Bitcoin $52kBull to bear perspective for the next year and a half.
52.3k rejection and an assessment to see if the recent parabolic trend breaks, if so structure needs to be assessed for potential head and shoulder formations. Downside target could be as low as 7.2k. Always assess risk and always be prepared to be wrong.
The downside drop is contingent of a bearish outlook on the stock market, and for the interest rate hikes over the last year to finally take effect. Also the swing from 3k to 69k, it would be ideal for price to rationalise this sudden rise by coming to the lower levels sub 10k before commencing the actual big bull. For now, enjoying these mini bull and bear cycles seem to be the name of the game rather than hodling and hoping. Further, a rejection at 52.3k in January would be the ideal time for an ETF approval, as we have seen approvals lead to large declines in the past.
:D
Bitcoinusd
BTCUSDT ShortBitcoin has been forming a rising flag for the past few days, reaching its new year high at 38800.
I am anticipating that the price will rebound from this HH, and the formation of the rising flag might be a strong indication of a bearish pullback.
My entry point for this trade is 38200, SL at 38600 and TP at 37600 as the R:R is 1:2.
Remember, only risk 1-2% of your account.
Bitcoin BTC price trading plan for the coming monthsFor more than 2 weeks, we have been observing that despite the almost perfect development of our ideas, the number of likes and comments under them has decreased.
Do you not like the content presentation or do our ideas not coincide with your thoughts on the future of the crypto market?) Please write about it in the comments below the idea...
Since you didn't like our ideas for BTCUSD on smaller time frames:
We suggest you familiarize yourself with our thoughts on a longer timeframe.
Let's assume that the global reversal on the BTCUSDT price chart will occur precisely because of "Inverted Head and Shoulders" pattern
We are considering a possible buying of Bitcoin for a medium- and long-term investment in the range of $18700-19800 in the second half of March.
We also remind you that the second and third decades of March will be dotted with publications of US macroeconomic indicators (CPI, Fed rate, etc), so the markets will be volatile.
At the same time, in March, they promise to start paying 140+ thousand BTC as compensation after the theft on MtGox. Although these payments are postponed from year to year, they will happen sooner or later. And if at least some of them want to make a profit, it will put a lot of pressure on the BTC price and the crypto market in general.
The medium-term growth target, according to the"Inverted Head and Shoulders" pattern, is in the region of $40,000 - $41,000.
We would also like to remind you of our ideas from last year:
Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency results of 2022 and plans for 2023-2025
🔥 How much can the Crypto market capitalization grow by 2025 🔥
As you can see, we think the potential for growth in the coming years is going to be phenomenal.
What do you think, which coins will grow the best? AI, WEB3, NFT, DeFi? Share your thoughts in the comments below the idea!
Perhaps you are following a specific project, then write a ticker in the comments, if we see prospects in it, we will definitely publish an idea for it.
Have a great weekend to all!)
_____________________
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Bitcoin's - not so - Unexpected Rally: Two Patterns, Two TradesDear Esteemed TV Members,
B efore diving into the Bitcoin price analysis, it's crucial to emphasize that price alone doesn't tell the whole story. A bullish price forecast doesn't automatically translate into a secure investment. I want to clarify that I recently sold most of my BTC holdings due to liquidity concerns. The crypto market can be unpredictable, and a substantial increase in demand, which we witnessed, can lead to liquidity challenges. It's essential to consider various factors when making investment decisions. Let me share my insights into BTC's price and what indicators hinted at the recent developments on the chart.
T he two positions on the chart are the pattern indications we'll focus on in this tutorial. I'll highlight two patterns that foretold BTC's bullish trajectory, but please note that other patterns and indicators could have pointed in the same direction. These are just two examples that caught my attention.
Rounding Bottom
L et's start with the first position, a trade from October 14th to October 24th, aptly named the Rounding Bottom. As the name suggests, this pattern resembles the lower half of a circle or an oval. Rounding Bottoms typically emerge after extended bearish trends. In bearish trends, bearish candles tend to outweigh the bullish ones, leading to increased volatility. The heightened volatility often results in corrective bullish candles that might surprise inexperienced investors. Many people mistake these bullish candles for a full reversal or overextend their positions. However, it's essential to remember that strong trends, whether bullish or bearish, can be quite volatile.
S trong trends also tend to form bottom formations. While these bottoms can take various shapes, the Rounding Bottom is the focus here. One insight to observe is the decreasing candle sizes. After October 11th, the volatility decreased, leading to both smaller bearish and bullish candles. It indicates a change in the trend, though not necessarily a bullish one.
A nother critical aspect to consider is decreasing volume. Reduced volume doesn't automatically signify a reversal. Bottom formations can include scenarios where the volume spikes before a sharp price increase. However, the decreasing volume in this context indicated a shift.
I n addition to reduced volatility and volume, the candles started to form the characteristic oval structure. The price also stabilized on multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). To identify the pattern as a Rounding Bottom, I had to monitor the candles for a few more days, relying on not only their appearance but also considering volatility, volume, liquidation data, and EMA analytics.
T he Rounding Bottom aligning with these indicators provided a degree of confidence in its bullish nature. However, the job was far from done. My initial target price was set based on a resistance trendline drawn from previous local tops, depicted on the chart in purple. AI analysis indicated that the price was likely to reach at least this level. Indeed, it did, and while the rally could have concluded there, the absence of clear top formations and the price stabilizing above EMAs 20, 50, 100, and 200 prompted me to keep the long position until October 24th.
Broadening Wedge
D uring this period, my pattern recognition algorithm identified a signal of a different formation between October 24th and 27th, a Broadening Wedge. Now, a different formation doesn't necessarily signify a reversal. Broadening Wedges often indicate an escalation of the existing trend, which, after the Rounding Bottom, had been bullish. This aligns with the general behavior expected in textbook examples.
B etween these two long positions, there's a notable period where I refrained from taking a position. I also closed any existing positions due to the limited number of candles to identify any pattern with confidence. It's important to note that the more time you can observe a pattern forming, the higher the probability of getting it right. Jumping to conclusions based on just a few candles might lead to incorrect assessments.
I n both the Rounding Bottom and Broadening Wedge, I excluded numerous other patterns. When analyzing the market, it's vital to exclude multiple possibilities before settling on a particular pattern. This increases the chances of accurately identifying the pattern in question.
T his tutorial offers insights into pattern recognition, target price setting, and stop loss selection. However, remember that these are potential approaches to expand your understanding. Historical results don't guarantee future results. While these patterns proved helpful in this instance, other investors might have identified different patterns leading to similar or even better outcomes.
"Too long to read, but I want to learn"
tl;dr I found a Rounding Bottom, then a Broadening Wedge. Rounding Bottom shifted the trend from bearish to bullish, and Broadening Wedge continued the bullish trend. It's only a short-term insight from the past and doesn't necessarily reflect my long-term view about the asset or any future view.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin: My Perspective from Now Until 2025This is my analysis for Bitcoin, but to be frank, what truly interests me are other currencies. In my opinion, many of them have reached historical lows, presenting significant potential for substantial upward movement.
This was a short and straightforward near-term analysis.
This, on the other hand, is a long-term and more complex analysis.
If we discuss the possibility of a pentago]nal rise, it's a consideration, but it appears weaker due to the weakness in the third. The correction method in the second is a factor. Assuming the wave from 2021 is a trilogy, it seems more like a pentagon to me than a trilogy. Nevertheless, I am very adaptable and prepared for anything.
"Black Friday" on the crypto market for yearsJust remembered that today is "Black Friday" and every year the crypto market has either corrected growth or fallen sharply on this day.
Wonder if this year's market players will follow the "tradition" so that the Internet will again be flooded with thousands of memes about "red discounts on crypto" :)
What are your thoughts? What will be the market? Write in the comments
Act Now to Long BTC at SMA 20 $36kAs we all know, the world of cryptocurrency trading is fast-paced and ever-evolving, demanding our constant attention and informed decision-making. So, without further ado, let's dive into an exciting game-changer: the BTC Simple Moving Average 20!
Our expert analysis has determined that BTC's Simple Moving Average 20 has surged over an astonishing $36,000, setting the stage for a remarkable upward trend. This is an exciting signal that triggers us to urge you to take action promptly to long BTC and seize this golden opportunity!
Why, you may ask? Well, the Simple Moving Average 20 is a highly regarded technical indicator, reflecting the average price of an asset over the past 20 days. As BTC continues to venture into uncharted territories and defy expectations, the SMA20 at $36,000 carries tremendous weight. It signifies a strong bullish sentiment, suggesting a potential upward momentum for Bitcoin in the near term.
So, what does this mean for you? It's time to get in the game, increase your potential profitability, and embrace the thrill of trading! Don't miss out on this exhilarating chance to go long on BTC and ride the anticipated wave of growth analysts firmly believe that this is a pivotal moment that could have a significant impact on your investment portfolio.
Remember, the cryptocurrency market waits for no one. Opportunities like these arise unexpectedly, creating the perfect moments for strategy execution and taking calculated risks. Don't let this chance pass you by! Take a leap of faith and long BTC at the remarkable SMA20 price of over $36,000 today!
Quick Bitcoin update using an hourly timeframe.Hello traders,
Here's a quick video on the BTC price update. I have mentioned all the valid support and resistance levels on BTC and the upcoming possible move. So, watch the video till the end and support my community through your boost, comments, and follow.
Regards,
Team Dexter.
Bitcoin Where to Buy- Everything is in Chart.
- Actually TheKing entered a a correction phase.
- We climbed for 4 Months Straight.
- This kind of retracements are just normal.
- if TheKing still bullish the maximum correction will hit -38.2% Fibo (around 25k$).
- if Theking get hurts by a bad news (FA), the correction could bring the price around -61.8% FIbo (around 21.5k$).
- The worst max pain dip would be around -78.6% Fibo (around 18.5k$).
- Have a quick look at EMAs Rainbow Crossing up to get a more clear view and understand future movements.
-- imho we are still slowly turning to a bullish impulse.
-- Nothing confirmed that we will hit lowers prices for now.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4ding !
Exciting News: BTC Soars Around $36,000! SMA 50 > SMA 100 200The latest news is that BTC is currently hovering around an impressive $36,000 mark! This is a momentous milestone that demands our attention and calls for action.
Why am I so thrilled about this? Well, let me break it down for you. As seasoned traders, we understand the importance of technical indicators and trends. And right now, BTC is showing us some auspicious signs. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) 50 has surged higher than the SMA 100 and 200. This is a clear indication of a bullish trend, suggesting that BTC has the potential to continue its upward trajectory.
Now, I don't know about you, but this information has got my adrenaline pumping! It's the perfect opportunity to capitalize on the market movement and maximize our profits. So, without further ado, I urge you to consider joining the long BTC movement today!
By going long on BTC, we position ourselves to benefit from the potential price appreciation and take advantage of this bullish trend. As we've seen in the past, BTC has a history of remarkable surges, and this could be just the beginning of another significant upward movement.
So, here's the call to action: Take action now and seize this golden opportunity! Open your positions and go long on BTC. Don't let this thrilling moment pass you by. As traders, we live for these exhilarating market conditions; this is our chance to ride the wave of success.
Remember, trading always involves risks, and it's essential to conduct your own analysis and make informed decisions. However, with the current market indicators favoring a bullish trend, going long on BTC seems like a promising strategy.
As always, stay updated with the latest market news, monitor your positions closely, and adapt your trading strategies accordingly. The crypto market is dynamic and ever-changing, but we can navigate it successfully with a calculated approach and a touch of excitement.
Bitcoin Short Liquidity GrabHello trader! I don't usually trade on weekends, but I've spotted an interesting setup on Bitcoin. I'll try entering from the sell order block and set my stop loss behind it. Take profit targets will be at 1, 2, and 3 levels of liquidity. The reason I want to trade this setup is the local downtrend (since 1 Nov) and the fact that all liquidity from November 2nd is gathered at the top locally. And also there is a sweep movement has formed.
🚀Please support my efforts with the "Boost" button.
❤️And a comment is the best thing you can do for me now!
BITCOIN - Bearish Scenario 📉Hi Traders !
On The Monthly Time frame, The BTCUSD Reached a Resistance Level (38491.93 - 37600.00)
The Price Formed an Ascending Channel.
So, We have a Bearish Scenario:
If The Market Breaks The Support Line and Closes Below That,
We Will See a Bearish Move 📉
Let's Wait For Breakout 🔥
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TARGET: 33970.00🎯
BTCUSDT, We are in consolidationHello guys
According to the chart, we are in consolidation zone and we are moving in triangle.
But the price supported on the trendline and we should be ready that the price can go up one more time again and after that fall down.
$$$ One thing is certain that the price will drop $$$
If you have any question send us your messages and we will help you
Good Luck
AA
Bitcoin's Bull Run to $39,968: Unleashing Strong MomentumOverview:
Bitcoin has recently displayed a compelling technical pattern, forming a triangle with a notable high at $37,978 and a corresponding low at $35,784. The chart indicates a period of consolidation, setting the stage for a potential breakout on November 12. This impending move is further accentuated by a strong resistance level at $39,968, making it a key target for the anticipated upward movement. The bullish outlook is substantiated by fundamental factors, notably BlackRock's proposal to introduce a Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), currently awaiting SEC approval by October 2023. Additionally, the projected decrease in November USD inflation to 3.3% and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's expressed inclination to lower interest rates create a favorable environment for BTCUSD.
Technical Analysis:
1. Triangle Breakout: The technical analysis reveals a well-defined triangle pattern, signifying a consolidation phase. A breakout is expected on November 12, providing a clear signal for potential bullish momentum.
2. Target at $39,968: Historical data and meticulous technical scrutiny indicate a significant resistance level at $39,968, establishing it as a plausible target for the upward movement.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Proposal: The potential approval of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF presents a substantial catalyst. Approval could attract institutional investors, fostering positive market sentiment and potentially elevating Bitcoin's market position.
2. USD Inflation Decrease: The projected reduction in November USD inflation from 3.7% to 3.3% is a favorable macroeconomic factor. Lower inflation mitigates pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin.
3. Powell's Interest Rate Stance: Chairman Powell's vocalized desire to lower interest rates to 2% reflects a dovish stance. This dovish sentiment is typically conducive to the performance of Bitcoin, as it diminishes the relative attractiveness of traditional fiat currencies.
Risk Factors:
Market Sentiment: Rapid shifts in market sentiment or unforeseen events can exert influence on cryptocurrency prices. Traders should remain vigilant for sudden changes in the market landscape.
In summary, a comprehensive analysis incorporating both technical and fundamental factors supports a bullish breakout scenario for Bitcoin around November 12. The potential target of $39,968 aligns with historical resistance levels and is strengthened by positive developments such as BlackRock's ETF proposal, decreased USD inflation, Potential Powell's dovish interest rate stance. Traders are advised to closely monitor SEC decisions and stay attuned to broader market dynamics for informed decision-making.
Simple Trick Bitcoin- One simple old trick to know when we are bullish or bearish.
- Use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo 1W-TF.
- Only use senkun span (SSA).
- Wait for BTC trend cross the Span.
- Jump in/Jump out.
- Always follow the river while trading.
- Don't waste your energy trying to counter Naturals movements.
Happy Tr4Ding !