Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing interesting price action on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of consolidation, the price appears to be testing a key resistance level around $103,700. We can observe a series of higher lows forming, suggesting increasing bullish pressure. A decisive break above this resistance, confirmed by strong volume, could signal the start of an upward move towards the $104,300-$104,500 area, as indicated by the blue arrow.
Traders might look for entry opportunities on a confirmed breakout above the resistance, with potential stop-loss levels placed below the recent swing lows (e.g., around $103,150) to manage risk. This analysis focuses on short-term price action and potential breakout scenarios. Remember to conduct your own thorough research and consider broader market conditions before making any trading decisions.
Key Observations:
* Resistance Level: $103,700 area acting as a significant hurdle.
* Higher Lows: Suggesting increasing buying interest.
* Potential Target: $104,300 - $104,500 zone if the breakout is successful.
* Risk Management: Important to define stop-loss levels.
This description avoids overly aggressive or promotional language and focuses on technical analysis observations, which is generally well-received on platforms like TradingView.
Bitcointrading
Scenario #BTCUSDT long📉 LONG BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $104,353.0
🛡 Stop loss: $103,572.0
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Market overview:
➡️ The price confidently broke above $103,729 and held, confirming the uptrend.
➡️ The next target zone is $104,720–$105,090 — nearest movement objectives.
➡️ Volume increased during the impulse, indicating strong buyer presence.
➡️ A local support level formed around $103,729 — on a pullback, this zone may hold the price.
➡️ POC at $94,479 remains far below — the market has left the balance zone and is trading in an impulsive phase.
🎯 TP Targets BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P :
💎 TP1: $104,720.0
💎 TP2: $105,090.0
💎 TP3: $105,275.0
⚠️ Important: current structure BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P suggests possible correction (wedge breakdown), requiring caution or exit on key level loss.
⚠️ Despite the initial long from $104,353, a breakdown below $103,572 (stop loss) invalidates the long setup.
📢 If H1 closes below $103,572 — better to exit, scenario invalid.
🚀 Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P valid while holding above $103,729 — below that, correction likely toward lower targets!
BTCUSD: Reclaimed 100k after 3 months! Next wave to $190k.Bitcoin has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.178, MACD = 2904.000, ADX = 30.769) as it reclaimed the $100,000 marke after exactly 3 months. This is a very structured bullish pattern that consists of a Bullish Wave that peaks and leads to a Megaphone consolidation, which in turn starts the next Bullish Wave. Both waves so far have been around +16.30%. As the 8H MA50 perfectly held Tuesday's low, the pattern has already started the new Bullish Wave, which technically aims for yet another +16.30% rally (TP = 109,000).
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BTCUSD – 30m Precision Entry from FVG & Fib Discount Zone🚀 BTCUSD BUY SETUP | May 8, 2025 | Smart Money Precision Execution
This 30-minute chart screams Smart Money accumulation with a golden entry aligned at the 70.5–78.6% Fib levels AND a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) just below.
Here’s the confluence breakdown you need to study:
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $97,800 and $98,550 – prime liquidity zone
📉 Deep Discount Entry at 70.5%–78.6% Fib retracement ($97,797 – $97,200)
🔁 Breaker Block + Internal BOS confirming upside intent
📈 Target: -27% Extension Zone around $100,920
✅ RR: 1:4+ with tight risk below swing low
🧠 Execution Strategy:
Enter near $97,797 – inside the FVG
SL: Below 100% Fib (~$96,800)
TP: -27% Fib (~$100,920) or scale partials at 0% / -10%
Break-even management once price closes above $99,500
📊 Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 30m
Bias: Bullish
Entry: FVG + Deep Discount
TP: -27% extension
SL: Below 100% Fib
RR: 1:4
Structure: Smart Money Reversal
💡 Chart Ninja Insight:
“Smart money enters where retail panic sells. The FVG is the highway—they’re just waiting to get on.”
Bitcoin, MACD and what we may get over the weekend - STILL BULLS
Just a quick post to explain how Ia m looking at this weekend with Bitcoin and I will use the MACD as amajor player here.
The BTC chart above is Daily, we can see the "Cuo " pattern, we can see the Long term rising Libne of support, we can see the red 236 Fib circle we shot through and the up coming 618 fib circle, that may or may not be trouble.
And that 2.618 Fib extension I can easily see us returning to to test as support.
WHY ?
The MACD on numerous timeframes...
What is MACD ?
MACD, short for Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical indicator used in the analysis of securities prices. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and is widely used to identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price
OK, So, Lets start witht he 4 hour MACD -
I zoomed out on this a little so we can get a long term look at this and you can clearly see, we are already gettign near the High side, overbought levels where, historically, MACD turns Bearish, crosses over the Signal line ( red) and heads back down to cool off befoe heading higher again.
We are not yet as high as we were in Late April but it is not far off. Safe to assume this will turn down.
So now, lets see the Daily MACD
This is the daily MACD from around Nov last year and, again, we are heading into an area where it is prudent to be Bullish and Cautious.
Remember, the moves in the 4 hour are a lot quicker than the daily.
Go back and Look at the 4 hour, see where MAY began and what the MACD did in that time
See what that was on the Daily ? It was that little Blip on the rise up , that we are now continuing.
So, we have more room to go on the Daily.
and now the Master MACD, The WEEKLY ,the one that told us we were going to range in 2024, 2025 and will once again tell us when PA has reached Exhaustion later in this run
In this chart, you can see the 2 ATH's in 2021, you can see the Bear market and the recovery and everything ever since.
And you can also see that we have Still to cross the Signal line here to really enter a bullish state.
We have SO FAR to go here.....BUT with the high price now now have with BTC, it take more to push it higher. See how high MACD had to go to push PA up this last time ? The same height as it had to go in the 2024 push and yet we went twice as high on PA.
So, th be realistic here.....We are entering a bullish push but a $1 million BTC is NOT going to happen just yet.
SO, back to this weekend, the shorter term.
the 4 hour is high, already starting to turn as I write.
I can see BTC PA ranging or, maybe, as I said, testing the 2.518 as support at around 98K.
What people also need to watch os that BTC.D I talled about yesterday to guage if ALTS will Dip back lower or not.
Some alerady seem to be Dipping
SO, Bullish Caution for the weekend....Hang in there.....We only just begun
BTCUSD: 1H Death Cross might be dangerous but expect $100k if inBitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.614, MACD = 2557.800, ADX = 37.923) despite the correction since Friday's high. This is because the underlying pattern is a Bullish Megaphone which just bottomed. On the other hand, the 1H timeframe just formed a Death Cross. If this is invalidated and the price remains inside the Bullish Megaphone (also see that the 1H RSI is on a Bullish Divergence), we can see $100k on the next leg up (1.5 Fib extension like the 2 HH before). If the Bullish Megaphone breaks, testing the 1D MA200 at least, is veyr likely.
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BTCUSDTLooks like BTCUSDT wants to make us smile again 🙂 A new opportunity for a Sell signal has emerged, and I’ll be taking advantage of it. However, don’t forget that in 35 minutes**, the *U.S. Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)* data will be released — and that could cause some market volatility. I’m opening the trade with that in mind, so make sure you adjust your risk accordingly.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.60
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 94333.33
✔️ Take Profit: 93908.54
✔️ Stop Loss: 94598.39
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses."
"Bitcoin traders... The real money is made BEFORE the breakout"🚨 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Showing Smart Money Blueprint in Action!
Let's break it down clearly:
📈 Context:
After a period of compression, we got a strong liquidity sweep at the highs.
Price quickly rejected, causing a sharp market structure break.
📉 Downward Trendline + Liquidity Build-Up:
Notice how price has been hugging a descending line while leaving clear liquidity pockets ($$$) above.
This means Smart Money is trapping buyers into bad longs before the expansion.
📍 Critical Level: CRT Low (Current Range Low)
Price has aggressively returned to mitigate near the CRT Low area (marked red).
Perfect zone for Smart Money to reload before the next expansion.
📍 Entry Confirmation:
Watch for bullish reaction signs off the CRT Low.
If price holds above, we are likely to witness an explosive upside move targeting the previous liquidity pools.
🎯 Target Zones:
Immediate liquidity above (around $94,700 - $95,000).
Secondary target at CRT High area ($95,400+).
🧠 Market Psychology at Play:
CRT Low is a beautiful example of engineered liquidity, where emotional sellers are stopped out and Smart Money absorbs entries.
The goal is to trap the impatient and reward the patient.
⚡ Game Plan:
Be reactive, not predictive: Wait for bullish price action confirmation.
Partial profits at first liquidity zone, trail stop for extended targets.
R:R ratio on this setup is beautifully in our favor.
🚀 Risk Management Tip:
Risk only what you're willing to lose.
Even the best setups can fail — it’s part of the game.
Good trading is consistent execution, not perfection.
✍️ To sum up:
This BTCUSD chart is textbook Smart Money play:
Liquidity sweep ➡️ Break of structure ➡️ Mitigation ➡️ Expansion
If you time your entry well, this could be one of the cleanest setups into the weekly close! 🔥
➡️ Comment "BTC READY" if you're eyeing this move with me!
➡️ Save this post for future Smart Money analysis references!
BTCUSD: The catching up to Gold has started.Bitcoin is having an excellent day turning almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.867, MACD = 3107.700, ADX = 41.327) and that is normally a signal for more upside to come. Adding Gold to the mix, we see that in recent past when Gold topped, Bitcoin was at the start of its uptrend and eventually caught up to Gold. Today's rise is probably similar to early November 2024, so we expect another 1.5 - 2 month upside before the next short term pullback.
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BTCUSD: The final 7 months of the Bull Cycle have begun.Bitcoin remains on excellent bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 65.277, MACD = 2917.800, ADX = 44.478) as it is recovering from this months Low. A recovery that will close today the monthly candle in green, the first after 2 bearish 1M candles. This has technically kickstarted the final 7 months of the Bull Cycle, which have historically been a straight rally to the Cycle's Top. The last 2 Cycles took 35 months from bottom to top and based on that we expect the current one to peak in October (2025).
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BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis: Breakout Incoming?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this juicy BTCUSDT 1-hour chart. Bitcoin is teasing us with some serious action!
We’ve got a textbook symmetrical triangle pattern forming, with price consolidating tightly between converging trendlines. This is a classic setup for a big move — Bitcoin is coiling up like a spring, ready to explode!
The chart shows multiple phases of consolidation , with the latest triangle pushing BTC toward a critical decision point near the weekly high of $95,773.15 and the monthly high of $95,119.06.
The price is currently hovering around $95,000, testing resistance. A breakout above the upper trendline could send BTC soaring past $96,600, potentially targeting $97,200 or higher!
On the flip side, a rejection here might see it dip toward the daily low of $92,839.27 or even the lower trendline for support.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95,773.15 (weekly high)
Support: $92,839.27 (daily low)
Breakout Target: $97,200+
Breakdown Target: $92,800
✉ What do you think — bullish breakout or bearish?
Drop your thoughts below!
Bitcoin sell technical analysis Description:
Bitcoin is rejecting major resistance near $94,000 after forming a bearish engulfing candle on the 4H chart.
• Key Resistance: $94,000–$95,000 zone rejected with strong selling pressure.
• RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence between price and RSI confirms weakness.
• Break of Support: Price broke minor support at $92,800, shifting short-term structure bearish.
• Moving Averages: Trading below the 50 EMA on the 4H chart, signaling bearish momentum.
Sell Setup:
• Look for entries around $93,500–$94,000 (retest zone).
• Stop-loss above $95,000.
• TP1: $91,000
• TP2: $88,500
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a pullback — sellers are currently in control.
BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000
Channel Support Level: $92,000
Support Zone: $86,000
Market Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off.
Sell Targets:
Target 1: $90,000
Target 2: $88,000
Watch for further support around $86,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend.
Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
Market Analysis: #BTCUSDT💰 On the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart, a clear symmetrical triangle pattern has formed and already broken down, leading to a confirmed bearish impulse. Price has now returned below the POC level at $93,370.4 (Point of Control by volume), indicating weakness from buyers.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $93,370.4
— This is the highest volume area, now acting as strong resistance. As long as price remains below, short bias is favored.
🔵 Support BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $91,905.5
— A short-term target if the bearish momentum continues.
🎯 Lower Target Zone
— Indicates the full depth of the breakdown move, aiming at the $90,800–$91,000 range.
📈 Volume
➡️ Volume increased during the breakdown, then dropped as price revisited the $93,000 zone — this signals a weak retest and seller control.
📍 Important Notes
➡️ Currently, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading between two key zones — the POC above and the $91,900 support below.
➡️ Failure to break and hold above $93,370 keeps the bearish scenario in play.
➡️ A move below $92,600 will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
📢 Strategy Recommendations:
🚨 SHORT Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Entry: on a retest of $93,000–$93,200 and rejection
Stop Loss: above POC ($93,450)
Targets: $92,100 → $91,900 → $90,800
🚨 Alternative LONG Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P (only if POC is broken):
Entry: after a solid breakout and hold above $93,400 with volume
Target: $94,200–$94,800
Stop Loss: below $93,000
🚨 Conclusion :
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has completed the triangle pattern and is now in a retest phase. So far, signs still point to bearish continuation, with final confirmation coming from a break below $92,600.
Bitcoin Monthly compared to Historical Cycle Tops-UPDATE $400K ?
Keeping this simple
PA is on the 3rd of 3 Candles below that Threshold line. The comparison is the same position back in 2017 ( left Arrow ), Same Months, same position and also in the 4th year of the Cycle.
Now, I will say, I am one of the many that are saying "this time is different" and yet, when we see this.....well....Is it ?
We will find out in time but for now, Lets follow the chart, as we Must......Charts Never Lie
SO, for that Green candle to touch the threshold line, we are looking around the current ATH and then, when MAY comes in, we need to stay above.
Now, The monthly Candle Colours charts I post, mentioned, that if April closes Green, May has a High Percent chance of also doing that.
We have to wait and see - 1 Week to go till April closes.
As you can see, historically, The year with the Green Box is the year we go to ATH and above the upper trend line, with the ATH on or above that dashed line.
This puts this cycle ATH around, or above, $400K !
That is near Twice my current projection.
Is this time different. ?
There is a chart I have that explains how Bitcoin has been under an Arc od resistance since it's crea\ion and This is something that could keep PA down to the 250K ATH that is expected by so many
The chart is Below, it exoplains itself
So, the next 6 weeks are Pivotal to how this cycle will play out, with one of two ATH zones available.
But more importantly, Bitcoin PA NEEDS to break above and away from that Arc of resistance....and THAT WOULD MAKE THIS TIME DIFFERENT
Enjoy the ride guys and Gals
Bitcoin Cycle Update – Are We Nearing the Peak?Check out this BTCUSDT chart – we’re at GETTEX:92K today, and seems like things are heating up!
▸We’ve seen a Cycle Bottom in late 2022 - early 2023, followed by strong Bull runs in 2023 and 2024.
▸Those Consolidation phases (sideways channels) gave us the perfect setup for massive pumps!
▸Right now, we’re in a Pause Triangle after a big rally – but the Cycle Top could be just around the corner in mid-2025.
▸After that? A potential Bear phase – time to plan your moves!
💡 What’s your strategy? Are you riding this wave to the top, or preparing for the next dip? Let’s discuss 📨
Bitcoin Aligns with the 2017 Cycle ModelThere’s growing speculation that the current Bitcoin cycle mirrors the market behavior seen in 2017.
Intrigued by this, I conducted my own analysis. I overlaid the 2014–2017 cycle pattern onto the current chart for comparison.
The results?
A striking resemblance in both the overall shape and the distinct correction and impulse phases.
It seems history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. 📊
BTCUSD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 BTCUSD Analysis – April 22, 2025
Price action is currently forming a rising wedge, typically a bearish pattern, indicating that a short-term correction may occur before the next bullish impulse. The structure shows consolidation with weakening momentum, suggesting that a pullback to demand zones is likely.
We have two strong support zones identified:
Zone 1: 86,400 – 86,800 — minor support from recent consolidation.
Zone 2: 84,700 – 85,100 — major demand area aligned with previous breakout and price reaction.
A retracement into either of these zones offers high-probability buy opportunities for continuation toward the upper resistance trendline and prior high near 89,700.
📈 BTCUSD Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 86,400 – 86,800
Buy Entry #2: 84,700 – 85,100
Take Profit: 89,700
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 86,200
For Entry 2: Below 84,500
Trade Idea: Wait for bullish price action (engulfing candle, pin bar, or volume spike) before entering.
BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000.
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BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross to skyrocket it to $100kBitcoin has stabilized from the strong correction earlier in the month and that is reflected on its neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = 70.800, ADX = 32.691). This suggests that the market has priced a bottom and since it already broke over the LH trendline, the 4H Golden Cross that was just formed today may be the trigger to resume the long term bullish trend. The bottoming pattern is a very favorable Inverted Head and Shoulders, which technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. With the 1D RSI already on a HL bullish divergence, we are buying this breakout, aiming at the 2.0 Fib extension (TP = 100,000), which is very conveniently just under the 0.786 Fib from the ATH, typically a recovery's first target.
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BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point.Market Alert: Bitcoin's Crucial Moment
The battle lines are drawn! BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point, slamming into the trendline resistance zone that's proven to be a formidable foe for bulls. Will the bears finally break through, or will the bulls rally for another attempt at higher grounds?
Our analysis reveals a high probability of rejection at this critical level, setting the stage for a potential downturn. If our expectations play out, we could see BTCUSDT plummeting towards the $81K and $80K support zones. These levels will be make-or-break for the short-term trend, and traders would do well to keep a close eye on them.
Stay alert, stay informed, and let's ride the waves of volatility together! The market is full of opportunities, and with the right insights, you can navigate even the most turbulent of times.
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on