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Borisjohnson

GBPAUD off of the ROAD. Short and long entry.In this analyisis we expect: the first one and the most important is the KL, the acumulation in our weekly Key level has been too much poor so we expect that the value needs to arrive again to this zone before the rise. In the other hand, we have a simetric triangle so we will wait the fake out before the entry, but first we need this acumulation in the weekly. The other possibility is that after retest the uptrend, the value rise, but the accumulation in the KL is most possible. We also see that all the values love to retest in the 61.8%.
Short
by BlazeGP
GBPAUD and the long HOME RUN!GBPAUD is in a really important moment, it's being acumulated but we need more acumulation before buy so we will wait a bit and we will also observe if the value can go a bit more down to get a better entry , there are a lot of confluences in our favour for example the the uptrend that needs a P3, fibonacci also could help us because if the value falls to 61% the entry will be excelent and one supply in 1.91100 that has been respected a lot of times. So we will wait a little before the entry and let's catch this pips!!!
Long
by BlazeGP
EURJPY Long IdeaHi everyone, with the next trading week coming up, and market opening tomorrow, here is a trade idea I've got for you guys. EURJPY Long Fundamentals: EUR: has been doing ok, good numbers for countries in Europe coming out, so I would see EUR as pretty bullish JPY: with the US-China Phase One Deal being agreed on, and as per some sources, will be signed on the first week of January 2020, JPY is bearish Technicals: I do see a good entry point here, retraced to 61.8% level, getting rejected a little bit, so all depends how market opens tomorrow on Sunday, might be a good addition. As always, I might make mistakes, nothing is 100% so please be sure to comment your opinion so we can discuss. I am open to any discussions and any opinions.
Long
by jimnakmtl
GBPAUD Long IdeaHere is an idea: GBPAUD Long. Why you may ask, here are a few reasons: - UK General Elections on December 12th (current predictions are Tories winning the elections, and market wants Tories to win) - December 15th Tariffs (Trump still hasn't taken a decision on what to do with December 15th tariffs, most likely I believe he will keep them as tensions has started to rise a little bit between the 2 countries) - China (CNY) Exports numbers weren't very good, and by direct correlation AUD gets also impacted negatively as AUD and CNY are partners. Let me know what you guys think, any comments, fell free to let me know.
Long
by jimnakmtl
GBPUSD short - as Brexit and a possible rate cut coming closerHello guys, As we can all see everyone in the UK was so excited about taking a direction on the 13th of December so price has been pumped up to 1.35 where reality (a.k.a Boris Johnson and his Brexit plan) kicked into our teeth and started a sell off the British pound. By Christmas the sellers cooled down a little bit so the market could finally started a retracement. By the New Year it could re-test the Fib61.8 level then few days later the Fib50 without triggering another major push to the downside so I am expecting the price will re-test Fib38.2 to fully complete the retracement with a possible fakeout of the descending trendline, where I believe we should keep our eyes on if we are looking for a low risk short position targeting 1.28, the bottom of the October - November consolidation area. Alternatively we can also watch out for another low risk entry point if the market breaks below the 1.30500 level and turns the support of the retracement into resistance. Thank you for reading my analysis, please push a Like if you think it is useful or leave a comment either you agree or disagree with me.
Short
by eszge100
1
Worst week. Christmas. What to expect?The pound experienced one of the worst week these years. Johnson and the deadlines greatly spoiled the mood for buyers of the British currency. The ghost of an exit without a deal materialized again. However, its probability is no more than 25% (according to Goldman Sachs analysts), many hastened to take profits from the sharp growth of the pound in the parliamentary elections after net sellers joined them. Also, weak data from the UK was published, as well as a “dovish” tone of comments from the Bank of England. As a result, all this led to the 1.30 test. No matter how bad was the last week, we see no reasons to panic. On the contrary, the pound is perfectly substituted and this should be used. Johnson's words in no way (in our understanding) cancel the general line, which is the "soft" exit of Great Britain from the EU. On Friday, the new Parliament of Great Britain has already voted for the version of the agreement developed by Johnson. That is, from the point of view of facts, everything speaks in favour of an exit from the transaction. Exit with the deal is the price of the pound against the dollar 1.40 and higher. Besides, Friday's UK GDP data came out better than expected. So feel free to buy the pound in the medium term and on the intraday basis. Highlights and takeaways from the historic week that Trump was impeached. We do believe that Trump will “sit in his chair” until the end of his term, but the future fate of the presidency is a question. In general, the Democrats held an excellent rally of black PR. Their coming to power can greatly change not only political but also the economic reality in the United States. But this perspective is still quite far. We are waiting for Christmas week. Accordingly, an extremely thin market with an increased risk of volatility explosions or even flash crashes. Our trading plan for this week is extremely aggressive intraday trading based on oscillator signals. We do not expect any strong directional movements and look forward to fluctuations in relatively narrow ranges. Making trading almost risk-free. In our case (thin market), we ensure each position with relatively small stops. As for the medium-term positions: we buy the pound, the Japanese yen and gold, we sell the Russian ruble.
Long
by Trade24Fx
Pound under pressure, GDP & dollar There was a lot of talks about Trump Impeachment. Despite the decision of the House of Representatives, the chances of gaining Senate support are extremely low (gaining 2/3 of the vote is almost impossible). So the reluctance of the dollar to fall against this formally negative fundamental background is generally understandable. And if the dollar yesterday felt relatively confident in the foreign exchange market, the British pound continued to be under pressure. The day for the GBP began with failure: retail sales (MoM) November f -0.6%, however, the experts expected an increase + 0.2% (MoM). As a result, this decline formed the longest series of monthly retail sales in the country since 1996. A series of the fundamental negative for the pound continued the Bank of England. The central bank did not lower the rate but made it clear that considering such an option. Lowering the forecast by the Central Bank on UK GDP growth rates in 2020 by 0.1%is not optimism news for pound buyers. So the results of the meeting of the Bank of England are “dovish”, which was against the British currency. The fate is not in the hands of the Bank of England or macroeconomic indicators but in the hands of Brexit. Despite Johnson’s statements on Monday, we continue to believe in the deal and the “soft” Brexit, which means that the pound will certainly grow, with growth rates up to 1000 pips. Accordingly, the lower the pound falls, the greater the growth. Therefore, we continue medium-term purchases of the pound, and today we buy on intraday from 1.30 (the entry point is too good to pass by, plus the Friday before the Christmas holidays - many want to take profits in short pound positions, which will contribute to its growth) Today is unlikely to be calm. Besides the fact that it is necessary to process and take into account the prices the entire array of information that is hitting the financial markets this week, on Friday we are waiting for data on the GDP of the UK and the USA to come out, as well as statistics on retail sales in Canada. We do not expect any excessively strong directional movements, so we will adhere to the tactics of oscillatory trading on the intraday basis As for medium-term positions, there are no changes: we buy the pound, the Japanese yen and gold, we sell the Russian ruble.
Long
by Trade24Fx
Trump Impeachment, infernal sanctions, BoE & BoJUS President Donald Trump has been impeached by the Democratic-led House of Representatives for obstruction of Congress and abuse of power related to his dealings with Ukraine. The votes made Trump only the third president in United States history to be impeached and set the stage for a likely trial in the Republican-led Senate in January. This event has already been included in current prices and moods in the financial markets. Note, the fate of Trump is in the hands of the Senate, and there are 2/3 of the Republicans, so, Trump is not in danger. Nevertheless, we cannot but note that our already strong desire to sell the dollar after such news only intensified. After a volatile market on Tuesday, Wednesday became a respite day. But today there is a possibility of the return of strong movements in pound pairs in the foreign exchange market. It is about the announcement of the results of the Bank of England. Experts expect the parameters of monetary policy in the country to remain unchanged. In general, this will be in line with the current mood of the leading Central banks in the world, which have taken a break and are following the development of events. So, surprises should be expected only from Mark Carney’s comments. Our expectations and a trading plan for today. As the pound sales dwindled yesterday. The markets have calmed down. So you can not be afraid of a crazy panic wave, which will be able to absorb our position beneath. Therefore, today we are returning to the idea of buying a pound both on the intraday and in the medium-term positions. The EU and Johnson’s comments could provoke local outbursts of volatility, and the direction of the price dynamics of the pound will be determined by the nature of information injections. But if you sit and wait for this kind of information, then you can freeze trading activity at all. So do not be afraid of opening the trade - the only restriction taking into account current realities is setting up the stops for each of the trade. Recall that we believe that the pound’s real value is 500, or even 1000 pips more expensive, which means buying is a promising trading idea. Among other trading ideas, we note simply excellent points for the sale of the Russian ruble. The fact is that yesterday the relevant committee of the US Senate approved sanctions against Russia for interfering in the elections. We are talking about the so-called "hellish sanctions." Of course, the bill still needs to be voted on and given to Trump for signature, so it is still a long way from implementation. The fact that the process is in progress cannot but put pressure on the ruble. That is why its current price is a gift that is simply a sin to refuse from. But in order to make this position more balanced, we recommend using oil purchases as a hedge. Actually, the ruble is growing because of oil growth. Even after the announcement of the OPEC + decision to increase production cuts, we recommend buying oil. So far, the dynamics of the asset fully justify this recommendation, which testifies in favour of our correct understanding of the situation. The Bank of Japan has already announced its decision. The expected monetary policy parameters remained unchanged. Therefore we purchase the Japanese yen. Low volatility, coupled with the USDJPY near to the top of the medium-term range, makes the deal quite profitable on the other hand with very limited risks. That is, sales of the USDJPY from 109.60 with stops above 109.90 and minimum profits of about 108.50 (or even 107.30) make the deal extremely interesting.
by Trade24Fx