Bond Update #bondsThis breakout trade out of the December range (rectangle)to the downside to the lows set back in March has been even better then expected but as we approach those lows it is decision time again. Because I have good trade location I am going to hold the short position even if we get an immediate term bounce. I am watching to see if we can hold below 169'00. If we can the downtrend is still intact. How price reacts here at 167'00 will be interesting to watch though because if rates are really going to rise this time, the down move could be strong if we can make it below 167'00. Despite the FED and the economy not fully being open, bond yields are certainty indicating inflation for now.
Bondyields
Time for US BONDS=> Big Banks will Dump Stock Market!hello Millennials,
As we predicted on our youtube channel,
Time for US BONDS just started, Fed manipulation lost power and:
as bonds go UP,
Big Banks and Big Funds
will sell stocks and Buy Bonds, because it is safer than this crazy moment in the market.
So, Stock market incoming Sell pressure.
Good Luck and Good Profit
Moving Water
US INTEREST RATES - To Go Through The Roof. Here's The Evidence.Using the very latest advances in my AriasWave analysis I bring to you the breakdown of the US Bond Yields AKA INTEREST RATES.
What do you think higher interest rates will do to the global economy? Leave your comments below.
My analysis using the AriasWave methodology is improving at a rapid rate.
Once you learn how to do proper research you will no longer rely on indicators or hunches.
Get ready because things are about to get messy in the debt market.
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US Government Bond 30 Year Yield Price ActionUS30 yr yield price action
W bullish patterns is being completed , if the price can cross the red line and stay above it for a enough time , then this pattern will work
Properly and it can reach to the green line , which this is not a good news for stocks , because usually the correlation between the stocks and the bond yield is opposite .
BOND YIELDS - 870 Year Zig Zag In Bond Yields Looks CompleteThe Red Wave A Zig Zag since 1150AD looks complete. The (C) Wave was an expanding ending diagonal.
I have clearly marked the impulsive 3 Wave moves (1,3,& 5) and the corrective move (2 & 4)
Down below there is a 1-2 pattern forming which also looks complete, I will touch on that in a separate idea.
Higher Interest Rates Anyone?
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DOW VS NASDAQ VS 10YR BONDS VS ARIASWAVE - The Final VerdictThe world is changing faster than we can adjust and this is the reason.
In this video I give you the conclusion of years of research finally coming together, just in time.
To understand these markets without AriasWave is like driving in pitch black darkness with no lights on.
Let the show begin.
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$EURUSD Weekly Outlook - To Summarize - ShortCoT has the commercial banks shorting the EURUSD still. Yeah, they added a few long positions this weel, but that was to get back to a level they wanted to add more shorts. They/ve been shorting since the height of the Pandemic swing. so for the Central banks to start being profitable, the price will have to be below 1.13500. If you draw a fib from the start of the EURUSD commercial shorts to the height of the commercial shorts, you can see it unfold in the fib extensions where price wants to reach.
I personally like to see a bit of a larger retracement to the green box notated in this chart during the London/NY session before aggressively going short.
Plus theirs divergence in the 10 year bonds between the currencies. As most are going up, the EUR is taking a dip as of recent.
DIVERGENCE IN 10 YEAR BONDS
Strong Bear tendencies this week. It will be London op and NY open to find the best setups to go short.
GBP STILL BULLISHlooking at the chart we have marked out key levels with active Options strike prices supported with high volume and open interest. We plan to observe how price reacts at 1.3300 and 1.2500 levels prior the the expiration of these contracts. In terms of price action , Cable still maintains an upward trajectory in line with non-commercial sentiments and seasonal outlook. UK bond price maybe trending downwards in line with its inverse relationship with the GBPUSD. However, the Brexit fears may invalidate this move if the trend line is broken and prices fall below 1.2500
Correlation between SG Bond Yields and TLTIn an interesting comparison, Singapore Bond Yields precede the TLT (blue line) slightly, especially in the recent year. See the elllipses marking out the break points, and SG Bond Yields are leading.
Noted that the SG Bond Yield has been strongly downtrending, ahead of the TLT bullishess (inversely indicative of the US Bond Yields).
I think it signals the undercurrents that something is not as rosy as it appears. The SG bond Yields are telling...
US 10 Year yield looks to be heading lower soonThe 10 year treasury yield looks ready to resolve its multi-month consolidation triangle to the downside. There's room for another run up to the .70% area over the next couple weeks, but I ultimately believe we are heading for lower yields. Note the fairly swift rejection from the rally above the 50MA at the end of May / start of June.
I'm not making any plays directly on treasuries, but watching closely because a definitive break lower in yields would signal that stock markets may be heading for a major risk-off move.