Gold Rallies and Pushes to Upper Bollinger BandGold rallied hard today, gaining almost 20 points on the day. On the way to the new monthly high for April, Gold shot past last Friday's high and didn't pause as it continued it's ascent to the outer Bollinger Band, which is set at 2 Std Dev from the midline. Monday's red Heikin-Ashi candle is now well in the rear-view mirror as well. And all along, the haDelta indicator did not flash red, staying a solid blue since April 4.
Most of the time, after a big move in Gold, the market pauses for a day before giving any signal of the next move. I am watching for a pullback to the inner 1.5 Bollinger Band (which is at 1270) which is also at the same level as the Keltner Channel (yellow). A nice rejection of that level would indicate that a new up wave in the precious metal is about to begin.
Bullish Heikin-Ashi chart
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Bollingerbandstrategy
Gold Stays Range-Bound After Friday's KnockdownOn Monday, Gold closed up .8 points but did not recover any of the momentum after last Friday's explosive move up and then equally explosive sell off to end the day and the week. After that action last Friday, Gold continues to trade within a tight range that started on March 22. It is obvious that the Bollinger Bands are contracting and the haDelta is poised to cross over to the downside. In addition, Monday's Heikin-Ashi candle was red (see chart below). The overall outlook, at this point, is Neutral.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Recovers but Continues to Move SidewaysGold ended Wednesday down .6 points, making a late day recovery after selling off strongly to start the day. So while gold did close above the 7 day moving average, price continues to move sideways. The haDelta indicator is also still bullish but is showing definite signs of slowing down and even possible changing course. And if, in fact, price does move down, the haDelta would be showing a major diveregence between price and the last 2 peaks ( see yellow line )
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Rises to Top of Month Long RangeOn Monday, Gold continued Friday's move up and rose 2.1 points to close at 1254. I have highlighted the month long range on the chart. Price also closed above the 7 day moving average and the haDelta has turned back to blue. In addition, the upper Bollinger Band has started to move higher to 1271.90 And the Heikin-Ashi chart below shows a strong potential trend change.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Falls Below Support LevelsGold closed down 3.7 points on Thursday, falling through support levels at the 7 day moving average and the inner Bollinger Band. While it's not clear if this is going to be a long or short lived downward correction, I am banking on price hitting the 21 day moving average at 1232.90. As I've said before, when price breaks through the 7 day moving average, the is a high statistical probability that price will then touch the 21 day moving average.
As for the Heikin-Ashi signals, we now have two consecutive red Heikin-Ashi candles and the daily haDelta indicator has turned red.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Stays Bound within Monday's RangeGold closed down 2 points on Wednesday, once again finding support at the confluence of moving averages and the inner Bollinger Band. While not moving lower than support, price stayed contained within Monday's candle and is setting up for a potential 'Rising Three Methods' pattern. This pattern starts with a long green body that is followed by three small body days, each fully contained within the range of the high and low of the first day. Then the fifth day closes at a new high. If this plays out, then Friday would be the day for price to hit the outer Bollinger Band which is now at 1267.30.
While the indicators are still green, the Heikin-Ashi candles are showing a potential end of the up move which you can see on the chart above. Certainly the Heikin-Ashi doji on Wednesday is not inspiring a lot of confidence for the bulls.
I recommend protecting your profits and tightening stops.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Closes Up Slightly After Intraday Touch of SupportGold closed up 2 points on Tuesday even as the US Dollar gained ground fueled by strong consumer data. After the news came out, the precious metal slowly slid down from a high of 1258.4 to the low of 1247. But there it met support from both the 7 and 8 day moving averages and the inner 1.0 Std Dev Bollinger Band.
I am still waiting for the tag of the upper Bollinger Band, which is currently @ 1266.60. All signals are still positive.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Gold Gains and Penetrates Mid Bollinger BandGold moved higher today, gaining 10.2 point to close at 1255.7. After penetrating the middle Bollinger Band @ 1255.4 to hit a daily high of 1261, price closed just underneath that middle Bollinger Band. I am still expecting a tag of the outer Bollinger Band at 1266.10, which is my first profit target on this bull trade that started with an entry at 1220.
All signals are bullish, including the Heikin-Ashi candles.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.https://www.tradingview.com/x/Jf4JUTxT/
AUDNZD Price pushed through my Bollinger Bands and then retraced through the 20 MA. I am looking for price move back to the 20 on the daily time frame where I will be looking to short on a lower time frame. I plan to hold the trade until it hits the 200 MA.
I am taking advantage of my broker's leverage and how much margin is required to place the trade. In terms of AUDNZD my broker will allow me to risk 14% of my account per unit of movement. Since this is possible I will be able to place a 0.19 lot with a $10 account. This position size will give me about 6 - 7 pips before being margined out (I use this as a stop loss). At most, I will lose $10 per entry attempt but most likely will only lose about $7.50 per entry attempt due to stop out requirements put forth by my broker.
My profit target is about 300 pips away at the 200 MA. Given the position size, I will stand to make about $400.
I will make this entry attempt as long as price stays below the 20 MA and doesn't break to up or down. If a break up is made, then I will wait for price to break below the BB and 20 MA to consider an entry. If price breaks to the low, then I am no longer interested in the trade until price breaks above the 20 MA and then below it again.
Good luck to everyone.
Gold Ends the Week FlatOn Friday, Gold spiked up above 1250 but then sold off as the day drew to a close, to close at 1243.3. On the week, Gold was up 14.3 points. All indicators are bullish and, Friday's Heikin-Ashi Doji aside, I am looking for price to at least tag the 1.5 Bollinger Band or higher. Reversing now without even a tag of that 1.5 Bollinger Band would be unusual. So until we get some red color on the chart, I will be maintaining my long position.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Natural Gas Moves SidewaysNatural Gas today stayed range bound, unable to break the 3.087 price. That price is also at the middle Bollinger Band. Support for the day is provided by the 7 day moving average, the purple crosses on the chart. There are some signs that price wants to go higher. The Heikin Ashi Delta indicator is blue, signaling an upward move. And usually you would expect a touch of the outer Bollinger Band, currently at 3.16. However, if price can't move up in the next couple of days, then I would expect another downward leg.
For now, I am flat and remain neutral.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Please trade at your own risk.
Gold Continues Moving Lower and Peaks through Bottom of CloudGold closed down 9.8 points today and poked through the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud. There is a lot of support at this level though so we need to see if price will hold here or will the bear move continue. Of note is that Wednesday opens with the 6th consecutive day of red Heikin-Ashi candles.
Support Levels
Lower Bollinger Band - 1214.70
50 Day Moving Average - 1210.70
21 Week Moving Average - 1212.80
38% Fib from Election Day High - 1209.30
While its too early to predict where the bottom of this move might be, let's keep our eyes on the .272 fib extension off the Election Night high to the December low.
The volume profile is showing a low volume node at 1190. That would be a good short term target if price continues to move lower.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
GBPCHF LONG 4HThe weekly support has held price since the beginning of february and I believe it will continue. I have used BB Indicator to confirm my analysis. Also, a very bullish candle has formed and I am now waiting for price to breakout through the trendline and I will go LONG to 1.26624 daily resistance.
H1 bullish Bollinger Band play on EUPrice may retest resistance level on the upside at 1.06246. If price retrace back to mid BB, it will be a good entry point to go long. Overall price is making a steady bullish move. Take profit 1 at 1.06261 with 33 pips and profit level 2 at 1.06549 with 61 pips. SL at 2 pips at lower BB level. G'luck!
Will Gold Push Down to 1150?Hi All,
I've been refining my charts since my last post. Here's the new chart layout:
Red Bollinger Band with standard 2.0 STD and 20 day midline.
8 period MA - yellow line - *new
6 period MA - purple cross - *new
Closing Price pushed out 5 days - *new
On Tuesday, Gold closed at the 8 day MA, having cracked the 6 day MA. Then on Wednesday, Gold broke below the 8 day MA. This usually means that price will continue on to the 21 day MA, which it did today.
Notice that the Stoch RSI has broken below the 80 line and is now moving down.
Will price now keep moving towards the lower BB in what I call a coast to coast trade? I'm holding on to my short for now.
Using Multiple Timeframes to Enter a TradeHello Traders!
As many of you know, I use the Stoch RSI as my main cycle indicator. As an indicator of an indicator, it normalizes the RSI indicator itself and provides excellent guidance on the price cycles of Gold. And while I base my daily analysis on the Daily time frame, I use 2 shorter time frames to enter my positions. These time frames are 30 minutes and 60 minutes.
Let me give you a real life example from yesterday of how I added to an existing short position.
Last week ended with a beautiful down candle on the daily chart. Long upper wick and a full body that closed just a few points above the bottom of our wedge. With plenty of room left on the Stoch RSI before it crossed the 20 line, I wanted to add another position to my existing short. But I new that I didn't want to jump in at Friday's closing price. So how could I gauge any potential pullback and set an entry price?
The first thing I did was to look at the 30 and 60 min charts, specifically to find where price was on those charts in relation to the overall down cycle.
Here is the 30 min chart on Sunday night at 11 pm PST. It's clear from the Stoch RSI that price was at the bottom of it's cycle. Not an ideal time to enter a trade. And the same was true on the 60 min chart (bottom chart). Therefore, I wanted the Stoch RSI to cycle up to get the best possible entry price. Looking at the BB, I placed a limit order at the inner BB (1.0 Std. Dev) @ 1321, thinking that would give both Stoch RSIs enough time to complete an up cycle. Turns out that was pretty close to the high of the day!
I have had the best entries when I wait for the cycle indicators across multiple time frames to get in sync. Waiting for harmony across multiple time frames is a great way to create a repeatable system for entries and really helps to remove emotions from your trading.
I would love to hear if this technique is helpful!
Safe Trading and Protect Your Profits!