Near Term Bitcoin LTF Weakness to Establish HTF TR BottomThe New Year is looking bright for Bitcoin with the most recent report from Franklin Templeton predicting “nations to adopt strategic Bitcoin reserves in 2025.” It should be interesting to see how sustainable it will be for Bitcoin to be a practical method to both store and transfer value, given its TPS limitation as more Nations and Institutions become larger players on the chain. I believe this presents an incredible opportunity for quality POW governance tokens to shine and become a very real complementary alternative.
But I digress – what’s up with Big Daddy Bitcoin and the No Santa Rally?
On the LTF (1D) Point and Figure, the formation is currently printing a distribution pattern, forming a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) at a local high of $96,000 to retest the prior local high at $95,400 Bitcoin established after moving into Phase D Distribution of the distribution cycle. True to form in Phase D of a Distribution Cycle, the formation printed the preliminary sign of weakness, dropping to the $91,400 handle before the retest.
The characteristic of Phase D Distribution is a Major Sign of Weakness occurs at the end of Phase D which “Breaks the Ice” of the lower level of support (in this case $90,800). The horizontal price count suggests a potential near-term fall from the current level to the $$86,600 region from a Major Sign of Weakness (MSOW), before a relief rally to “Return to Ice” and subsequent Preliminary Support (PS) and Selling Climax (SC) are established.
The positive take should be on the Higher Time Frame (HTF), this PA is all about establishing the bottom of the new Trade Range, which has recently established the $108,300 handle at the upper limit of this Trade Range. Consolidation within this range should happen for a bit to establish both future direction and build cause within the formation to build potential (much like coiling a spring) for the next move.
Always remember this is not trading advice.
Outside of that, Happy Trading.
Bitcon
BTC 2025 I have plotted the yearly OHL. White line shows year open.
If you think BTC is bullish then you buy the year open and hold till EOY or hodl till your heart desires.
Alternatively you could gamble and wait for a dip below year open and buy then. Or perhaps you can wait till there's a dip below year open and then wait for a reclaim back on top of the year open level to start bidding.
Regardless I see a strong bull trend:
12 years of buy year open and hold till EOY = positive return
3 years of buy on year open and hold till EOY = negative return
2015 is an outlier but despite the heavy drawdown the year end gave a positive return.
The probabilities are very skewed and its pretty crazy how complicated we make the LTF analysis and forecasts where the simplest of strategies garners significant gains.
The years following a halving year (2013, 2017, 2021) all have a 100% hit rate of buy year open and hold till EOY. Those years offered a very positive return and marked the top of the "cycle" being followed by a down year.
My personal opinion is you either buy now or buy higher later. We might look back in a few years and lament on how we had so much time to buy sub 100k.
Alts see a similar pattern. The beginning of the year is crucial in determining what lies ahead.
BITO's Elliot Waves on 1DTwo resistance nodes were found on $28.44 and $33.67 on the daily TF.
Based on the MCB indicator, there is no sign of bearish divergence on both lower and higher TF.
Daily RSI is at the overbought area, and two nodes on the VWAP show two possible prices at (0.618/0.768).
Hoping for a healthy pull-back to $21.5 to pick up more shares.
No plan to shrink my holding until the $40+ area.
I think it will take us at least 6 months to reach the $40 area, and on MCB, I will expect to see both MF/VWAP trending out with a ton of bearish divergences.
Bitcoin local top is in. Roadmap to ATH below.Price action looking similar in structure to previous local too. We may see some major volatility but I think we don’t see another ATH until Aug 2025z Happy to be wrong but the idea if accurate would be a bearish retest of 89/90k, then a bullish retest of 104/105k (Trump inaug rally) then a slow consolidation down to 80k before an impulse into an ATH rally next fall.
My ideas change as quick as the market!
Good luck out there.
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio >1.6 👈 for buyers
Risk rewards ratio >1.7 👈 for sellers
Technical analysis 👇👇👇
↘️↘️📶📉
An broadening triangle pattern has formed on the daily timeframe and there is a possibility that we will face a decline if the price breaks below the pattern’s bottom. However, we have several strong support areas at $88-$95 that can prevent the market from returning to a bear market. If the sellers get stronger and this support area cannot withstand the pressure from the sellers, Bitcoin will fall to the $77 range.
👉👉📈↗️↗️
On the other hand, if Bitcoin moves up, our first target will be the upper edge of the triangle and the price of $110.
At that time, we need to see if the buyers' power is greater than the sellers'?
If it is, the yellow box, which is the intersection of the long-term uptrend and the price exit area from the triangle, will be our next target, the range between $114 and $118. 🎯🎯🎯
btcLook, it's not supposed to happen like this, but because we had a movement mindset, we shared it with each other
So don't take any positions on this chart
Where the arrow is, we need to see if the orange plan is going to be implemented or if it's going to be all purple and... okay
There's just a mindset
Bitcoin Breakout: Pullback and Bullish Continuation ExpectedBitcoin has recently broken above its previous trendline of highs, signaling a potential bullish momentum. The price is expected to pull back to retest the trendline as support, around the 92,000 level, before continuing its upward trajectory.
If the pullback holds above this support, it could act as a confirmation of the breakout, with a potential target set around the 200,000 level. This aligns with classical technical analysis principles, where a successful retest of a broken trendline often leads to significant upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
Trendline Support: ~92,000
Target Level: ~200,000
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?
XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen?
The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech
Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP...
Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher...
Resistance levels: 2651, 2660
Support levels: 2636, 2618
Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
etcusdt Ethereum bitcoin "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why BTC Could Drop to $93K The long wick created on Thursday, December 5, stands out as a significant feature on the chart and is the primary target at the moment. This $6,000-long wick, visible on both the 1-hour and 4-hour time frames, represents a substantial market imbalance. Such wicks often act as a "magnet" for price action, drawing the price back to fill the imbalance over time.
On the 1-day time frame, the price formed a rare double wick within a single candle, with notable wicks extending in both directions. Historically, in similar cases, the price tends to fill one side of the wick first before shifting its focus to the other. Currently, the upper 50% of the wick has been filled, suggesting a potential downward move. The next target could see the price drop to fill 50% of the lower wick, potentially reaching $93,746.
Will ROSE Break the 0.85 Support or Continue Its Bullish Move?Hey there, ✌By analyzing the daily chart of BINANCE:ROSEUSDT , we see that the price has had a significant upward movement from the 0.060 level, which led to breaking the supply zone. As shown in the chart, after breaking the supply zone, the price entered a range after reaching 0.090 and has now returned to the breakout level, which has turned from resistance into support.
If the price stabilizes above 0.085, I expect it to move towards the target range of 0.10 (descending orderblock zone) and eventually reach the supply zone between 0.11500 and 0.11800. To understand the next movement, we need to observe how the price reacts at these levels.
💡 Keep in mind, this is just my personal perspective and shouldn't be considered as financial advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and engage in a discussion!
Happy trading!✌😎
Feel free to reach out if you have any questions or need more clarification. I'm always here to assist!✌
If you want any further adjustments, just let me know!
BTC Secondary Trend. Gann trend fan 2024-2026. TriangleLogarithm. Time frame is 3 days.
Nothing new, everything is the same as previously shown in 2022 (the main trend), targets, logic and so on.
Major trend .
BTC/USD Secondary Trend Cycles and Halvin g 1 07 2022
In the present ideas, at the moment now clearly showed this triangle in the range of dynamic support/resistance of the Gann fan (that is, the development of the uptrend phase participation to distribution).
Vertical lines. The site does not display vertical dates if for a long period, Before publication the dates (time zones) are displayed on the chart, after publication they are not. These are the times of trend reversal zones.
Local trend and this reversal zone.
BTC/USD Triangle. Medium term and local work 07 06 2024
Is there any hope for investors in BNB?
In the higher time frames (daily, weekly and monthly), if we look closely, the price is suffering in a range that is constantly getting narrower. Of course, in recent weeks (due to the strong upward wave that has existed in the entire market), the tendency of these sufferings has been upward and in general, it can be said that the buyer has acted stronger than the seller.
If we look closely at the 4-hour timeframe, the price range is clearly defined in the past 24 days. Of course, it is slightly inclined upwards.
In general, in terms of probabilities, a strong breakout to the upside (the price can stabilize above $680) can increase the likelihood of a significant growth.
But the significant point that cannot be ignored is why, in a market where all high-potential cryptocurrencies are growing and have broken new resistances, this cryptocurrency has not been able to reject its main resistance so far?? The growth of this cryptocurrency so far (in the upward trend) is not really interesting compared to its good competitors. We can say that this cryptocurrency has been the loser in the upward competition between high-potential currencies so far. This worries me about the future of this symbol.
Conclusion
If I were to make a complete and actionable conclusion, I think that if the price breaks and stabilizes above the drawn area, we can expect a minimum growth of this symbol to the $900-$1000 area. However, based on the fundamental studies I have done and the analysis that exists in the crypto community regarding the foundation and future of this symbol, I do not think it is an ideal symbol for long-term holding and I think there are much better options to choose from.
SasanSeifi| Can It Hit $2.50!? Hey there,By analyzing the daily chart of BINANCE:THETAUSDT , we can see that the price has made a significant move up from its low towards the supply zone. Currently, the price is reacting to the supply zone and we are witnessing a pullback. Based on the overall market conditions, my view remains bullish.
My Expectation:If the price holds the support level at $1.50, it could potentially rise to targets of $2.00, $2.20, and the supply zone around $2.50. If the price continues to rise, we need to observe its reactions to better understand the continuation of the trend. The key support level is $1.50.
💡 Keep in mind, this is just my personal perspective and shouldn't be considered as financial advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and engage in a discussion!
Happy trading!✌😎
Feel free to reach out if you have any questions or need more clarification. I'm always here to assist!✌
If you want any further adjustments, just let me know!
JITO - JTO ALTCOIN POSSIBLE SWING LONG ZONEI believe we came possible swing long zone for JTO. It is one of my favorite Solana crypto coin. I added some spot and futures positions from here.
We may see all the way up till to ATH of the coin. But i will be looking first to take profits from the purple line.
Whatever i share is not a financial advice and do not risk more than you cannot afford.
BTCUSD Selling opportunity 97000.00 Swim Trade entry
BTCUSD SELL 96990.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 95812.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 92800.00
STOP LOSS 99260.00
Explanation of 3% risk : With a 1000$ capital account your maximum loss for each target is 30$. ( 1000/100*3 ) Adjust your lost size according to your capital and trade stop loss pips count
🔺Maximum Risk 3% of your capital
🔺From 1:1RR Book 80% of your profits
🔻Once 1:1RR, stop change to BE or safe area
NOTE : THIS IS MY PERSONAL TRADING ENTYR AND PLAN. USE AT YOUR OWN RISK