BTCUSD: Consolidation is about to be over.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.429, MACD = 1547.600, ADX = 23.123) as so far it is failing to stage a proper breakout from the consolidation of the last few days. Based on the long term comparison with the previous Channel Up at the time of the 1D Golden Cross, the consolidation could be over soon, resembling November 4th 2024. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, stay bullish, TP = 165,000.
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Bitcointrading
BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
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BTC/USDT Analysis: Development of a New Range
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, the scenario for the leading cryptocurrency remained almost unchanged. No buyer anomalies were observed within the $104,200–$102,300 area (accumulated volumes). Volume remains low.
The primary scenario is the development of a sideways range between two volume zones: $104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volumes) and $107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes). If the recently formed low is retested and buyers fail to defend it, we expect a moderate short toward the next selling zone at $100,000.
Selling zone:
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes)
Buying zones:
~$100,000 (initiating volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf
CMP 105228.47 (02-06-2025)
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf (Cautious
approach should be taken).
However, if 109350 is Crossed, we may
witness 115000 & then 120000 - 121000.
and if 112000 is crossed & sustained, be ready
to get New Highs :-)
Lets be more cautious & dig out 3 Important
Support Levels.
S1 around 103000 - 102500
S2 around 97800
S3 around 93400 - 93500.
BTCUSD: Neutral but long term still intact.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.968, MACD = 1795.700, ADX = 23.670) a direct consequence of last week's correction. That correction is though just a pullback on the 1W timeframe, which is more bullish than ever as it's coming off a May 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Since the 1W MA50 supported April's bottom and produced the current rebound (even ATH has been made) that also respected the powerful P1 trendline, this is a bullish wave similar to all prior since the late 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. As all 3 rallied by +100%, we can stay bullish aiming for 150,000 towards the end of the year.
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ACAUSDT forming a falling WedgeACAUSDT is currently displaying a strong falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish reversal structure that typically precedes sharp breakouts. After a prolonged downtrend, the price has formed lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing channel, suggesting decreasing selling momentum. The recent price action bouncing off the wedge's lower boundary, combined with a solid spike in volume, indicates a potential bottom formation and growing buyer interest.
Acala (ACA), known for its role in the Polkadot ecosystem as a decentralized finance hub, continues to show fundamental promise. With DeFi narratives heating up again and more liquidity flowing back into the Polkadot parachain ecosystem, ACA is regaining the attention of crypto investors and traders alike. Technical and fundamental convergence here is strong—making it a potential high-reward candidate for short- to mid-term bullish plays.
If this breakout confirms with strength above the wedge resistance, the projected price move could reach up to 90% to 100%+ based on measured move theory. Such breakouts often accelerate quickly due to short covering and renewed speculative interest. This is supported by rising trading volume and increased chatter among crypto communities, pointing toward renewed bullish momentum for ACAUSDT.
From a risk-reward perspective, the current zone near the wedge support offers an attractive entry for swing traders aiming to capitalize on the upcoming breakout. With multiple confluences lining up technically and fundamentally, this setup is one worth watching very closely.
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BTC/ USDT DOM.. more downside? This is USDT on the weekly.. as you can see last June and July even before this is a big level of support for USDT DOM.. Wont be surprised for some more down side here for the crypto market. I know its easy to say now after it lost 111k but I just got home and wanted to look deeper into it. Play it level by level obviously.. fib by fib but don't be surprised to see some down side.. Also you're only down if you bough in the last 2 days and that being said don't buy something that ran up to ATH and think its time to buy.. you kinda deserve it.. but lets see what happens. I hope I'm wrong
BTCUSD: Neutral on 1D means buy opportunity during rallies.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.351, MACD = 2908.600, ADX = 27.535) which is far from alarming as during Bull Cycle rallies such pullbacks are buy opportunities. Especially now that the price is even supported by the 1D MA50, which having cross above the 1D MA200 last week, they formed a Golden Cross. The pattern is identical to the last 1D Golden Cross, steady rally phases supported by HL trendlines that rose by roughly the same percentage. Their 1D RSI sequences also display similar formations. For that reason, we remain bullish on Bitcoin despite the current correction, targeting short term 119,000.
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BTCUSD: About to explode to 135k by July.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.730, MACD = 3423.900, ADX = 23.501) as it is expreriencing the strongest pullback since the start of its April bottom. Having completed a 1D Golden Cross like on October 27th 2024, this pullback seems a lot like the one that suceeded that Cross, which tested the LH trendline and marginally crossed under it and as it held the 1D MA50, resumed the uptrend and exploded to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension. That is our target on a July horizon (TP = 135,000).
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BTCUSD: 1M turned overbought and that's not alarming at all! Bitcoin has turned bullish even on its 1M technical outlook (RSI = 70.030, MACD = 16,156.720, ADX = 38.100) but that's not a reason to expect any strong corrections as this is the part were it technically rises more during Bull Cycles. The basic structure of the Cycle is an Ascending Triangle which breaks when the parabolic rallies begin. Based on the ratio of the last two Cycles, the new rally should be around +130% from the top of the Ascending Triandle. That gives a $160,000 fair estimate as far as the Cycle top is concerned.
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BTC at Crossroads: Rejection from ATH or Breakout.Key Zones Highlighted:
🟥 Recent ATH and Resistance Level (~$111,000 - $112,000)
The price recently tested this area, forming a new All-Time High (ATH).
This zone has acted as a major resistance, causing a pullback.
A break and close above this range would indicate bullish continuation.
🟩 Support Zone (~$105,000 - $106,000)
Price previously bounced from this zone.
Currently acting as a mid-level demand/support.
Likely to be tested again if bearish pressure continues.
🟩 Strong Supply Zone (~$102,000 - $103,500)
A more significant support area, where previous buying pressure emerged strongly.
If the upper support fails, this becomes the next possible bounce zone.
Price Action and Projection:
Price is currently at $108,209 and moving within a correction phase.
Two potential scenarios are highlighted on the chart:
Bullish Continuation:
Price rebounds from current level (black circle) and breaks above the resistance zone.
Targets new highs beyond $112,000.
Bearish Pullback:
Price fails to sustain above current level and dips into the support zone (~$105K).
If strong buying interest appears, a bounce back to the ATH zone is expected.
Technical Outlook:
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is testing the Kumo (cloud), indicating neutral to slight bearish momentum.
Volume: Slight uptick in volume during the recent drop suggests sell pressure is increasing.
Structure: Price is forming a higher high and potentially a higher low, maintaining a bullish structure as long as support holds.
Conclusion:
BTC is in a critical zone with mixed signals. A decisive move from the current level will likely set the tone for the next 24–48 hours. Watch:
A bounce at ~$108K for bullish continuation,
A dip toward $105K for potential re-entry opportunities.
Let me know if you’d like trade setup suggestions based on this.
LongTerm BITCOIN LINEAR chart & NUPL tells a story -August Top
We can start with the main chart.
This is a LONG TERM LINEAR chart, showing the price action Directly, unaltered by mathmatics,
Long Term charts usualy are shown by logarithmic charts.
Linear and logarithmic trading charts differ in how they represent price changes. Linear charts display equal price changes the same, making them suitable for short-term traders focusing on exact price movements. On the other hand, logarithmic charts show percentage changes, which makes them better for long-term investors or volatile assets, as they help in analyzing trends and patterns more clearly over time.
This chart starts just before the 2017 ATH and you can easily see the line that rejects ATH and how PA is up near that area right now.
Things to note are the day count from 2017 ATH to 2021 Final ATH and the day count between that double Top in 2021.
These numbers are projected to our current cycle and show we are near the projected Top using this style of Chatr, The Log charts project further into the year.
It may also be worth noting how the 50 EMA (red) was used by PA after the Drop after the first ATH, to bounce back up to the next ATH at the end of that year.
We have just done exactly the same again, PA was rejected by that long term Line and Dipped down to the 50 EMA and has since bounced back up to the rejecting line.
IS REJECTION LIKELY NOW? [/b
This is something that is impossible to answer with any real Fact But we can look at data and make eductaed projections.
PA has the ability and strength right now, to range high, running up under this line of rejection until it becomes overbought on the long term MACD, RSI , TSI etc
But something that will absolutely decide when the top is in is the Profit taking by Holders.
We are currently seeing Selling taking place and we can see the potential profit by looking at NUPL
NUPL, or Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, is an indicator used in trading to measure the difference between unrealized profits and losses in the Bitcoin market.
Here is the chart from all the way back to 2010
Lots to see here but to summerise.
See how there are Peaks each cycle of Maximum available profit. The point where profit taking Tops out is arrowed. This area, up to the red line, shows us the TOP zone.
What is VERY noticable this cycle is how we have not yet reached that upper Red line.
Sellers appear to be taking theor profits earlier.
The upper day counts have been consistant in the past, with 2 double tops of potential profit before the selling sold it all off.
Many people, including me, have been saying "This time is different" and this is VERY clearly shown here by the fact that we have already had the 2 peaks of potential profit and we are currently climbing to the 3rd
This has NEVER happened before and, technicaly, this could continue.
The Lower day counts are from Mid Double Tops to the Next Mid double top of potential profits mentioned above,
The Next "Mid point" is projected to be around July.
This NUPL also shows ua how the high level of potentia profits was reached Quicker this cycle than previously. This was helped by the Corporations buying Early and Massive amounts, putting Large numbers of coins into profit
In Conclusion [/i
We have the Linear Bitcoin chart pointing towards a JULY / August Top
We have the NUPL also pointing towards a July / August Mid point of Potential profits.
If you loo cloely, BOTH charts, using differnet data, suggest 28 July
What also maybe worth considering here is how we see that Potential profits are reducing in availability. As the asset becomes more expensive to buy, it also gets harder to push the price higher and so make more profit. I,E. It was eaier to double the price of Bitcoin when it was $50 a coin
Of course, non of this may play out, Things ARE DIFFERNT but I have now decided to have another plan ready for August and we need to wait and see what happens Next
BE PREPARED FOR ALL POSSIBILITIES
BTCUSD: Urgently needs to break above this trendline!Bitcoin is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.624, MACD = 4011.100, ADX = 25.476) but not overbought anymore as the aggressive weekly rallies since the 1W MA50 rebound have been decelerated. The next heavy obstacle is the HH trendline that runs on top of the January 20th 2025 and December 16th 2024 Highs and got hit last week. So far the price hasn't crossed above it but it needs to urgently in order to avoid a rejection with snowball effects.
The last time Bitcoin faced a similar HH trendline Resistance was on the October 23rd 2023 1W candle and it succesfully smashed through it, completing a +79.23% rise before consolidating again. If it breaks again above it, we expect the same minimum rally, which gives us a TP = 133,500.
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BTC shorts will get liquidatedHello everyone!
As we all witnessed, BINANCE:BTCUSDT experienced a sharp drop following Trump's announcement of new tariffs starting June 1st on all European Union . The big question now is: is this the end for Bitcoin, or just a temporary dip?
In my opinion, BTC is likely to move as follows:
It will retest the long wick on the 1-hour chart, which previously bounced from a 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) , and then continue its upward movement.
Don't worry, everyone, BTC remains very strong!
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): The Next Resistances
As Bitcoin is trading in the no man's land again,
violating a resistance cluster based on a previous ATH,
here are the next potentially strong resistance to watch.
Resistance 1: Narrow area based on 115000 level - the closest strong
psychological level.
Resistance 2: Narrow area based on 120000 level - the next
psychological level.
Resistance 1 is going to be the next goal for the buyers
and will most likely reached soon.
Its breakout will push the prices to Resistance 2.
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Just a quick word of WARNING for BITCOIN- Local resistanceEasy to see and understand line od resistance here.
This is trhe line of rejection from 2017 and could well pose a problem in the short term
Technically, PA has the ability to break through this line but we need to see if it does.
BITCOIN is at a crossroads and this is just one of about 3 things that stand in ts way.
As mentioned earlier today, we have crossed one major hurdle today, this is the next one.
Hold on tight Guys and Gals, things could get very interesting but, for now, my preferred move for BTC is to range across for a little longer and come back to this next month
Unless the next 8 days are a strong push above this line and then try and stay above it
BTCUSD: Made new ATH on Genius Bill vote. 1D Golden Cross formedBitcoin just made new ATH today pas 109,500 as the U.S. Senate officially advanced the GENIUS BILL for consideration. This has turned the 1D technical outlook overbought (RSI = 75.442, MACD = 4135.600, ADX = 30.728) but as mentioned before, Bitcoin tends to thrive on such a state. On top of the very bullish fundamental news, the market just formed a 1D Golden Cross the first since the U.S. elections one (October 27th 2024). That signaled the extension of the bullish trend to +122.18%. If we apply that on the current bullish wave along with the Fibonacci retracement level, we can see that the price is insde the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib range, exactly where it was on the 2024 Golden Cross. If this plays out exactly this way, expect $165k by late July.
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BTCUSD: Going for the decisive breakout that opens path to 155,0Bitcoin is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.391, MACD = 3884.400, ADX = 20.801), which during rallies is the starting condition that fuels bullish breakouts and continuations. Such a breakout is about to take place right now as the price is on the LH trendline coming from the ATH. As this chart shows, once Bitcoin breaks over a LH trendline on this Cycle, it has always delivered (much) more upside. Assuming we are currently on the 0.5 Fibonacci level of that breakout, the pattern gives a TP = 155,000.
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Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday".
On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski)
🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest.
💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇
Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts:
1️⃣ BTC.D 👇
and
2️⃣ USDT.D 👇
_____________________
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$BTC Bearish Divergence Confirmed | Correction ImminentBitcoin has formed a clear bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, accompanied by declining volume, an inverted hammer candlestick at resistance, and a MACD crossover to the downside. Price has also retested the upper trendline but failed to break higher.
Key levels to watch:
First support: $96,000
If broken, further downside to $80,000
Ultimate support around $60,000 if market sentiment weakens further
Also, be cautious as today's Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit may increase market volatility.
This presents a solid short opportunity if BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels.
Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋
Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀
Key Observations 📊
Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom.
Rebound Levels:
Alt. 1: $101,000
Alt. 2: $82,000
Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188.
Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥
Pro Tip 💡
I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬
BTCUSD: is far away from its Sell Zone.Bitcoin remains overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.017, MACD = 4154.600, ADX = 16.535) but still in the middle of the Cycle's Channel Up. After a 1W MA50 rebound (April 7th) on the bottom quarter, it is aiming for the blue Sell Zone of the top quarter of the Channel Up where the last two tops were priced. A +93.64% rise has been the most common inside this pattern. Based on that the minimum TP for this run is 140,000.
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