BTCUSD | Head and Shoulders Pattern on 15m Chart Suggesting PoteBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe has formed a classic Head and Shoulders structure, a well-known pattern often associated with possible short-term trend reversals.
Key Details:
Pattern: Clear Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder formation.
Neckline Level: Around 107,437 – currently acting as a crucial support zone.
Trendline: Price has broken below a short-term rising trendline, confirming pattern completion.
Volume Analysis: Volume increased during the formation of the head, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Note: A confirmed close below 107,400 may attract further downside movement. Conversely, holding above this level could lead to consolidation or recovery.
This analysis is intended for educational purposes—please evaluate risk and confirm with your own strategy before taking any trade decisions.
Bitcon
USDT Dominance Looks BullishHello all dear friends.👋
According to the chart that USDT Dominance shows, we have an upward trend up to 4.70%. Of course, we may have a slight downward trend before moving up. Based on this, there is also a downward trend ahead for Bitcoin .
❗Please be careful that this is an analysis and opinion.
BTCUSDT – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Breakout ContinuesBitcoin is advancing through a textbook Wyckoff Re-Accumulation structure on the 4H chart. After the Spring and multiple LPS confirmations, price surged above the previous range high (~110k), entering a strong Sign of Strength (SOS) rally.
We now observe:
✅ Second 4H candle close above ATH (110,000)
✅ RSI: 70.9 → Strong bullish momentum
✅ Volume: Above MA during breakout, healthy but slightly declining
✅ Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper BB (111,227)
✅ Structure forming a Backup (BU?) test near ATH
The current move targets a measured pennant breakout projection:
🎯 TP1: 115,224
🎯 TP2: 116,199
🎯 TP3: 117,449 – 118,237 (Fib extension confluence)
This aligns with Wyckoff Phase E and continuation of the markup cycle.
No short setups valid — trend remains firmly bullish. Pullbacks to 110k could offer high-conviction long entries as BU confirmation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTA #BTCAnalysis #Reaccumulation #TradingView
BTC/USDT 4H – Bull Flag Breakout SetupA symmetrical triangle has resolved to the upside, confirming a bull flag breakout in line with the prior uptrend. Current momentum is supported by:
* RSI breakout above 60
* Price above mid-Bollinger Band and 55 SMA
* Breakout candle closing above triangle resistance (Yet to confirm)
**Targets:**
TP1: 108,000 – nearest horizontal resistance
TP2: 112,700 – flagpole projection from 104.5K breakout
TP3: Trailing target with 1.0% callback from breakout zone
**Stop Loss:**
Below triangle apex (\~103,000) or 55 SMA (\~103,480), depending on which is closer
**Volume:**
Still below average but RSI confirms bullish momentum. Watching for volume follow-through to confirm strength.
**Wyckoff context:**
Potential Phase D in a re-accumulation range, with breakout as Sign of Strength (SOS) after a spring-like consolidation.
This breakout is being monitored as part of a continuation setup toward 112.7K with proper risk management in place.
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new.
The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply).
With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future.
I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Ratio Charts in TradingView and IAAbove you can see the Bitcoin to Ethereum ratio chart. Ratio analysis between two or more symbols is a critical method for comparing the strength and weakness of assets relative to each other. TradingView offers basic capabilities for this task, but with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and custom scripts, much more advanced and creative analyses can be conducted.
Here are some practical ideas:
1. Creating Conditional Ratio Scripts
2. Comparing Relative Averages and Issuing Smart Signals
3. Calculating Composite Ratios of Multiple Assets
4. Smart Alerts Based on Price Pattern Breakouts
For more information, search Google for "How to Use Ratio Charts in TradingView: A Hidden Gem for Traders."
A Bitcoin Prediction (2025)In this chart, we continue the journey of testing whether Bitcoin can live up to the expectations as published in my previous Bitcoin prediction chart (2024). Since we had technically hit my ATH cycle top for 2024–25, we are now gambling with the possibility that we might not have hit the highest cycle top targets and may just extend that little bit more. I think 2025 has most people asking, "Are we done yet?" or are we on the verge of something else? We'll just have to wait and see....
Upside:
As you can see in ATHs, there are several targets, and I've mentioned this in my previous chart. Ultimately, the high side of what this chart can expect from a cycle high is a 2-week close of $131k. Wicks can extend beyond this price, but I expect a close below (according to this chart). A close above will invalidate this chart. All prices within the lows and highs are acceptable.
Downside:
In my previous chart, I hadn't posted any projected targets during a bear market; I only highlighted the lows, as generally that is what most may consider important enough to know—when can we resume the bull market again? Well, in this chart, I have labeled two additional downside targets. Although these do not follow the same pattern as other targets, they do have a significant similarity to previous cycle lows. Expect bounces from these levels, but if the pattern holds true, they will fail and continue to lower prices. In the short term, resistance sits at $98,511, and again this is on a 2-week close. So this next week, we can wick above, which might be the path we are on.
Summary: I'll be posting updates close to each 2 week close, if I see something I'll be sure to post and update.
2024 Chart linked below.
Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk IndicatorToday we’ll explore the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator , which builds on the concept of Bitcoin Terminal Price. We’ll follow the same logic as in our previous idea on the Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator. By the end, we'll have a new tool for analyzing INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles.
First, let’s recap Terminal Price.
Terminal Price = Transferred Price × 21
Transferred Price = Coin Days Destroyed ÷ (supply × time)
It normalizes historical spending behavior to the full 21M BTC supply. This metric has historically been effective at calling Bitcoin cycle tops whenever the price of Bitcoin crosses above it. That being said, it signaled the April 2021 peak, but not the November one.
Let’s now divide the weekly BTC price by Terminal Price. This gives us BTC-to-Terminal Price Ratio. (We use the formula from the Bitcoin Master Cycle indicator by InvestorUnknown for Terminal Price on TradingView.)
When the ratio crosses above 1, BTC price exceeds Terminal Price and signals cycle top. We can notice that each cycle top forms slightly lower ratio peaks.
Now let’s draw two logarithmic curves through the highs and lows of this ratio, and add a midline.
This creates a band within which the BTC-to-Terminal Price ratio tends to oscillate. These bounds can help anticipate major turning points in future market cycles.
Next, we normalize the ratio between these bounds: bottom curve = 0, top curve = 1.
This gives us the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator.
Currently, risk sits around 0.46 , bouncing between 0.3 and 0.6 for ~1.5 years. This range suggests a stepwise price increase with consolidation periods in between — and no mania and blow-off top.
Historically:
Risk > 0.9 = potential selling zone
Risk < 0.1 (or < 0.05) = potential buying zone
Note: Risk stays > 0.9 for just 1–2 weeks.
Reality check: the top curve lies above 1 and slopes down only slightly.
This implies that if the ratio approaches the upper boundary, BTC price could meet or exceed Terminal Price this cycle — currently ~$155K and will be rising quickly should BTC move towards it.
However, so far we have very few data points and they don’t fit the curve perfectly. And there’s no guarantee we’ll reach that upper bound.
For a more conservative take, we can replace the log curve with straight lines.
This steeper upper line would signal a top earlier — below Terminal Price.
Using this method, risk is slightly higher now at 0.55. While also not perfect, this linear approximation can serve as a cautious alternative until more data points emerge.
We'll keep tracking these charts.
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave “C” is not yet completed and consists of five waves.
I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance level of 90,000.Colleagues, after drawing the waves I realized that bitcoin is in a major wave “IV” correction and I believe that this correction is either over or about to be over.
Either way I believe that long positions should be prioritized.
I expect that the price will either immediately start an upward movement and reach the psychological resistance level of 90,000, or will update the low in the area of 75,866 a little more and then start moving towards the target.
In the second case, I advise using pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BTC 2026 Bearish We can see after 2 halving cycle BTC will reach the Top Price Cycle within 500 days and will enter Bearish Cycle with the correction of almost 70 to 80 % for approx 300 + days. Will the 70 to 80% correction happen again even after Many Country make BTC legal and Put BTC into their Backup Fund ? Or It will happen but the correction only 30 to 40 % ? Let's see. 2026 will be Interesting
Bitcoin BTCUSDT – 4H Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently approaching a key downtrend resistance line that has been respected several times since early February. The price action suggests a potential rejection from this level, which could lead to a move toward the lower boundary of the broader descending channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with possible targets near the $71K– FWB:73K region.
🔹 Bullish Invalidator: A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift in market structure.
⚠️ Watch price action closely around this level for potential rejection or breakout confirmation.
BTCUSD Daily View Based on your 15-minute BTC/USD chart, here’s a structured technical analysis for **April 10, 2025**:
---
### 🧠 **Chart Breakdown**
- **Break of Structure (BOS)**: Bullish BOS occurred earlier, indicating short-term upward momentum.
- **Strong High**: Marked at **$83,568** — this is a **liquidity point** that could act as a magnet if bullish momentum resumes.
- **Weak Low Zone**: Around **$81,451** — a key liquidity area that might be swept before any significant move up.
- **Current Price**: **$81,814**, sitting just above the weak low zone and in a minor consolidation phase.
---
### 🔍 **Market Context**
- After a strong impulsive move up, BTC started pulling back with lower highs and lower lows, indicating **retracement** or **distribution**.
- The price is holding slightly above the weak low, meaning:
- Smart money may be trying to **trap shorts or induce longs** before a deeper sweep or reversal.
- There's potential for **liquidity sweep below $81,451** before heading back up to test the strong high ($83,568).
---
### 🔮 **Today's Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (Scalp or Swing)**
#### 🎯 **Bullish Scenario (Preferred if $81,451 holds)**
- Price holds above or sweeps $81,451 and **reclaims the zone quickly**.
- Expect a bounce toward:
- **$82,500** (intermediate resistance)
- **$83,568** (strong high / liquidity target)
#### 🛑 **Bearish Scenario (Only if clean break below $81,451)**
- Price breaks and holds below **$81,451** → retest failure = bearish.
- Target downside levels:
- **$80,500**
- Potentially **$79,500** if momentum is strong.
---
### 🧭 **Action Plan for Today**
| Type | Strategy |
|-------------|----------------------------------------------------------|
| Intraday Long | Buy near $81,451 zone with tight SL below $81,200 |
| Confirmation Entry | Wait for 15m bullish engulfing / BOS above GETTEX:82K |
| Short Setup | Only valid on clear 15m breakdown + retest below $81,451 |
---
BTC - 4 Different Wider Looks at BTC1️⃣ Weekly EMA 55. Many legit touches.
2️⃣ Possible Elliot Wave in Log chart.
3️⃣ 4H EMA 200.
4️⃣ A valid Pitchfork since Dec 2024
Follow for more ideas/Signals. 💲
Look at my other ideas 😉
Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights and rescue or other charity :)✌️
BTCUSDT, We were moved like ...Hello everyone
According to the chart that you can see the price movement was exactly moved to our route but at this time we expect because of the reason in world and US Reciprocal Tariffs at this time Gold movement is important after the Gold start the corretion wave the smart money comes to the cryptocurrency market and we expect the excitement movement.be patient until ...
Be Lucky
AA
Short Position EOS/USDT#Singal
EOS/USDT
🔴 Short Position
🎲 Entry @ 0.6990
✅ Target1@ 0.6664
✅ Target2 @ 0.6220
✅ Target3 @ 0.5476
✅ Target4 @ 0.4856
✅ Target5 @ 0.4263
❌ Stop Loss @ 0.8509
Leverage: 5X_15X
Margin: 10% of Wallet Balance
⚠️"Take Care of Risk Management for Your Account"
Bitcoin in Ascending Wedge?Looks like a rising wedge guys - I'm not a charting TA expert but would love to here your thoughts. Many bears keep posting a drop to $70K level.. I guess that drop is written in some prophecy somewhere, and they believe (or hope) it MUST happen, before we go for new ATH. Maybe so... however can anyone explain WHY that must play out like that? A couple of weeks back i was in that camp but after I see the slow and steady Bitcoin recovery, I have changed my mind.
2 Paths for Bitcoin in this 60-Day CycleThere are two possible scenarios for the rest of this cycle:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Most Likely)
Bitcoin hit a cycle low at $78,000 on February 28th.
It initially showed strength but quickly reversed, forming a failed cycle.
This suggests a lower low is likely before the cycle ends.
If holding BTC, the best strategy is to sell at the next 3-day Cycle high (message me if you don’t have access to the Cycle indicators), expected next week.
2️⃣ Bullish Alternative
If the recent drop was caused by macro factors rather than natural cycle movement, we could still see a higher high before the cycle ends.
The 1-week Cycle (red line) is forming a bottoming pattern, which could indicate upside potential toward $90,000+.
How I’m Approaching This Cycle
I purchased BTC below the current price and plan to hold through this cycle. My reasoning:
We are currently at the bottom of the mid-term trend, and I expect a strong rally in the near future.
As mentioned in my previous newsletter, it’s crucial to combine the 60-day cycle with other timeframes:
2-week, 1-week, 3-day, and 1-day cycles all provide additional confirmation.