Short term relief bounce before fallingXRP/USD
Bullish Case
- Bounce from this M or double top bottom.
- RSI, MACD and Histogram looks to want to reverse as it is close to oversold on the LTFs (5min, 15min, 30min, 1hour)
- Possible retest at 0.382 fib area which is approx. $0.4754
Bearish Case
- Break down past the bottom of the M or double top pattern and we go to next support at approx $0.45 which is the 0.5fib retrace.
- RSI, MACD and Histogram looks to want to continue on down on the HTFs (8hr, 12hr, 1day)
I am more bearish than bullish still, thoughts?
Blockchain
Litecoin to the Lower $50's?Litecoin has rejected our level at $55.84, and has steadily trekked downward. We are sure to see support from the low $50's as we have seen consistently. Indeed, $51.92 and $50.64 should continue to provide support, but if not we have a vacuum zone down to $45.48. If we pivot from lower levels, we could retest $55.84, but it will take significant momentum to break through this level and attempt the $60's again, which we do not anticipate at this time.
Ethereum To Test Lower Levels?Ethereum has tested our level at $1341 several times over the weekend, but it has provided significant resistance with several red triangle on the KRI confirming resistance. We are gradually trending down with the rest of the crypto markets, meandering in the vacuum zone between this level and $1235. The latter should hold as a lower bound, but if not, then $1100 is the next target. The Kovach OBV is abysmally bearish which could suggest an impending relief rally. If so, watch $1341 as a ceiling.
Bitcoin Trending DownBitcoin is trending downward as the markets digest a persistent risk off tone and increased Fed rate hike trajectory. We are edging toward our supporting level of $18.6K. This level should provide support but if not, $17.6K is the next level after that. If we pivot, we must break $19.5K before attempting $20K again. It will take significant momentum to break through to these upper levels which is unlikely at this time.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For September 23, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin prices continue to slide down: Currently, the crypto is targeting our Key Sup at $18,400 and the next Outer Coin Dip at $17,200, with the possibility of extending to the prevailing move to #2 Outer Coin Dip at $15,500. There is an isolated chance for a breakout to our Mean Res $20,200.
September 24 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
The Dollar Index (DXY) has increased to 113.02, a 20-year high, which imposed strong pressure on risky assets. The S&P 500 index has declined about 1.72% today, while the Nasdaq Composite is down 1.8%. Bitcoin is down 0.84% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $18,530.81. The relative strength index (RSI) is just below the midpoint, indicating a minor advantage to bears. The largest cryptocurrency has been trading between $18,126 to $19,966 since Sept. 19, showing that the bulls are defending $18,000, but they are unable to push the price above $20,000. For now, buyers need to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($19,904) to establish a relief rally.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
DBS Bank Expands Its Crypto Trading Service for Wealthy Investors
Singapore-based financial services group DBS has widened access to crypto trading services at its members-only digital exchange DBS Digital Exchange (DDEx). The launch of the crypto trading feature comes at a time when DBS wealth clients are increasingly choosing self-directed options. Accredited wealth clients will now be able to trade BTC, BCH, ETH and XRP on DDEx with a minimum investment of $500.
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September 23 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
Bitcoin is up 4.74% over the last 24 hours and rose to an intraday high of $19,533.17. Bitcoin dropped below the immediate support at $18,626 and reached $18,126 on Sept. 21, but the price has recovered back to $19,000 over the last 24 hours, showing strong buying at lower levels. Buyers will attempt to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($19,904) to establish a relief rally. However, If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to pull the pair below the strong support zone between $18,626 and $17,622.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
OpenSea Plans to Support More Networks and Languages to Expand Global NFT Ecosystem
OpenSea will add more network and language support in 2023 to expand the global NFT ecosystem. In the coming weeks and months, OpenSea will add support for more languages, including Simplified and Traditional Chinese, Korean, Japanese, French, Spanish and German. OpenSea said it firmly believes that NFTs are foundational technology that will eventually underpin thousands of use cases and industries. OpenSea will focus on solving problems that limit the application of NFTs, such as technological innovation, patience, and language differences. From the fourth quarter of 2022 until 2023, the core of OpenSea's attention will turn to Expansion, which aims to build a globalized NFT ecosystem so that people can interact with NFTs across chains, languages, and more vertically.
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Not a hot chilli, retrace incomingPotential short term double top for CHZ as it is finding trouble breaking out of the lip of the cup for the handle, looks like a it is getting rejected in the area and could potentially come back to the bottom of the double top at the 0.382 retracement of 0.18, hopefully it holds there as strong support, if not, next area would be 0.143 which is the 0.618 retracement.
Thoughts?
Litecoin Lackluster After FOMCLitecoin rejected its attempt to regain the mid $50's with a strong selling spike back to support at $51.92 and $50.64. We don't expect too much momentum today, as the markets are likely to feel out the results of the FOMC yesterday. But if we gain momentum $55.84 is the next target and $50.64 should hold as a lower bound.
Ethereum Digests the FOMCEthereum dipped with the other risk-on assets and the rest of the crypto markets. We broke through support in the $1300's at $1341, and hit our support level at $1235. Full disclosure: we are cautiously long here, with limit orders filled in the low $1300's. We expect Ethereum to range a bit here, and perhaps make a tepid attempt to regain the $1300's with a target for now of $1424. However, if $1235 does not hold then there is a vacuum zone to $1100.
Bitcoin Maintans the Range After FOMCBitcoin saw some volatility from the FOMC yesterday. We did not get the 'dovish hike' that the markets expected and risk-on assets responded accordingly. We did see support from $18.6K (as anticipated and voiced here in these reports). We are currently seeing a meager pivot off of this level, but there is very little momentum associated with it, so we don't expect to break the next level at $19.5K. If we do, $20K is the next target and we should see resistance there. If $18.6K does not hold, $17.6K will surely provide support.
September 22 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
The Federal Reserve announced it was raising its key rate by another 0.75 percentage points, lifting the target range to 3% to 3.25%. Bitcoin is down 2.75% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $18,125.98. The largest cryptocurrency dropped alongside the traditional equity market as the Fed hiked rates by another 75 basis points, and the Fed Chair Jerome Powell projected another 125 basis points increase before the end of the year. Higher rates are likely to have a negative impact on the risky assets such as cryptocurrency and stocks markets, and the BTC price could drop further.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Nvidia Launches Metaverse Cloud Service Product Omniverse
Nvidia has announced the launch of Nvidia Cloud Omniverse, designed to accelerate the global adoption of the metaverse. The Nvidia Cloud Omniverse is a software and infrastructure-as-a-service product created to enable artists, developers and enterprise teams to design, publish, operate and experience metaverse applications anywhere. According to Nvidia, Omniverse Cloud services run on the Omniverse Cloud Computer, a global-scale distributed data center network for delivering high-performance, low-latency metaverse graphics at the edge.
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Litecoin Finds Support Ahead of FOMCLitecoin found support at the base of the $50 handle. We made a run for the vacuum zone between the low $50's and $55.84, but momentum quickly dissipated and since then we are hovering around support in the low $50's. We do appear to have strong support at current levels, with $50.64 holding as a floor. Watch for Litecoin to range at current levels at least until the Fed rate hike at 2 PM EST.
Can Ethereum Breakout Again?Ethereum appeared to be making a run for higher levels, but momentum quickly fizzled and we immediately sought support again at $1341. We appear to be forming a bear flag around this level. If we dump again, we have support below at $1235. If we are somehow able to muster the strength for a rally, then $1424 is the next target above. It is likely that we will range until the Fed rate hike at 2 PM EST.
Bitcoin Quiet Ahead of FOMCBitcoin caught a bit of a pivot from $18.6K, which has provided strong support before. It held strong again as Bitcoin tested it with another dump from $19.5K. Strong support was confirmed with green triangles on the KRI. We made another run for $19.5K, but this was immediately rejected, as we mentioned in yesterday mornings report. It is unlikely BTC will have the strength to break this level any time soon, but if it does, then $20.7K is the next target. If we dump again, $18.6K should hold but if not, then $17.6K should be considered an absolute floor. Watch for ranging before the FOMC at 2 PM EST.
September 21 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
Bitcoin is down 3.25% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $18,715.37. Traditional equities also declined, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 falling by 1%, 0.95% and 1.1%, respectively. The Fed is unlikely to announce anything surprising on the interest rate as the CME FedWatch Tool is predicting an 84% probability of a 75 basis point hike. Investors will focus more on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments after the FOMC meeting. If Powell expresses a more optimistic view about the state of U.S. inflation, Bitcoin’s price will likely move higher.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
MicroStrategy Brought 301 Bitcoins for About $6 Million
U.S. SEC regulatory filings show that between August 2, 2022, and September 19, 2022, MicroStrategy acquired about 301 bitcoins for about $6 million in cash, at an average price of $19,851. As of September 19, 2022, MicroStrategy, together with its subsidiaries, held approximately 130,000 bitcoins with a total purchase price of approximately $3.98 billion and an average purchase price of approximately $30,639 per bitcoin.
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Bitcoin Testing Range Lows Bitcoin still playing within this range, not bullish or bearish imo. As long as we hold the range low then of course the only other option is to test the mid-range and potentially the top of the range. We currently had a nice bounce (spring-like candle) off of demand/range low and want to see us flip the level of 19.6k before testing 21.5k. At that point I'll seriously consider it tests some supply still sitting above around 23.6k, given we can flip range eq (S/R level) and at that point I will re-evaluate. No point in assuming PA before we have some data to work with, I'd rather not throw a dart blind-folded.
Invalid below our macro low of course (or a candle close on HTF below the range low) and would expect a significant drop if that happens, but for now there is no reason to assume/believe that will happen imo. The only argument for this is that it is in line with the macro trend downward.
Stay objective and manage your risk by using stop losses if you're entering in this area. R/R in this area is better with tight invalidations.
V
$50's Hold for LitecoinLitecoin found support at the base of the $50 handle as anticipated. We saw good support from $50.64, and a subsequent rally just above the next neighboring level at $51.92. We are seeing some resistance at the moment confirmed by red triangles on the KRI, and momentum seems to have slumped for now. We expect current levels to hold at least until the FOMC tomorrow.
Ethereum PivotsEthereum found support after breaking through our level at $1341, briefly. We anticipated further support at $1235, but found it just above that level. Subsequently, we rallied back but fell short of the next level at $1424. The Kovach OBV has inched up a bit, but nothing to indicate we are seeing some serious mometum come through, which is not likely, at least before the FOMC tomorrow. If we do see momentum return then $1547 is a good target.
Bitcoin Finds SupportBitcoin caught a nice pivot from lows around $18.6K. This has proved to be a consistent lower bound with $17.6K an absolute floor if a selling wick were to come through. We should have resistance from current levels at or near $20K. If we are able to break through $20.7K then $22.4K is the next target, but we don't anticipate much momentum before the FOMC tomorrow.
September 20 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to CoinShare, digital asset investment products saw inflows totalling US$7m last week, another low activity week. Bitcoin price is almost flat over the last 24 hours. The largest cryptocurrency has been trading between $18,225 – $19,689.00, indicating the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate hike has put pressure on Bitcoin. In the near future, cryptocurrency markets are likely to remain volatile because of the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate hike on Sept. 20 and 21. As of now, the CME FedWatch Tool suggests that the majority favors a 75 basis point rate hike. If this happens, Bitcoin price could rise above $20,000.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Coin98 Labs Launches Decentralized Stablecoin CUSD
Coin98 Labs has announced the launch of its ecosystem’s decentralized stablecoin, Coin98 Dollar (CUSD), fully collateralized by reserve assets. In order to convert to 1 CUSD, a total of $1 worth of the collateralized assets must be sent into the CUSD Reserve smart contract. According to Coin98 Labs, the stablecoin aims to become a cross-chain unit of account that fulfills the demand for cross-chain liquidity in DeFi, unleashing the power of the Coin98 ecosystem and supporting networks such as BNB Chain, Solana, and Ethereum. In the future, CUSD will be deployed on as many chains as possible.
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