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Blackgold

WTI/BRENT CORRECTION AHEADBrent futures rose by $4.89 (5.7%) to reach $90.89 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude increased by $4.78 (5.8%) to $87.69 per barrel, marking their most significant daily gains since April. Brent also saw a weekly rise of 7.5%, its largest since February, and WTI climbed 5.9% for the week. Despite the Middle East conflict, global oil and gas supplies remain relatively unaffected since Israel isn't a major producer. However, market observers are monitoring the situation for potential regional supply impacts. Residents in Gaza evacuated their homes after Israel ordered over a million people to leave the northern half of the territory within 24 hours, with Hamas advising against leaving. Iran's Oil Minister, Javad Owji, predicted oil prices reaching $100 per barrel due to the Middle East situation. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
1
BP BEARISH SCENARIOFuel demand in Europe has been slow while consumption in China has been strong following the lifting of pandemic restrictions. BP's shares closed lower than 9% in London trading, their largest daily drop since the pandemic panic, after it said it would repurchase stocks worth $1.75 billion over the next three months, down from $2.75 billion in the past quarter. The black gold sunk from the 2nd of this month cloud driving BP even lower. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYSE:BPShort
by legacyFXofficial
WTI - ARCH TO TRIANGLE BULLISHWTI - Is forming a good-looking triangle pattern with a complete range June 10-12, if completed we are looking for a HKEX:10 upwards movement till May 24-26 and a HKEX:4 correction to HKEX:82 levels before the conclusion of the figure. This strictly technical analysis requires some push and there is only one player that can possibly play that card and this is OPEC+. We are currently standing around the previous levels when OPEC+ held a meeting over the weekend and we witnessed a HKEX:5 opening gap on the 3rd of April. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by legacyFXofficial
Natural GAS : LONGNatural gas bounced from a low of $1.95/MMBTU, where almost all producers lose money. Since natural gas and crude oil are near or below breakeven levels, producers are reducing their drilling rate - likely lowering production levels given the lack of capacity. The negative shift in weather, falling rig count, and potential export boost from Freeport may push natural gas back into a shortage over the coming months. While natural gas spot prices appear likely bottoming, UNG's immense "contango" pressure remains a key investment rig factor. Source : Seeking Alpha
RUS:NG1!Long
by SWFguy
WTI - GAP CORRECTIONThe Biden administration said the surprise oil output cuts announced on Sunday by Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ countries were not advisable. The west is not excited by the price development and we can expect an answer to keep the black gold in a reasonable range. Mid-70s is working well to reduce inflation and keep the economy running, that's why a logical move is to boost production supply as a corrective measure. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by legacyFXofficial
1
The situation with oil is getting worse and worse...Up until a few days ago I believed oil had a chance of getting back down to 75-95$. It can still get all the way down there, but for the price to get there it would need traditional markets to crash badly. The current production is too low, the underinvestment in production is massive and the oil industry isn't incentivized to drill for new wells. At the same time the problem is getting larger and larger as there aren't enough refineries that can use oil to create other products like gasoline, and many of these refineries can't just take any type of oil and use it to produce stuff. OPEC+ has been consistently missing its targets and is unable to increase production, oil released from the SPR isn't able to alleviate these issues, while a significant supply is lost from Russia, Syria, Libya, Iran and Venezuela due to sanctions, wars or other issues. The recent announcement from the EU that there will an oil embargo just makes the situation worse, while at the same time tensions are getting worse and worse as 1 Iranian oil tanker was 'seized' by the US in Greece, and 2 Greek oil tankers were 'seized' by Iran. The more oil output that is lost, the worse the situation is getting, despite the fact that we already have significant demand destruction. If oil stayed around 110 while China had big parts of its population under strict lockdown, what is going to happen as it slowly re-opens? At some point things are going to get very ugly and the high oil prices are going to damage the global economy beyond repair, something that will force oil prices to come down. In some of my previous analysis I did mention some of the potential targets for oil, which could be at 200-300$, but for now the key target remains the 2008 ATH at 140-150$. In my opinion the market will take some time to break that level, but the financial melt down won't come until it gets around 250$. If we take inflation into account, the price of the dollar, as well as the growth of money supply and that of the global stock market capitalization, the 150$ peak in 2008 is now close to 200-250$, however the 150$ peak has psychological significance. As oil is now cheaper than back in 2008-2011, as the market has closed above the 2011 highs and as the structure is very bullish across all contracts is very bullish, the price of oil could go much much higher from here. Gasoline making new ATHs and has turned the 2008 ATHs into support. December contract formed an SFP but not that bearish. The average price of the next five months had a very strong close and there is nothing really bearish to see. Hence my first target for now is 145$, the second target after some consolidation below 145$ is 195$, and the final one where I'd start exiting and potentially shorting oil would be 245$.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by BitcoinMacro
long oil, long $OIHThe well-defined channel seems to be intact while RSI is bottoming out and MACD is beginning to curl up. I believe oil has seen the majority of its bad performance in the past week. After this greenflation will kick into gear. People won't be able to resist investing in energy knowing that they'll be taking advantage of huge profit margins while the commodity becomes more scarce as companies stop drilling and consumers switch to EV's Screw gold! It's all about that black gold. and that was the final flush we needed to take the next leg higher. AMEX:OIH
TVC:USOILLong
by EBITDAtiger
go long OIHAfter almost 7 years of bearish price action, oil services will be essential in the transition to electric vehicles and clean energy. Most automakers are shooting for 2025 to have an entire EV fleet or mostly EV fleet. That's a 4-7 year runway for a bull run; assuming that it will take time to transition and for all automakers to be on the same page. Freight and travel will only increase with time further improving demand for oil and oil services. Tom Lee from Fundstrat gave this oil services ETF a price target of $740 if oil hits $80 a barrel which seems extremely likely with the macroenvironment. Playing this trend through an ETF is the safest way to play it because you are taking out the idiosyncratic risk of being tied solely to a single company. The top ten holdings of OIH are: SLB: 22.46% HAL: 13.21% BKR: 5.84% FTI: 5.22% CHX: 4.97% TS: 4.63% LBRT: 4.57% NOV: 4.37% HP: 4.13% RIG: 4.00% Weekly Chart: Daily Chart with Golden Cross:
AMEX:OIHLong
by EBITDAtiger
2
UKOil (Bearish Bat) Here on Brent Oil we have a bat pattern (much cleaner than West Texas) the Grey Box indicates some areas of confluence. the middle of the box is the .886 of the XA leg. the low side of the box is the 1.618 Fibo Extension of the ABC legs of the pattern and the top range of the box is 2.0 range of the BC leg. this area has proven on the left to be quite powerful printing an 88 point swing point. look for a violent rejection out of this zone for a minor reaction. Look of a "M" pattern for a more substantial reversal. I think this is more of a corrective move of the much larger picture so be prepared to see an ABCD pattern bringing price back up for the longer haul.
TVC:UKOILShort
by ARegularGuy
WTI/ USD ( Black Gold) Bear BatHere on Oil (texas tea, black gold) we have a (dirty) bearish Bat pattern. the yellow line indicates the completion point of the pattern. Be mindful of the pattern completing throwing a few indecision candles and quickly reversing. the yellow line indicates an area of strong contention. Looking left we see the majority of the times price recaches this area price rejects either Up or Down. If price stalls look for a complex structure around the yellow line. typically an "M" pattern. this is not a reversal sign i feel this is more or less a correction of the current move up. Be on the look out for the longer term ABCD pattern upward.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by ARegularGuy
2