Boston Beer running up W Formation breakoutW Formation has formed after an extended downtrend.
The price has broken above and has a likelihood of running up.
Price above all MAs
Target $571.54
CONCERNS:
After a steep downtrend, the price is still vulnerable for upside. Either it rallies hard and furious. Or the market comes back down into the formation.
Either way, we have out signal to go long.
Bostonbeerco
SAM: Boston Beer CompanyLooking to follow his family’s passion for brewing, Jim brewed the recipe in his kitchen with the hopes of challenging the status quo in the American beer industry. He started by introducing American drinkers to craft-brewed beers that were full-flavored, balanced, and complex, and brewed with quality ingredients. Pleased with his brew, Jim started The Boston Beer Company with his co-founder and first employee, Rhonda Kallman. In those first months, Jim walked bar-to-bar with a briefcase full of beer that he called Samuel Adams Boston Lager, in recognition of one of our nation's great founding fathers, a revolutionary man of independent mind and spirit. Boston Lager soon became a catalyst of the American craft beer revolution, making its public debut in Boston on Patriot's Day in April 1985. Six weeks after its introduction, Boston Lager was selected as "The Best Beer in America" in The Great American Beer Festival's Consumer Preference Poll, which became an award Samuel Adams Boston Lager went on to win an unprecedented four times.
If you're unfamiliar as to what beverages are made by SAM, think Samuel Adams (of course), Angry Orchard, Twisted Tea, Truly (seltzer) among others. While you may not be hip to 'Boston Brewing Company', if you enjoy alcoholic beverages, chances are you've indulged in at least one of their products.
More fascinating to me than the number of household brands this company supports is the wave structure of its all-time price action. If one didn't believe in the power of an extended 3rd wave before now, feast your eyes on its magically vertical increase in price, practically since inception! For what its worth, I have no stock or positions with SAM however, as an Elliott Wave fanatic, I'm excited to show the power of such a move.
To get ahead of the wave and find potential moves like these (or avoid the downfall that comes after a completed wave cycle), join us on the waves.
SAM - WEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - BOSTON BEER CO INC - STOCKSA little hindsight on what could have been a nice short. Red line was your level. After a nice drop price pulled back to test that exact level and then went back down again. Price is rising yet again and could come to test that area once more. Since it has been tested before it has a better chance of pushing through it. That is not a rule just something to consider. I would be willing to take a short there if it hits it again but with a TIGHT STOP LOSS. Lines below are places I would take profits.
Good luck out there.
Clearly NOT financial advice.
BOSTON BEER CO 1D TRIANGLE BREAKOUT TRADE Triangles, Descending Triangles, Ascending Triangle and Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.