Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin experienced a significant drop from an attempt to complete the Inner Coin Rally of 70400. However, the Mean Resistance 68200 was the main barrier during this week's trading session. The overall trend suggests a recovery towards Mean Resistance 65300, with a possible extension to Mean Resistance 68200 and Inner Coin Rally 70400. There may be interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 55800 before the coin resumes its up movement.
Blockchain
AIRDAO on the comeback trail?This S coin has undergone a rebrand it seems , a main-net release?
I don't know, I rarely dive into the fundamentals of a project... whilst a narrative is nice
and sector rotation is a thing
the age of the ALT coin and any the state of the community / marketing are generally the most important.
Which is all told in the price action of the charts anyway! :)
Supply/demand ---> support/resistance ---> accumulation/distribution
anyway as this chart shows there may be life in this old dog of a S coin.
And it is currently in a low risk (USD) entry zone.
(Don't forget to keep a Moonbag in these S coins as you take profits ... as you never know if it will be blessed this cycle with extreme out performance)
BTC - Navigating the Recent Decline and Key Technical IndicatorsDear Traders, today I want to provide you with a trading analysis of Bitcoin's recent decline from $70,000 to $66,000, we will utilize several technical analysis tools, including Fibonacci retracement levels, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and other moving averages. This analysis will explore key price movements, support and resistance levels, and potential future trends.
1. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Fibonacci retracement levels are commonly used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on the key Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%). In this scenario:
- Retracement Levels:
- From the high of $70,000 to the low of $66,000, key Fibonacci levels are:
- 23.6% retracement: Approximately $66,950
- 38.2% retracement: Approximately $67,520
- 50% retracement: Approximately $68,000
- 61.8% retracement: Approximately $68,480
- 78.6% retracement: Approximately $69,090
The recent decline saw Bitcoin retracing to the 61.8% level, suggesting a strong support area. A failure to maintain this level could indicate further downside potential.
2. Bollinger Bands Analysis
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (usually a 20-period SMA) and two outer bands set at a standard deviation away from the middle band. They help identify volatility and potential overbought or oversold conditions.
- Observations:
- As Bitcoin declined, it approached the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
- A rebound from this level might indicate a short-term relief rally, while a close below could signal continued bearish momentum.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
The Ichimoku Cloud, or Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, provides insight into trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels.
- Components:
- Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): A shorter-term moving average, usually set at 9 periods.
- Kijun-sen (Base Line): A longer-term moving average, typically 26 periods.
- Senkou Span A & B (Leading Span A & B): Form the cloud, representing potential support/resistance.
- Current Status:
- Bitcoin's price fell below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bearish trend.
- The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen have made a bearish crossover, indicating potential continued downside.
- The Senkou Span A has crossed below Senkou Span B, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
4. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and Other Moving Averages
EMAs give more weight to recent prices, making them responsive to new information. Key EMAs to watch include the 21-day, 50-day, and 200-day.
- EMA Observations:
- 21-day EMA: Has turned downwards, signaling short-term bearishness.
- 50-day EMA: Positioned above the current price, acting as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level could confirm the bearish trend.
- 200-day EMA: Often considered a long-term trend indicator. Currently below the 200-day EMA suggests a longer-term bearish outlook.
- Other Moving Averages:
- The 100-day SMA is also crucial, currently providing a near-term resistance level. A breakdown below this moving average may lead to increased selling pressure.
5. Momentum Indicators
Additional indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide further insights:
- RSI: Nearing oversold levels, indicating that a short-term reversal could be on the horizon.
- MACD: The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, suggesting bearish momentum.
Conclusion and Future Outlook
The technical analysis indicates that Bitcoin is currently in a bearish phase, as evidenced by the price's position relative to key moving averages, the Ichimoku Cloud, and other indicators. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around $68,480 serves as a crucial resistance point. A sustained move above this level, along with reclaiming the 50-day EMA, could signal a potential recovery.
Conversely, continued weakness below the 200-day EMA and the lower Bollinger Band suggests further downside risk, with potential support around the $66,000 mark. Traders should closely monitor these levels and indicators for signs of either a reversal or continuation of the current trend.
Trump RFKJ Help Pump Bitcoin In Nashville's Crypto ConferenceBoth U.S. presidential candidates Trump and RFKJ spoke at Nashville's recent crypto conference. Both outlined their strategies going forward should they become the next president. Though different, both had a positive effect on the Bitcoin price as the market pumped beforehand. But now that the conference is at an end, what can we expect from Bitcoin?
You can see from the chart that we are nearing the top of our channel and testing its underside as was expected from the video last week. Now, the question becomes, what's next?
The two most likely scenarios are that a) Bitcoin moves sideways for a week or two in another accumulation phase before breaking up, or b) Bitcoin breaks up sooner than anticipated and starts heading toward our year-end target.
A less likely scenario is that for some unknown reason at this point and time, an event or news item could reveal which would move the price of Bitcoin back down to the bottom of our channel one last time before heading up again.
We live in unbelievable times rn. Anything could happen. But probability lies on the side of Bitcoin continuing its move upward at this moment. End of year target remains $90k+.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 26, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin exhibited significant down movement by reaching our Mean Support level at 64000 and subsequently rebounded strongly to retest our Mean Resistance level at 68200, as outlined in the Weekly Chart Analysis for the Week of July 19. The overall trend indicates progression toward the Inner Coin Rally at 70400, a retest of the completed Main Inner Coin Rally at 73200, and striding on to the anticipated long-term target of the Outer Coin Rally at 92000. It's important to note the initial downward pressure on the primary support at 65400 as the coin moves upward.
Bitcoin, past, present and future !Bitcoin in the long term is about to bounce around 1000% (10x) to 1600% (16x) in the medium a long term (2-3 years) after the halving !
As the world demands more for bitcoin, this could happen quickly beyond our predictability.
Many, unaware people still fail to see how big this symbol of decentralization is. May the force be with you, stay well!
It's not financial advice !!
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has consistently demonstrated an upward trend in the current week's trading, aligning with the projections outlined in the Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of July 12. Both the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800 were not only reached but surpassed greatly. The overall trajectory is progressing towards the long-anticipated target of the Outer Coin Rally at 92000. Concurrently, two significant interim milestones have emerged: the Inner Coin Rally at 70400 and a retest of the completed Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It is imperative to underscore the substantial downward primary squeeze pressure toward 64000, prevalent across all specified upper target levels.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Over the course of this week's trading, Bitcoin has continuously traded within the range of the completed Outer Coin Dip of 54000 and the Mean Resistance level at 57900. Our analysis anticipates a potential breakout from this fluctuation zone, implying upward movement toward the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and possibly further to the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800. It is important to note the presence of potential downward squeeze pressure at the specified target level.
BTC Update: Key Levels and Market Outlook for Upcoming Weeks.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) currently holds a strong support level at $55,300. This key level presents a significant opportunity for potential gains. If the support at $55,300 fails, the next critical supports are at $52,000 and $48,500. Given the approaching bull run, we expect a bounce from these levels, particularly in Q4 2024 and Q1 & Q4 2025.
As with previous bull runs, we anticipate substantial volatility during this period. Remembering to exit the market around March or November 2025 is crucial, as the bull run is expected to conclude around this time.
Based on historical data and calculations, the Minimum target for Bitcoin in this bull run is $253,623. If Bitcoin flips the resistance at $253,623 by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Previous bull runs in 2013, 2017, and early 2021 exhibited unexpected price pumps, and we may witness similar volatility this time. While observing resistance zones, it's essential to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions by March or November 2025.
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has retraced to our pre-established completed Inner Coin Dip level of 59000, Outer Coin Dip of 57000, and current Outer Coin level of 54000. We anticipate a recovery from this landmark move, with a target to attain the Mean Resistance at 57900 and extend to the Mean Resistance at 60400. Conversely, our principal downside objectives encompass a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 54000 and potentially the subsequent Outer Coin Dip 51000.
VET Set for Major Gains: Preparing for Alt Season SurgeVeChain (VET) is part of a blockchain platform that enhances supply chain and business processes. It improves transparency, traceability, and efficiency across various industries, including healthcare, agriculture, luxury goods, and logistics. With the VET coin serving as a transactional token, companies can ensure the authenticity and quality of their products.
Currently, VeChain shows significant potential. With a maximum circulating supply of 86.713 billion tokens, about 93.39% already in circulation, VET is poised for growth. The alt season is between Q4 2024 and Q1 or Q4 2025, during which the market is expected to see a substantial increase in volume. This period could present an excellent opportunity for VET to make significant gains.
At present, VETUSD's strong support level is at $0.02443. If this support holds, we could see a significant upward movement. However, if it breaks, the next strong support lies at $0.2028, from where a bounce is expected. We anticipate market volume to start increasing from October 2024 onwards, signaling the beginning of a bullish phase.
Based on our calculations, VET's bull run targets a minimum of $1 by Q1 2025. If VET flips the $1 resistance by Q1 2025, the maximum target could reach $11.2 by Q4 2025. Alt season often brings unexpected price surges, and we might see similar volatility this time. It's crucial to monitor the resistance zones and manage trades accordingly. We recommend exiting long positions around Q1 or Q4 2025 to capitalize on the bull run and alt season's end.
For more detailed analysis like this, follow us on TradingView to stay updated with our latest ideas. Share your thoughts in the comments, and let us know if you need analysis on any specific coins. We're here to provide insights and help you make informed trading decisions.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 28, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has declined to our predetermined Mean Support and Next Inner Coin Dip levels of 60700 and 66500, respectively. We anticipate a rebound from this point, aiming to reach the Mean Resistance at 62500 and Inner Coin Rally level at 63300, with potential for further upward movement. Conversely, our downside targets encompass revisiting the completed Inner Coin Dip at 59000 and the completed Outer Coin Dip at 57000.
#BTCUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending channel break & retestBitcoin is pulling back to 50MA daily support after forming a big bull flag, a bounce towards new ATH seems likely next.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 5.4%
Current Price:
66989.1
Entry Targets:
1) 66666.6
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 75891.7
Stop Targets:
1) 62969.2
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.5
Expected Profit= +138.4%
Possible Loss= -55.5%
Estimated Gaintime= 1 month
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 21, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin hit our Inner Coin Dip of 64500 on the money and dipped to a lower target marked as Inner Coin Dip 63100. We anticipate a robust upward bounce from this point to reach the mean resistance level of 66500.
Degen early accumulationI'm looking to accumulate Degen around the 0.01 area in the coming months. I'm not a big fan of layers but the team and community is active and constantly working on new projects and ideas so it overshadows their hideous token metrics. This project has huge potential upside IMO.
Degen will be added to the bag.
#LTCUSDT #1h (OKX Futures) Descending trendline breakoutLitecoin printed a dragonfly doji on 50MA support, looks bullish for the days to come.
⚡️⚡️ #LTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: OKX Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (9.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
78.97
Entry Targets:
1) 78.32
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 81.98
Stop Targets:
1) 76.49
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:LTC OKX:LTCUSDT.P #Litecoin #PoW litecoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +42.1%
Possible Loss= -21.0%
Estimated Gaintime= 2-3 days
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June14, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin consistently reached our defined Mean Support of 67500, as outlined in the Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of June 7. Additionally, it surpassed this level, touching our Mean Support 65000. Upon completing the Inner Coin Dip 64500 and validating the end of the down movement, we anticipate a renewed Bull Stage trend, initially targeting the designated Mean Resistance.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 7, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has completed our designated Intermediary Squeeze Rebound 71500 and is on its way to continue the downward movement to a Mean Sup 67500, where we are expecting a Bull Stage movement to take place to retest the Mean Res 71500 and Key Res 73200, respectively.
BTC - Short-term View!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, BTC is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a structure and trendline in red.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As long as the red support zone holds, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH - Make or Break Zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
ETH has been hovering within a narrow range in the shape of a flat rising channel around a massive resistance zone $4,000 - $4,100.
What's next?
Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation
The bulls maintain control as long as ETH is trading within the rising channel marked in red.
In this case, a movement towards the $4,000 - $4,100 resistance zone would be expected.
2️⃣ Bearish - Correction
If the last low marked in green is broken downward, we will expect the bearish correction to start leading to a movement towards $3,100 demand zone.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin gyrated in this week's trading between our major Mean Sup 67100 and the newly created Mean Res 69400. The upward movement target shows a continuous target of Bull Stage Squzee Rebound 73200, marked as Key Res 73200. The main obstacles are Mean Res 69400 and 71500, respectively. On the downside, we look at the established Mean Support at 65000 as a concrete target before a renewed upswing occurs.
ETH - Critical Zone 👀 Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
As per my last analysis, ETH rejected the $3000 support and traded higher.
What's next?
Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish - Continuation
For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the $4,000 - $4,100 is needed.
In this case, a movement towards the $4,500 resistance would be expected.
2️⃣ Bearish - Correction
Meanwhile, the bears can still kick in for a correction towards $3,500 where we will be looking for new short-term buy setups.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr