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BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% BTC, 48% Cash. *Markets rallied on hopes for a lower US November CPI tomorrow morning and if it's lower than in October expect for a continued rally in Cryptos and US Equities; however, if it's higher then a sharp downturn is likely. The last FOMC rate hike of 2022 will be following the day after on 12/14; if it's 50bps then a short-term rally is likely, whereas a 75bps rate hike would likely be bearish. SBF was reportedly finally arrested today in the Bahamas after pulling out from his agreement to testify to US Congress , he will be held in the Bahamas until a formal request for US extradition is made. The EU has placed sanctions on Iran for supplying Russia with drones for their attack on Ukraine in addition to their violent response to social protests . Cryptos, US Equities, Commodities, VIX, Short-Term US Treasurys, GBPUSD, EURUSD, JPYUSD and NI225 ended today's session up. DXY, Long-Term US Treasurys, US Equity Futures (aside from NASDAQ), CNYUSD, HSI and N100 finished down. Key Upcoming Dates: US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 12/15; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. * Price is currently trending sideways at $17100 for a twelfth consecutive session as it approaches a retest of the 50MA at ~$17800 as resistance. Volume finished today's session Moderate (moderate) and broke a three day streak of seller dominance. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $15700, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending down slightly at 50, the next resistance is the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at ~58 and the next support is at 42.41. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish at 88.29 support. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending sideways at -101, it's still technically testing -232.42 resistance. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 24 as Price continues to trend sideways, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to breakout then it will have to get above the 50MA at ~$17800 as resistance before it can potentially test $19417 resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the local low of $16200 as support before potentially retesting the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $16800.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by dailytaguy
Bitcoin – bears dominate below this levelHello, everyone! My last call was quite accurate, after trendline resistance Bitcoin has started it’s dump, but today it faced with difficulties to break down the strong support. Today I defined the invalidation price level and first target if I am correct. Let’s take a look at the 1h time frame BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. Bitcoin has finished the upward Elliott waves cycle at $17300 where I opened short. This cycle represented wave C of higher degree. Hence I considered that the market is about start new impulsive wave to the downside. Now I suppose that wave 1 have been already ended, wave 2 was represented as the flat correction which hit exactly 0.38 Fibonacci level and dumped to $16700. I think it is the wave 1 inside wave 3. Current bounce is the wave 2 inside wave 3. The most rapid dump is about to start if I am correct. If you have not still executed short trade, I think is is proper time to do it. Stop loss is tight. Potential reward is great. If I will be wrong it means that Bitcoin will break the $17400 local high and I am not so good as I think about myself and will continue studying trading chaos (of course I will continue anyway). Best regards, Ivan
Short
by Skyrexio
15
Bitcoin Bounced As Predicted! What's Next?From our previous idea, we can see that Bitcoin played out perfectly :) BTC bounced off of our upwards channel and continued to the 200 EMA (as we previously predicted). Now I'm watching to see if it can break above that 200 EMA (17,300 level). If not, then I'm looking to retest the bottom of the channel again (16,800). If Bitcoin does break the 200 EMA then I'm looking for it to touch the 17, 640 level (major resistance). If you enjoyed my TA, please leave a comment or send me a PM :)
Long
by CryptoScripts
5
BTC Bounced Perfectly Off Our Support!Looking at BTC on the 4hr chart, we can see it continues to be in our upwards channel, bouncing PERFECTLY off of the bottom of the channel/horizontal support at $16,750. Right now I'm expecting it to continue upwards and retest the previous resistance of $17,167 (red line) which also coincides with the 200 EMA a little higher at $17,300. If it breaks both of those levels, we're going to $17,640. If Bitcoin can't break the $17,167 level, then I'm expecting it to come back down to $16,736 and if that breaks then unfortunately we're going to $15,900 (next major support). I'm also watching the Wave Fusion indicator for any major signals that coincide with said support/resistance levels. If you enjoyed my TA or have any questions about it or the indicators used, please leave a comment below or send me a PM :) Check out my profile for other indicators and trading alpha! Thanks for reading!
Long
by CryptoScripts
6
Bitcoin is moving exactly as predicted!Hello, everyone! My last forecast on Bitcoin has been perfectly completed. I don’t want to be too self confident but it looks like I have now better understanding of the Trading Chaos by Bill Williams. It is the best motivation for me to continue studying and practicing this approach and I hope my articles are useful for you. What is next? Let’s take a look at 1h time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. Wave 5 reached the minimal target at $17400 where I have successfully executed short trade. I decided that wave 5 have been ended because of the divergence with the Awesome oscillator. Moreover the wave 4 minimal condition have been met – the zero line crossover on the AO. I wanna tell you that you should confirm Elliott waves with the AO, because without it there is the high probability of misunderstanding the waves counting. The previous Elliott waves cycle have completed the corrective wave C and now I consider the new bearish wave 5 have been started. Watch out my analysis updates because the market is alive and we have to change our decisions when market shows us the new information. Best regards, Ivan
Short
by Skyrexio
12
BTC Rejects at our Trend Line! I tried to be as detailed as possible with the TA above. Please boost if you enjoyed this thread :) Bitcoin has been in an upward channel for the past two weeks and just rejected perfected off of the upwards channel resistance at $17,400. It broke down through the micro support of $17,167 and I believe it will reach our next target of $16,700 before having a relief bounce to retest the new resistance of $17,167 and possiblly climbing to $17,640 (our next MAJOR resistance). If we continue to break the $16,700 support and break down out of the channel, then my next MAJOR support for BTC is $15,900 and $15,600 which were our previous supports Nov 13th and Nov 21st. I'm personally waiting for another buy/sell signal from Wave Fusion, especially if it coincides with a support/resistance level. If you enjoyed my TA or have any questions about the indicators used and how to gain access (Wave Fusion), then comment below or send me a PM :) Thanks for reading!
Long
by CryptoScripts
Bitcoin – my insane swing trade revealed!Hello, everyone! The information from the previous analysis is still actual, locally we can expect for the local pump to $18k. As you know in my local trades I made a lot of mistakes and try to fix it with the new knowledges and practice in Trading Chaos. But in swing trader I am pretty good. As you know I believed in the bear market continuation when the Bitcoin costs $21500. Now I can see that the bear market still has not been ended, but we can use the opportunities which the bear market will give us. Let’s take a look at the 1D timeframe of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. I drew the wave Elliott waves structure. Now Bitcoin is printing wave 4 inside wave 3. Maximum target for wave 4 is the $18k (just below wave 1 bottom). I wanna to accumulate short to catch the massive move to the downside because wave 5 inside wave 3 is anticipated. $12k is the target. It’s about 25% decrease in price! $12k is the super safe buy zone. Here I am going to close my swing short and buy BTC with 50% of my deposit. wave 4 which is going to follow after that can easily hit $17k. I am sure that all traders will believe in the new bull market after this move. But all of them is going to be disappointed becuase the wave will turn their mood into depression. That’s what we need to enter the market before the new bull market. Let’s wait! Best regards, Ivan
by Skyrexio
14
Bitcoin – bullish rally will continue!Hello, everyone! In my last Bitcoin analysis I told you that the rally in the corrective wave C have been finished and I opened short at $17100. But I have correctly defined only the wave 5 inside wave 3, but not the wave 5 of the entire Elliott wave cycle. I fixed this mistake and closed short trade because expect another one push to the upside. Let's take a look at the 1h time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. The point where I have opened short was the wave 3 top and I was lucky to notice that when my position was in small profit to close it. I always make this mistake with the corrective wave 4. Usually I think that it should be shorter in terms of time that it is. The target area of the the wave 4 have been already reached an I decided to open long trade for the potential wave 5. Wave 5 have two possible targets - the minimal one is $17400 and the maximal is $17800. I will observe the market to close this trade in time. The strong confirmation for the end of this rally will be the divergence with Awesome oscillator. Best regards, Ivan
Long
by Skyrexio
11
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% BTC, 40% Cash. * SUNDAY SCARIES WATCH . Cryptos are relatively flat with a bit of upside as we get halfway through the weekend. With no really important economic data or events happening until CPI on 12/13 and the last FFR hike on 12/14, we could see a nice little run in Equities and Cryptos this upcoming week. Key Upcoming Dates: US November PPI 830am EST 12/09; US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. * Price is currently forming a Bull Flag pattern after breaking the previous Ascending Triangle pattern as it trends sideways with a downward tilt at $16974. Volume has been shrinking and alternating between buyer and seller dominance for the previous five sessions, this is indicative of an impending breakout or breakdown. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $17180, this margin is bullish. RSI is currently trending up at 48 after forming a soft trough at 46, the next resistance is the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at ~58. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending up slightly at 88 as it attempts to form a bullish crossover at 92, it's barely clinging on to the 'bullish autobahn zone' (above 90). MACD remains bullish and is currently testing -232 minor resistance. ADX is currently trending down at 37 as Price is trending sideways, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to push up from here then it will likely test the 50MA at ~$18300 as resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes below) $16600.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by dailytaguy