USDCHF soon to end dancing around parityUSDCHF has been moving around parity but its dancing days might (hopefully) be almost over.
In the last days the pair bounced between two important moving averages: the 100 SMA and the 200 SMA (in the chart, the Turquoise and Black ones are actually EMAs though).
And all around the roundest round number 1.00000.
The SMA(100) and the SMA(200) are getting closer and closer: this could mean a breakout due soon.
Update your watchlist!
BOX
USDCHF soon end dancing around parityUSDCHF has been moving around parity but its dancing days might (hopefully) be almost over.
In the last days the pair bounced between two important moving averages: the 100 SMA and the 200 SMA (in the chart, the Turquoise and Black ones are actually EMAs though).
And all around the roundest round number 1.00000.
This could mean a breakout due soon.
Update your watchlist!
AUDJPY in a box for too long: will it break?AUDJPY has been consolidating in a Box for 10 weeks now and started to form a Wedge inside that box in the last 5 weeks.
The pair will thus probably give a good breakout soon in one of the two directions with different level of Targets.
Patience required to plan the setup.
AUDJPY in a box for too long: will it break?AUDJPY has been consolidating in a Box for 10 weeks now and started to form a Wedge inside that box in the last 5 weeks.
The pair will thus probably give a good breakout soon in one of the two directions with different level of Targets.
Patience required to plan the setup.
OIL Brent Crude OilOIL under observation for possible LONG positions.
The indicator in my algorithm has shown good results in this last month on the Daily chart (blue rectangles in the original post on my blog).
This ticker has been ranging in a box between 53.00 and 56.85 (apart from a couple of false breakouts long) which suggests - together with macro indicators - that the price is being contained in that area.
The moving averages on Friday seemed to be pointing to the LONG side and a price confirmation would trigger the trade.
Another interesting indicator would be the breaking of the level at 59.00 which might potentially skyrocket the price in the area of the 67.00.
A box break Long would thus have a first cap at 59.00 whereas a break Short would meet a first support in the area of 49-ish and another further down to 44.5
Given the bullish sentiment for this ticker, even in case the breakout goes short at the moment I would aim at the first take profit, as it is currently not probable that the ticker depreciates down to the 44.
Prices refer to this chart and may vary with other platform/brokers.
I always discuss and follow up these ideas on my blog.
EURGBP breakthrough out of the box#EURGBP has been trading in a box in the last week.
Macro indicators from all sides show the weakness of the GBP, so we expect a breakout LONG with some levels of TP for the short/medium term:
around the 88, around the 89 and then further up to 89.5 and over to be confirmed by technical indicators.
A bit of reassessment was expected to happen at the market opening, but an entry point just above the box with a SL just below it and a first TP at 1:1 Risk-Reward-Ratio should be a good strategy, leaving a second TP to run further up for a bigger return (based on former support/resistance level off the chart).
Prices refer to this chart and may vary with other platform/brokers.
I always discuss and follow up these ideas on my blog.
EDIT :
In actual fact, the market opening left a huge gap in all currency pairs involving GBP.
This brought to an initial covering of the gap, that forces us to reassess the technical analysis before committing to the strategy pre-market opening.
The H4 chart seems to show that the upwards trend is regaining strength and the position for this week for me is still LONG.
Moved the SL just below the upper limit of the box though (already hit the TP1 point anyway).
Pre-Fed Hike Set ups GOLD/USDThere was low volume since it since like people are not that excited to move the price around the night before the fed hike D-Day. Here are my set ups for tomorrow. Got some extra $DUST and $JDST today on the dips that occurred today. I will expect lower volume tomorrow prior to the release/Yellen Speach. Stay close to the button when it hits 2PM EST.
My call is Bull USD/ Bear Gold for tomorrow, like everyone else on wall street.
Like always safe trading!
Early Bear run for Gold into 12/9/2016During the Asian Market, if gold is able to break the blue barriers at 1167.40 it till continue in the red down channel. If it is able to use it as a support it can return and retest 1170 mark. if bear continues to go past the first blue, see anther blue support at 1163.40 which it had difficulty in the past. Keep you eyes on the USDJPY and USDEUR to support your plans.
safe trading.
Bear gold trendExpect to see a bigger fall if bears can bring the gold price to cross the 1172 threshold marked in red line.
If somehow the bulls are able to bring it back up to 1176, it can trend up to 1180 (next resistance level).
THe odds are on your side if you are following the bear train.
Safe trading y'all~
Gold broke 1170 lets see the Bulls and Bears duke it out. The fight/focus area is the yellow box.
Bull will try their best to retake the new resistance of 1170.
Bears are gonna try to ride that momentum near the new support of ~1160, while also battling the dowwnard channel that has been alive for the past few days.
Safe trading!
A late rotation short, momentum continuation to 1/1 Gann Line.I have been following IESC for awhile. Due to other activities and some much needed vacation time I am currently late on a 1/2 Gann Line breakdown 8/30 - 9/6/2016. The retest of 9/30 - 10/3/2016 with a long legged indecision candle at previous resistance and 1/2 Gann Line failure also represents a "box" move.
Due to my attention starting on 10/26/2016 I prefer a momentum continuation short into the end of the year.
NVDA graphic MountainNVDA is spiking extremely up. Almost reaching Max profit PT. Standard error of possible profit max target is the green rectangle. Possible setup for a short solely based on technical alone. Short at Profit Max or after reversal pattern develops. Further fundamental research may be need, forecast is subject to change.
MRIN is checking its gapYesterday Marin Software Inc. (MRIN) finished its trading day with bulls loosing the fight to the bears. However the former left a big technical mark on the latter. There is a long lower shadow which might prove bullish momentum and reinstate a down gap that happened on May 6th 2016 as a resistance. By means of measuring the high-low price inside the box we would project the price go up to 3.26.
For more ideas visit mercuriusam.wordpress.com
GBPJPYMy view on the GBPJY pair. I believe we'll see drop further down towards the 0.618 fib level @ 158.45 before surging upwards again. This would complete an ABCD wave reach the previous structures their highs and reaching the top of the box. I believe this will be a good point to short the GJ all the way down to the trend line/bottom of the box.
The drop down is would fit perfectly with the Stoch RSI being oversold and the RSI bouncing of its upward trend line.
Trade with caution.