BTC - Backtest Done! Hi, this is my new update for BTC. Right now we are fighting against 50 weeks, 200 weeks moving averages and at the same time a big resistance around 25300$. I expect once we break those levels we are going to test 28500 - 30000$ and we are going to fill the gap easy. Good news is that we have already backtested the down trendline beautifully and we are still holding the bullish momentum both in daily and weekly charts.
Bitcoinusd
Bitcoin vs the 200W MA- Don't rush to put your bull market pants on.
I'm just as excited as the next guy to finally see some green candles after a full year of what felt like only red.
But, BTCUSD has a lot to prove and one thing that is for certain is there lies a bumpy road ahead.
- After the bear marker of '18, 2019 started off with a bang with a bull market lasting for 6 months! Well, what followed was lots of up/down/sideways movements that eventually ended up with the collapse in march of '20 that almost reached the same prices as the previous bottom.
Even if Bitcoin breaks above the 200W, this doesn't mean were going straight to 100k. There's still a lot of distrust floating around in the industry and outside fears of other markets and a potential recession to worry about.
Stick to a game plan and stay with it is because its going to be a long and worthwhile ride.
The Fear and The Greed- Tomorow will be the 365th day in this bearmarket.
- From now there will not be much winners or losers because in this situation, there's fear and doubts in both sides.
- A little resume of this yearly journey :
- Luna Rekt
- 3AC Rekt
- Voyager Rekt
- FTX Rekt
- and much more smaller entities like Zipmex etc..
- Despite all FUDS, the situation could be worst than where we are now. we have to remember in 2017, we went from 20k to 3k.
- that said in 2017 "Cryptomania" was nothing compared to 2020, now we are more close from Cryptos adoption and CDBC.
- in 2017 the market was still immature and dubious, in 2020 big players entered the game.
- So what happened in 2022 with a more mature market ?
- What we need to remember from 2021-2022 is that bad actors in Cryptos are not here to build the system but to greed on it.
- They all overleveraged their positions thinking only about their own pockets and caused pain to millions of their customers.
- Some created their own thin air tokens as FTT and shorted their own projects with high leverages using collateral loans ( FTX ).
- They were all selfish, and didn't even think about how many poor families life they destroyed.
- Peoples may forget what they did with time, but Karma will not.
- Cryptos are here to stay, but the future is more bright without those greedy peoples.
- Buy BTC.
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl BTC.
- Do good things around you and good things will back to you.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTCUSD Potential For Bullish Rise to overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for BTCUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy stop entry at 25270.00, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 23815.00, where the overlap support is. Take profit will be at 28686.37 where the overlap resistance is.
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BITCOIN and the Daily CrossThis is a continued post from The Desperate Push to 26k, the avoidance of the weekly death cross.
Please review previous post before reading and boost/share for visibility.
Simplifying the outlook, these are the only two things I am currently looking at. The Daily and Weekly, golden cross vs death cross. I'll take the shorter timeframe in this bout, so a golden cross on the daily to turn the death cross on the weekly around. To do this Bitcoin will have to move up from this range shortly to the 26k-30k range.
The last 5 golden crosses on the daily have resulted in:
21,Sep,2021: 46k>68.5k
16,May,2020: 10k>64k
17,Feb,2020: 10k>market bottom
21,April,2019: 5.5k>13.7k
28,Oct,2015:$300>20k
This is not financial advice. Please take this as an analysis only and trade on your own terms.
BTCUSDT - ULTIMATE Support MUST HOLDHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Bitcoin is about to retest an important support zone at $21800 . If BTC is unable to secure this support, the next support is only at $18400.
A possibility exists to take a low leveraged long from the support, however this will be a high risk trade due to the nature of the cycle - it's unclear whether or not this is the first stages of a new bullrun or whether it's a bulltrap. I'd be more confident to claim the start of a new bull cycle IF we can maintain the current trading range and NOT CLOSE a candle UNDER this support zone.
Can I interest you in an Altcoin? Check out this idea on BATUSDT:
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Financial Wave. BTCThe price of Bitcoin dropped to the level of canceling our upward forecast of $23,608. The fall has stopped, and as long as the price of BTC is above this mark, there is a possibility that the growth in wave 5 will continue and bring the price of BTC to $26120. If Bitcoin drops below $23608, our priority scenario will change.
GOLD CONTINUES TO FALL🔥👍Hello fellow traders!
XAUUSD breaks a key level (50% fib level)
Checklist:
✔Broke key level
✔RSI is in bears possession
✔SUPERTREND is in sellers' possession
✔FIB is passing 50% possibly going for the 23.6% fib (respecting the 161.80% fib rule)
13,550 Pip Analysis
(Take a look at my recent XAUUSD Analysis for more info on the 161.80% fib retracement rule)
Bitcoin is on the edge of collapse!Hello, everyone!
Of cource we caught yesterday's pump, but it was the local tarde. In the mid-term I have some evidences that next 3-4 months will be bearish. We will most likely see the new bottom.
Let's take a look at the BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart below. I chose the 4D timeframe. It's not standard, but we need 100-140 bars to count waves according to Trading Chaos by Bill Williams. Therefore 4D is the perfect one.
Awesome Oscillator helps us to define the wave 3. It's minimum was in 2022 June. The most important thing is to distinguish impulsive and corrective waves. Impulsive wave is always outside the Alligator. Therefore, dump from $25k to $15k was not the impulsive wave. This wave was not the wave 5, I consider the wave B inside wave 4. The entire wave in this case is represented as the complex correction. The abolutely untradable one. That's why most trader, including me were shocked by the recent pump from $15k to $24k .
Wave 4 now has the minimal requirement for it's end. I am talking about the AO zero line crossover. Taking all these facts into account, my opinion is the Bitcoin will collect liquidity above $25300 high. The area between $26k-28k is going to be the start on the last bearish wave which will break down $15k .
Best regards, Ivan
BITCOIN - The Desperate Push to 26kBitcoin has broken the trend line on every time frame up to the Weekly. Need to stay north 22k through Monday to close the weekly above trend and buy time.
Next task on the list is to avoid the weekly death cross. Hence the desperate push to 26k. There is a load of support at this level with both the 50 and 200 ma present.
We've tested support on the trend line and will have a new high if we hold above 23.5k
IF that happens, next resistance is 26k where we will attempt to break the Weekly ma's and result in a very bullish Golden Cross on the Daily.
IF all of that happens then we will have officially reversed in my eyes.
One main reason I am bullish and have continued to buy up crypto since 16k is that we officially have a Green Monthly Heikin-ashi. If this closes green which I expect it to do, I will be very bullish. This is a very bullish sign and the first green monthly HA since November of 2021.
If you are following my $SPY trade, this is also a great hedge.
Once we reach the 25k, we are going down. But not “too” downI have posted multiple times about this pattern. This is a very unique elliot waves formation that can make a lot of people a lot of money.
Funny though, it aligns perfectly with the cyclic astrological patterns too (similar to what Gann used to do).
Btc will correct one more time before starting the next two years bullish cycle.
Do you want to kno when is that? Make sure to follow me here on tradingview. I will post my prerictione here.
BITCOIN: Explosive move liquidates $200 million positionBitcoin's price increased by 13% this week.
The price of Ethereum followed BTC's lead and increased 11% in one week.
This unexpected move caught roughly $200 million in trades off guard.
Following the release of the US inflation figure on February 14, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) saw a massive increase in interest. Hotter-than-expected expectations were dashed, indicating that disinflation is the dominant story. It was a catalyst that sparked this explosive rally, when combined with the Federal Reserve's dovish stance at the February policy meeting.
Even during Bitcoin's brief correction in the first week of February, altcoins were dominating this 2023 rally. There was a lot of money riding the altcoin wave, as evidenced by the performance of certain coins, which more than tripled in just a few days.
Looking at the overall market, it appears that $200 million in positions were lost in the last 24 hours. According to February 15 liquidation data, $154 million in shorts and $14 million in longs were caught off guard.
Humans are not perfect- Very Basically SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) measures the price bought versus price sold. ( but it's more complex than that )
- Negative SOPR typically means people are selling for a loss. ( red dotted Lines columns )
- Positive SOPR typically means people are selling for a win. ( Blue dotted Lines colums )
- So what we can notice and deduct from this graph ?
- Simply that we are not perfect.
- The Fear and The Greed.
- We scare when the price goes up too much.
- We fear when the price goes down too much.
- Most of the time we sell to early.
- Most of the time we sell when it's time to buy.
"Human being is the fact to be imperfect anyway"
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN -WE JUST BROKE A 300 EMA - 150% - 1500% TO FOLLOW -CM101BITCOIN / USD TA
Bitcoin just broke a 300 DAY MOVING AVERAGE! In the prior two tines that this has happened, we were in 2020 and in 2022 - both results in massive gains raging between 140% - 1,600% - Given the current global market 'uncertainty', we can easily be looking at a $100k+ Bitcoin some time this year.
Stay Tuned!
Financial Wave. BTCAfter a massive upside breakout of the Bitcoin price, we changed our priority scenario from bearish to bullish. At the moment, we are seeing the completion of a small wave (5), which may end at $24,671. Let's see how BTC behaves at these levels and in the near future we’ll be able to determine the next growth targets for Bitcoin. If the price drops below $22,300, the upside scenario will be cancelled
Bitcoin price, "FUD around BUSD", U.S. Economic Data This Week:The trading week started with a rather "active news background":
"Paxos (BUSD miner) will face a lawsuit from the SEC in connection with the issuance of unregistered securities (stablecoins).
With a total capitalization of $16B, BUSD is the 3rd largest stablecoin, with 90% of the stablecoin concentrated on Binance.
BUSD also accounts for 21% of all customer reserves on Binance.
The issuance of new BUSD has been suspended, and exchange for fiat dollars is still possible."
"Such a "regulatory raid" on Binance's partner may be a retaliatory operation by the US authorities to try to destroy the business of the offshore exchange Binance, after CZ became the starting point of the FTX fraud disclosure in November 2022 and refused to cooperate with USDC."
At the moment, it looks like another batch of FUDs "to bring" the market down to the desired levels. Securities are bought with the aim of making a profit from the asset's appreciation in the future, and the essence of stablecoins is a stable exchange rate, a stable trading deposit, without profit. The US dollar is not considered a security, right?)
In recent months, the cryptocurrency market has been strongly correlated with the SP500, which is directly dependent on US macroeconomic indicators.
U.S. Economic Data This Week:
- CPI Inflation (Tues.) 🔥.
- Retail Sales (Wed.)
- Ny Fed Manufacturing Index (Wed.)
- PPI Inflation (Thurs.)
- Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (Thurs.)
- Jobless Claims (Thurs.)
- Housing Starts (Thurs.)
We are most interested in the new inflation rate that will be announced tomorrow, Tuesday, February 14, 2013. After all, it's one of the main indicators that the FED wants to take control of and talks about at every speech is inflation at 2%.
Last month, the inflation rate dropped to a projected 6.5% and the cryptocurrency market exploded with growth on 12/01/2023.
Our expectations for tomorrow, 14.02.2023:
- inflation at 6.2 percent or more - falling prices on the crypto market
- lower-than-expected inflation < 6.2% may cause smooth growth.
Anyway, the crypto market has been growing very well for more than a month. Against the background of the previous downtrend for more than a year, the growth in January can be called phenomenal.
Personally, we do not have enough price correction to continue the growth.
There are two fractals on the chart:
1. We published the white one last week, and it is now working well and indicates that a drop to the liquidity zone of $18900-20400 is possible. For us, this is currently the main scenario, and it is in this liquid zone that we plan to buy long positions.
2. The blue scenario is in case super-positive CPI figures are announced tomorrow. Accordingly, the buy zone for long positions will be $21200-22300.
Which trading scenario for the coming week is more to your liking? Share your thoughts in the comments below the idea
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