btc 7-13 update ~morning o/
--
might see one more leg down into that middle 18,000 area
the price action from down there will be key.
-if we come up in 5 waves, this will open a door to higher prices
-if we come up in 3 waves, the bounce will be short lived and further sell pressure will be initiated.
swinging the bounce(if i get filled), may hold longer if it feels right.
BLX
majority is always what?majority is always wrong m8,
remember that.
---
good morning my peoples,
i talked to you about the bull, the bear, and the ugly.
today i wanna talk to you about how i'm playing this current move, and my reasoning behind it.
---
i'm bullish into the next 2 weeks; specifically until july 30th.
i don't care about cpi data, nor the us dolla, or what the media says - don't come here talking about any of that lol.
my strategy, is to inverse the majority - and if you're coming here talking about anything related to what i have mentioned above - then you are the one i am inversing 😈
---
bitcorn upside target = 25k.
"that wasn't love, that was just hope".as you all know, the cpi report is coming out in 2 days.
if that data fails to beat the current market expectations, i do wholeheartedly believe the markets will see an accelerated move to the downside.
it will be lead by long liquidations, miner capitulation, and extreme panic.
IF this happens, my target sits in a window between 12\13k.
it doesn't have to happen right now, so this is not me saying that it will,
but if it did, be ready for it.
👇
ps. 24k is still on the table if the cpi data beats expectations :].
cash is 👑
Bitcoin is right where is supposed to be!Looking at the history of bitcoin, the data shows this is nothing new and it's most likely the bottom. Buying has historical made you you look and feel like champion.
There is nothing guaranteed and there is Alloway's risk, without risk there is no reward.
Always invest responsible.
btc 7-10 update pt.2good evening,
been thinking a bit more about this local count, and i've come up with one more potential trajectory.
---
if we see a weak three wave bounce from my original downside target (view my last post for more context)
👇
then we'll likely see a slightly deeper retracement to 19.3k.
---
both scenarios lead to the same upside target of roughly 24k.
just need to focus on how it moves up after bouncing in the days ahead.
---
will throw an update when either of these outcomes are confirmed.
btc 7-10 update ~good afternoon my peoples,
in my last few posts, i talked about the possibility of seeing 23~24k before seeing a big pivot downwards.
here's how i think we can potentially get there.
---
as of this moment, shorts are out-weighing the longs.
1h hidden bullish divergence is present
1\3h stochastics have entered into oversold.
btc has come down in what looks to be 3 waves:
demand wicks are present, and there is an 11k long block acting as support.
---
cpi data in 3 days is a total wild card.
if that data beats expectations, we will see a significant short squeeze in the days ahead.
the full moon will too support a significant rally - potentially higher than my current expectations.
if that data fails to beat expectations, then i don't think we will see the local highs taken out, and btc along with the rest of the market will move straight down to the targets i have been discussing recently.
---
ps. i am still looking for lower prices after this push up
👇
"hope".each dip in a bear market tends to get larger over time.
reason being:
>humans buy in thinking a bottom is created.
>bots drive the price goes lower.
>humans panic sell.
----
eventually, the larger players begin to sell off their balance sheets.
-btc miners capitulate below 17.6k, as it is not profitable for them to mine btc anymore.
-hash-rate declines at a very rapid pace.
-massive long positions begin getting liquidated.
-margin calls are created.
-media headlines say "bitcoin is done forever".
-retail loses all hope.
𝑜𝑛𝑙𝑦 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛,
𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑏𝑜𝑡𝑡𝑜𝑚 𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑.
----
for now, while majority of the market remains hopeful - i will remain to be bearish.
once a majority of the market loses all hope, i will flip 100% bullish.
no offense to anyone, it's just part of my strategy.
----
downside target = $12,400.
✌
btc 7-9 update ~good evening folks
---
our indicator is crossing bearish up here, indicating downside pressure in the days ahead.
it's possible we see one more scam pump to about 23k before the downtrend begins.
---
my downside target is between 12~13k for the time being, but there is significant support between 14~15k, so it may stop there.
---
ps. that downside target will be a big one; btc could move back up to 40~50k after poking it followed by another soul crushing capitulation phase.
💰
full moon ritualsconsider this post completely theoretical, and don't use it as financial advice lol.
---
just about every full moon over the last few years has marked a local bottom for bitcoin.
as we near july 13th, all of my indicators are pointing to a long liquidation event.
it's very possible that we don't get it this time around, but if we did i reckon it would look something along these lines:
>raid the 17.6k lows for liquidity.
>a grind up which doesn't take out the local high into the end of july.
>drop to 13~14k into august before a very sharp reversal.
💰
btc 7-8 update ~ good afternoon o/
----
bitcorn looks to be breaking through various barriers.
lot of sell signals popping off, but it just keeps going.
-----
looking for more upside into the days ahead, as talked about in yesterdays post.
little change to the count, aside from that it all looks pretty good to me.
there might be another 1-2 in there, but i can't confirm it until i see a reaction from one of my upside targets.
will update it when i could confirm it.
---
ps. i'm cash up here, as i don't trust this move in the slightest lol.
Bitcoin BLX - Elliott wave since 2010 + Trendline still holding!- On the monthly scale there is a holding trendline with 3 touches established in 2015!
- The price is currently sitting on the trendline, so it is still very bullish at this moment.
- If we take a look at the RSI indicator, we are exactly in the buy zone.
- As per my Elliott wave analysis - we are in the massive wave 3 as you can see on the chart.
- Bitcoin is above 20 000 USD and above previous ATH from 2017 - again very bullish .
- We are currently above 50 monthly MA - holding since 2015.
- With my conclusion Bitcoin is a strong buying opportunity at this level.
- Look at my ideas about BTC .D and TOTAL crypto cap in the related section down below ↓
- For more ideas please hit "Like" & "Follow"!
btc 7-7 update ~good afternoon o/
~
and just like that, with the flick of a switch, bitty invalidated my short term bear count.
~
as of me writing this, i am anticipating higher prices.
anywhere between 23.8~25.7 is the target.
theoretically, a very sharp rejection will take place in between those two levels which can take btc down over 50%.
~
if you aren't already in, don't be that guy who fomo's at the top.
i'm no financial advisor, but i tell you with confidence - that the market will always come back.
But this time it is different, again ! Right ?Everyone is in panic ... most of so called "TOP" autors calling for 15K and even sub 15K or delusional 10K targets again.
Im telling you that this could be your once in a lifetime opportunity ! (AGAIN)
Buying the FEAR and selling the FOMO gets usually rewarded well in the mid/long term.
When everyone is talking about end of Bitcoin and Bitcoin the digital gold not beeing a safe heaven ...
The whales are silently buying your super cheap asset which you´re selling underpriced in panic.
Cheers
Bitcoin , BTC ,R:R, money management, risk, reward, technique, style, trading, bitcoin , bitcointrading, profitable trading, profittrading, profit trading, secret, divergence, bull divergence, bear divergence, divergencetrading, divergence trading, trading strategy, how to trade bitcoin , bitcoin trades, bitcoin trading, make profit, take profit, trading strategy, trading technique, successful, successful trader, successful technique, successful strategy, successful secret, how to trade, trend analysis, technical analysis , indicators, rsi , relative strenght index, let it rain, successful life, easy strategy, easy trading, easy technique, make money, crypto investing, investing, crypto, cryptocurrency, cryptocurrencies, mentoring, money, chartart, beyond
BITCOIN HALVING
(MAJOR EVENT) countdown at the time of writing
636days5hours12minutes45seconds
btc 7-5 update ~good afternoon o/
---
general idea remains the same,
btc is still trying to reach the local upside algo target;
will most likely see a rejection between 21.2~21.8k.
---
downside target sits at about 18k as of today
should be reached by july 12\13th;
after-which we should see a little move up, where alts will most likely lead the way.
btc 7-4 update ~good evening,
taking a peak at the alt charts, and a lot of the alts look to be setting up for a little pop in the days ahead.
this would also rhyme with the idea of btc stopping out all the bears who were late to the party over this 3 day weekend.
a push up to 21.2k, followed by a flush just beyond the range low is my plan.
anywhere between 17,400~16,195 is the expanded flat pocket for that b-wave.
---
since we came up in 3 waves from the range low, i'm theorizing we will come down in 3 waves to create an expanded flat.
b-wave should bottom on july 13th (+\-1 a day).
---
july 13th is an important day in the market.
we have the full moon - which is a historical indicator for a pivot to the upside.
more importantly though, we have the highly anticipated inflation data being released on this day.
---
for btc to see a clean rally out of this range (as portrayed down below), that inflation data must beat the current expectations.
---
failure to beat expectations, and we will see an accelerated decline fueled by long liquidations.
BTC - More Circles!Pivotal points line up nicely with these two circles drawn during the early bullish phase of the market and the later bullish phase of the market
We are in a comparable point to that in the first blue circle
Previous bottoms line up nicely with 3.618 and 4.236 of the first bullish circle drawn
BTC - Further DiggingIt can be seen on this chart that the horizontal lines of support align with previous secondary bull market tops (in red)
The hammer situation are comparable points
What is really interesting though is that the Gaussian Channel structure on this 3D chart is very very similar to that of the pre 2016 bear market
This may result in a low for BTC at around 13 - 14K
This could be considered an addition to my previous post for BTC
btc 7-2 update ~good afternoon o/
---
applying all the factors i have mentioned over my last few posts, and taking a look at this local area from a psychological perspective -
i've come up with this particular trajectory for btc.
---
i bet there is a ton of long stops at the range low, via 17.6k.
if history repeats itself, that low will get raided before a move up takes place.
stop-loss raid into july 13th, followed by a short squeeze up to about 25.8k (can go as high as 29k.)
mid-summer solstice.what i have displayed on my chart are solstices \ equinoxes.
i've went through btc's history, and i have found that the mid-summer solstice has historically marked some kind of bottom in the cryptocurrency markets.
----
circled the last few times it took place.
here's some more:
to conclude, there has been 10 mid-summer solstices since 2011
of the 10, 8 marked a bottom.
----
now this does not mean that btc cannot go lower, i'm simply stating that based on the historical data, the odds are high that we have, or are in the process of forming a major bottom.
btc 7-1 update what if,
it's just this simple?
we saw 5 waves up,
we saw 3 waves down.
----
higher timeframe oscillators are close to being completely reset,
indicative of a bullish reversal on the horizon.
open interest has fallen quite drastically overnight, supporting the upward move.
fear is at 11,
bearish sentiment is at historical highs.
---
i'm not playing any leverage until we see more confirmation, but i am in a fairly nice spot position as of me writing this.
upside targets are on the chart
---
the bear case completely remains in tact, but so does this bull case.
bullish invalidation is at a break of the range lows
btc 6-30 update~good evening peoples o/
pretty decent reaction from last nights downside target,
but the reaction is simply not strong enough in my opinion.
it is most likely a trap.
---
if the range high is broken, btc can expand to anywhere between 24~26k
failure to take out that high, and we will see 14.5k in the next two weeks.
btc 6-29 update ~good evening ladies and gentlemen,
---
i'm gaining more confidence in the short term bull case for btc as more of the herd turns bearish.
looking for a local bottom in the low 19k range.
if 19k range holds as support, i will be looking for follow-through to the upside in 3 choppy waves to complete the local b-wave at around 24k.
---
>a break below 19k could open a door to retest the lows
>if lows are lost -> 13\14k can be reached.
---
if we do indeed get the bounce i'm looking for, i will interpret in one of two ways 👇
#1.
#2.