BTC Historic & Current ValueIn this idea we'll have a look at the history of BTCUSD on a daily timeframe using value maps based on-chain balanced price and market data. Additionally, we'll take a look at BTCUSD on a daily timeframe using market price value oscillator.
The chart below shows a value map that takes into account the balanced BTC on-chain price and projects that onto a custom value map (grid) which shows both local and market tops/bottoms.
The chart below shows a value map based on pure market data and time which shows two bands. The top band shown in pink/blue shows market tops and the bottom band in yellow and orange showing market bottoms.
Below is both the on-chain value map and the market value map bands together which provides a very clear picture of both historic market cycles and the existing market progress with $32,000 being a key resistance level.
Next we'll have a look at a custom market price value oscillator that is designed to show the best purchase opportunities in green, secondary good purchase opportunities in blue, best shorting opportunities in purple and market tops in red.
Bitcointrend
A new lost decade of stagflation is comingYou better get used to working hard, because the days of easy magic fairy dust money are long gone after 40 years of mania.
The following scenario is going to make wallstreet very angry and I'm sure a lot of retail investors are going to be forced to give up and start working longer hours to adapt to an expensive already inflated life that just won't lower prices anymore, while at the same time, record high interest rates have already made it much harder for everyone to access bank loans and 0% credit cards.
From Japanese herbivore men to Western Men Going Their Own Way, Japan during the 80s and 90s is the textbook play for the world to follow.
What is usually known as "depevelopment" is actually a 4th stage of population growth/flattening that will surely lead to a global ageing population or demographic and pension crisis in the coming years and decades.
So technically, there won't be any great depression like 1929, and there won't be any hyperinflation either (except for a few failed states in Latinamerica of course),
A recession is not as boring and as predictable, as an eternally long stagflation, which is the most hated but necessary scenario to push foward out of so much debt.
Bitcoin Is Secure:3 Steps To Solve Capital LossAddressing loss of capital in Bitcoin involves managing your investments and risks wisely. While there are no foolproof strategies, here are three steps to help mitigate potential losses:
Diversification: One of the fundamental principles of investing is diversifying your portfolio. Instead of putting all your capital into Bitcoin alone,
consider spreading your investments across different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or other cryptocurrencies.
Diversification helps reduce the impact of a single asset's poor performance on your overall capital. If Bitcoin experiences a significant decline, having other investments can help offset some of the losses.
Risk Management: Develop a clear risk management strategy. Decide on an acceptable percentage of your capital that you are willing to risk on Bitcoin or any other high-volatility investment.
This is often referred to as setting a "stop-loss" level. If the value of your Bitcoin investment reaches that predetermined level, you will sell to minimize further losses.
It's essential to stick to your risk management plan and not let emotions dictate your actions during times of market volatility.
Stay Informed and Avoid FOMO: Stay updated on the latest news and trends in the cryptocurrency market.
Being informed about factors that could affect Bitcoin's price can help you make more educated decisions.
Additionally, avoid falling into the "Fear of Missing Out" (FOMO) trap. FOMO can lead to impulsive decisions, such as buying at the peak of a rally, which increases the risk of losses when the market corrects.
Bonus Tip: Consider using dollar-cost averaging, where you invest a fixed amount of money at regular intervals (e.g., monthly)
instead of making a lump sum investment. This strategy can help mitigate the impact of short-term price fluctuations and potentially improve your overall average entry price.
Remember that investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Only invest capital that you can afford to lose, and always conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
If you're unsure about investing in cryptocurrencies, consider seeking advice from a financial advisor with expertise in this area.
Bitcoin history and future1W time frame
-
Every vertical dotted lines stand for halving timing, we call them "a cycle" between two lines.
Every cycles have similar trend, we can mark them with three colors as below.
(1) White range stand for Bull high to Bear second low
(2) Red range stand for Bull high to Bear low
(3) Green range stand for Bear low to Next halving
According to halving in 2012 and 2016, we can expect Bitcoin make a second low (below 20000) in near future, the most possible time range is from August '23 to February '24.
Before the second low coming, Bitcoin will likely reach price over 33000, therefore, be careful of being fomo and get ready with patience to buy spot.
New Bull Run Is Gonna Start But Till When?I have split EMA 50/200 Golden Cross and Death Cross in 3D chart.
As we see we have bar/accumulation zone then we have bull run, for many people bull run means ATH but I don't think like this, it is a long term trend.
Trend will start soon even covid black swan couldn't make it death cross so this trend is %100 till now.
From 21.07.2023 our golden cross will start (hope so) and we will forward, first we should move at least %50 upside, correction. Retest for 200 EMA, probably will be somehere 30K then another steps up to upside.
Adoptation, instutions, goverments, metaverse, de-fi 2.0, AI, CBDC count as many things for your long term plans.
Till 2026 we have death cross time period so bull run might finish end of 2025 or early 2026.
So are you still afraid that Bitcoin gonna 10K?
There will many times to scared but not right now, please don't fomo in, don't all in. Crypto is risky asset.
Have a nice day, all of gonna be super rich!
bitcoin long setup bitcoin best long from value are low . poc
u can target up to value are high .
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Bitcoin. The beginning of the end?Bitcoin. The beginning of the end?
#Bitcoin.
I'm observing a sell-off in the asset. A set of short positions. That doesn't mean we're going to go down in flames. It means we can try to win back a short position, which is what I'm going to do.
My sell entry will be at the marks:
$31,400 - $31,600 as soon as there's a retest of that level.
At the retest I will look for reversal patterns and weakness of the asset. After that I will make a decision to enter the trade.
I wish you a good day, dear colleagues. Let's try to make money for a living)
bitcoin prediction1. 29800 Long
2. 28700 Long
3. 27900 Long
Trade with caution.
Lower the leverage.
The issue can be resolved by purchasing in thirds with a 5x leverage.
Why do we liquidate everything at once when the leverage is over 20x?
Let's receive feedback for me and grow together by learning patiently.
bitcoin prediction- I said I would take a short position if B rebounds near 31,000.
- Currently, B has rebounded more than expected due to the expansion flat,
and now only a drop towards Z remains.
- There is a possibility that Z could drop to 28,850,
which is 161.8% of the length of W.
My perspective remains the same.
bitcoin prediction-The final Z-wave could be near 28855, which is 161.8% of the length of the W-wave.
-The current decline could occur as quickly as today or take up to 5 days to unfold.
-Taking into account the possibility of a B rebound up to around 31k,
one could consider holding back and potentially shorting near that level.
Arguments of a week's size. Hi!
We have some important signs for the dollar index that don't bode well for the crypto market!
This is the 1 WEEK CHART.
This is a high degree of reliability.
In fact, what we saw on last week's hourly chart has already developed into a persistent reversal.
1: Ishimoku. The green Kumo cloud has halted Bitcoin's fall. In fact its lower boundary Senkou B has not been tested. Kijun-sen also does not show resistance to the candlestick, and usually turns out to be the next support later...
2. EMA100 area is a support in the weekly chart. This is a very good signal for the continuation of USD strengthening trend!
3. The volatility has stopped falling and the first red shortening bar appeared. I'm sure in a few weeks there will also be the first black cross signifying a squeeze before an upside shot.
4. Stochastic has reversed and is flying up.
5. This is a Heikin Ashi chart and it is more sensitive to a trend reversal than normal Japanese candlesticks. You can see how we started this week.
Conclusion.
Remember, Bitcoin is still private money (even if influential funds buy it for investment purposes). Bitcoin has no monetary authority, it plays on the open market against fiat currencies (primarily the dollar), which are managed by powerful financial institutions.
This new weekly green candle is the result of a +0.25% increase in the Fed's key rate. Dollar borrowing has become expensive. Why should there be free liquidity available in the market to inject into high risk assets? Or do you believe that private hands around the world will outbid the Fed?
No, I do not believe that this weak sideways move of Bitcoin in November-December was a consolidation.
Now the curses will come )))
P.S. If I'm wrong, that's my problem.
You can watch this chart and decide your’s opinion.
I don't want to change your mind at all.
I am only pointing out my thoughts.
But I would like people to think better.