Bitcoin Dump: 54K next support?54K seems to be the most likely support level on the 4-hour chart for Bitcoin/USD.
After that 52K .
A drop to 48K seems unlikely . But possible.
A reminder that this is the 4-Hour Chart. If you zoom out, you will notice that Bitcoin is not yet in a bear market.
Technical Analysis tools used:
Volume, Ichimoku Clouds, Fibonnaci Retracement, Volume Delta, Support Lines.
The Fibonacci Retracement show the next likely support levels which correlates closely with the (orange) support lines.
Price action below the Ichimoku Cloud signals the continuation of a bearish trend.
The new Volume Delta Indicator shows a divergence of sell volume domination over market price, which leads me to believe a trend reversal is coming soon. (around 52-54k)
up-to-date Fundamental Analysis:
Good news to consider:
Possible ETF unbanning and adoption in China (unconfirmed)
World's largest custodian bank, BNY Mellon reports exposure to BTC ETF
Halvening in effect
First Bitcoin ETF's launched in Asia (Hong Kong)
Bad news to consider:
CEO of Binance sentencing (30. April 24)
Prominent Bitcoin Figures arrested
Government crackdowns in US/UK/EU on centralized elements of the cryptocurrency ecosystem (CEX, Custodial Wallets, etc.).
Asian Bitcoin ETF's flopped due to low volumes on opening day.
Psychological Considerations:
must-reach-100k mentality of the Bitcoin community
Community psychological barrier against centralization and regulation
50k support
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Bitcoinusd
Excited for Bitcoins FutureI decided to chart BTCUSD because I believe we're in an exciting time. We're starting to see our first sign of early growth following post halving. BTC is currently testing a key zone around level $59,750. (Yellow Weekly Line) I see two possible scenarios occurring so I'm in a stalemate on direction. If BTC breaks the current tested level to the upside, I think it'll rise, pullback, then rise more towards the 4HR Resistance Trendline. (Blue Line) I am optimistic but I'm not naive. If BTC fails to break and surpass the current level, then I think it will consolidate until it brings in the power needed to create a new ATH. I don't believe it will go lower than $55,000.
I am going to chart BTC alongside ApeWifHat Weekly. I believe its one the next Meme Coins to 1000x. Im super early and super bullish.
apewifhat.net
What's your thoughts? Comment below
This is my first BTC idea! Plenty more to come.
BTCUSD 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRTP: 70382.05
SL: 57172.95
In this trading strategy, we present a compelling opportunity for a short position on the BTCUSD currency pair, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe. By incorporating key technical indicators such as the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for trend analysis, and Supertrend for entry signals, traders can aim to achieve a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:6.
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction. A rising EMA200 indicates a bullish bias in the overall trend, providing confirmation for potential long positions.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend. A bullish crossover (when the MACD line crosses above the signal line) or divergence from the price action signals potential upward momentum, aligning with our long position strategy.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
Cryptocurrencies Making Deeper PullbackHey traders!
The US dollar is advancing, make cryptocurrencies weak as stocks market turns south ahead of key economic data from the US. As you know, the Fed will release its latest decision on interest rate policy today, and there is increasing speculation that they will maintain their current stance for a longer period. This anticipation is driving the US dollar higher while stocks are declining, and cryptocurrencies are also turning to the downside.
Looking at the total market cap, we are observing a potential breakout from the wave B triangle, after only a three-wave rise from the April 13th lows, indicating a correction, ideally it represented subwave (C) within a triangle.
If our analysis is correct, then current thrust out of the triangle could still be representing the final leg of this whole correction from March. However, there is still room to drop even to 1.9 trillion before potential support is found. A reversal and a significant bounce back to 1.23 trillion would be necessary for bulls to wake up, which is crucial if you are a short-term trader.
BTC – Weekly Perspective – 04/21 to 04/28BTC continues its saga. I believe this is a corrective saga. Being corrective, I believe that the end to this saga is the attempt to have a beautiful bullish rally soon. The FED could help with this "rally". What a thing, right?
Monthly bias there is no change in strength, therefore the SETUP used still points to the bulls in the direction of this chart time.
On the weekly basis, as I have been saying for some time, we are within a corrective bearish pivot. In principle, everything was normal.
When faced with the daily bias, we have the situation in the image below, a bullish pivot, but with an arduous mission, to overcome the 68.4K region to continue with its upward trend without forming the C&H pattern. If you are unable to overcome this region, the correction may take place as shown in the image below.
I would like to share a thought of mine with you: "Things should be measured in the long term, but never forget that they start in the short term!
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below
Bitcoin BTC price follows a familiar routeCurrently, crypto market users are divided into two camps:
1️⃣ - to the mooon with the first stop at 100k and 2️⃣ - the beginning of a correction to at least 50k.
Two ultra-radical camps that will find 101 reasons why it should be exactly as they "want and expect" and not otherwise.
On the #BTCUSDT chart, we have copied and displayed the fractal of #Bitcoin price behavior for May-October 2020. That is, how the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price behaved before and after the previous halving.
And this scenario is not bad: the #BTCUSD price is entering a prolonged consolidation phase at range $65,000-73,000 during the summer of 2024.
At this time, the capital of large funds will be able to partially and smoothly flow into crypto projects with a smaller capitalization.
What can this process provoke? That's right - the alt-season
Are you intrigued?) We are waiting for 50 likes and at least 10 comments from you, and then we will supplement the idea with the BTC.Dominance, USDT.D charts and the total crypto market capitalization chart which clearly show how this process can look like.
BTCUSD after halvingHi, welcome to my analysis,
Sorry it's been a while since I wrote an analysis due to the Eid al-Fitr holiday.
this time BTC dropped and formed a down channel, but we have a Fibonacci support area between 63546 to 62608
and if this Fibonacci support is broken, then the following support will be at level 60211.
The bullish target for BTC this time is in the range 70217 to 71625 or Fibonacci level 1,618 to channel resistance.
I will update this analysis if I find new keylevels.
Happy trading
Bitcoin usd in next Three monthsBitcoin has been ranging between 60,000$ and 72,000$ for a month, in the next three months we have two scenarios.
1- if the 60,000$ resistance is broken, it will fall to at least $40,000 to $44000.
2 if the $73,000 support line is crossed, it will rise to $100,000
Currently, the best price to enter is $60,000 to $63500 and in case of breaking the resistance line the best price to enter is $40,000 to $44000
Considering the price correction of Bitcoin last year and the Halving, the second scenario is more likely
Bitcoin Halving Shakes up Market
Bitcoin miners see rewards cut, Dorsey jumps in: Bitcoin miners collected more than $100 million in revenue for the halving on April 20, the highest total ever recorded in a single day. But now miners face a drop in mining rewards that could reshape the industry. And one familiar name is jumping in.
Speculators hopeful upcoming Fed meeting will leave rates unchanged: US inflation rates have eased slightly in April in conjunction with weakening demand in both manufacturing and service sectors. Investors hope the latest data will spur a more bullish tone on future rate cuts.
Bitcoin halving brings fresh interest to spot ETFs: After a period of net outflows prior to BTC’s halving event, spot BTC ETFs in the US have started to rebound.
Ripple calls for SEC to reduce fine: Ripple has strongly opposed the SEC's proposed SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B fine, while a contingent of crypto lobbyists moves to sue the regulator.
Tether claims it will freeze addresses linked to OFAC-sanctioned entities: The move follows reports that Venezuela's state oil company, PDVSA, used the USDT stablecoin to bypass US sanctions and continue its oil exports.
🤷 Topic of the Week: What is Ethereum?
➡️ Read more here
BTC - Downwards Channel & Descending TriangleCurrent Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) price action suggests a descending channel formation, with notable support around the $60k mark. Analysis indicates the potential formation of a descending triangle pattern, where the lower boundary aligns with the $60k support level. By projecting the triangle's peak downward, strong support zones emerge in the range of GETTEX:49K -$52k.
Additionally, the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a downward trend, signaling a potential correction. Given these technical indicators, it's prudent to anticipate a corrective move in Bitcoin's price. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTC short term viewBTC / USDT
After the massive drop of market in 13th april
The market turned to be range market with slightly bearish in short term
However in med - long term i still see it very bullish specially after the halving event that occurred 4 days ago
In the coming days/ weeks we can see BTC is testing 60k zone multiple times with some fakouts here and there
However if BTC able to close weekly above recent ATH we will see market turn strong bullish again
Until that we still in this range …
In this range try to avoid overtrading / fomo / panic selling
Long term trades are fine
Short term trades with strict risk management and stoploss are fine too
Best of wishes
BTCUSDT OUTLOOKThe $59000-$61.000 range is a very good entry area before halving, but this price depends on Bitcoin Price Action (BTC) and depending on news from the war taking place in the Middle East.
Here are some factors to consider:
1. BTC price action: Keep an eye on BTC price action. If BTC starts to drop, then MANTA is likely to follow.
2. Volume: Look for increased volume on MANTA. This could indicate that buyers are entering the market.
This is not Financial Advise!. It is important to do your own research before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSDT Short idea Hi dears, i thinking that BTC pulled back pretty enough after strong sell, and i expected that from here around 65000, maybe with another leg up to 66200 we will gona drop again. I assume 58000-58500 can be good point to check situation for closing short for another bounce up and looking for another short entry after bounce back.
I still believe that swing term goal for correction is 52000k - major support.
Waiting for the Bitcoin Bull Run: A Look at MDIAThe recent sideways movement in the Bitcoin market has many investors wondering when the next bull run will begin. Blockchain intelligence firm Santiment suggests a specific metric to watch: the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA).
Understanding MDIA:
The MDIA tracks the average age of investments in Bitcoin held within the same wallet addresses. When the MDIA rises, it signifies that coins are being held for longer periods, with less movement or trading activity. This could indicate:
• Investor Stagnation: Existing holders are content with their positions and not actively buying or selling.
• Whales Holding: Large investors, often nicknamed "whales," might be accumulating or holding onto their Bitcoin, reducing overall market circulation.
MDIA and Bull Run Continuation:
According to Santiment, a falling MDIA suggests renewed movement from long-held coins. This could signal:
• Increased Investor Confidence: A drop in MDIA might indicate that major stakeholders (whales) are returning their Bitcoin to active circulation, potentially fueling a price increase.
• Fresh Investment: New investors entering the market with fresh capital could also contribute to a decline in MDIA.
Current Market Situation (as of April 13, 2024):
• Bitcoin is experiencing a price decline, potentially reflecting investor uncertainty.
• It's important to note that MDIA is just one indicator, and other factors can influence market movements.
Additional Considerations:
• Market Sentiment: Broader market sentiment and external factors can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. Analyzing news and economic data alongside MDIA can provide a more holistic view.
• Technical Analysis: Technical indicators like price charts and trading volume can offer further insights into potential price movements.
Beyond MDIA: Implied Volatility
The recent rise in implied volatility for Bitcoin options suggests increased market uncertainty. Implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of price fluctuations within a specific timeframe. A rise indicates:
• Investor Hesitation: Investors might be unsure about the future direction of Bitcoin's price.
• Increased Risk Premium: Option traders are demanding a higher premium to account for the perceived volatility.
Conclusion
The MDIA is a valuable tool for gauging investor behavior and potential shifts in the Bitcoin market. While a falling MDIA can be a bullish sign, it's crucial to consider other factors like implied volatility and broader market sentiment for a comprehensive understanding. By combining MDIA analysis with other technical and fundamental indicators, investors can make more informed decisions in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
Further Research:
• Santiment: santiment.net
• Implied Volatility: www.investopedia.com
Bitcoin Bullish Parallel Channel - Bearish in the short termBitcoin has lately experienced a “winding down” of the bullish vibes in the market, so it makes me think it’s the type of feeling you get right before a big move. Because of how the indicators are positioned, and how bullish and cautionless the market currently is, I expect it to dump to new lows.
As shown in the chart, we're in a bullish parallel channel, and I expect BTC to dump to the 57k support level, and then retest the ATH at 73k. It also shows two tops, so it can be argued that the current state of the market lies in a double top pattern.
Additionally, it seems there is a bear flag pattern formed in which the price currently lies in.
Timeline for the dump and the upcoming bottom is about two weeks.
Also, not shown in the chart, but Weekly RSI is in an extremely overbought position, which is extremely bearish when looking at the big picture.
Candle
I expect the retracement to start within the next 48h.
BTCUSDT 917 PIPS LONG ORDER READ DESCRIPTIONBitcoin (BTC) is currently witnessing heightened demand, particularly within the price range of $60,200 to $64,800, indicating a zone where significant institutional investors, commonly referred to as whales, are injecting substantial capital. This influx of large orders suggests a bullish sentiment among these influential investors, which in turn signals confidence in Bitcoin's potential for future growth and adoption.
In recent days, Bitcoin has experienced a downward trend, attributed to the filling of the CME gap area. Such price corrections are a common occurrence in cryptocurrency markets and are driven by market dynamics rather than fundamental shifts in the underlying technology or adoption of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has solidified its position as one of the most trustworthy cryptocurrencies in the market. With a market capitalization of approximately $1.29 trillion and a total supply capped at 21 million coins, Bitcoin offers scarcity and inherent value, distinguishing it from traditional fiat currencies.
The cryptocurrency's robust trading volume, which has reached $50,627,120,388 in the last 24 hours, underscores its liquidity and active participation in the market. This liquidity is crucial for ensuring efficient price discovery and facilitating large transactions without causing significant price slippage.
A significant event in the recent past was the purchase of 8,000 bitcoins by an anonymous group of whales. Such large-scale acquisitions by influential entities often indicate a strong bullish sentiment for Bitcoin and can serve as a positive signal for other investors in the market.
Technical indicators on the weekly timeframe also suggest a strong buy sentiment for Bitcoin. These indicators, which include moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), provide insights into market trends and investor sentiment over longer timeframes.
Bitcoin's resilience, scarcity, and institutional interest make it an attractive asset for investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency market. Despite short-term price fluctuations, the long-term trajectory for Bitcoin appears favorable, supported by increasing adoption, institutional participation, and a robust network of developers and supporters.
Moreover, Bitcoin's decentralized nature, censorship resistance, and transparent ledger make it an appealing store of value and medium of exchange, especially in regions facing economic instability or currency devaluation.
In recent years, Bitcoin has gained mainstream acceptance as an investable asset, with numerous institutional investors, corporations, and even governments allocating funds to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin's role as a hedge against inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty has become increasingly recognized, particularly in the wake of unprecedented monetary stimulus measures adopted by central banks worldwide.
The emergence of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class has led to the development of sophisticated financial products and services, including Bitcoin futures, options, and ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds), further expanding its accessibility and liquidity.
However, Bitcoin still faces challenges, including regulatory scrutiny, scalability concerns, and environmental criticisms related to its energy consumption.
Efforts to address these challenges are underway, with ongoing research and development focused on improving Bitcoin's scalability, privacy, and sustainability.
Despite these challenges, Bitcoin's decentralized architecture and resilient network continue to attract developers, entrepreneurs, and innovators, driving further advancements in the ecosystem.
Overall, Bitcoin's value proposition as a decentralized, digital currency with a finite supply and global accessibility remains compelling, positioning it as a transformative force in the future of finance and technology.