940, MACD = -1745.600, ADX = 37.260) and neutral on its 1W (RSI = 50.407). These are historically the best conditions to buy. Neutral long term, oversold short term. Last time the 1D RSI was oversold was on the August 5th 2024 low, which was the bottom of Bitcoin's prior consolidation phase. At the time, the market was again inside a Channel Down, and the rebound after the August bottom, immediately targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. Consequently, our first target is the 0.786 Fib at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 102,000) and after it breaks, we expect a rally similar to October-December 2024.
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Bitcointrading
To Thine Own Shoe be True - $BTC's Other Foot is About to FallBitcoin’s Floor Must Be Lower – Chart Physics and Market Psychology at Work
In this video, I explain why Bitcoin has no choice but to find a lower floor, despite many traders believing the worst is behind us. While price is briefly going to appear to confirm support, this is just part of the process before it comes back down and breaks through it on the third test. The real focus here isn’t whether this level holds for another day or two—it’s about why Bitcoin must go lower before it can establish true support.
For a long time, Bitcoin has been floating over clear air with no real structural support. When price climbs too high without building a strong foundation, it eventually has to fall back down to fill the gaps. Right now, the market is in denial, desperately trying to hold Bitcoin in the $90,000 range, but this isn’t about what traders want—it’s about chart physics and liquidity. When there’s nothing left to hold the price up, it must seek a lower equilibrium.
Psychologically, traders don’t want to accept that Bitcoin might have to revisit $70,000 or lower to reset before moving higher. But markets don’t move based on hope—they move based on supply, demand, and liquidity positioning. Right now, there are no meaningful buyers willing to absorb the sell pressure at this level, which means Bitcoin has nowhere to go but down. Once it finally breaks through, it will likely move quickly, as there’s no real support structure beneath it.
Know thy shoe.
The shoe will find the ground.
(My sincerest apologies about the volume ladies and gentlemen. The problem which I thought I had corrected from a prior video still exists in this video. It is an issue I'm hoping Trading View can correct before too long on their end… The problem originated on my end, but there was nothing I can do after it was recorded, and I had to get this video up there - I believe it contains important time sensitive information…
Please try listening with the volume turned all the way up or perhaps with headphones until the problem can be corrected.
My system issue has been corrected for the future, but Trading View if you can, please tweak this on your end and amplify it. This video is extremely worthwhile..)
BTCUSD: Is it possible to reach 160k by May?Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.148, MACD = -503.300, ADX = 40.137), consolidating under the 1D MA50. This neutral state indicates that it is still a buy opportunity, as long as it stays under the 1D MA50. The similar consolidations (Rectangle patterns) of January 2024 and March 2023 indicate that when the 1D MA50 is reclaimed, Bitcoin gives a bullish breakout signal that targets the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. As you notice, thos phase since November 2022 are cyclical and replicate the price action over and over again. Go long, TP = 160,000 potentiall by end of April beginning of May.
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BTC Bullish Continuation (Another Top OR New Prominent High?)BTC price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form a credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci and Support levels.
There might be a possibility that BTC may break it's All Time High Price of 109588. It might be worth observing price the action further if 109588 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR new prominent high (if the range considerably breaks).
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 97389.73
Stop Loss @ 87000
TP 1 @ 107779.46 (Before All Time High)
TP 1.5 - 2 @ 112975 - 118169.19 (After All Time High)
Ride Further with Caution if TP1 hits and move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP1 hits as well.
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750).
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BTCUSD: The magic of the .618 Fib signals $165k.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.436, MACD = -739.700, ADX = 52.589) in an attempt to form a new bottom for February on its 2 month consolidation phase. This consolidation phase is technically no different than all others since the 2023 Bull Cycle started. We have had three such consolidation phases, two longer, one shorter but all started after market tops on a +1.0 Fibonacci progression: 1st on the 1.618 Fib, then on the 2.618, the 3.618, which brings us to the current ATH on the 4.618 Fibonacci extension. Technically the next one should be on the 5.618 Fib (TP = 165,000) then only thing that's open is whether it will follow the 2023 longer consolidation or 2024 shorter. If it follows the longer, then the 165k target may coincide with the Cycle Top towards September.
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BTCUSD: Crossing of 4H MA100 brings enormous rally.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.096, MACD = -559.600, ADX = 41.025) as it is rising aggressively today and just hit the 1D MA50. This is its major Resistance level, which when crossed has caused the two main rallies of 2025 so far. The first (Dec 30th-Jan 7th) crossed the 0.618 Fibonacci before pulling back, while the second (Jan 9th-Jan 20th) made a full +20% rally. As you realize, if we do get a 1D candle close over the 1D MA50, the target for the modest scenario of Fib 0.618 is TP1 = 103,500 and if it continues (which as some point it will since the Bull Cycle has at least another 6-9 months more) for the good case scenario of +20%, the target will be TP2 = 113,000.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Breakout in Sight! 🚀
Market Vibes: With US equities and XAU (Gold) on the rise, BTC sentiment is looking strong too! Price action is channeling, but these dips show buyers stepping in. That’s a big confidence booster for me to ride this wave up. 🔥
Long Setup:
• Entry: Look to buy on any minor pullback or a break above the current 1H Kijun zone.
• Stop Loss: Place just below the channel support (risk 1% of account).
• Target: Eye a 1:2 or 1:3 RRR toward the next supply zone.
Confidence Boosters:
• Equities rallying? Check! ✅
• Gold pumping? Check! ✅
• BTC channel support holding strong? Check! ✅
Let’s see if this bullish momentum can keep pushing us higher! Keep an eye out for volatility around any macro news—stay safe and trade well. 🤞🔥
BTCUSD: 4H Bull Flag targeting 103,000Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.119, MACD = -816.800, ADX = 35.629) as it may have reached the 4H MA50 today but remains ranged inside a Channel Down since February 4th. According to the 4H RSI, this is technically a Bull Flag pattern like the one on Dec 26th-30th that was also formed during a 4H Death Cross. The Bull Flag bottomed and rebounded to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We can be bullish (TP = 103,000) at least on the short term.
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$30,000 drop or $30,000 rise ?!!!This wedge can change the market outcome. If Bitcoin cannot break this wedge from above, we will see a $30k price drop. If the price breaks this wedge from above, we will see a $30k price increase. Now that most traders are disheartened by the crypto market and are selling their assets cheaply, I suspect that the price will go up.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge close to breaking to $105.5kBitcoin is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.917, MACD = -782.200, ADX = 41.331) but neutral on both 1H and 4H, as it is close to conclude a Falling Wedge. Today the price held the 1H MA50 for the first time after a test of the pattern's top, which increases the chances of a bullish break out. Buy only if the break out happens and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 105,500), which happens to be just under the R1 level.
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
On Monday, during the current week’s trading session, Bitcoin reached the Mean Support level of 91800 and consistently hit the targeted Outer Coin Dip at 96000. This development indicates a likely pullback to retest the Mean Support level of 91800, with the possibility of further decline down to the Outer Coin Dip located at 89000 before a potential resurgence in the bull market.
Conversely, the anticipated pullback does not materialize. In that case, the cryptocurrency may experience upward momentum, retesting the Key Resistance level at 106000 and potentially extending to challenge the completed Outer Coin Rally at 108000 and beyond.
BTCUSD: Is it about to explode while the Dollar tanks?Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 62.733, MACD = 8478.500, ADX = 61.463) but neutral on 1D, which suggests that it is a buy opportunity long term. What can really help the price explode from this point onwards though, is a strong drop on the DXY, which has already shown signs of peaking. Based on the last 2 Cycles, it is out of the Accumulation Phase and is has completed the fake-out, which traps investors into thinking that higher prices are coming. This is where a bearish reversal has taken place in the past, lasting 399 days until its bottom, which is where BTC tops. Get ready for a full 2025 Bitcoin rally.
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BITCOIN: Pattern gets repeated again and again and again.Bitcoin is on the most desirable buy levels long term as apart from only being neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 281.800, ADX = 29.399) it just validated today the enormous buying zone that was waiting on the 1D MA100. This is a level that has worked as a buy entry over and over again these 2 years of the Bull Cycle. The last time it did was exactly a year ago on January 22nd 2024. The result was a +90% rally. If this gets repeated again the exact same way, then a new ATH at 170,000 is more than plausible.
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ShortYeah, it's pretty wild how quickly narratives shift, isn't it? A lot of these analysts seem to latch onto whatever fits their current agenda or the latest trend, and it's often the same people with different predictions based on the same factors. Like, one minute it's all about Trump's influence sending Bitcoin to the moon, and the next it's about geopolitics making a radical change in the market.
It seems like people can’t resist connecting anything and everything to Bitcoin’s price. It's like trying to predict weather patterns based on random social events.
It’s clear that a correction is overdue, and as usual, retail investors are going to jump in near the top, hoping to catch the momentum. But when the market starts to pull back, they’ll get stuck holding the bag as prices drop. The more they buy now, the more likely it is that the market will keep falling.
We warned you in the previous post about the crash, BitcoinDo you remember the last post where we warned you about the upcoming crash?
Today, reality has become even harsher.. Bitcoin has crashed below $100, and Tram Coin has plummeted into oblivion!
🔥 Unfortunately.. for those who didn’t read the previous post:
It was the golden opportunity to exit before the disaster..
Now.. regret and loss for those who ignored the warnings!
💡 If you want to know how low Bitcoin will go.. read the previous post!
And if you don’t want the market to crash on you.. hit follow so you don’t miss any important warnings or analysis!
💔 The fear of loss is worse than the loss itself..
Don’t let procrastination or neglect make you a victim..
Follow the analysis and always be prepared for any scenario!
📉 The market shows no mercy..
So, are you ready for the next move?
This is the post I warned you from.. If you were following me and read it, you wouldn’t have lost!
BTCUSD: Repeating the late 2024 bullish pattern to 150,000Bitcoin turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.434, MACD = 1198.600, ADX = 26.499) as it found support on the 1D MA50 and is rebounding. The emerging pattern is a Channel Up and coming off an Arc consolidation in December, it draws strong comparisons with the price action after August 2024. The 1D MACD shows that once BTC rebounded on the 1D MA50 (October 10th 2024), the indicator formed a Bullish Cross, which is exactly what is happening now. This paved the way for the parabolic rally that peaked near the 3.5 Fibonacci extension. That shows that this is the time to engage in a confirmed long position again and target at least the 3.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 150,000).
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BTC / USDT:Approaching trendline resistance - A breakout ahead ?BTC/USDT: Approaching Trendline Resistance – A Breakout in Sight?
BTC/USDT is gearing up for a potential breakout 📈 as it approaches a key trendline resistance level 📊. The price has been consolidating, forming a strong setup for an explosive move 💥. If Bitcoin manages to break above this resistance, we could witness a significant bullish rally 🚀. Stay alert and wait for confirmation before making a move.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Resistance: BTC/USDT is nearing a crucial trendline that has acted as a barrier in previous attempts. A successful breakout could mark the beginning of a strong uptrend.
2️⃣ Volume Surge: Watch for a noticeable increase in trading volume during the breakout, signaling strong buying momentum 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Indicators: RSI and MACD are showing bullish momentum ⚡, supporting the case for a breakout.
Steps to Confirm the Breakout:
✅ Look for a 4H or daily candle closing decisively above the trendline.
✅ A volume spike during the breakout will confirm strong buyer interest.
✅ A retest of the broken trendline as new support strengthens the breakout.
⚠️ Beware of fake breakouts—sharp rejections or wicks above the resistance level can indicate weakness.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
🎯 Ensure position sizing aligns with your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR 🔍 before making investment decisions. Stay ready for the next big move!