Bitcointrend
Bitcoin (BTC) / Daily Insight for next 6 Month / 28-10-23Bitcoin (BTC)
*In this analysis I used the Binance Perpetual Future Chart
In Forecast data at the 1 hour TF closing at 10.00 WIB Price BTC closed in a Strong Bullish condition.
I assume BTC still has the potential to retest the $42,000 range with an increase of around 20-23%. This reflects the positive sentiment in the media and also fear and greed market data, where currently BTC is at level 71 (Greed). In terms of indicators and also BTC dex price data there has been a very significant increase in the last 7 days.
For spot holders, I think this is the right time to start considering starting accumulation marking, but make sure to be careful by paying attention to previous price history.
And for personal opinion, look at the data displayed on the chart. There is still a big possibility for BTC price to move higher to retest the major resistance area before the halving.
Important points to monitor:
pivot point : $34,449
Support Levels:
$33,801
$33,139
$32,491 (Strong support)
Resistance Levels:
$35,112
$35,759
$36,422
Bitcoin is going up and we have a chance to make a good profit fThere is no indication that bitcoin is going down, we are going very high and those who think otherwise will either stay where they are or realize when it is too late. To me, crypto is a huge legal pyramid scheme and in order for someone to win, someone has to lose, you have to know how to sell at the right time. Anyway, we are low and a good investment is waiting for us and a good buy is now
$Bitcoin - Its all in the charts.As can be seen, BTC is moving in a curve. This curve seems to have found bottom around 16k for this cycle and is right now hugging the bottom trend line.
-Given this curve, will we see 16k again?
-Looking at the historicals, most likely not. But IF the price action breaks the bottom trendline then that will be a first and after that anything can happen.
If everything goes according to plan, and by plan I mean according to history, we should see a cycle top around next year second half, latest by start of 2025 but we may not need that much time.
-What will be the catalyst for a new cycle top?
-No idea. I make my decisions only looking at the chart and not news.
-Can I be wrong?
-Maybe, maybe not.
Only thing we as investors can do, is to DCA our position and wait.
Bitcoin analysis in Time One daily timeI still believe that the $25,000 level is empty of buyers and easily broken
The price finally consumed the twice-ignored node at the price of 28,600 in the direction of the trend and continues its price movement.
The price is decreasing in the short term and our purchases are activated in the range below 22,000
I watch the market
Not financial advice
BTCUSDT final leg down short?Is it time for BTC to go down? Is this the start of a possible 5th wave?
This is only one possible TA for short, although there are many arguments and the possibility that BTC is still going up. But currently the risk reward is so good that this trade looks very attractive. The analysis was made with Fibonacci, Elliot waves and harmonic patterns. Currently BTC reached TP1 for Anti Bat pattern. More on this, that is, in more detail the next day or two, when I have a little more time (and until then, if the bulls want to, I can disable this idea)
Macro, multi year view of BTC. Update 1Notes on the chart:
• Month counting starts from where a new bull run begins and on the chart it marks how many months it took for the full cycle to complete (roughly 49mo).
• Blue horizontal lines are BTC halvings.
• Green zones are accumulation zones
Overall update of the 4-year journey
Back from our previous post we were looking at when the lows would be printed. After the rally in H1 of 2023, we are now looking at the expectations in the year looking forward and up to 2025.
In trend with previous years when a new cycle starts an initial top is usually printed within 6 months and this time was no different. Based on history, from month 6 (July 23) onwards, up until the halving which is expected in March 2024, BTC has seen significant drops.
However, I would strongly argue this is the true accumulation zone:
1) Confirmation of the 4-year cycle low has been set. Of course, this can be invalidated, but I would say that a significant catastrophic event would be needed to reach such levels.
2) Before every bull run, a shake-out is needed as it achieves the transfer of bitcoin from retail back to investors AND
3) Large institutions are finally eyeing to tap into the market and be exposed to this.
I think it would be impossible for anyone in this space to miss the idea of a BTC spot ETF being delayed over and over but the narratives just seem to be perfectly aligning for the upcoming years 24,25. Those would be: US elections, returning to QE as recession fears grow (consumer spending is dwindling), possibly the Ukraine war will be over, and BTC halving.
Takeaway
The period up until the halving will be volatile. However, based on history DCA up until the halving should allow you to have a fairly comfortable position for the following years.
4-Hour Bitcoin Trading: Fibonacci Moving Average (FMA) Strategy Hey there, Bitcoin enthusiasts! Today, I want to share with you about a popular trading strategy that I use everyday, with Fibonacci Moving Average (FMA) numbers. I'll zoom in on the 4-hour chart to get a closer look at how it works. This strategy can provide some valuable insights into what's happening in the market, and I'll break it down step by step.
EMA 144 Crossing EMA 233 After a Bearish Engulfing Candle: So, first things first, when we see the EMA 144 crossing below the EMA 233 right after a bearish engulfing candle, it's like a red flag waving at us. This suggests that the selling pressure is building up, and it might be a sign that prices are about to drop.
Breaking the EMA 610 Support (Since Jan 2023): Next, we've got the EMA 610. This line has been a strong support level since January 2023. When the price breaks below it, it's like breaking through a safety net. It tells us that market sentiment is changing, and we might be entering a bearish trend.
Retests and Rejections: After that, we see a series of retests of different EMAs – the EMA 610, EMA 233, and EMA 144. And guess what? Each time, there's a big rejection. These rejections are pretty significant:
EMA 610 Rejection: The first time we try to get back above the EMA 610, it says, "Nope!" This reinforces the idea that this line is now acting as resistance, not support.
Second EMA 610 Rejection: We give it another shot, but no luck. The EMA 610 is still saying, "I'm not letting you through." It's like a stubborn gatekeeper.
Sideways Movement: Then, we see some sideways action. Prices are stuck between the EMA 144 and EMA 233. It's like a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Nobody's sure where things are headed.
Drop to Test Support: Eventually, we take a plunge to test lower support levels. This is in line with the bearish outlook, indicating that we're exploring lower price ranges.
Pullback and EMA 233 Retest with Huge Rejection: Finally, there's a pullback, and we give the EMA 233 a shot. But it slams the door in our face with a big rejection. This tells us that the bears are still firmly in control.
Now, why do we see these rejections? Well, it's partly because of human psychology. Traders who missed the initial breakdown of these EMAs see these retests as a second chance to sell. Plus, big players like institutions and algorithmic traders often pay close attention to these levels, making them even more important. It's like a self-fulfilling prophecy – everyone expects a rejection, so it happens.
In a nutshell, the Bitcoin Fibonacci Moving Average (FMA) strategy on the 4-hour chart is a valuable tool for navigating the crypto market. By analyzing things like EMA crossovers, support breaks, retests, and rejections, you can get a solid grasp of what's going on and make smarter trading decisions. Those rejections at key EMAs remind us that technical analysis and human behavior play a big role in crypto trading – it's not just about numbers and charts!
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIt's evident that Bitcoin has faced sustained downward pressure for a considerable period. A close examination of the chart reveals a decisive breach of the existing trading range to the downside, followed by a subsequent retracement. In our discussion, we explore the prospect of a potential entry point, while also carefully analyzing certain adverse indicators that are clearly visible on the chart. It's crucial to emphasize that all insights and analyses are comprehensively explained in the accompanying video and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
BTC Update - 17/08/2023BTC needs to protect 27000-27500 Zone to protect bullish pattern.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Time to be Cautious with Bearish Signs ShowingHi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Bitcoin (BTC) on the 3 Day Timeframe.
We've attempted since April 2023 to try and break ABOVE the Resistance Trend Line
From End of June to Mid July, we attempted to Re-test the Resistance trendline for couple weeks BUT Failed with a REJECTION.
Which brought Price Action to test SUPPORT on the 21 EMA (Purple line), before finally breaking through the 21 EMA and 50 SMA (Green line) with an ENGULFING BEARISH CANDLE.
Bringing us below the 0.786 FIB level.
But pay attention to the Volume, we initially have a spike in VOLUME during the break down but there has not yet been signs of follow through so wtch closely.
2 Major patterns have shown up that makes me CAUTIOUS with BTC atleast for the short term.
If they play out could bring BTC to test the 0.618 FIB level @ $24200
***1st is the fast approaching DEATH CROSS, where the 21 EMA crosses below the 50 SMA.
If you look left ( on your own time) as i have not zoomed out on the chart.
There are MIXED scenarios where some indicate massive bear markets and other times where we have price declines that last only couple months.
I think the later is more likely where we have a correction for some weeks to couple months before having a GOLDEN CROSS and continuing back into a BULL market.
***2nd is the BEARISH DIVERGENCE forming in the charts.
This is when Price action shows HIGHER LOWS but Indicators show LOWER LOWS.
AND that 2 Indicators are showing such signs.
It normally leads PRICE ACTION to mirrow the indicators by also forming a Lower Low.
Thus having the 0.618 FIB level be that LOWER LOW Target.
ALso i would love to see in the Indicators:
1. RSI Move back ABOVE Red Horizontal Line
2. MACD Move back ABOVE 0 level
If we dont, we can see further price DECLINES adding to the risk of seeing that 0.618 FIB Level.
This 2 Bearish Signs merit CAUTION in BTC, i would not take positions here but wait out to see how things play out.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on BTC in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy
"BTC: A Bearish Omen Looms - Could Bitcoin Drop to $20K?"Bitcoin (BTC) has just unveiled a potentially ominous signal - a head and shoulder pattern. This pattern suggests a looming drop in BTC's value, potentially reaching as low as $20,000.
What makes this intriguing is that these technical patterns often await a major negative development in the crypto world before they swing into action. Keep a close eye on the market, as exciting yet unpredictable times could be ahead.
bitcoin predictionBitcoin is currently in an 'C' upward trend.
Scenario 1: There is a possibility that it may experience a decline again from the most common 1:1 extension length of 27284.
Scenario 2: Due to strong selling pressure, it might not reach the 1:1 extension length and could start declining from now on.
Scenario 3: As everyone is anticipating further downside, it could actually rise up to 29000.
Bitcoin New Low?Speculative forecast for a potential new low around mid-november with a $14,353 target. Seems like a nice enough number to trick the bulls into assuming 15.4k will hold whilst also painfully disappointing the bears who wait for 8-13k.
DCA throughout the levels is the safest play. Accurate entries to nail the bottom is anybody's guess.
Analysis of Bitcoin's Recent Price Movement and Technical PatterBINANCE:BTCUSD
I wanted to provide you with an analysis of the recent price movement of Bitcoin, particularly its drop from the 30k area to the 26k area. This movement has attracted significant attention from investors and traders alike, and I believe it's important to understand the underlying technical factors at play.
Price Movement Overview:
Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has experienced a notable decline in its price, with it dropping from the 30k area to the 26k area. This represents a decrease of approximately 13% within a relatively short time frame. Such price movements often trigger discussions about potential trends and patterns in the market.
Double Top Pattern:
One prominent technical pattern that has emerged is the formation of a double top pattern on the weekly chart. A double top pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs after a prolonged uptrend. It's characterized by two peaks at roughly the same price level, separated by a dip. In this case, the first peak was around the 30k area, followed by a decline, and then another attempt to reach similar highs before the drop to the 26k area.
Support Level:
Currently, Bitcoin seems to have found support around the 26k area, where it has previously bounced off during its earlier bull run. The concept of support suggests that there is a level at which buying interest outweighs selling pressure, leading to a potential price rebound. Monitoring how Bitcoin reacts at this support level will be crucial in determining the short-term direction of the market.
Implications:
The formation of a double top pattern coupled with the support level around 26k raises interesting possibilities. If Bitcoin fails to gain momentum and breaks below this support, it could signal further downward pressure, potentially leading to a more prolonged correction. On the other hand, if Bitcoin manages to hold its ground and reverses the current trend, it might indicate a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the recent price movement of Bitcoin from the 30k area to the 26k area has sparked discussions about technical patterns and support levels. The emergence of a double top pattern on the weekly chart suggests potential bearish implications, while the current support level adds an element of uncertainty. Traders and investors will be closely watching how Bitcoin reacts in the coming days to gain insights into its short-term trajectory.
As always, the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and a comprehensive analysis should consider a variety of factors beyond technical patterns. Please feel free to reach out if you have any further questions or require additional analysis.
Disclaimer:
This idea and analysis is my own and is not financial advice