Bitcointrading
Bitcoin 📢 NO MORE DUMPS... but NO PARABOLA either📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
More and more institutional buyers have recently admitted to investing in BTC, as we see Grayscale and BlackRock (to name a few) all invest massive amounts into this digital currency.
This could mean a few things for this bullish cycle, including:
📢 More reach (more retail investors)
📢 Higher market cap (more wallets being created)
📢 Less volatility than previous cycles (institutional trading and holding)
📢 More reach (more retail investors)
Recent news headlines have made almost anyone with a access to the internet aware of Bitcoin, if they haven't heard before. BTC promises great returns and is generally more stable than altcoins, making it a great start for newcomers who may want to try their luck with cryptocurrencies.
📢 Higher market cap (more wallets being created)
The market capitalization increases as more liquidity (cash) is invested into BTC. As more and more institutions are buying and more and more people are buying, new wallets are being created at and more money is converted to Bitcoin.
📢 Less volatility than previous cycles (institutional trading and holding)
Usually when large institutions enter the market, the volatility reduces. We see this clearly with most-traded commodities such as gold and silver. It becomes a safe haven for investors as they see brokers and other institutions give the nod of approval to Bitcoin.
These are a few reasons as to why I'm not expecting a parabolic increase towards a new ATH, and neither a correction bigger than 30%.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITCOIN - 27/02/24' - Weekly Update Hello everyone,
hope you guys doing great..
Firstly I would like to adress something from *Last update*, since some of you may been confused..
When I ment in update, that I expecting *Bearish Sentiment for 0-48hours* - IT MEAN, I EXPECT BEARISH SENTIMENT FOR 0-48 - Not for 5D, Week, Month etc..
and as far as Im concern, thats exactly what happend, before market continued remaining bullish to this day..
Secondly, since is close to end of month, and I would like to break down Market from Top to Bottom, I decided to wait With Update till Friday, when Monthly and other Highier time frame candles will close..
Meanwhile, I would just like to point out THAT -->
Previously, when we reached closing price of 3M candle(either went slightly above or under), both times after that in upcoming days to weeks to MONTHs, we got some type of correction..
I will get deeper to it Friday...
Until then, be carefull guys, and dont forget to use PROTECTION while you wildin out there ^^
Joe
BITCOIN - 4h breakdown Update to Weekly Outlook 20/02/24'Hello everyone,
just a quick update to Yesterday Weekly outlook..
4h Idea Breakdown chart:
Reasons WHY Short in next 0 to 48 hours:
1 - is Lower Close then 2
2 - is Highier Close then 3, BUT it have Lower Candle High
3 - have Lower Close then 2 and Last Green Candle,
BUT in the same time have Highier Candle High
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These are Reasons WHY I believe we are about to Short in next 0-36(48) hours at least
& WHY I was yesterday slightly more bearish then bullish, but since it developed as it did, it gave me more confirmation and confidence that we are about to go Lower (Short market).
Aswell, if you decide to take a trade, DONT FORGET TO USE STOP LOSS, for your own good.
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
BITCOIN - Weekly Outlook 20/02/24'Hello everyone,
just a quick Weekly update..
I believe that not much changed Price wise since last week, BUT we got some developments and news from Macro Economy perspective...
So, Im still somewhat alerted we are RIGHT now possibly "around" or "not so far" from High, before of "reversing" at for week/two..
WITH still having in mind, that ONLY ONE TIME in History, when Market conditions was closest to similar as we are today, Market didnt find its TOP until FED started cutting rates...
So there is still possibility of going Highier with time (March,April), even tho Price wise we already elevated a lot... and thats the reason Why is Executing a Trade Correctly right now difficult...
So AGAIN, I would suggest EVERYONE to use STOP LOSS, if you decide to trade...
cause, PROTECTING CAPITAL should be your Number 1 object every time!!!
-- I would like to state, that due to everything ment above and previously - I Labeled this Idea NEUTRAL - but, my bias is slightly more bearish, that bullish as for Right Now. --
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
Bitcoins the King of Crypto Currency to Hit $54k+In the kingdom of crypto, BTC makes a decree and others follow, Lots of ranging market experienced over the past few days / week is not strange as the momentum to push upwards needs to be gathered,
That seems to have been completed,
The bulls are ready for a new ride......
At DANCOLNATION CAPITAL, We shall be monitoring candlesticks formations and chart pattern with other tools for confluence purposes and refining of our entry as the market acts
BITCOIN - Weekly Outlook 13/02/24'Hello everyone,
hope you guys doing great.
So those who follow know, that my close monitoring and breaking down chart payed off...
Since we was able to recognize that probabilities of reverse shifting and favouring Upside price targets when Price was refusing to go lower under price level I ment in last updates..
So hope everyone bagged some profits already, and if not, its still great time to do right now as we sits just around 50k which is GREAT price for some profit taking for several reason, more about why you can find inside ↓↓↓ ...
As for WHAT Im doing RIGHT NOW - is that I closly follow lower time frame charts 5min/15min and 1h...
Since Im of opinion that we rallied A LOT already and is Tuesday, which following my data shows as a day with the MOST Liquidity reverses (meaning, we go for Sellside liquidity)..
So with that in mind and aswell upcomin US CPI numbers Im alerted that there is highier chance of revisiting Lower prices then sustained rallie on upside.. BUT!! even in this scenario Im thinking that is still possible that price can rallie a bit highier (51k to 51,8k max.) BEFORE reversing... at least for this WEEK!
-- In simple terms, I think we can rallie today up to 51,8k MAX! as a possibility, but Its Low% chance BUT if its happend, IT WILL BE GREAT SHORT ENTRY PRICE for me! --
--- IN THE SAME TIME - I think we are in GREAT SHORT PRICE entry RIGHT NOW, since, we already rallied a LOT, and above ment price is only 2% max.3% highier.. and since its possible we dont get that PERFECT entry area around 51k... it would be SMART to follow lower time frames as I ment, and entry "smaller" position In correct time, before building that short trade more ---
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
King Bitcoin is going to be ready for next falling down !!!Dear All,
Hope you have a good day!
According to chart, you can see that I understand bitcoin is going to complete last upward moving for grabbing enough liquidity for its next falling down wedge if price could not break the 52K - 55K.
Anyway, I just want to warn you that maybe it is not so that fancy and good time now to have long positions for long term or holding purposes, It is better to wait until price straggling around 55K and see if buyers are the winners or sellers take their position back.
It is just a financial advice BUT the risks of your trades are on your own and upon your decisions.
Take care and have nice day !
BTCUSDT: 4-Hour Rally to 46000! 🚀🎯Dive into the world of BTCUSDT as we ride the 4-hour chart with an active trade, capitalizing on a strong uptrend. An order block has formed, and an adaptive trend is in play, signaling potential gains. Keep your sights on the target: 46000.
This is a dynamic market scenario, and active trading decisions should align with thorough research and risk management. Always stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions.
Note: We are not responsible for any profit or loss resulting from trading decisions. Trade responsibly and consider consulting a financial advisor.
Explore the opportunities, navigate the charts, and consider the potential of BTCUSDT with this active trade analysis. 🌊💹 #BTCUSDT #ActiveTrade #Uptrend #DynamicMarkets
BTC Drop loadingI wasn't expecting the price to rise so much, but doesn't matter. As we has seen lot of times, it's squeezing some shorts. And as always, the higher the squeeze, the deeper the drop. I don't think it will broke above previous high (but i can be wrong), but what is sure is that is going to drop soon. It's clearly a bull trap, and it can go up a bit more before dropping. 41k is my main target, and invalidation will be clean break above 49k. Most important, don't long now.
BITCOIN Weekly Update 05/02/2024 - 4hr breakdownHello again,
so little quick cooperation on my statement : That by prolonged time of staying in highier price range without retracing down, odds are shifting to probability of going highier with time.
So for better visibility I colored chart..
Now its clearly to see, that we stuck in price accumulation before unloading move..
But, its aswell clearly to see, that with time we slowly progressing highier, to our Buyside liquidity area and is unknown if we are willing to break to Highier range... Thats why for me is important FED high, which serve at this point of time as REVERSE point for me ... If I see price going above, and not willing to work to lower part of that range.. It should be "EARLY" signal, that there are increased odds of revisiting Highs from January and potentional more...
Thats WHY is this idea not labeled long or short...
But, if we not START to Reversing lower very soon (next 4-12 hours), odds to price pushing above 44k increasing a lot.
So AGAIN, if you decide to make move and enter the trade, using STOP LOSS is a MUST!
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
BITCOIN Weekly Outlook 05/02/2024Hello guys,
great week to everyone.
So my view on BITCOIN didnt change in last days.
I think the IDEA from last Update is still in play.
But - Im staying alerted, since trading range is getting squeezed into tight range, so I would be expecting highier tide of volatility to come sooner rather then later. For this reason, I would again suggest to EVERYONE to use STOP LOSS.
Reason why Im somewhat "alerted" is - longer we stay in highier price range, without moving further down, in my view, it increasing chances of our idea to be WRONG- and as stated in big Q1 update, until FED start cutting, or somethiing going significantly wrong, market will go highier with time... So this would invalid our view.. BUT UNTIL IT HAPPEND we need to suggest that Sellside liquidity is the 1st target before potentional continuation of move upside since that how chart present itself after meeting...
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
BITCOIN FED Meeting Aftermath 01/02/24'Hi again...
As I ment in into, I think this FED meeting was kinda good lead what to expect next, especially because J.Powell insight, since he run the show.
To understand better my Idea whats going on, I try to break Weekly time frame into Daily chart posted under..
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So, in my understanding all what every Asset does, is Run between certain Liquidity targets and in right Time it displace. This process is repeated endleslly..
When we Check our bigger time frames Week+ , Its clearly to see that we extended to Highier prices due to many factors and if History is any indication we always should expect Run BOTH sides of liquidity before next displacement...
Meaning, since we go too much extended on Buyside in 2023, there is left huge amount Sellside liquidity which will be aimed at some Time point, it is just not 100% clear if its gonna unfold NOW!..
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So when we move down, from Weekly to Daily chart, its easy to SEE, HOW we Runned between these TWO RED lines for a LOT of time.. and occasionally it moved above/bellow to take that liquidity...
NOW - Most imporstant for ME, is YESTERDAY reaction, where we rallied close to 44k as expected possible scenario, and then we REVERSED, to lower 42k where we at RIGHT NOW.
SO, as LONG as Price not RUN above YESTERDAY highs, and keep being there, I WOULD EXPECT WITH HIGH PROBABILITY that next Price liquidity range is BETWEEN GREEN lines... as soon as we reach this Liquidity, our outlook must be reevaluated once again!
Aswell, since we still in after FED meeting pre-market, I would expect little bounce bellow yesterday highs, before real move lower start unfolding.. So be carefull into JUMPING Short straith away.. rather check Lower (15min/5min) time frame, for picking the Best entry oportunity with sound STOP LOSS in CASE asset decide to run highier...
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
BTC - Expected Price Up Until HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
With the ETF approval priced in, next thing is the upcoming BTC halving expected in April - but wat does this mean for the price of BTC?
When there's an unprecedented event that will affect the markets, it's helpful to return to the basics:
👉 Buy the rumor, sell the news
👉 Macro Analysis
👉 Candlestick analysis
👉 Buy the rumor, sell the news
The ETF was again, a perfect example of this. Although it's possible for the price to increase days leading up to the halving, from a previous analysis we determined that BTC usually drops before halving.
👉 Macro Analysis
Bitcoin is due for a correction / pullback. Even dropping to lower 30K zone would still be a lower high, classic Elliot Wave Theory before the next upwards impulse wave, which is the biggest ( wave 2).
👉 Candlestick analysis
BTC has made 8 consecutive green candles in the two week timeframe. A few red ones are definitely overdue. This will support as a "fundamental reason" for the halving drop.
NOTE that I am still BULLISH on BTC. We're in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle, but there are pullbacks and corrections in upward cycles - and I'm expecting that we're currently trading in correction wave 1-2.
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢
👍Hit like & Follow 👍
CryptoCheck
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSD Trading Plan - 31/Jan/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect BTC to go Up if it gives correction here.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
BTCUSD: Bullish if it closes over the 1D MA50.Bitcoin is crossing over the 1D MA50, negating the previous bearish trend, by turning the 1D technical outlook neutral (RSI = 54.571, MACD = -301.200, ADX = 35.239). If the 1D candle closes over the 1D MA50, then we expect a bullish breakout like the one on June 20th 2023, which hit the previous High of the Channel Up (R1 level). Consequently we will go long if that 1D candle closing condition is fulfilled and target the R1 level again (TP = 49000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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BITCOIN Weekly Outlook 29/01/24'Hello everyone,
new week, new BITCOIN update. Hope everyone doing great!
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This week should be lot of FUN, due to FED meeting at Wednesday,
Im expecting increase in volatility so I suggest to everyone act accordingly.
So as I ment in Last Update, there was increased chance of retracing back to Highier prices, due to expected News last week.. and we rallied aproximatly where I eyed between 44-42k$.
In fact, we came back to almost exact Price, where I was firstly highly persuaded that we are in Great Odds for Short trade, thats why I suggested to use Trailing Stop Loss, to bag some of profits while we benefit from them. So everyone who did, good job guys.
So, as for RIGHT NOW , I think, we came back to great SHORT area, BUT we need to remember, that there is still potentional of going to Highier prices (44k$ area). We cant forget that! So if you decide to Short market, YOU HAVE TO USE STOP LOSS!!! Especially, when there is most likly volatility spike coming, due to FED meeting mid-week..
So, IF I was opening Short right now, I would check Lower timeframes (15minutes/5min), to found Price where STOP LOSS WILL BE!! Reason behind that is, IF I expect Market to going Lower before Meeting is done, THEN price SHOULD NOT going back highier about price I picked. PRICE I would choose right now is around 42599,99$ .. which is around 1% from where Price is Right Now, and its Representing area around Weekend Highs.. and so IF we expecting Start of Week to going Lower, this Price range SHOULD NOT BE TOUCHED... IF IT IS, there is possibility of going to Highier price ment earlier.. So STOP LOSS protect us from unnecessarly damage and we can adjust with NEW trade in CORRECT time LATER!
So again, BE CAREFULL with opening new trade right now, it can start moving real quick.
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe