Bitcointrading
5-6 Months Left of Bitcoin Bear marketRevisited this long term chart and updated it. It's really hard to be bullish after revisiting this. To expect BTC to start being in a medium term bullish trend would be to expect BTC to do something it's never done.
We're currently at the halfway mark towards the next halving, it's always bearish and in a medium term downtrend during this time.
Per my calculations Bitcoin will be in a bear market for the next 5-6 months and then it will hit a bottom capitulation area probably around the $21k-$25k area.
Of course it's very possible Bitcoin could do something it's never done before and I sure hope to hell it does but I'm leaning towards continuation of bear market behavior till this next October-November.
Bitcoin - Where will we bottom200 moving average has provided vital support to us on many previous occasions particularly after ‘death crosses’ under the other major MA’s
The gap on the CME also aligns with this potential move to sub 30k and the ‘bottom’ for me will be once we hit the weekly 200SMA
As always leave a like and let me know your thoughts
BITCOIN, Major BROADENING-WEDGE To APPOINT BREAKOUT!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about Bitcoin and the 4-hour timeframe perspective. In the recent times, important and crucial changes have occurred within the whole market and we can watch here institutional interest is increasing for Bitcoin, furthermore, there are countries such as Mexico looking to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender, and institutions such as Micheal Saylor with MacroStrategy buying further Bitcoins. These factors indicate a continued increasing positive sentiment moving on for Bitcoin while adoption is still moving on. Nevertheless, it is also necessary to watch for the technical factors and see where Bitcoin is likely to heat within the upcoming times from a short-, middle-, as well as long-term-perspectives. In this case when watching on my chart we can see there that Bitcoin is building this main broadening-wedge-formation with the coherent wave-count within the formation almost already completed with the waves A to C and now as Bitcoin bounced within the lower boundary this is actually building the setup from where Bitcoin has the ability to build upon and continued to setup finally developing a breakout. Once the breakout happened above the upper boundary as marked in my chart this will be the setup from where Bitcoin has potentials to continue with and this will activate the target-zones within the $47,000 level marked in blue in my chart. Once this target-zone has been reached the situation needs to be elevated again and Bitcoin needs to show how it continues from there on and if a possible further formation can lead to a continuation, it will be an interesting development.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, all the best!
"Good fortune is when opportunity meets preparation."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
BTC Movement long - Loading- BTC shows movement volume into small range trading
- Targets for BTC- 44k
Breakout chance 77%
Increase period 1-15days
Why increase?
- Confirmation of 42800 means an important trend line that could bring BTC into a new uptrend. ( at this moment the price are below this target)
- The Area where we are now is an important price action - see also 21-3-22 where volume did start at the same point as now.
- Volume indicators and flow trading ways show breakout trends activity.
- Depending on price action BTC have since 24-01-2022 a main target to hold the before price action as the chart shows. (long term trend)
The above models are the expecting frames, which means there is no guarantee it will happen 100%
It's important to study all-time you trades well before entering any market.
It's always important to check the markets on all sides - markets can change all time.
Bitcoin: Hit the Ceiling!While normally, one would not want another person to hit the ceiling, we expect Bitcoin to do exactly that. It should rise into the orange zone between $42005 and $43073, which it has already touched once, and finish wave iv in orange, ideally at the upper edge. After it has accomplished this, Bitcoin should drop into the blue zone between $38748 and $35722 to complete wave v in orange as well as wave (i) in blue, ideally at the bottom.
BITCOIN CASH LONGS ACTIVE 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on BITCOIN CASH as price shifted the market strucutre from bearish into bullish, price just made the retracement back into a bullish orderblock area and for now we have clear area for 350/400$ price area.
What do you think ? Comment below..
Bitcoin - Unleash the bears!While I anticipate a fairly brief 'relief' rally, possibly up towards 44.6k, there can be little doubt that BTC looks set for yet further correction from it’s 2020 – 2021 charge
The weekly moving averages of significance (50 & 20 MA) crossed down on 14th March and if we take a look back at the historical data regarding these crosses it makes for break reading.
In 2014 they crossed and this saw the price fall by over 74% over a 154 day period before beginning to move back towards the upside.
In 2018 they crossed again and this saw the price fall by over 50% over a 175 day period before again returning to it’s upside move.
Early on in 202 there was a black swan event in the form on the COVID-19 crash which I will not count for this analysis.
Looking at this historic data I am expecting a 150 – 175 day period of sustained bearishness with lower highs and lower lows on a weekly basis. With a potential 46% price drop falling at least to 30-35k and possibly even somewhere between 22-25k.
A wick down to this area would also fill a much needed gap in the CME which has previously caused BTC to have it’s handbrake on when reaching for new highs.
Coincide this with the DXY, which has a confirmed negative correlation with BTC, looking unstoppable on it’s charge to 102 and the bitcoin bull support band falling through everything seems to align to this idea.
As always, please leave a like and let me know your thoughts.
BTC Bitcoin: Bear Flag With A PathHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
Bitcoin price is shown in a bear flag formation with the flag pole measurement in the $6K-$7K range. The price inside the descending triangle is about 60% formed and may continue for a bit longer. The price has a chance to move within the Fibonacci Retracement levels as shown in the chart.
A path has been created with a potential resistance line (in formation).
It doesn't look that good for Bitcoin at this moment on the macro level. Be careful.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Inside Bar Candlestick Pattern 📉📉📉📉 We will cover the following today:
Inside Bar (Inside Day)
Inside Days
📉 Inside Days are a daily pattern involving two daily candles, we have a day of trade, also known as the ‘mother candle’ and then the following day trades the whole day within the range of the previous day. This is a two-day bias suggesting a potential reversal. A great way to play these sorts of biases is to pre-empt the failure of this reversal, as well as playing the success of the inside day, so what does this look like? Let’s take a look at an example below.
What is an inside bar? The inside bar is a popular reversal/continuation candle formation that only requires two candles to present itself. This pattern is a direct play on short-term market sentiment looking to enter before the 'big moves' that may take place in the market.
📉 Is an inside bar bullish?
Imagini pentru inside bar candlestick
First, unlike other candlestick patterns, inside bars are usually not distinguished as bullish and bearish by their look or color of the body itself, but rather by the location they are at and other peripheral developments
An “inside bar” pattern is a two-bar price action trading strategy in which the inside bar is smaller and within the high to low range of the prior bar, i.e. the high is lower than the previous bar's high, and the low is higher than the previous bar's low.
📉 TRADING WITH THE INSIDE BAR CANDLESTICK PATTERN: TOP TIPS AND STRATEGIES
Some traders consider it a continuation pattern though a breakout in the opposite direction is possible too. After price has trended up (or down) for an extended period, the pause in price movement (represented by the inside bar) precedes a reversal of the trend. Therefore, the inside bar is looked at for a short-term trade (or swing trading) in the counter-trend direction with the goal of holding the trade for less than 10 bars.
However, there is another way to trade inside bars and this is rooted directly from what the candle pattern does NOT reveal. When traders see an inside bar pattern form, it is interpreted as the markets unwillingness to push price higher or lower. This can be for any number of reasons:
An extremely pertinent report is being issued soon, or
The market just made a stratospheric leap and traders are tepid about bidding price much higher or lower.
Whatever the reason, the motive is the same: seeking potential volatility in an effort to increase profitability. When there is a situation in which traders are unwilling to bid price higher or lower, it is seen as a potential situation for future increases in volatility. The inside bar candle pattern is NOT telling traders that the market is bidding price higher or lower but rather that the market is waiting before making the next big move in the asset. This means potential opportunities for traders.
What do you think ? Comment below..
BTC Bitcoin: 1H Chart UpdateHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1H linear scale chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
My last chart for BTC had support and resistance trend lines set up and this update shows the 1H chart review of the current price action. BTC price seems to be headed back down.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Bitcoin - Caution. Here's what the bulls are now up against.Good Morning Traders,
I promised a mid-week update if Bitcoin didn't follow price action as I anticipated. It certainly did not. In fact, we are drawing close to a territory that concerns me. More on that below. But first, let's review what didn't happen:
BTC did not remain above the 100 day
BTC did not remain above the .618 fib retracement level
BTC did not ascend to an anticipate price zone I had circled above in the last chart.
Ok. So now, we must reanalyze our charts based upon the new price action and chart data we are observing. I've made note of the key items that I believe are the most significant on the chart. Some of these are bullish variables, and some are bearish.
Let's start with the bearish:
The list above plus,
We are deep in the FUD Zone, which if you zoom out on the daily could, in fact, be a longer-term bear flag from my H&S pattern which has yet to be completely invalidated. Yikes! Let's hope this is not the case.
We are getting too close for comfort to my long-trending yearly support line in the sand which today sits right around 38,500
We are below a fairly strong support level at 40,700 which will now act as overhead resistance
There is the potential that these last two green candles formed on the daily are simply the formation of a new bear flag, in which case, it might move us down further to a re-test of our yearly support.
As you all know, I absolutely DO NOT want us to test that support again. We have now tested this support nearly a dozen and a half times since Jan. and with each test/re-test, that support will become weeker and weeker. I do not know that it will hold should we get another re-test on it! If we break it, down we'll go!
Now the bullish indicators:
We bounced at the 80% fib retracement level. This level was drawn from the move up starting on March 14th to it's end at the 200 day ma on March 28th.
Not testing our yearly support again can also be viewed as positive (though, being so close is not necessarily bullish).
A look at the U.S. dollar chart indicates we are overdue for a pullback on dollar strength. This pullback, should it come, would give BTC the break it needs to move higher.
These are the details that I mainly wanted to relay to you all for now. I will do a video in a bit, reviewing this data and providing clarity for those of you that appreciate it.
Hope this helps a bit. Best to you all. Be cautious and careful with your trades for now. Direction is uncertain.
- Stewdam.us
Bitcoin Price: Support and ResistanceHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
I placed multiple Support and Resistance trend lines on the chart. Support is shown with the S and Resistance is shown with the R. I also showed the Fibonacci Retracement levels specifically the next possible support at 0.50 level in case Bitcoin price keeps falling.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
#BTC Bitcoin 1D Chart Possible FractalBTC hype train is back. It seems with the market structure, it is headed to a new all time high and above (assumption). So what if this move is playing like the last fractal?
I also put in trend lines and fib levels to see how it would work out if this move was similar to the last one in May before the dump.
What are your thoughts? Comment below and hit the like please. Thank you!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
April 10th 2022: Bitcoin prediction $15,000. $38K next.Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia: Bitcoin will be the next move towards the $38K towards the $15,000 price prophecy.
We have seen Bitcoin in a bull run and we enjoy the uptrend and sentiments hypes towards the $100K as many analyst bombarded with the demands towards 2 million left to mine.
What we see in actually a reverse.
What if anything we projected like the analyst told to be $100K is just another sentiment to create hype and it will never happen to make retails traders believe?
Our team of crypto whales had a meeting.
The actual plan is going to be reverse. We sell the gossip and buy the facts.
World is now changing. Trading changing with times. The change is so fast. Nothing in trading is fixed.
Our trading environment and style has been change before the pandemic. Now after the pandemic, it change significantly.
In cryptocurrency, the system is important. We cant defeat the system. We should follow the system.
On the other hand, people rushing and deposit the crypto while the reality is system inside the crypto is going to determine all of works.
The system push down so hard in the mining sector. Thus, it makes others deposit become negligible.
Next week people will convert their bitcoin into stable coins.
We are in the pursuit to stable the crypto system and energy mechanic.
In my webinar, I saw lots of people asking to me why the crypto in not like old days. Why the crypto is not hype back then like last year or 2021?
They do not understand the system. They do not understand the environment. They do not understand the maximalist (right now silence as they planned something).
What they know is deposit- at the end, the system goes down and the price went down. It makes retails trader baffled.
I will make a webinar meeting session to explain this in 8 hours session to cover this topic and to reveal what is behind the agenda.
Thanks!
#BTC #Bitcoin bullish green or bearish red?Bitcoin remains indecisive with the long-term uptrend possibly slightly swaying us in favour of the bullish scenario.
The only way we can tell who has taken over, the bulls or the bears, is if we close above or below the marked prices.
A daily close above 54k would instigate the bulls taking over
A daily close below 37.7k would instigate the bears taking over
Something to also bear in mind is the DXY (Dollar Currency Index) TVC:DXY , this has a huge impact on the crypto market, when it pumps the crypto market generally dumps and visa versa.
The DXY is approaching a critical moment currently sitting around 99.9 after a move to the upside, a close above 100.452 would mean an almost certain dump off for crypto. While a move back down to 96.59 would mean some rest bite and allow the crypto market to recover somewhat.
If we were to close below the support at 96.59 on the DXY we could begin to plan our crypto bull market return.
As always let me know your thoughts and leave a like :)
Bitcoin bounce?Btc is hitting the 4hr 200 ma with both 20/50emas sitting at the red resistance line. A bounce is very likely in my opinion, but may not happen. TA is like educated gambling. It’s like being the house at the casino and playing with odds in your favor. If a casino in Vegas announced they were paying out odds, 70 you win / 30 we lose, we would all be rushing to find a table. Not saying I’m 70% sure I’m always right, just giving an example of what it means to do what I am trying to do. You’re never going to always be right but with odds in your favor, you’re also not going to not try. - HH