$NKE potential bottom around $58-63- For NYSE:NKE longs, they gotta feel 10-15% more downside for potential bottom. $63 is the 200 SMA on monthly scale where it could potentially bottom.
- Ideally, NYSE:NKE has been losing market share to NYSE:ONON , deckers etc. On top of that there's zero innovation in the shoes and design. Premium price for Nike seems unjustified.
- Fair value based on multiple compression seems to be around $78-85. Therefore, buying it in 70s isn't worth holding. I believe parking money here is like betting on dead horse as of now.
- Turn around in brick and mortar business takes long time and patience as compared to SAAS business where one could see positive turn around within 1-2 quarters.
- CEO is a veteran which is a plus but investors should be cautiously optimistic.
- Buying around $58-63 provides good upside adjusted for slow rate of pace of growth and competition fears.
Bottom
#PARTIUSDT is showing signs of a reversal🚀 The price BYBIT:PARTIUSDT.P is showing signs of a reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
🚀 The scenario becomes more likely if the price holds above $0.1520 with increasing volume.
🚀 Watch for a breakout and confirmation above the $0.1500–$0.1520 zone — this would strengthen the bullish setup.
🚀 If volume picks up during the continuation of the move, a quick push toward $0.18 is possible.
📈 LONG BYBIT:PARTIUSDT.P from $0.1533
🛡 Stop loss: $0.1492
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Overview:
➡️ The price has broken out above the Bearish Flag, confirming a break in the downtrend structure.
➡️ The Double Bottom formation increases the likelihood of an upward move.
➡️ Entry at $0.1533 is just above the resistance zone and confirms the breakout.
➡️ The upward potential remains toward $0.1600 and beyond, aiming for the POC volume area.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.1555
💎 TP 2: $0.1575
💎 TP 3: $0.1600
📢 Support zone: $0.1500–$0.1510 — must hold to maintain the bullish structure.
📢 If price consolidates above $0.1555, expect a potential acceleration toward $0.1600.
📢 A drop below $0.1492 invalidates the scenario — stop is mandatory.
🚀 BYBIT:PARTIUSDT.P breaks key level — bullish signal confirmed! Watch for continuation!
ETH is falling per Demark’s technical analysis: Target at $988?According to Thomas Demark’s method — when b = a, the next target for ETH is around $988.
📉 Price broke the ascending support
🔻 Wave “a” from $4000 to $2500 has already played out
📏 Wave “b” is projected downward — target aligns with a strong historical support zone
📊 Weekly RSI is nearing oversold territory
Conclusion: The $988 area is critical. A reversal may occur there if selling pressure weakens.
Stay sharp.
#ETH #Demark #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Ethereum
"When the VIX is low, look out below!""When the VIX is low, look out below!"
+
FEDs motto "Higher for longer"
=
Fed rate hikes to go: 2-3 left
it is pivot time, change of market dynamic from "bad news is good news" to "bad news is bad news".
state of economy is not good and it will start sinking in to investors and public
Updated XRP Count Bearish (Short Term)Hello Friends,
I've been trying to tackle this count for a couple of days now and finally came up with something that fits the picture and seems to work. I’m not in love with this count—it’s very tricky when it comes to the X wave. I’ve been reviewing and processing what the highest probability count could be for this part of the structure.
As we understand it, Wave 1 of the 5th wave (or Wave A of the Y wave) was completed around January 20th at approximately $3.40. From that point until now, we are likely in Wave 2 of the 5th wave (or Wave B of the Y wave), which appears to be nearly complete.
Wave 2 (or Wave B) is forming as a sharp double zigzag:
A zigzag in Wave W
A truncated, ugly-looking sharp double in the X wave (which I’m not a fan of, though I believe it’s valid and it fits)
And a zigzag in Wave Y, which we are currently still in
Probabilistically, we are in Wave B of the Y wave and should retrace to around $2.10–$2.40. As more subdivisions develop in the B wave, they’ll help confirm more precise target ranges in the coming days.
I expect we’ll finish in the $1.60–$1.36 range (leaning more toward the lower end around $1.43–$1.36) to complete this correction before continuing toward the $10 target area.
Thoughts?
Thank you,
GOD BLESS and TRADE ON!
Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors
When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA .
Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA
$SOL RSI Fully Reset! Could Very Well Have Seen the BottomI’ve been waiting a few days before posting an update on CRYPTOCAP:SOL to see if it forms a cluster that mimics the fractal before the Trump Pump.
So far it has been playing out perfectly.
I still think we might have a wick at the very least to retest $155, but it does not necessarily have to happen as we’ve already have some confirmed price action in that region.
Main target is reclaiming the DMA9 and then prior Trend.
The RSI has FULLY RESET, so we could very well have seen the bottom here.
DOGE might finished drop—short-term targets: $2.22 - $4.44BINANCE:DOGEUSDT ’s price action over the past two years has formed a large rounded bottom and a complex inverse head and shoulders.
Looking at the two major recent drops as the right shoulders and comparing them to two similar drops in 2021 as the left shoulders, the decline percentages are almost identical:
🔵 Recent right shoulder drop: -53.52%
🔵 Left shoulder drop in 2021: -54.25%
🟣 Previous right shoulder drop: -45.87%
🟣 Previous left shoulder drop in 2021: -42.94%
This suggests that the decline is likely complete.
So, assuming this bull market continues, where could CRYPTOCAP:DOGE go next?
Using this pattern, I estimated two potential target prices:
🔴 Conservative target: $2.22 (~7x from current price)
🔵 More aggressive target: $4.44 (~15x from current price)
Historically, DOGE’s pumps have been fast and explosive, often reaching targets within weeks.
Some people think the crypto market has already turned bearish. If you’re bearish, a safer short entry might be after DOGE breaks below 2/3 of its recent support.
There are no guarantees in trading, so always set a stop loss for risk management.
Stay safe! 🚀
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
🔥 for more future script "guesses" like this!
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?Looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , before the 2021 altseason kicked off, there were 3 key stages:
▍Stage 1: A steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Along the neckline of the rounded top, a rounded bottom developed.
▍Stage 3: BTC.D dropped sharply, triggering a crazy altseason.
For 2025, it seems we're about to enter Stage 3:
▍Stage 1: Again, a steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Just like before, a rounded bottom appeared along the neckline.
What’s different this time?
BTC.D just retested the neckline resistance zone for the second time yesterday.
After touching it, BTC.D formed a long lower wick, signaling strong rejection.
Now, it's all about watching the next moves.
If BTC.D mirrors Stage 3 from the last cycle, we could see a sharp drop soon.
And if that happens, the crazy altseason might start before anyone is ready.
🔴 for more future script "guesses" like this!
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
Updated XRP Count Marco Wave 4 Completed What a tricky count! If it smells like a triangle, looks like a triangle then its probably triangle, right? Well in some case that is true in others it's not. Considering the price action we got yesterday with the liquidation event, we are forced to look at our alternative counts. This is a revised count of the competed Macro Wave 4 XRP.
Feel free to ask questions
God Bless and Trade on!
TOTAL2 / BTC ALTS Should be Close to BottomingWho remembers this chart I posted a month ago on TOTAL2 / BTC ?
This was the one that TradingView shared of mine on 12/31/24
Called the double bottom here. My squiggles are undefeated.
Alts should be close to the end of bleeding.
One last flush I presume (hope) 😂
TLT HAS BOTTOMED TODAY at 85.34 a perfect .786 of wave A downThe chart posted is the TLT we have now reached a fib relationship at today low of .786 of wave or wave 1 both counts calls for a sharp rally back above 90 plus or mins 1 I have now moved to a 40 % net long in the money calls best of trades wavetimer
$AMD DOUBLE BOTTOM EASY $175 BY NEXT EARNINGA double bottom pattern is a traditional technical analysis chart formation that signifies a significant trend reversal and a shift in momentum from a previous downward movement in market trading. It depicts a security or index experiencing an initial decline, followed by a rebound, then another decline to a level similar to the initial drop, and finally a subsequent rebound that may lead to a new uptrend.
- PlayStation 6 Processor Contract : NASDAQ:AMD has secured the contract to supply processors for the upcoming PlayStation 6, surpassing Intel. This agreement ensures the sale of millions of custom chips and generates billions in revenue, solidifying AMD's position in the gaming console market.
- Strong Financial Performance: NASDAQ:AMD reported remarkable revenue growth, with a 17.57% increase in the third quarter of 2024. This performance underscores AMD's robust market position and profitability.
-AI and Semiconductor Supercycle: The semiconductor industry, including NASDAQ:AMD , is poised to benefit from the rising demand for AI-related products and services. This trend is expected to drive further growth and profitability for AMD.
Positive Analyst Ratings: Numerous analysts have given NASDAQ:AMD a "Strong Buy" rating, with price targets ranging from $155 to $250. This optimistic outlook suggests significant potential gains in AMD's stock value.
AS OF 12/16/2024
RSI (14) 33.31
52W Low 3.99%
How far ETH will pull back? Potential Future PathIn this chart, all bull trends are in green and bear trends in red, the the longer/ more tested, the stronger the line.
-The dark red line in the bottom corner was a descending trend we had since over a year ago
-We broke out and established a strong ascending trendline and an ascending channel that was about 15 degrees lower slope. And actually at the same time it confirmed the upward channel, it started the downward channel, recently confirmed.
-The other battle here is we lost that strong dark dark green ascending support line and then we came back up and took it back, got rejected and then tried numerous more times to break it before giving up and losing ground.
* Once again we will need to decide which channel we want to maintain, the ascending green channel or the newly formed descending red channel
* I drew some lines of what seems Potential Future Paths, based on my interpretation of the current chart
*Each set of eyes are where you want to be paying attention should we make it to this area.
Roughly this chart infers.
Possible downside
ETH: $3650-$3550 | bullish | If we maintain this green Ascending channel
ETH: ~$3450 | Possible short term bear
Possible Upside:
Look for resistance around $3950 after testing channel bottom.
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Orderbooks:
Currently orderbooks are strong but we did have the first significant dip in trader confidence we have had in a long minute with the recent sharp pullback but asks are back up to a very stable level. A recent uptick in in bids at 100% DOM, infers traders think there is some more pullback possible though this could be short lived. This is per coinmarketflow, using the new TV charts on ETH.
-------------------------------------
Longer Term:
Note, that is 1 hour candles, here is the same chart with 1d candles:
* Notice we are in a looong term ascending trend and we still have a ways before we test our theoretical top of channel but also there is a lot of room for this to fall, ETH could fall to $2500 in the next days to months and it would still be in an overall longterm ascending pattern with numerous proofs of support over the years.
This is my research based on trend analysis and orderbooks. You should always do your own research, maybe my research will help add to your own and work out as a win.
ETH could find footing around here...We had a steep incline, we tested it 4 times and it was support, we tested it a 5th time after rejecting a breakdown and she crashed through support and now we are nearing where we hope to get a footing. You can see where if we slightly adjust the angle of the channel from the prior super steep ascending channel to this new, pretty steep ascending channel, we are near the bottom of channel, near support and hopefully hold and bounce back up from here, would still be plenty bullish, with just a more reasonable trajectory.
Looks like we will have the 200 (4h candle) moving average line up around this support line as well giving it double the chance of holding. If it breaks down, the price could drop a lot lower, like $3000-$2400ish even.
if this is bottom line here, we have a little more down trend and probably some consolidation down here before heading back up, should let other assets breath some too. If it breaks through this, be prepared for more drop.
Order books currently imply that more traders believe the price will drop more than traders who believe the price will rise.
This could be a great entry op for ETH and many other assets but be vigilant, especially with order books in the current state, and it took a solid month for them to decline to their current state, so hoping for a two day reversal could be asking a bit much.
I am currently optimistic but skeptical
Why hello there ETH, can we be friends?barring any black swan events - now that we have the new ETH release forthcoming, the bitcoin halving in the future, and the bear market behind us (fingers crossed?), this is the trend - we'll see some stops and volatility at the major support/resistances for trading.
I'll just be holding for the next year or two. Less stress!
Pi Cycle Indicates The Bottom of BTCThe Pi Cycle just triggered the Bitcoin bottom.
This is the 3rd time in the history of the bitcoin Pi cycle has shown the bottom signal, this indicator accurately predicted the Bitcoin bottom in 2015 and 2018.
if this indicator works for the third time then we are at the bottom of the bitcoin bear cycle.
Thanks
Hexa
BITCOIN BLX 1 Month Now, the Monthly chart is nothing to F with!
Take a look at the RSI with it at the bottom by the blue line, every time it was down there the next move up was a Bull run.
The Stochastic RSi is already curling up with the mouth opening about to gasp some air as it heads to the up side. Can we see continuation? KKEP AN EYE ON THIS!
A lot point to a Run to the upside is near, don't sleep on this.
CPI numbers tomorrow morning will cause Volatility, be ready. 8:30 am ET/ 5:30AM PT <---
Good Luck Out There!
Understanding Gold Panic Selling Reactions BetterThis video is designed to help you better understand how Gold works as a hedge instrument and how to attempt to measure Panic Selling phases in Precious Metals.
Metals offer an incredible opportunity when Panic Selling hits. But it can also present some very real risks because of price volatility.
Panic selling in the markets is usually an event-driven sell-off in almost all markets (including metals).
This type of selling is usually related to traders pulling assets (CASH) away from all market sectors because of some crisis or geopolitical event. It is a way for traders to react to the fear of the event while sometimes ignoring how metals will react to the future revaluation event.
Yet, who wants to hold Gold when it may fall 8.5% to 15% throughout this panic selling process?
If you learn how to spot the base/bottom efficiently (using my Excess Phase Peak patterns), you'll be able to pinpoint some incredible opportunities in metals.
I hope this video helps you to understand exactly how these Panic Selling events unfold - and lear to spot/trade them more efficiently.
The reality of the current market environment is that the Trump win is the event (call it a crisis or not - I don't care). This event is causing markets to revalue current asset classes (notice the strength of the US Dollar since Election Day).
I believe this revaluation event is nearly over and prices will begin to adjust into what I'm calling my "Anomaly Event" - where price levels settle back into a reversion (normal) type of contraction event before moving into a late-stage Santa Rally.
If I'm right, we'll see a base/bottom in metals happen after November 15-19, 2024.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold