AUD-USDThe audusd pair breaks the resistance level at 0.66500 and closes the candle above this level. Now the market is testing again this level to give a big move to the upside level. There is also another strong resistance level at 0.68500. the market breaks this resistance and then turns into support, and if the market holds this support level of 0.66500 then we see an upside move.
BOS
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 13/05/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
Next, we patiently awaited price action to take the liquidity positioned on either side of the trading zone, providing us with a directional bias for the trading period. In this instance, liquidity was taken at the highs after 10 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate selling. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure.
Next, we waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. In this case, the subsequent candle that formed was a bullish one, closing within the Fair Value Gap.
Our stop loss is set above the high that formed the Break of Structure (BoS) leg, with a minimum requirement of 10 pips. In this instance, placing the stop loss above the high would result in only 7 pips, necessitating an increase to meet the 10-pip minimum. This rule was established not by chance, but through extensive backtesting of numerous trades, demonstrating how it prevents us from being stopped out before price moves in our favor.
After executing our trade, we experienced a significant drawdown that nearly reached our stop-loss level, only for the price to eventually reverse in our favor. Had we set a 7 pip stop, we would have been stopped out; however, our rule of a minimum 10 pip stop saved us from that outcome.
Although the price reversed again and entered a drawdown, we remained unfazed by this reversal due to our cautious risk management strategy. We had committed just 1% of our capital to this trade, with the prospect of a 2% return. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades.
The GBPUSD pair then consolidated around our entry point, prolonging our involvement in this trade. However, based on our collected data, we anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x-3x longer for the trade. Patience is crucial in trading, as it often places you in challenging situations
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/04/2024At 8:45 AM EST EURUSD made a big move down that took out the Judas Swing Zone Low. Then it came straight back up to create a BOS(break of structure).
After the liquidity grab at the low and the subsequent break of structure (BOS), we patiently awaited a retracement towards the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) that emerged during the displacement leg.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved favourably in our direction. However, it later took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD.
Despite being in a drawdown at this point, we remained steadfast in our approach. Having accepted the calculated risk of only 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we were unfazed by the proximity of price to our stop loss, and maintained our trust in the strategy.
Price eventually reversed and paused briefly around our entry point before resuming its favourable movement. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes.
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
BTC - retest for the push to 70kIt seems as we are getting some interesting potential setups as BTC has some difficulties moving above the supply between 67.000$ and 68.000$. Therefore I think we have to "reload" for another push upwards. For this reload I am eyeing the FVG at 65.310$ and the demand below it to hold. Ideally this could be just a wick . down below our range that we have reclaimed. This should bive us enough strenght to push to 70k.
BTC 1hr ScenarioBTC Looking bearish and bullish in 1hr TF so I will advice you be patience at this point.... Is good to take a quick long on BTC with 30mins bullish OB below but if 1hr bearish OB above mitigated before 30mins bullish OB mitigate mean that you should consider taking short after 5mins CHoCH to downside after the bearish OB mitigated
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BTC daily baisBTC UPDATE: At this point we really need a lot of patience in the market before we can say we want to bag spot…. There is a potential that BTC will first pump to 68.9k before dumping to buy wall zone on daily bullish OB below at 51.6k….
My little advice is don’t rush into market at this point and wait for a better correction in market.
My view is we will start seen retracement in market to the daily bearish OB above before halving and the final correction will take place after halving to take down the liquidity below….
Don’t be in an haste at this point
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ETHUSDT.Pafter CHoCH, market tends to go lower to creates LLLH.
sweeping 4H OB and previous high, creating good opportunity for short position ( according to red path) . on the other hand if price goes higher two potential zone are specified on thee chart and after confirmation short position could be taken
BTC Liquidity belowChecking on 4hrs timeframe today and I saw liquidity below with valid bullish OB at 63.5k.... This means you should all be careful and don't be greedy with your position as BTC might come down anytime to clear the liquidity below to mitigate the unmitigated bullish OB below
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BTCUSDT.PBased on 1-hour analysis, the price appears primed for a short position. Upon breaking the internal structure to the downside, I anticipate a move upwards to sweep liquidity at the level of 69657.03. However, if the price fails to ascend beyond this level and instead establishes a new low, it will likely necessitate another liquidity sweep. In such a scenario, I will update my analysis accordingly.
BTCUSDT.pIn my opinion, BTC is currently in a critical range, making it more challenging to predict its next movement. It could either break its all-time high (ATH) or experience a downward trend from the weekly (OB) zone. However, I've observed a reversal pattern in the 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) charts, suggesting a potential downward movement for BTC. Nevertheless, there's a possibility that BTC might first sweep the liquidity at the ATH before heading downward.
MAVIA UPDATEMAVIA is still under correction after massive pump.... MAVIA went up to clear the liquidity above and is time to clear the liquidity below as you can see on the chart... A good place to consider buying MAVIA would be around $6 below so wait for below liquidity to be sweep and we start looking to bag in spot or long from there.........
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MAVIA BullishMAVIA is ready for another pump to the upside but we need little retracement to the bullish OB on 15mins unmitigated OB below.....MAVIA swept liquidity before last pump and i'm expecting it to respect the bullsih OB below................
Wait for entry below before considering longing
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Chainlink(LINK): Will or When We Short?Chainlink caught our attention as well, with some decently high potential for the reverse to happen soon!
We are monitoring the coin after multiple BOS and FVG zones are left on the lower zones, which are waiting to be filled.
As the price had a nice breakup at $17.10, we are looking for that same sentiment to be re-tested.
So we shared two potential entries for a short position here; now starts the waiting game.
Swallow Team