Reference chart for my research purposes.
Studying the success of short-term bond rates to front run federal fund rate decisions (in white). Without much inspection, we can say they are fairly reliable.
im in favor of smashind long term bond yield curve, and inverting the front years more for obvious reasons, namely boj inflation/interest rate planning for example. the bottom is obviously not here for TLT, but i would look towards these boxes in this order.